1170 Cedar Dr · Enumclaw, WA
Flood risk 5/10 · Moderate
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.66%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 3/10 · Minor
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $604 – $1,122
Heat risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Hot days now (above 87°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 15 days/yr
Wind risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- —
Air-quality risk 6/10 · Moderate
- Unhealthy air days now
- 10 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 12 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the B- grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +22.5/30.0
- ARV discount +15.0/15.0
- 1% rule +7.5/10.0
- DSCR +7.5/10.0
- Schools +5.5/10.0
- Livability +4.4/5.0
- Condition / age +4.0/5.0
- Rent growth +3.6/5.0
- Appreciation +2.5/10.0
- Manufactured-home adj. -5.8
$75,000
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks
Welcome to easy living in Mountain Villa Estates, a sought-after 55+ community in Enumclaw offering peaceful surroundings and beautiful mountain views. This move-in ready 2-bedroom, 2-bath home features 1,152 sq ft of thoughtfully updated living space with an open-concept layout designed for comfort and convenience. Recent improvements include laminate flooring, fresh interior paint, updated cabinetry, modern LED lighting, energy-efficient windows with mesh screens, a smart thermostat, and new porch carpeting. The refreshed kitchen includes all appliances and flows seamlessly into the main living areas, making everyday living and entertaining a breeze.
Key facts
- Laminate flooring
- Open layout
- Updated cabinetry
Tags
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 2-bed/2.0-bath manufactured listed at $75k. Condition is rated good.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $672 ($8k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $75k).
- Recommended offer: $66k (12.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
- Cap rate 17.0% vs local median 2.3% in Enumclaw — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 88/100 on livability (#12 in WA, #222 nationally) — a professional / high-income tenant draw. Strengths: crime A+, amenities A+, housing A+; Watch: cost of living D-.
- Enumclaw School District (suburban): math 54% / reading 68% proficiency, ranked #46 of 291 in WA (top 16%) — acceptable for families but not a draw, mixed tenant base, ~2y average lease.
- Zoned schools: Southwood Elementary School (345 students, 38% FRL); Enumclaw Middle School (509 students, 38% FRL); Enumclaw Sr High School (1,339 students, 28% FRL).
- Market conditions: Rents rising fast (+4.3%/yr); 323 active listings in the ZIP; 17 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 17d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 41% of comp listings sitting > 30 days — soft ceiling on asking rent; high-income renter base; 10,555 units permitted in King County in 2024 (7,119 in 5+ unit buildings).
- This rent is only 15% of the median local income ($120k/yr) — well below the 30% rent-burden line; pricing power to push rent on renewal without tenant pushback.
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $519 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $2k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- King County population projected at +44% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
- At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 4.3% rent growth), your $21k cash investment doubles in ~3 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 211 days — a 12% lower offer ($66k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 2 sale attempts since 22y ago; this cycle's ask has dropped $30k (29%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.
