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97 Joines Park Rd
B- Composite 69.65
Why this score? — see what drove the B- grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +27.5/30.0
  • DSCR +9.6/10.0
  • 1% rule +7.5/10.0
  • ARV discount +7.5/15.0
  • Appreciation +5.6/10.0
  • Livability +3.8/5.0
  • Schools +3.5/10.0
  • Rent growth +2.5/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.2/5.0

$79,802

97 Joines Park Rd · Sparta, NC 28627
3 bd · 2.0 ba · 1,140 sqft · Other · 37 Days on market
Built 2026 Fair condition

🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks

SPACIOUS 3 BED & acirc; & euro; & cent; 2 BATH OPEN-CONCEPT HOME & acirc; & euro; & ldquo; $79,802! ?? Step into comfort and flow with this beautifully designed 3 bedroom, 2 bathroom manufactured home featuring an open-concept layout, perfect for both everyday living and easy entertaining. - Price: $79,802 - Flexible financing available - Located in a quiet, well-kept community - What You & acirc; & euro; & trade; ll Love: * Bright, open layout with great natural flow * Spacious living, kitchen, and dining areas * 3 bedrooms with room to grow, relax, or work from home * 2 full bathrooms for added convenience - Lot Rent Includes: Trash service

Key facts

  • Built 2026
  • Listed 37 days

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 3-bed/2.0-bath other listed at $80k. Condition is rated fair.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $235 ($3k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($995 rent vs $80k).
  • Recommended offer: $77k (3.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
  • Cap rate 9.8% vs local median 1.7% in Sparta — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 75/100 on livability (#50 in NC, #4,236 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, health & safety A+, crime A; Watch: amenities D+, schools F, commute F.
  • Alleghany County Schools (rural): math 41% / reading 44% proficiency, ranked #104 of 178 in NC (top 58%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
  • Market conditions: 44 active listings in the ZIP; 91 units permitted in Alleghany County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

  • In year one you build about $2k of equity ($552 loan paydown + $949 appreciation (1.2% local appreciation)).
  • Alleghany County population projected at -27% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
  • At projected returns (1.2% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $22k cash investment doubles in ~5 years — after that, you're playing with house money.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 37 days — a 3% lower offer ($77k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Recommended offer $77,407 (3.0% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. It's been on market 37 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 3% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  2. Have any recent inspections been done? Can we get a copy of the seller's disclosures and any deferred-maintenance estimates?
  3. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  4. Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
  5. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  6. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  7. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
1.25%
Cap rate
9.82%
Cash-on-cash
12.61%
DSCR
1.56
GRM
6.7

CMA / ARV

No comps found within radius.

Projected returns pro-forma

1.19% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
14.9%
Equity multiple
1.77×
Total profit
$17,206
Equity at exit
$28,033
10-year hold
IRR
18.2%
Equity multiple
3.25×
Total profit
$50,210
Equity at exit
$37,872

Cash invested: $22,345 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
85 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
State North Carolina
85 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+3
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
10-day notice; preempted; landlord-favorable but court speed varies.

ZIP-level market 28627

Home prices YoY
0.5%
Active inventory
44
Price-to-rent
6.7×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$995 medium interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$418
Tax est. 1.5%
$100 /mo · $1,197/yr
Insurance
$33
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$209
Net cashflow
$235

Break-even live

Break-even rent $698
Max offer price $79,802
Occupancy floor 71%

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$19,950
Closing costs
$2,394
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Listing history 15 events

  1. 2026-06-18
    days on market $79,802 Active 37 DOM
  2. 2026-06-17
    days on market $79,802 Active 36 DOM
  3. 2026-06-16
    days on market $79,802 Active 35 DOM
  4. 2026-06-15
    days on market $79,802 Active 34 DOM
  5. 2026-06-13
    days on market $79,802 Active 32 DOM
  6. 2026-06-12
    days on market $79,802 Active 31 DOM
  7. 2026-06-09
    days on market $79,802 Active 28 DOM
  8. 2026-06-08
    days on market $79,802 Active 27 DOM
  9. 2026-06-07
    days on market $79,802 Active 26 DOM
  10. 2026-06-07
    days on market $79,802 Active 25 DOM
  11. 2026-06-04
    days on market $79,802 Active 22 DOM
  12. 2026-06-02
    days on market $79,802 Active 21 DOM
  13. 2026-06-01
    days on market $79,802 Active 20 DOM
  14. 2026-05-31
    days on market $79,802 Active 19 DOM
  15. 2026-05-12
    listed $79,802 Active

