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354 Locust St
B Composite 70.3
Why this score? — see what drove the B grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +27.8/30.0
  • ARV discount +15.0/15.0
  • DSCR +9.8/10.0
  • 1% rule +8.9/10.0
  • Livability +3.4/5.0
  • Rent growth +2.5/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Schools +0.5/10.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$125,000

354 Locust St · Steelton, PA 17113
4 bd · 1.0 ba · 2,814 sqft · Townhouse public records · 10 Days on market
Built 1903 2,178 sqft lot Est $219k · 43% under

🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks

This home is a diamond in the rough. With a little elbow grease and some TLC you can restore this 1903 house into a home! This 5 bed home has beautiful high ceilings, wood details and so much more! Perfect for an investment or a home for yourself!

Key facts

  • Built 1903
  • Listed 10 days

Property features AI

Exterior

  • Parking: On-street parking
  • Utilities: Public water; Public sewer
  • Home design: Semi-detached property; Above- and below-grade structures
  • Construction: Brick construction; Permanent foundation; Year built recorded by assessor
  • Exterior features: Not in a federal flood zone; No tidal water nearby

Interior

  • Bedrooms: Three bedrooms on the first upper level; Two bedrooms on the second upper level
  • Bathrooms: One full bathroom (all upper levels)
  • Heating & cooling: Hot water heating; Natural gas heating and natural gas hot water
  • Interior features: Basement with interior access; Finished living area per assessor

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 4-bed/1.0-bath townhouse listed at $125k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $380 ($5k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $125k).
  • Cap rate 9.9% vs local median 6.9% in Steelton — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 67/100 on livability (#971 in PA) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+, health & safety A+; Watch: employment C-, crime F, amenities F.
  • Steelton-Highspire SD (suburban): math 2% / reading 9% proficiency, ranked #538 of 539 in PA (top 100%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 68% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
  • Zoned schools: Steelton-Highspire Hs (math 2% / reading 6%, grade F, #434 of 437 statewide, top 99%, 599 students, 100% FRL) — zoned schools average 100% FRL vs 68% district-wide (32 pts higher); higher-poverty schools than district average — tighter screening recommended.
  • Market conditions: 68 active listings in the ZIP; 540 units permitted in Dauphin County in 2024 (194 in 5+ unit buildings).
  • This rent runs 31% of the median local income ($68k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $864 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $4k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $35k cash investment doubles in ~9 years — after that, you're playing with house money.

Negotiation context

  • Only 10 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.
  • Current owner paid $40k; list at $125k implies a 212% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Watch-outs: property tax is 2.7% of price; built in 1903 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
  • Climate carrying-cost: extreme-heat days projected 7→15/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Recommended offer $125,000

Questions for the listing agent

  1. Built in 1903 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  2. Property tax is high relative to price — has the assessment been appealed recently, and will the sale trigger a re-assessment?
  3. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  4. Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
  5. Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
  6. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  7. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  8. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
1.39%
Cap rate
9.94%
Cash-on-cash
13.02%
DSCR
1.58
GRM
6.0

CMA / ARV

ARV (on-the-fly)
$219,492
Comps found
8
Show comp detail 8 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
368 Pine St 0.06mi 5/2.0 (+1) 2,640 (-6%) 3mo $185,000 $70 76
222 Elm St 0.19mi 3/2.0 (-1) 2,778 (-1%) 15mo $113,000 $41 68
173 S 2nd St 0.23mi 4/1.5 2,476 (-12%) 3mo $192,000 $78 65
325 S Front St 0.44mi 4/3.0 2,829 (+0%) 23mo $180,000 $64 52
239 Locust St 0.08mi 5/2.0 (+1) 2,529 (-10%) 24mo $89,900 $36 50
552 Kelker St 0.61mi 3/2.5 (-1) 2,396 (-15%) 0mo $300,000 $125 36
568 Kelker St 0.62mi 3/2.5 (-1) 2,396 (-15%) 4mo $300,000 $125 32
520 Sunday Dr 0.65mi 3/2.5 (-1) 2,450 (-13%) 14mo $267,500 $109 26

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
3.0%
Equity multiple
1.12×
Total profit
$4,035
Equity at exit
$18,638
10-year hold
IRR
12.6%
Equity multiple
2.00×
Total profit
$35,083
Equity at exit
$10,808

Cash invested: $35,000 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
62 Landlord-Friendly
State Pennsylvania
62 Landlord-Friendly · EVEN
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
10-day notice; Philadelphia has eviction-court diversion + some protections; otherwise moderate.

