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11112 Hickory Tree Ct
C Composite 55.4
Why this score? — see what drove the C grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +21.9/30.0
  • ARV discount +7.5/15.0
  • DSCR +7.0/10.0
  • 1% rule +5.7/10.0
  • Schools +4.7/10.0
  • Livability +3.6/5.0
  • Rent growth +2.5/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$149,900

11112 Hickory Tree Ct · Whitmore Lake, MI 48178
3 bd · 2.0 ba · 1,680 sqft · Other · 8 Days on market
Built 2015 4,356 sqft lot

🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks MLS

Built in 2015, this beautifully maintained 3-bedroom, 2 full bath manufactured home with an attached garage offers an open and spacious floor plan in the highly desirable Woodland Ridge Manufactured Home Community. The large kitchen features stainless steel appliances, granite countertops, a large walk-in pantry, and an oversized island with extra seating, perfect for entertaining and everyday living. Situated on a premium large lot at the end of the court with southern exposure, the front of the home faces a peaceful common area. Enjoy outdoor living on the concrete patio complete with a gazebo and pull-down shades. The spacious primary suite offers room for a king-size bed, a 7 x 7 walk-in closet, dressing area with built-in storage, and a private bath with double sinks and a walk-in shower. Additional highlights include a built-in desk area in the hallway and a functional laundry room featuring a laundry tub, built-in bench, coat hooks, and a large storage closet with shelving. Located in the award-winning South Lyon School District, this home combines space, functionality, and a prime location. Lot rent is $895 per month, and there are no property taxes on the home. Community amenities include walking trails, pool, two dog parks, tennis courts, basketball courts, clubhouse, and playground. Pets are allowed. NOTE: Buyers must be approved by the community after an accepted offer. Manufactured home loans are accepted. Contact listing agent for lender information. Agents, you do not need a special license to bring a buyer, only to list. BATAVI.

Key facts

  • Large kitchen
  • Granite countertops
  • Large walk-in pantry

Tags

OPEN AND SPACIOUS FLOOR PLANLARGE KITCHENSTAINLESS STEEL APPLIANCESGRANITE COUNTERTOPSLARGE WALK-IN PANTRYOVERSIZED ISLAND

Property features AI

Finance

  • Other: Pets allowed
  • HOA & community: Community pool (in-ground, outdoor); Clubhouse; Fitness center; Tennis courts

Exterior

  • Parking: Attached garage with approximately 2.5 car spaces
  • Utilities: Public sewer
  • Home design: Single-family residence; One level; Ground-level entry with steps; Vinyl siding exterior; Asphalt roof
  • Construction: Vinyl siding construction; Asphalt roof; Crawl space foundation
  • Exterior features: Patio; Gazebo; Paved road access

Interior

  • Kitchen: Gas range; Free-standing refrigerator; Microwave; Dishwasher
  • Bedrooms: Total of 7 rooms (bedroom count not specified)
  • Bathrooms: 2 full bathrooms
  • Heating & cooling: Central air conditioning; Forced air heating; Natural gas heating
  • Interior features: Lighting; Crawl space basement
  • Laundry & utility: Dedicated laundry room; Washer; Dryer; Gas water heater

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 3-bed/2.0-bath other listed at $150k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $236 ($3k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $150k).
  • Cap rate 8.2% vs local median 2.6% in Whitmore Lake — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 71/100 on livability (#279 in MI) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: crime A+, cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: amenities F, commute F, health & safety F.
  • South Lyon Community Schools (suburban): math 46% / reading 59% proficiency, ranked #74 of 540 in MI (top 14%) — acceptable for families but not a draw, mixed tenant base, ~2y average lease; only 16% free/reduced lunch — higher-income household profile.
  • Market conditions: 350 active listings in the ZIP; 2 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; high-income renter base; 488 units permitted in Livingston County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
  • This rent is only 15% of the median local income ($132k/yr) — well below the 30% rent-burden line; pricing power to push rent on renewal without tenant pushback.

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $1k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $4k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • Livingston County population projected at +7% by 2050 — modest demand growth; plan on rents tracking national, not racing it.

Negotiation context

  • Only 8 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.
  • 2 sale attempts with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
Recommended offer $149,900

Questions for the listing agent

  1. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  2. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  3. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  4. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
1.07%
Cap rate
8.18%
Cash-on-cash
6.76%
DSCR
1.30
GRM
7.8

CMA / ARV

No comps found within radius.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
-5.9%
Equity multiple
0.78×
Total profit
$-9,213
Equity at exit
$22,351
10-year hold
IRR
3.8%
Equity multiple
1.27×
Total profit
$11,459
Equity at exit
$12,961

Cash invested: $41,972 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
62 Landlord-Friendly
State Michigan
62 Landlord-Friendly · EVEN
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
7-day pay-or-quit; mixed climate; Detroit/AA have some protections.