Risks & watch-outs
- Climate carrying-cost: moderate flood risk — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 211 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 12% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Built in 1977 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 2.01% ✓
- Cap rate
- 17.04%
- Cash-on-cash
- 38.39%
- DSCR
- 2.71
- GRM
- 4.1
CMA / ARV
- ARV (median comp)
- $119,980
- List price
- $75,000
- Delta
- -29.15%
- Verdict
- UNDERPRICED
- Comps
- 10 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1106 Mountian Villa Loop | 0.07mi | 2/2.0 | 1,248 (+8%) | 11mo | $90,000 | $72 | 74 |
| 806 Pine Dr | 0.22mi | 2/2.0 | 1,040 (-10%) | 1mo | $105,000 | $101 | 73 |
| 1321 Spruce Dr | 0.08mi | 2/2.0 | 1,200 (+4%) | 22mo | $124,900 | $104 | 71 |
| 926 Pine Dr | 0.16mi | 2/2.0 | 1,248 (+8%) | 11mo | $119,500 | $96 | 70 |
| 1936 Pine Cone Ave #87 | 0.18mi | 3/2.0 (+1) | 1,296 (+12%) | 0mo | $122,000 | $94 | 65 |
| 915 Mt Villa Loop | 0.19mi | 2/2.0 | 980 (-15%) | 1mo | $89,950 | $92 | 65 |
| 201 Grand Fir Dr | 0.30mi | 3/2.0 (+1) | 1,188 (+3%) | 15mo | $144,000 | $121 | 63 |
| 300 Grand Fir Dr | 0.26mi | 3/2.0 (+1) | 1,120 (-3%) | 21mo | $189,999 | $170 | 60 |
| 943 Pine Dr | 0.16mi | 3/2.0 (+1) | 1,244 (+8%) | 17mo | $210,000 | $169 | 60 |
| 206 Noble Fir Cir | 0.35mi | 2/2.0 | 1,248 (+8%) | 12mo | $70,000 | $56 | 59 |
| 2150 Oak Ave | 0.37mi | 3/2.0 (+1) | 1,064 (-8%) | 11mo | $150,000 | $141 | 56 |
| 836 Pine Dr | 0.21mi | 2/2.0 | 1,263 (+10%) | 23mo | $200,000 | $158 | 56 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 4.32% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 36.0%
- Equity multiple
- 2.56×
- Total profit
- $32,681
- Equity at exit
- $11,183
- IRR
- 43.4%
- Equity multiple
- 5.39×
- Total profit
- $92,187
- Equity at exit
- $6,485
Cash invested: $21,000 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 28 Tenant-Leaning
- State Washington
- 28 Tenant-Leaning · D+8
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
Active competition Active MLS
- For sale now
- 7 active · 5 under contract
- Months of supply
- 7.0 mo (14%/mo absorbed)
- Median asking
- $139,900 ($110/sqft)
- Median days on market
- 79 d
- This list price
- 14% of active listings are priced below it
- ARV vs active asking
- -5.0% vs current asking $/sqft
Closed sales set the value; these active listings set current market conditions and a practical price ceiling.
ZIP-level market 98022
- Rents YoY
- 4.3%
- Active inventory
- 323
- Price-to-rent
- 4.1×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,506 high interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$393
- Tax est. 1.5%
- −$94 /mo · $1,125/yr
- Insurance
- −$31
- HOA
- −$0
- Lot rent leased land?
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$316
- Net cashflow
- $672
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $724 | -5% $698 | +0% $672 | +5% $646 | +10% $620 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $553 | -5% $612 | +0% $672 | +5% $731 | +10% $791 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $710 | -0.5pp $691 | base $672 | +0.5pp $652 | +1.0pp $633 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $18,750
- Closing costs
- $2,250
- Club membership (one-time)
- —
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Cash invested
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Cash invested
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Cash invested
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 17 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 141 Leos Pl Enumclaw, WA | 2.0 | 1.0 | 850 | $1,825 | $2.15 | 73d | 1 | 0.19mi |
| 141 Leos Pl Enumclaw, WA | 2.0 | 1.0 | 850 | $1,850 | $2.18 | 93d | 1 | 0.19mi |
| 717 Myrtine St Apt D Enumclaw, WA | 2.0 | 1.0 | 846 | $1,875 | $2.22 | 7d | 1 | 0.22mi |
| 653 Myrtine St Unit D Enumclaw, WA | 2.0 | 1.0 | 850 | $1,650 | $1.94 | 7d | 1 | 0.22mi |
| 653 Myrtine St Unit A Enumclaw, WA | 2.0 | 1.0 | 850 | $1,695 | $1.99 | 23d | 1 | 0.22mi |
| 847 Blake St Enumclaw, WA | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1064 | $2,000 | $1.88 | 7d | 1 | 0.41mi |
| 847 Blake St Enumclaw, WA | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1064 | $2,000 | $1.88 | 31d | 1 | 0.41mi |
| 312 Charwila Ln Enumclaw, WA | 2.0 | 1.0 | 894 | $1,750 | $1.96 | 61d | 1 | 0.52mi |
| 250 Charwila Ln Enumclaw, WA | 2.0 | 1.0 | 894 | $1,750 | $1.96 | 17d | 1 | 0.52mi |
