807 W Wren Cir W · Micco, FL
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 6/10 · Moderate
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $947 – $1,759
Heat risk 10/10 · Severe
- Hot days now (above 106°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 23 days/yr
Wind risk 10/10 · Severe
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 99.0%
Air-quality risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 0 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 0 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the C grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +24.5/30.0
- DSCR +7.9/10.0
- ARV discount +7.5/15.0
- 1% rule +5.8/10.0
- Schools +4.7/10.0
- Livability +3.2/5.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$145,000
🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
PRETTY FURNISHED HOME CLOSE TO THE GOLF COURSE & POOL. RAISED GLASS ENCLOSED PORCH IN FRONT THROUGH SLIDING GLASS DOORS IN LIVING ROOM. NEWER SIDING AND CARPORT. JUST BRING YOUR TOOTHBRUSH AND SETTLE IN. TAX AMOUNT INCLUDES ANNUAL HOA DUES.
Key facts
- 3,920 sq ft lot
- Parking
- Built 1977
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 2-bed/2.0-bath manufactured listed at $145k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $298 ($4k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $145k).
Location & tenants
- Location reads 65/100 on livability (#633 in FL) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: employment D, amenities F, commute F.
- Brevard (suburban): math 53% / reading 57% proficiency, ranked #19 of 73 in FL (top 26%) — acceptable for families but not a draw, mixed tenant base, ~2y average lease.
- Zoned schools: Sunrise Elementary School (math 52% / reading 57%, grade C, #892 of 2,144 statewide, top 44%, 759 students, 58% FRL); Southwest Middle School (math 40% / reading 39%, grade F, #373 of 571 statewide, top 66%, 920 students, 58% FRL); Bayside High School (math 27% / reading 40%, grade F, #400 of 667 statewide, top 61%, 1,854 students, 51% FRL).
- Zoned-school proficiency averages 42% at this address vs 55% district-wide (-12 pts) — the specific schools serving this property underperform the Brevard average; the district grade overstates school quality for this exact location.
- Market conditions: 185 active listings in the ZIP; 7 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 24d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 4,602 units permitted in Brevard County in 2024 (702 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $1k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $4k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Brevard County population projected at +15% by 2050 — modest demand growth; plan on rents tracking national, not racing it.
Negotiation context
- Only 11 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.
- 3 sale attempts since 14y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
Risks & watch-outs
- Climate carrying-cost: severe wind risk, 99% chance of damaging wind over 30y; major wildfire risk; extreme-heat days projected 7→23/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- Built in 1977 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.08% ✓
- Cap rate
- 8.76%
- Cash-on-cash
- 8.80%
- DSCR
- 1.39
- GRM
- 7.7
CMA / ARV
No comps found within radius.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- -3.0%
- Equity multiple
- 0.89×
- Total profit
- $-4,550
- Equity at exit
- $21,620
- IRR
- 6.7%
- Equity multiple
- 1.50×
- Total profit
- $20,394
- Equity at exit
- $12,537
Cash invested: $40,600 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State Florida
- 87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+3
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 32976
- Home prices YoY
- -18.6%
- Active inventory
- 185
- Price-to-rent
- 7.7×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,567 high interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$760
- Tax from tax record
- −$120 /mo · $1,437/yr
- Insurance
- −$60
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$329
- Net cashflow
- $298
Break-even live
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $36,250
- Closing costs
- $4,350
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 7 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 914 Pecan Cir Sebastian, FL | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1000 | $1,600 | $1.60 | 23d | 1 | 0.21mi |
| 1207 Marigold Dr Sebastian, FL | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1104 | $1,500 | $1.36 | 23d | 1 | 0.26mi |
| 706 Hyacinth Cir Sebastian, FL | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1062 | $1,750 | $1.65 | 23d | 1 | 0.63mi |
| 629 W Marlin Cir Unit NA Sebastian, FL | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1104 | $1,400 | $1.27 | 14d | 1 | 0.80mi |
| 410 Osprey Dr Sebastian, FL | 2.0 | 1.5 | 672 | $1,350 | $2.01 | 23d | 1 | 0.98mi |
| 7629 Chasta Rd Sebastian, FL | 2.0 | 2.0 | 958 | $1,600 | $1.67 | 23d | 1 | 0.99mi |
| 7597 Cedar Bark Rd Sebastian, FL | 2.0 | 2.0 | 902 | $1,700 | $1.88 | 23d | 1 | 1.03mi |
Listing history 12 events
-
2026-03-05soldstatus $140,000
-
2026-02-12status Pending
-
2026-02-01$145,000 Active
-
2026-01-31historical $145,000
-
2013-04-18soldstatus $38,000 246-char remark
Show marketing remark (233 chars)
PRETTY FURNISHED HOME CLOSE TO THE GOLF COURSE & POOL. SLIDING GLASS DOORS IN LIVING ROOM LEAD INTO RAISED SCREENED PORCH. NEWER SIDING AND CARPORT. JUST BRING YOUR TOOTHBRUSH AND SETTLE IN. TAX AMOUNT INCLUDES ANNUAL HOA DUES.
