17065 E Peak Ln #282 · Red Rock, AZ
Flood risk No data
- FEMA flood zone
- —
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
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- Est. flood insurance / yr
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Fire risk No data
- Est. fire insurance / yr
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Heat risk No data
- Hot days now (above threshold)
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- Hot days in 30 yrs
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Wind risk No data
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
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Air-quality risk No data
- Unhealthy air days now
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- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
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Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the B grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +30.0/30.0
- 1% rule +10.0/10.0
- DSCR +10.0/10.0
- ARV discount +7.5/15.0
- Appreciation +5.0/10.0
- Condition / age +3.8/5.0
- Livability +3.0/5.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- Schools +1.9/10.0
$67,000
🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks
Turnkey 1-Bedroom Home Ready! Discover this spacious 1992 Palm Harbor with 1 bedroom, 1 bath, and 704 sq ft of comfortable living. Fully furnished (except a few personal items), move-in ready, and thoughtfully upgraded with a newer air conditioner, fresh paint inside/out, and a stackable washer/dryer. Enjoy energy-efficient all-electric living, plus a double carport and cozy porch. Your next home awaits!
Key facts
- Turnkey home
- Fresh paint
- Spacious living
Tags
Property features AI
Finance
- Other: Tax year 2025
- Financial info: Current financing: Conventional (non-assumable)
- HOA & community: Land lease of $525 monthly; No association fees included; Community pool; Pickleball courts; Community spa; Community media room; Coin-operated laundry; Biking/walking path; Fitness center
Exterior
- Parking: 2 covered spaces; 2 carport spaces
- Security: Security guard; Guarded entry
- Utilities: Private sewer; Private water company; Other utilities
- Home design: Manufactured/mobile home; Leasehold ownership
- Construction: Wood frame construction; Painted exterior; Composition roof; Building area source: builder
- Exterior features: Gravel/stone front and back; Private maintained road; No fencing
Interior
- Kitchen: Refrigerator; Dishwasher; Built-in electric oven; 220 volts in kitchen; Laminate counters
- Bedrooms: 1 possible bedroom
- Flooring: Vinyl
- Bathrooms: 1 full bathroom (total 1)
- Heating & cooling: Electric heating; Central air conditioning; Has heating and cooling
- Interior features: High-speed internet; Eat-in kitchen; Vaulted ceilings; 3/4 bath in master bedroom; Laminate counters
- Laundry & utility: Laundry inside
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 1-bed/1.0-bath manufactured listed at $67k. Condition is rated good.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $706 ($8k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $67k).
- Cap rate 18.9% vs local median 3.8% in Red Rock — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 60/100 on livability (#173 in AZ) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: housing A+, cost of living A, crime B; Watch: schools D-, amenities F, commute F.
- Santa Cruz Valley Union High School District (4454) (town): math 11% / reading 30% proficiency, ranked #382 of 501 in AZ (top 76%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover.
- Market conditions: 109 active listings in the ZIP; 9,504 units permitted in Pinal County in 2024 (776 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- In year one you build about $497 of equity ($463 loan paydown + $34 appreciation (0.1% local appreciation)).
- At projected returns (0.1% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $19k cash investment doubles in ~3 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Negotiation context
- Only 9 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.
- 5 sale attempts since 4y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
Questions for the listing agent
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 2.21% ✓
- Cap rate
- 18.94%
- Cash-on-cash
- 45.16%
- DSCR
- 3.01
- GRM
- 3.8
CMA / ARV
No comps found within radius.
