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216 Katie Dr
D Composite 43.82
Why this score? — see what drove the D grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +13.4/30.0
  • ARV discount +11.6/15.0
  • DSCR +4.0/10.0
  • Rent growth +3.9/5.0
  • 1% rule +3.5/10.0
  • Livability +2.9/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Schools +2.0/10.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$159,900

216 Katie Dr · Sharpsburg, NC 27803
3 bd · 2.0 ba · 1,060 sqft · SingleFamily public records · 53 Days on market
Built 2003 9,583 sqft lot Est $176k · 9% under

🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks MLS

USDA Eligible! This charming 3 bedroom, 2 full bath ranch style home in Sharpsburg is ready for you! Upgrades include paint throughout, new shingles, luxury vinyl plank flooring, and HVAC. Tucked away in a low traffic neighborhood, this home is still an easy drive to amenities in either Rocky Mount or Wilson. Make this one yours today!

Key facts

  • Hvac
  • New shingles
  • 9,583 sq ft lot

Tags

NEW SHINGLESLUXURY VINYL PLANK FLOORINGHVACLOW TRAFFIC NEIGHBORHOOD

Property features AI

Finance

  • Other: Lot approximately 0.22 acres
  • Financial info: Annual tax amount listed
  • HOA & community: No homeowners association

Exterior

  • Utilities: Public water; Public sewer
  • Home design: One-story house
  • Construction: Vinyl siding; Shingle roof; Slab foundation; Built as a house
  • Exterior features: Public maintained road access

Interior

  • Bedrooms: 3 bedrooms (all on the main level)
  • Flooring: Vinyl
  • Bathrooms: 2 full bathrooms
  • Heating & cooling: Central heating; Central air conditioning
  • Interior features: Vinyl flooring

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 3-bed/2.0-bath single-family listed at $160k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $3 ($41/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $137k (14.6% below list).
  • Recommended offer: $137k (14.6% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 57/100 on livability (#595 in NC) — a working-class tenant base; expect higher turnover. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A-; Watch: crime D, schools F, amenities F.
  • Edgecombe County Public Schools (rural): math 21% / reading 27% proficiency, ranked #163 of 178 in NC (top 92%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 74% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
  • Market conditions: Rents rising fast (+5.5%/yr); 171 active listings in the ZIP; 50 units permitted in Edgecombe County in 2024 (5 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $1k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $5k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • Edgecombe County population projected at -34% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 53 days — a 3% lower offer ($155k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
  • 4 sale attempts; this cycle's ask has dropped $15k (9%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.
  • Current owner paid $127k; 26% above their basis — modest negotiation headroom, anchor on the comps not their cost.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Climate carrying-cost: major wind risk, 78% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→16/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Recommended offer $136,546 (14.6% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. It's been on market 53 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 15% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  2. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  3. Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
  4. Crime grade is D in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
  5. The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
  6. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  7. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  8. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
0.85%
Cap rate
6.32%
Cash-on-cash
0.09%
DSCR
1.00
GRM
9.8

CMA / ARV

ARV (on-the-fly)
$175,960
Comps found
6
Show comp detail 6 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
236 Katie Dr 0.07mi 3/2.0 1,110 (+5%) 9mo $184,900 $167 82
408 Katie Dr 0.07mi 3/2.0 1,042 (-2%) 19mo $181,900 $175 78
109 Mary Ln 0.11mi 3/2.0 1,178 (+11%) 13mo $195,000 $166 65
521 S Railroad St 0.74mi 2/1.0 (-1) 998 (-6%) 0mo $92,500 $93 47
4045 S Hathaway Blvd 0.61mi 2/2.0 (-1) 1,108 (+4%) 15mo $154,900 $140 47
309 John J Sharpe St 0.70mi 3/1.0 979 (-8%) 18mo $130,000 $133 35

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 5.51% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
-13.5%
Equity multiple
0.51×
Total profit
$-22,155
Equity at exit
$23,842
10-year hold
IRR
-1.1%
Equity multiple
0.92×
Total profit
$-3,729
Equity at exit
$13,825

Cash invested: $44,772 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
85 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
State North Carolina
85 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+3
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
10-day notice; preempted; landlord-favorable but court speed varies.