ZIP-level market 17113

Home prices YoY
-16.3%
Active inventory
68
Price-to-rent
6.0×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$1,736 medium interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$656
Tax from tax record
$284 /mo · $3,414/yr
Insurance
$52
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$365
Net cashflow
$380

Break-even live

Break-even rent $1,256
Max offer price $125,000
Occupancy floor 73%

Sensitivity live

Price -10% $450 -5% $415 +0% $380 +5% $344 +10% $309
Rent -10% $243 -5% $311 +0% $380 +5% $448 +10% $517
Rate -1.0pp $443 -0.5pp $412 base $380 +0.5pp $347 +1.0pp $314

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$31,250
Closing costs
$3,750
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Listing history 2 events

  1. 2026-05-18
    listed $125,000 Active
  2. 1996-07-22
    soldstatus $40,000

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast PA · Partial reset (capped growth)

Current annual tax
$3,414 · $284/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$3,414 · $284/mo
Expected delta
$0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 1/10 Low
  • 🌡 Heat 5/10 Major 7 d/yr ≥100°F today · 15 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 3/10 Moderate 5% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
  • 🫁 Air quality 3/10 Moderate 3 unhealthy d/yr today · 5 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$20,838
− Mortgage interest
−$7,002
− Property taxes
−$3,414
− Insurance
−$625
− Repairs & maintenance
−$1,667
− Management
−$1,667
− Depreciation
−$3,636
Taxable income
$2,827
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
−$678
After-tax cash flow
$3,878/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Steelton-Highspire SD
NCES district ID
4222800
Math proficiency
2% ▼ -4.00%
Reading proficiency
9% ▼ -12.00%
Median HH income
$40,685
Composite
4.98/100
National rank
#10040
State rank
#538 of 539 in PA

Livability — Steelton

Score
67/100
State rank
#971
US rank
#10606

Category grades

Amenities F Commute D- Cost of living A+ Crime F Employment C- Housing A+ Health & safety A+ User ratings D

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Steelton, PA
County
Dauphin County · 247,857 people
City population
19,401
Metro
Harrisburg-Carlisle, PA
Population (ZIP)
11,724
Household income
$68,244
Rent vs Own
37.6% rent · 62.4% own
Severe rent burden
338.0

Population outlook (Dauphin County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
281,628 people
By 2030
283,549 · +0.7%
By 2040
285,385 · +1.3%
By 2050
286,188 · +1.6%
By 2075
291,053 · +3.3%
By 2100
282,374 · +0.3%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.67)
Race & ethnicity
White 48% Hispanic / Latino 24% Black 22% Two or more races 19% Native American 2% Asian 2%
Hispanic origin (detail)
Mexican 7% Puerto Rican 11% Cuban 2%
Common ancestry
Romanian 1% Lithuanian 1% Iranian 1%
Foreign-born
7% · Canada, India
Languages at home
80% English-only · Spanish 17% Other Indo-European 1% Russian/Polish/Slavic 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Dauphin

2024 margin
Lean D (+5.9) · D 52.4% · R 46.5% · Other 1.1%
2008→2024 swing
-3.1pp toward R · 2008: 9.1pp · 2024: 5.9pp
All cycles
2024: D+5.9 2020: D+8.5 2016: D+2.8 2012: D+6.0 2008: D+9.1

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -54.73%
Current HPI
281.6906
Rent YoY
Metro
Harrisburg-Carlisle, PA
State GDP YoY
▲ 1.68%
F500 in state
34

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in PA)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

+212.5% since first listed
2 events — show timeline
  • 2026-05-18 Listed $125,000 BRIGHT MLS
  • 1996-07-22 Sold (Public Records) $40,000 Public Records

Property tax history

+1.2%/yr

Latest (2026): $3,414 · +7.2% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

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