| 750 Watson St N Enumclaw, WA | 1.0–2.0 | 1.0 | 771 | $1,865 | $2.42 | 7d | 5 | 0.55mi |
| 2630 Warner Ave Enumclaw, WA | 1.0–2.0 | 1.0 | 762 | $2,000 | $2.62 | 7d | 1 | 0.61mi |
| 615 Watson St N Unit 617B Enumclaw, WA | 2.0 | 1.0 | 960 | $1,999 | $2.08 | 37d | 1 | 0.63mi |
| 219 Semanski St Enumclaw, WA | 2.0 | 1.0 | 700 | $1,650 | $2.36 | 7d | 1 | 0.73mi |
| 556 Bondgard Ave E Enumclaw, WA | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1480 | $2,995 | $2.02 | 59d | 1 | 0.92mi |
| 1571 Kibler Ave Enumclaw, WA | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1200 | $2,600 | $2.17 | 69d | 1 | 1.01mi |
| 1571 Kibler Ave Enumclaw, WA | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1200 | $2,600 | $2.17 | 7d | 1 | 1.01mi |
| 320 Chinook Ave Enumclaw, WA | 2.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 831 | $1,938 | $2.33 | 7d | 8 | 1.10mi |
Listing history 50 events
-
2026-08-08pricedays on market $75,000 Active 211 DOM
-
2026-08-06days on market $85,000 Active 209 DOM
-
2026-08-05days on market $85,000 Active 208 DOM
-
2026-08-04days on market $85,000 Active 207 DOM
-
2026-08-03days on market $85,000 Active 206 DOM
-
2026-07-31days on market $85,000 Active 203 DOM
-
2026-07-30days on market $85,000 Active 201 DOM
-
2026-07-28days on market $85,000 Active 200 DOM
-
2026-07-26days on market $85,000 Active 198 DOM
-
2026-07-24days on market $85,000 Active 196 DOM
-
2026-07-23days on market $85,000 Active 195 DOM
-
2026-07-22days on market $85,000 Active 194 DOM
-
2026-07-21days on market $85,000 Active 193 DOM
-
2026-07-20days on market $85,000 Active 192 DOM
-
2026-07-18days on market $85,000 Active 190 DOM
-
2026-07-18days on market $85,000 Active 189 DOM
-
2026-07-16days on market $85,000 Active 188 DOM
-
2026-07-15days on market $85,000 Active 187 DOM
-
2026-07-14days on market $85,000 Active 186 DOM
-
2026-07-13days on market $85,000 Active 185 DOM
-
2026-07-13days on market $85,000 Active 184 DOM
-
2026-07-11days on market $85,000 Active 183 DOM
-
2026-07-10days on market $85,000 Active 182 DOM
-
2026-07-10remarks 699-char remark
-
2026-07-10days on market $85,000 Active 181 DOM
-
2026-07-07days on market $85,000 Active 180 DOM
-
2026-07-06days on market $85,000 Active 179 DOM
-
2026-07-06days on market $85,000 Active 178 DOM
-
2026-07-05days on market $85,000 Active 177 DOM
-
2026-07-03days on market $85,000 Active 176 DOM
-
2026-07-02days on market $85,000 Active 175 DOM
-
2026-07-01days on market $85,000 Active 174 DOM
-
2026-06-30days on market $85,000 Active 173 DOM
-
2026-06-29days on market $85,000 Active 172 DOM
-
2026-06-28days on market $85,000 Active 171 DOM
-
2026-06-27days on market $85,000 Active 170 DOM
-
2026-06-26days on market $85,000 Active 169 DOM
-
2026-06-24days on market $85,000 Active 167 DOM
-
2026-06-22days on market $85,000 Active 165 DOM
-
2026-06-21days on market $85,000 Active 164 DOM
-
2026-06-18days on market $85,000 Active 161 DOM
-
2026-06-17days on market $85,000 Active 160 DOM
-
2026-06-16days on market $85,000 Active 159 DOM
-
2026-06-15days on market $85,000 Active 158 DOM
-
2026-06-13days on market $85,000 Active 156 DOM
-
2026-06-09days on market $85,000 Active 152 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $85,000 Active 151 DOM
-
2026-06-07days on market $85,000 Active 150 DOM
-
2026-06-04days on market $85,000 Active 147 DOM
-
2026-06-03days on market $85,000 Active 146 DOM
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 5/10 Major FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 66% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 3/10 Moderate
- Heat 2/10 Low 7 d/yr ≥87°F today · 15 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 1/10 Low
- Air quality 6/10 Major 10 unhealthy d/yr today · 12 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $18,077
- − Mortgage interest
- −$4,201
- − Property taxes
- −$1,125
- − Insurance
- −$375
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,446
- − Management
- −$1,446
- − Depreciation
- −$2,182
- Taxable income
- $7,302
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$1,752
- After-tax cash flow
- $6,309/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Condition & rehab AI · 2 photos
This updated 2-bedroom, 2-bath home in the Mountain Villa Estates 55+ community offers a good condition with fresh updates and a low-maintenance lifestyle. It is ready for immediate occupancy and can be further enhanced with minor exterior improvements.