ZIP-level market 27803

Rents YoY
5.5%
Active inventory
171
Price-to-rent
9.8×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$1,365 medium interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$839
Tax from tax record
$170 /mo · $2,041/yr
Insurance
$67
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$287
Net cashflow
$3

Break-even live

Break-even rent $1,361
Max offer price $159,900
Occupancy floor 95%

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$39,975
Closing costs
$4,797
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Listing history 35 events

  1. 2026-06-19
    days on market $159,900 Active 53 DOM
  2. 2026-06-18
    days on market $159,900 Active 52 DOM
  3. 2026-06-17
    days on market $159,900 Active 51 DOM
  4. 2026-06-16
    days on market $159,900 Active 50 DOM
  5. 2026-06-15
    days on market $159,900 Active 49 DOM
  6. 2026-06-14
    days on market $159,900 Active 47 DOM
  7. 2026-06-13
    days on market $159,900 Active 46 DOM
  8. 2026-06-10
    days on market $159,900 Active 44 DOM
  9. 2026-06-09
    days on market $159,900 Active 43 DOM
  10. 2026-06-08
    days on market $159,900 Active 42 DOM
  11. 2026-06-07
    days on market $159,900 Active 41 DOM
  12. 2026-06-05
    days on market $159,900 Active 38 DOM
  13. 2026-06-02
    days on market $159,900 Active 36 DOM
  14. 2026-06-01
    days on market $159,900 Active 35 DOM
  15. 2026-05-31
    days on market $159,900 Active 34 DOM
  16. 2026-05-30
    days on market $159,900 Active 33 DOM
  17. 2026-05-11
    price $164,900 337-char remark
    Show marketing remark (337 chars)

    USDA Eligible! This charming 3 bedroom, 2 full bath ranch style home in Sharpsburg is ready for you! Upgrades include paint throughout, new shingles, luxury vinyl plank flooring, and HVAC. Tucked away in a low traffic neighborhood, this home is still an easy drive to amenities in either Rocky Mount or Wilson. Make this one yours today!

  18. 2026-05-11
    price $164,900
    Show marketing remark (337 chars)

    USDA Eligible! This charming 3 bedroom, 2 full bath ranch style home in Sharpsburg is ready for you! Upgrades include paint throughout, new shingles, luxury vinyl plank flooring, and HVAC. Tucked away in a low traffic neighborhood, this home is still an easy drive to amenities in either Rocky Mount or Wilson. Make this one yours today!

  19. 2026-04-27
    listed $174,900 Active 337-char remark
    Show marketing remark (337 chars)

    USDA Eligible! This charming 3 bedroom, 2 full bath ranch style home in Sharpsburg is ready for you! Upgrades include paint throughout, new shingles, luxury vinyl plank flooring, and HVAC. Tucked away in a low traffic neighborhood, this home is still an easy drive to amenities in either Rocky Mount or Wilson. Make this one yours today!

  20. 2026-04-27
    listed $174,900 Active
    Show marketing remark (337 chars)

    USDA Eligible! This charming 3 bedroom, 2 full bath ranch style home in Sharpsburg is ready for you! Upgrades include paint throughout, new shingles, luxury vinyl plank flooring, and HVAC. Tucked away in a low traffic neighborhood, this home is still an easy drive to amenities in either Rocky Mount or Wilson. Make this one yours today!

