14773 Cumberland Dr · Delray Beach, FL
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $947 – $1,759
Heat risk 9/10 · Severe
- Hot days now (above 107°F)
- 6 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 23 days/yr
Wind risk 10/10 · Severe
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 99.0%
Air-quality risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 0 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 2 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the B- grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +24.1/30.0
- 1% rule +10.0/10.0
- DSCR +7.8/10.0
- ARV discount +7.5/15.0
- Appreciation +5.3/10.0
- Schools +4.3/10.0
- Livability +3.9/5.0
- Rent growth +2.6/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
$125,000
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks
Experience tranquil living in this exquisite 2-bedroom, 2-bathroom condo. As you step inside this meticulously remodeled haven, attention to detail and top-of-the-line finishes greet you. The brand-new kitchen beckons with state-of-the-art appliances, effortlessly combining functionality with style. The bathrooms, equally reimagined, boast beautiful vanities, elegant lighting, and now, featuring new porcelain floors throughout the unit that adds an extra layer of refinement. Immerse yourself in relaxation and leisure at the pristine pool, an oasis beckoning for refreshing swims or sun-soaked repose. the new clubhouse, a true gem of this community. Inside, you'll discover a well-equipped gym
Key facts
- Pristine pool
- New porcelain floors
- Brand-new kitchen
Tags
Property features AI
Finance
- Other: Association fee amount not displayed
- Financial info: Pets allowed with possible breed restrictions and other pet restrictions
- HOA & community: Monthly HOA with amenities including pool, fitness center, clubhouse, sauna, billiard room, game room, business center, management on site, storage, jogging path/trails, sidewalks and street lights; HOA fee paid monthly
Exterior
- Parking: Assigned parking
- Security: Smoke detector(s)
- Utilities: Public water; Public sewer; Sewer available; Water available
- Home design: Condominium; Resale property; Faces north; 4 total stories; Entry level information not provided
- Construction: CBS construction
- Exterior features: Not waterfront
Interior
- Kitchen: Dishwasher; Microwave; Refrigerator; Garbage disposal
- Bedrooms: 2 bedrooms on main level
- Flooring: Other
- Bathrooms: 2 full bathrooms on main level
- Heating & cooling: Central heating; Central air conditioning
- Interior features: Entrance foyer; Walk-in closets; Closet cabinetry; Smoke detector(s)
- Laundry & utility: Inside laundry; Electric water heater
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 2-bed/2.0-bath single-family listed at $125k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $247 ($3k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($3k rent vs $125k).
- Recommended offer: $118k (6.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
- Cap rate 8.7% vs local median 4.3% in Delray Beach — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 77/100 on livability (#202 in FL, #3,160 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: housing A+, health & safety A+, commute A-; Watch: cost of living C-, crime D-, amenities F.
- Palm Beach (suburban): math 46% / reading 53% proficiency, ranked #34 of 73 in FL (top 47%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
- Market conditions: Rents flat; 584 active listings in the ZIP; 40 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 20d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); solid renter incomes; 3,974 units permitted in Palm Beach County in 2024 (1,012 in 5+ unit buildings).
- This rent runs 39% of the median local income ($80k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.
Forward outlook
- In year one you build about $2k of equity ($864 loan paydown + $859 appreciation (0.7% local appreciation)).
- Palm Beach County population projected at +30% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
- At projected returns (0.7% appreciation + 0.5% rent growth), your $35k cash investment doubles in ~9 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 80 days — a 6% lower offer ($118k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 4 sale attempts since 19y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: HOA is 37% of rent.
- Climate carrying-cost: severe wind risk, 99% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 6→23/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 80 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 6% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- What does the HOA fee cover, when was the last increase, and are there any pending special assessments or reserve-fund shortfalls?
- Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are B-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
- Crime grade is D in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 2.09% ✓
- Cap rate
- 8.67%
- Cash-on-cash
- 8.48%
- DSCR
- 1.38
- GRM
- 4.0
CMA / ARV
- ARV (on-the-fly)
- $305,892
- Comps found
- 1
Show comp detail 1 sale within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6839 Moonlit Dr | 0.32mi | 2/2.0 | 1,148 (+10%) | 7mo | $336,450 | $293 | 63 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
0.69% appreciation · 0.51% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 6.2%
- Equity multiple
- 1.30×
- Total profit
- $10,414
- Equity at exit
- $40,648
- IRR
- 7.7%
- Equity multiple
- 1.80×
- Total profit
- $28,085
- Equity at exit
- $52,485
Cash invested: $35,000 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State Florida
- 87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+3
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 33446
- Home prices YoY
- 0.3%
- Rents YoY
- 0.5%
- Active inventory
- 584
- Price-to-rent
- 4.0×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $2,617 high interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$656
- Tax est. 1.5%
- −$156 /mo · $1,875/yr
- Insurance
- −$52
- HOA
- −$956
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$549
- Net cashflow
- $247
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $334 | -5% $290 | +0% $247 | +5% $204 | +10% $161 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $41 | -5% $144 | +0% $247 | +5% $351 | +10% $454 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $310 | -0.5pp $279 | base $247 | +0.5pp $215 | +1.0pp $182 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $31,250
- Closing costs
- $3,750
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 40 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14747 Cumberland Dr #301 Delray Beach, FL | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1044 | $1,900 | $1.82 | 25d | 1 | 0.05mi |
| 14723 Cumberland Dr Unit 404 B Delray Beach, FL | 1.0 | 2.0 | 912 | $1,850 | $2.03 | 25d | 1 | 0.07mi |
| 14800 Cumberland Dr Delray Beach, FL | 2.0–3.0 | 2.0 | 1324 | $3,827 | $2.89 | 0d | 4 | 0.14mi |
| 7260 Kinghurst Dr #205 Delray Beach, FL | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1230 | $2,800 | $2.28 | 20d | 1 | 0.17mi |
| 14828 Golden Jax Ln Unit 8-105 Radiance Delray Beach, FL | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1321 | $3,948 | $2.99 | 16d | 1 | 0.17mi |
| 14828 Golden Jax Ln Unit 8103 Delray Beach, FL | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1321 | $3,948 | $2.99 | 0d | 1 | 0.17mi |
| 14828 Golden Jax Ln Unit 6-105 Radiance Delray Beach, FL | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1321 | $4,148 | $3.14 | 18d | 1 | 0.17mi |
| 14509 Sloan Ridge Dr Unit 10-104 Luminosa Delray Beach, FL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1328 | $3,827 | $2.88 | 25d | 1 | 0.17mi |
| 14 Willowbrook Ln #101 Delray Beach, FL | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1005 | $1,700 | $1.69 | 6d | 1 | 0.18mi |
| 14896 Bal Moral Ln Delray Beach, FL | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1040 | $2,200 | $2.12 | 25d | 1 | 0.19mi |
| 14895 Builtmore Way Delray Beach, FL | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1103 | $1,800 | $1.63 | 25d | 1 | 0.20mi |
| 14898 Wedgefield Dr #202 Delray Beach, FL | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1103 | $2,000 | $1.81 | 19d | 1 | 0.20mi |
| 20 Abbey Ln #102 Delray Beach, FL | 2.0 | 2.0 | 925 | $2,600 | $2.81 | 25d | 1 | 0.24mi |
| 21 Abbey Ln #107 Delray Beach, FL | 2.0 | 2.0 | 925 | $1,800 | $1.95 | 16d | 1 | 0.26mi |
| 10 Willowbrook Ln #105 Delray Beach, FL | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1005 | $2,100 | $2.09 | 12d | 1 | 0.26mi |
| 19 Abbey Ln #206 Delray Beach, FL | 2.0 | 2.0 | 925 | $1,750 | $1.89 | 25d | 1 | 0.27mi |
| 7310 Ashford Pl Delray Beach, FL | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1230 | $2,700 | $2.20 | 20d | 2 | 0.27mi |
| 7310 Ashford Pl Delray Beach, FL | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1230 | $3,200 | $2.60 | 16d | 1 | 0.27mi |
| 7310 Ashford Pl Delray Beach, FL | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1230 | $3,200 | $2.60 | 9d | 1 | 0.27mi |
| 23 Abbey Ln #208 Delray Beach, FL | 2.0 | 2.0 | 925 | $1,500 | $1.62 | 4d | 1 | 0.27mi |
| 14534 Highland Center Way Delray Beach, FL | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1319 | $3,400 | $2.58 | 9d | 1 | 0.28mi |
| 14556 Wiley Range Rd Delray Beach, FL | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1319 | $3,000 | $2.27 | 25d | 1 | 0.32mi |
| 14624 Three Ponds Trl Delray Beach, FL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1411 | $3,250 | $2.30 | 19d | 1 | 0.33mi |
| 31 Abbey Ln #207 Delray Beach, FL | 2.0 | 2.0 | 925 | $1,300 | $1.41 | 25d | 1 | 0.34mi |
| 6813 Moonlit Dr Delray Beach, FL | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1148 | $2,150 | $1.87 | 25d | 1 | 0.34mi |
| 3 Abbey Ln #102 Delray Beach, FL | 2.0 | 2.0 | 925 | $2,500 | $2.70 | 25d | 1 | 0.35mi |
| 15015 Michelangelo Blvd #102 Delray Beach, FL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1238 | $2,499 | $2.02 | 25d | 1 | 0.36mi |