Value-add opportunities
- Both Painting the exterior siding — Enhances curb appeal and can increase both resale and rental value. ↑
- Both Landscaping improvements — Enhances curb appeal and can increase both resale and rental value. ↑
- Both Re-graveling the driveway — Improves curb appeal and can increase both resale and rental value. ↑
ⓘ Rehab cost is a screening estimate — Cosmetic scope × the home's square footage at US $/sqft rules of thumb (the same model as the Flip Finder). Get contractor quotes + a written scope before underwriting.
Zoned Schools
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Enumclaw School District
- NCES district ID
- 5300001
- Math proficiency
- 54% ▼ -1.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 68% ▬ 0.00%
- Median HH income
- $68,441
- Composite
- 55.21/100
- National rank
- #2736
- State rank
- #46 of 291 in WA
Livability — Enumclaw
- Score
- 88/100
- State rank
- #12
- US rank
- #222
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Enumclaw, WA
- County
- King County · 2,576,485 people
- City population
- 22,418
- Metro
- Seattle-Tacoma-Bellevue, WA
- Population (ZIP)
- 22,418
- Household income
- $120,406
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 7% of renters
Population outlook (King County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 2,576,485 people
- By 2030
- 2,803,316 · +8.8%
- By 2040
- 3,255,921 · +26.4%
- By 2050
- 3,706,444 · +43.9%
- By 2075
- 4,746,063 · +84.2%
- By 2100
- 5,407,730 · +109.9%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (78%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 78% Hispanic / Latino 10% Two or more races 9% Asian 2% Native American 2%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 8%
- Common ancestry
- Portuguese 7% Italian 4% Slovak 3%
- Foreign-born
- 6% · Canada
- Languages at home
- 91% English-only · Spanish 6% Other Indo-European 1% German/W. Germanic 1%
Political lean MEDSL · King
- 2024 margin
- Solid D (+51.7) · D 74.2% · R 22.5% · Other 3.4%
- 2008→2024 swing
- +9.6pp toward D · 2008: 42.1pp · 2024: 51.7pp
- All cycles
- 2024: D+51.7 2020: D+52.7 2016: D+50.4 2012: D+39.9 2008: D+42.1
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -605.16%
- Current HPI
- 297.9161
- Rent YoY
- ▲ 4.32%
- Metro
- Seattle-Tacoma-Bellevue, WA
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 4.65%
- F500 in state
- 22
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in WA)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Retail | 2 | $269B |
|
||
| Technology / Retail | 1 | $638B |
|
||
| Technology | 1 | $245B |
|
||
| Telecommunications | 1 | $38B |
|
||
| Food / Beverage | 1 | $36B |
|
||
| Automotive / Trucks | 1 | $34B |
|
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Price history
-14.3% since first listed4 events — show timeline
- 2026-05-15 Price Changed $90,000 NWMLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2026-03-30 Price Changed $99,000 NWMLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2026-01-08 Listed $105,000 NWMLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2004-04-02 Listed — NWMLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…