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$11,944
− Mortgage interest
−$4,470
− Property taxes
−$1,197
− Insurance
−$399
− Repairs & maintenance
−$956
− Management
−$956
− Depreciation
−$2,322
Taxable income
$1,645
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
−$395
After-tax cash flow
$2,423/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Condition & rehab AI · 2 photos

Fair 45/100 Cosmetic rehab

The home is a manufactured home with average exterior condition and some wear and tear. It has a spacious and open-concept interior, but the exterior and landscaping could benefit from some maintenance and improvements to increase its value.

Repairs flagged

  • Moderate exterior siding — The siding shows some wear and tear.
  • Minor landscaping — The landscaping could benefit from some maintenance and improvement.

Value-add opportunities

  • Both paint exterior siding — Painting the siding would improve the home's curb appeal and increase its value.
  • Both prune trees — Pruning the trees would improve the home's curb appeal and increase its value.
  • Both paint windows — Painting the windows would improve the home's curb appeal and increase its value.
  • Both mow lawn — A well-maintained lawn would improve the home's curb appeal and increase its value.

Renovation cost estimate screening

Repair itemSeverityEst. cost
exterior siding · The siding shows some wear and tear. Moderate $3,000–15,000
landscaping · The landscaping could benefit from some maintenance and improvement. Minor $500–3,000
Total estimated repair cost · 2 items $3,500–18,000

Value-add ROI direction

  • Both paint exterior siding — Painting the siding would improve the home's curb appeal and increase its value.
  • Both prune trees — Pruning the trees would improve the home's curb appeal and increase its value.
  • Both paint windows — Painting the windows would improve the home's curb appeal and increase its value.
  • Both mow lawn — A well-maintained lawn would improve the home's curb appeal and increase its value.

ⓘ Cost ranges are severity-bucket heuristics (US national rule-of-thumb). Get contractor quotes + a written scope before underwriting a rehab budget.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Alleghany County Schools
NCES district ID
3700120
Math proficiency
41% ▼ -3.00%
Reading proficiency
44% ▲ 1.00%
Median HH income
$34,855
Composite
35.12/100
National rank
#5014
State rank
#104 of 178 in NC

Livability — Sparta

Score
75/100
State rank
#50
US rank
#4236

Category grades

Amenities D+ Commute F Cost of living A+ Crime A Employment F Housing A- Health & safety A+ User ratings B+

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

City population
6,702
Population (ZIP)
1,273

Population outlook (Alleghany County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
10,103 people
By 2030
9,631 · -4.7%
By 2040
8,468 · -16.2%
By 2050
7,334 · -27.4%
By 2075
5,239 · -48.1%
By 2100
3,962 · -60.8%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly White (94%)
Race & ethnicity
White 94% Hispanic / Latino 6% Two or more races 5%
Hispanic origin (detail)
Mexican 6%
Common ancestry
Slovak 4% Italian 3% Serbian 2%
Foreign-born
4% · Canada
Languages at home
93% English-only · Spanish 7%

Political lean MEDSL · Alleghany

2024 margin
Solid R (+52.0) · D 23.7% · R 75.6%
2008→2024 swing
-31.0pp toward R · 2008: -21.0pp · 2024: -52.0pp
All cycles
2024: R+52.0 2020: R+50.0 2016: R+47.7 2012: R+35.9 2008: R+21.0

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▲ 1.19%
Current HPI
255.3596
Rent YoY
Metro
State GDP YoY
▲ 3.28%
F500 in state
26

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in NC)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

1 event — show timeline
  • 2026-05-12 Listed $79,802 FSBO.com

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

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