| 15015 Michelangelo Blvd #102 Delray Beach, FL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1238 | $2,499 | $2.02 | 4d | 1 | 0.36mi |
| 7286 Huntington Ln #105 Delray Beach, FL | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1070 | $3,350 | $3.13 | 25d | 1 | 0.36mi |
| 7515 S Oriole Blvd Delray Beach, FL | 2.0 | 2.0 | 850 | $1,700 | $2.00 | 25d | 1 | 0.36mi |
| 7350 Kinghurst Dr #305 Delray Beach, FL | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1220 | $4,500 | $3.69 | 0d | 1 | 0.37mi |
| 7350 Kinghurst Dr #305 Delray Beach, FL | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1220 | $4,500 | $3.69 | 23d | 1 | 0.37mi |
| 7350 Kinghurst Dr Delray Beach, FL | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1220 | $4,500 | $3.69 | 16d | 1 | 0.37mi |
| 15035 Michelangelo Blvd #103 Delray Beach, FL | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1079 | $2,000 | $1.85 | 25d | 1 | 0.37mi |
| 15035 Michelangelo Blvd #202 Delray Beach, FL | 1.0 | 1.0 | 700 | $1,895 | $2.71 | 0d | 1 | 0.37mi |
| 7192 Huntington Ln #307 Delray Beach, FL | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1070 | $3,500 | $3.27 | 19d | 1 | 0.37mi |
| 32 Abbey Ln #207 Delray Beach, FL | 2.0 | 2.0 | 925 | $2,500 | $2.70 | 25d | 1 | 0.37mi |
| 7301 Amberly Ln #304 Delray Beach, FL | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1080 | $1,495 | $1.38 | 9d | 1 | 0.38mi |
| 15055 Michelangelo Blvd #208 Delray Beach, FL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1238 | $2,500 | $2.02 | 0d | 1 | 0.40mi |
| 15065 Michelangelo Blvd #105 Delray Beach, FL | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1079 | $2,400 | $2.22 | 3d | 1 | 0.40mi |
HOA detail
- Monthly dues
- $956 · $11,472/yr
- Likely covers
- poolgym
Listing history 10 events
-
2026-05-02status Pending
-
2026-04-05status Active
-
2026-04-01historical
-
2026-02-07$125,000 Active
-
2024-01-27historical $2,000
-
2024-01-08price $2,000
-
2023-12-06price $2,100
-
2023-11-30$3,800
-
2007-04-27historical
-
2007-03-02$157,000
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 2/10 Low
- Heat 9/10 Extreme 6 d/yr ≥107°F today · 23 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 10/10 Extreme 99% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 2/10 Low 0 unhealthy d/yr today · 2 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $31,399
- − Mortgage interest
- −$7,002
- − Property taxes
- −$1,875
- − Insurance
- −$625
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$2,512
- − Management
- −$2,512
- − HOA
- −$11,472
- − Depreciation
- −$3,636
- Taxable income
- $1,765
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$424
- After-tax cash flow
- $2,544/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Palm Beach
- NCES district ID
- 1201500
- Math proficiency
- 46% ▼ -16.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 53% ▼ -4.00%
- Median HH income
- $53,943
- Composite
- 42.72/100
- National rank
- #3160
- State rank
- #34 of 73 in FL
Livability — Delray Beach
- Score
- 77/100
- State rank
- #202
- US rank
- #3160
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- County
- Palm Beach County · 1,438,312 people
- City population
- 123,167
- Metro
- Miami-Fort Lauderdale-Pompano Beach, FL
- Population (ZIP)
- 28,431
- Household income
- $80,187
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 494.0
Population outlook (Palm Beach County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 1,637,487 people
- By 2030
- 1,743,255 · +6.5%
- By 2040
- 1,948,712 · +19.0%
- By 2050
- 2,132,979 · +30.3%
- By 2075
- 2,530,027 · +54.5%
- By 2100
- 2,706,979 · +65.3%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (79%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 79% Hispanic / Latino 13% Two or more races 9% Black 4%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Puerto Rican 3% Dominican 1%
- Common ancestry
- Romanian 9% Scotch-Irish 9% Italian 2%
- Foreign-born
- 20% · Canada, Jamaica, Guatemala
- Languages at home
- 80% English-only · Spanish 12% Other Indo-European 2% French/Haitian/Cajun 2%
Political lean MEDSL · Palm Beach
- 2024 margin
- Toss-up / Even · D 50.0% · R 49.2%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -22.1pp toward R · 2008: 22.9pp · 2024: 0.8pp
- All cycles
- 2024: D+0.8 2020: D+12.8 2016: D+15.3 2012: D+17.0 2008: D+22.9
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▲ 0.69%
- Current HPI
- 242.5138
- Rent YoY
- ▲ 0.51%
- Metro
- Miami-Fort Lauderdale-Pompano Beach, FL
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 3.28%
- F500 in state
- 36
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in FL)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Industrial Technology | 2 | $29B |
|
||
| Insurance | 2 | $17B |
|
||
| Retail | 1 | $60B |
|
||
| Technology Distribution | 1 | $58B |
|
||
| Homebuilding | 1 | $35B |
|
||
| Technology Manufacturing | 1 | $35B |
|
||
Price history
-20.4% since first listed10 events — show timeline
- 2026-05-02 Pending — Beaches MLS
- 2026-04-05 Relisted — Beaches MLS
- 2026-04-01 Listing Removed — Beaches MLS
- 2026-02-07 Listed $125,000 Beaches MLS
- 2024-01-27 Rental Removed $2,000 RMLSFL
- 2024-01-08 Price Changed $2,000 RMLSFL
- 2023-12-06 Price Changed $2,100 RMLSFL
- 2023-11-30 Listed for Rent $3,800 RMLSFL
- 2007-04-27 Listing Removed — Beaches MLS
- 2007-03-02 Listed $157,000 Beaches MLS
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…