Projected returns pro-forma
0.05% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 46.5%
- Equity multiple
- 3.30×
- Total profit
- $43,186
- Equity at exit
- $19,625
- IRR
- 49.2%
- Equity multiple
- 6.57×
- Total profit
- $104,565
- Equity at exit
- $23,727
Cash invested: $18,760 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State Arizona
- 87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+3
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 85145
- Home prices YoY
- 0.0%
- Active inventory
- 109
- Price-to-rent
- 3.8×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,480 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$351
- Tax est. 1.5%
- −$84 /mo · $1,005/yr
- Insurance
- −$28
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$311
- Net cashflow
- $706
Break-even live
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $16,750
- Closing costs
- $2,010
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
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Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Listing history 8 events
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2026-06-18days on market $67,000 Active 9 DOM
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2026-06-17days on market $67,000 Active 8 DOM
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2026-06-16days on market $67,000 Active 7 DOM
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2026-06-15days on market $67,000 Active 6 DOM
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2026-06-13days on market $67,000 Active 4 DOM
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2026-06-13days on market $67,000 Active 3 DOM
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2026-06-10remarks 408-char remark
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2026-06-10$67,000 Active 1 DOM
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
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Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $17,757
- − Mortgage interest
- −$3,753
- − Property taxes
- −$1,005
- − Insurance
- −$335
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,421
- − Management
- −$1,421
- − Depreciation
- −$1,949
- Taxable income
- $7,874
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$1,890
- After-tax cash flow
- $6,582/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Condition & rehab AI · 12 photos
This turnkey 1-bedroom home is move-in ready with good condition and minimal repairs needed. It offers a good investment opportunity with potential for value increase through cosmetic updates.
Value-add opportunities
- Both Painting the exterior — Fresh paint can enhance curb appeal and value.
- Resale Upgrading the kitchen appliances — Modern appliances can attract more buyers.
- Both Updating the flooring — New flooring can improve both appearance and comfort.
Renovation cost estimate screening
Value-add ROI direction
- Both Painting the exterior — Fresh paint can enhance curb appeal and value. ↑
- Resale Upgrading the kitchen appliances — Modern appliances can attract more buyers. ↑
- Both Updating the flooring — New flooring can improve both appearance and comfort. ↑
ⓘ Cost ranges are severity-bucket heuristics (US national rule-of-thumb). Get contractor quotes + a written scope before underwriting a rehab budget.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Santa Cruz Valley Union High School District (4454)
- NCES district ID
- 0407530
- Math proficiency
- 11% ▲ 1.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 30% ▲ 15.00%
- Median HH income
- $24,927
- Composite
- 19.12/100
- National rank
- #13971
- State rank
- #382 of 501 in AZ
Livability — Red Rock
- Score
- 60/100
- State rank
- #173
- US rank
- #18651
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- City population
- 3,243
- Population (ZIP)
- 3,243
Population outlook (Pinal County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 437,574 people
- By 2030
- 446,903 · +2.1%
- By 2040
- 452,589 · +3.4%
- By 2050
- 444,126 · +1.5%
- By 2075
- 430,300 · -1.7%
- By 2100
- 393,536 · -10.1%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (70%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 70% Hispanic / Latino 20% Two or more races 15% Asian 2%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 18%
- Common ancestry
- Slovak 6% Lithuanian 3% Scandinavian 1%
- Foreign-born
- 6% · Canada, Vietnam
- Languages at home
- 87% English-only · Spanish 12%
Political lean MEDSL · Pinal
- 2024 margin
- Strong R (+22.1) · D 38.5% · R 60.6%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -7.6pp toward R · 2008: -14.5pp · 2024: -22.1pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+22.1 2020: R+17.3 2016: R+19.3 2012: R+17.1 2008: R+14.5
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▲ 0.05%
- Current HPI
- 233.3526
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- —
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 4.54%
- F500 in state
- 20
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in AZ)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Technology | 2 | $13B |
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| Mining / Metals | 1 | $23B |
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| Environmental Services | 1 | $16B |
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| Metals / Steel | 1 | $14B |
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| Technology Distribution | 1 | $9B |
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| Homebuilding | 1 | $8B |
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Price history
-29.5% since first listed14 events — show timeline
- 2026-06-09 Listed $67,000 ARMLS
- 2024-03-26 Listing Removed — ARMLS
- 2023-11-07 Listed $75,000 ARMLS
- 2023-04-13 Listing Removed — MLSSAZ
- 2023-03-01 Price Changed $75,000 MLSSAZ
- 2023-01-26 Listed $86,900 MLSSAZ
- 2023-01-18 Listing Removed — MLSSAZ
- 2023-01-05 Price Changed $86,900 MLSSAZ
- 2022-10-25 Listed $89,000 MLSSAZ
- 2022-10-19 Listing Removed — MLSSAZ
- 2022-09-27 Price Changed $89,000 MLSSAZ
- 2022-08-21 Price Changed $92,000 MLSSAZ
- 2022-08-21 Price Changed $85,000 MLSSAZ
- 2022-07-18 Listed $95,000 MLSSAZ
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…