  21. 2026-02-26
    price $172,500
  22. 2026-02-03
    status Active
  23. 2026-02-03
    price $175,000
  24. 2026-01-19
    status Pending
  25. 2026-01-19
    historical
  26. 2025-12-10
    price $180,000
  27. 2025-12-01
    price $182,500
  28. 2025-11-07
    price $184,500
  29. 2025-10-10
    price $186,000
  30. 2025-09-21
    price $187,500
  31. 2025-09-03
    price $189,999
  32. 2025-08-15
    listed $192,000 Active
  33. 2025-07-18
    soldstatus $127,000
  34. 2016-08-01
    soldstatus $55,000
  35. 2007-10-12
    soldstatus $55,000

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast NC · Resets to sale price

Current annual tax
$2,041 · $170/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$2,041 · $170/mo
Expected delta
$0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 4/10 Moderate
  • 🌡 Heat 7/10 Severe 7 d/yr ≥107°F today · 16 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 7/10 Severe 78% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
  • 🫁 Air quality 2/10 Low 1 unhealthy d/yr today · 2 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$16,386
− Mortgage interest
−$8,957
− Property taxes
−$2,041
− Insurance
−$800
− Repairs & maintenance
−$1,311
− Management
−$1,311
− Depreciation
−$4,652
Taxable loss
−$2,686
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
+$645
After-tax cash flow
$686/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Edgecombe County Public Schools
NCES district ID
3701320
Math proficiency
21% ▼ -2.00%
Reading proficiency
27% ▲ 2.00%
Median HH income
$35,711
Composite
19.85/100
National rank
#8696
State rank
#163 of 178 in NC

Livability — Sharpsburg

Score
57/100
State rank
#595
US rank
#21689

Category grades

Amenities F Commute F Cost of living A+ Crime D Employment F Housing A- Health & safety D- User ratings A

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Sharpsburg, NC
County
Nash County · 50,768 people
City population
1,099
Metro
Rocky Mount, NC
Population (ZIP)
20,055
Household income
$60,124
Rent vs Own
38.3% rent · 61.7% own
Severe rent burden
641.0

Population outlook (Edgecombe County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
47,800 people
By 2030
44,396 · -7.1%
By 2040
37,562 · -21.4%
By 2050
31,495 · -34.1%
By 2075
20,943 · -56.2%
By 2100
13,674 · -71.4%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.60)
Race & ethnicity
White 46% Black 44% Two or more races 6% Hispanic / Latino 5% Asian 1%
Common ancestry
Iranian 1% Italian 1% Slovak 1%
Foreign-born
3% · Canada
Languages at home
93% English-only · Spanish 5% Arabic 1% Other Indo-European 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Edgecombe

2024 margin
Strong D (+22.7) · D 61.0% · R 38.3%
2008→2024 swing
-11.8pp toward R · 2008: 34.5pp · 2024: 22.7pp
All cycles
2024: D+22.7 2020: D+27.0 2016: D+32.2 2012: D+36.4 2008: D+34.5

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -162.95%
Current HPI
190.0204
Rent YoY
▲ 5.51%
Metro
Rocky Mount, NC
State GDP YoY
▲ 3.28%
F500 in state
26

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in NC)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

+199.8% since first listed
19 events — show timeline
  • 2026-05-11 Price Changed $164,900 Hive MLS
  • 2026-05-11 Price Changed $164,900 TMLS
  • 2026-04-27 Listed $174,900 TMLS
  • 2026-04-27 Listed $174,900 Hive MLS
  • 2026-02-26 Price Changed $172,500 TMLS
  • 2026-02-03 Relisted TMLS
  • 2026-02-03 Price Changed $175,000 TMLS
  • 2026-01-19 Pending TMLS
  • 2026-01-19 Listing Removed TMLS
  • 2025-12-10 Price Changed $180,000 TMLS
  • 2025-12-01 Price Changed $182,500 TMLS
  • 2025-11-07 Price Changed $184,500 TMLS
  • 2025-10-10 Price Changed $186,000 TMLS
  • 2025-09-21 Price Changed $187,500 TMLS
  • 2025-09-03 Price Changed $189,999 TMLS
  • 2025-08-15 Listed $192,000 TMLS
  • 2025-07-18 Sold (Public Records) $127,000 Public Records
  • 2016-08-01 Sold (Public Records) $55,000 Public Records
  • 2007-10-12 Sold (Public Records) $55,000 Public Records

Property tax history

+3.4%/yr

Latest (2025): $2,041 · +0.0% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

Loading sold comps…