-
2013-04-18soldstatus $38,000 233-char remark
Show marketing remark (233 chars)
PRETTY FURNISHED HOME CLOSE TO THE GOLF COURSE & POOL. SLIDING GLASS DOORS IN LIVING ROOM LEAD INTO RAISED SCREENED PORCH. NEWER SIDING AND CARPORT. JUST BRING YOUR TOOTHBRUSH AND SETTLE IN. TAX AMOUNT INCLUDES ANNUAL HOA DUES.
-
2013-03-31historical
-
2012-04-28$41,900 246-char remark
Show marketing remark (246 chars)
PRETTY FURNISHED HOME CLOSE TO THE GOLF COURSE & POOL. RAISED GLASS ENCLOSED PORCH IN FRONT THROUGH SLIDING GLASS DOORS IN LIVING ROOM. NEWER SIDING AND CARPORT. JUST BRING YOUR TOOTHBRUSH AND SETTLE IN. TAX AMOUNT INCLUDES ANNUAL HOA DUES.
-
2012-04-28$41,900
Show marketing remark (246 chars)
PRETTY FURNISHED HOME CLOSE TO THE GOLF COURSE & POOL. RAISED GLASS ENCLOSED PORCH IN FRONT THROUGH SLIDING GLASS DOORS IN LIVING ROOM. NEWER SIDING AND CARPORT. JUST BRING YOUR TOOTHBRUSH AND SETTLE IN. TAX AMOUNT INCLUDES ANNUAL HOA DUES.
-
2004-09-13soldstatus $89,900
-
1993-03-18soldstatus $35,000
-
1977-07-01soldstatus $29,500
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast FL · Resets to sale price
- Current annual tax
- $1,437 · $120/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $1,437 · $120/mo
- Expected delta
- $0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 6/10 Major
- Heat 10/10 Extreme 7 d/yr ≥106°F today · 23 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 10/10 Extreme 99% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 1/10 Low 0 unhealthy d/yr today · 0 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $18,809
- − Mortgage interest
- −$8,122
- − Property taxes
- −$1,437
- − Insurance
- −$725
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,505
- − Management
- −$1,505
- − Depreciation
- −$4,218
- Taxable income
- $1,297
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$311
- After-tax cash flow
- $3,261/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Brevard
- NCES district ID
- 1200150
- Math proficiency
- 53% ▼ -9.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 57% ▼ -4.00%
- Median HH income
- $49,426
- Composite
- 46.86/100
- National rank
- #2370
- State rank
- #19 of 73 in FL
Livability — Micco
- Score
- 65/100
- State rank
- #633
- US rank
- #12408
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Micco, FL
- Population (ZIP)
- 9,237
Population outlook (Brevard County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 623,254 people
- By 2030
- 648,420 · +4.0%
- By 2040
- 690,009 · +10.7%
- By 2050
- 715,669 · +14.8%
- By 2075
- 775,744 · +24.5%
- By 2100
- 776,687 · +24.6%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (93%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 93% Hispanic / Latino 4% Two or more races 1% Asian 1%
- Common ancestry
- Lithuanian 5% Romanian 4% Iranian 2%
- Foreign-born
- 4% · Canada, Jamaica
- Languages at home
- 95% English-only · Spanish 3%
Political lean MEDSL · Brevard
- 2024 margin
- Strong R (+20.8) · D 39.1% · R 59.9% · Other 1.0%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -10.4pp toward R · 2008: -10.4pp · 2024: -20.8pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+20.8 2020: R+16.4 2016: R+19.8 2012: R+12.7 2008: R+10.4
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -73.57%
- Current HPI
- 321.5196
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- —
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 3.28%
- F500 in state
- 36
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in FL)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Industrial Technology | 2 | $29B |
|
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| Insurance | 2 | $17B |
|
||
| Retail | 1 | $60B |
|
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| Technology Distribution | 1 | $58B |
|
||
| Homebuilding | 1 | $35B |
|
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| Technology Manufacturing | 1 | $35B |
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Price history
+374.6% since first listed12 events — show timeline
- 2026-03-05 Sold (Public Records) $140,000 Public Records
- 2026-02-12 Pending — SCMLS
- 2026-02-01 Listed $145,000 SCMLS
- 2026-01-31 Coming Soon $145,000 SCMLS
- 2013-04-18 Sold (MLS) $38,000 RAIRCMLS
- 2013-04-18 Sold (MLS) $38,000 SCMLS
- 2013-03-31 Listing Removed — Beaches MLS
- 2012-04-28 Listed $41,900 Beaches MLS
- 2012-04-28 Listed $41,900 SCMLS
- 2004-09-13 Sold (Public Records) $89,900 Public Records
- 1993-03-18 Sold (Public Records) $35,000 Public Records
- 1977-07-01 Sold (Public Records) $29,500 Public Records
Property tax history
+6.1%/yrLatest (2025): $1,437 · +5.2% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…