ZIP-level market 48178

Active inventory
350
Price-to-rent
7.8×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$1,610 medium interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$786
Tax est. 1.5%
$187 /mo · $2,248/yr
Insurance
$62
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$338
Net cashflow
$236

Break-even live

Break-even rent $1,311
Max offer price $149,900
Occupancy floor 80%

Sensitivity live

Price -10% $340 -5% $288 +0% $236 +5% $185 +10% $133
Rent -10% $109 -5% $173 +0% $236 +5% $300 +10% $364
Rate -1.0pp $312 -0.5pp $274 base $236 +0.5pp $198 +1.0pp $158

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$37,475
Closing costs
$4,497
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 2 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
11222 Shady Brook Ct Unit 367 South Lyon, MI 4.0 2.0 1680 $1,549 $0.92 0d 1 0.38mi
11803 Stoneridge Ct Unit 307 South Lyon, MI 3.0 2.0 1344 $1,569 $1.17 45d 1 0.46mi

Listing history 5 events

  1. 2026-06-02
    statusdays on market $149,900 Pending 8 DOM
  2. 2026-06-01
    days on market $149,900 Active 7 DOM
  3. 2026-05-31
    days on market $149,900 Active 6 DOM
  4. 2026-05-25
    listed $149,900 Active
    Show marketing remark (1570 chars)

    Built in 2015, this beautifully maintained 3-bedroom, 2 full bath manufactured home with an attached garage offers an open and spacious floor plan in the highly desirable Woodland Ridge Manufactured Home Community. The large kitchen features stainless steel appliances, granite countertops, a large walk-in pantry, and an oversized island with extra seating, perfect for entertaining and everyday living. Situated on a premium large lot at the end of the court with southern exposure, the front of the home faces a peaceful common area. Enjoy outdoor living on the concrete patio complete with a gazebo and pull-down shades. The spacious primary suite offers room for a king-size bed, a 7 x 7 walk-in closet, dressing area with built-in storage, and a private bath with double sinks and a walk-in shower. Additional highlights include a built-in desk area in the hallway and a functional laundry room featuring a laundry tub, built-in bench, coat hooks, and a large storage closet with shelving. Located in the award-winning South Lyon School District, this home combines space, functionality, and a prime location. Lot rent is $895 per month, and there are no property taxes on the home. Community amenities include walking trails, pool, two dog parks, tennis courts, basketball courts, clubhouse, and playground. Pets are allowed. NOTE: Buyers must be approved by the community after an accepted offer. Manufactured home loans are accepted. Contact listing agent for lender information. Agents, you do not need a special license to bring a buyer, only to list. BATAVI.

  5. 2026-05-25
    listed $149,900 Active 1570-char remark
    Show marketing remark (1570 chars)

    Built in 2015, this beautifully maintained 3-bedroom, 2 full bath manufactured home with an attached garage offers an open and spacious floor plan in the highly desirable Woodland Ridge Manufactured Home Community. The large kitchen features stainless steel appliances, granite countertops, a large walk-in pantry, and an oversized island with extra seating, perfect for entertaining and everyday living. Situated on a premium large lot at the end of the court with southern exposure, the front of the home faces a peaceful common area. Enjoy outdoor living on the concrete patio complete with a gazebo and pull-down shades. The spacious primary suite offers room for a king-size bed, a 7 x 7 walk-in closet, dressing area with built-in storage, and a private bath with double sinks and a walk-in shower. Additional highlights include a built-in desk area in the hallway and a functional laundry room featuring a laundry tub, built-in bench, coat hooks, and a large storage closet with shelving. Located in the award-winning South Lyon School District, this home combines space, functionality, and a prime location. Lot rent is $895 per month, and there are no property taxes on the home. Community amenities include walking trails, pool, two dog parks, tennis courts, basketball courts, clubhouse, and playground. Pets are allowed. NOTE: Buyers must be approved by the community after an accepted offer. Manufactured home loans are accepted. Contact listing agent for lender information. Agents, you do not need a special license to bring a buyer, only to list. BATAVI.

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$19,326
− Mortgage interest
−$8,397
− Property taxes
−$2,248
− Insurance
−$750
− Repairs & maintenance
−$1,546
− Management
−$1,546
− Depreciation
−$4,361
Taxable income
$478
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
−$115
After-tax cash flow
$2,721/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
South Lyon Community Schools
NCES district ID
2632250
Math proficiency
46% ▼ -10.00%
Reading proficiency
59% ▼ -4.00%
Median HH income
$71,419
Composite
46.86/100
National rank
#2372
State rank
#74 of 540 in MI

Livability — Whitmore Lake

Score
71/100
State rank
#279
US rank
#6864

Category grades

Amenities F Commute F Cost of living A+ Crime A+ Employment A- Housing A+ Health & safety F User ratings B+

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

County
Oakland County · 1,009,092 people
City population
13,893
Metro
Detroit-Warren-Dearborn, MI
Population (ZIP)
37,789
Household income
$131,558
Rent vs Own
8.8% rent · 91.2% own
Severe rent burden
141.0

Population outlook (Livingston County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
202,920 people
By 2030
209,173 · +3.1%
By 2040
216,878 · +6.9%
By 2050
217,485 · +7.2%
By 2075
217,590 · +7.2%
By 2100
197,095 · -2.9%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly White (88%)
Race & ethnicity
White 88% Two or more races 4% Asian 4% Hispanic / Latino 3% Black 1%
Common ancestry
Romanian 14% Lithuanian 4% Slovak 4%
Foreign-born
7% · Canada, South Korea, China
Languages at home
93% English-only · Other Indo-European 2% Other Asian/Pacific 1% Chinese 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Livingston

2024 margin
Strong R (+23.9) · D 37.4% · R 61.3% · Other 1.3%
2008→2024 swing
-10.7pp toward R · 2008: -13.3pp · 2024: -23.9pp
All cycles
2024: R+23.9 2020: R+22.6 2016: R+29.6 2012: R+23.3 2008: R+13.3

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -251.96%
Current HPI
197.5122
Rent YoY
Metro
Detroit-Warren-Dearborn, MI
State GDP YoY
▲ 1.37%
F500 in state
28

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in MI)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

+0.0% since first listed
2 events — show timeline
  • 2026-05-25 Listed $149,900 REALCOMP
  • 2026-05-25 Listed $149,900 MiRealSource-MiMLS

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

Loading sold comps…