CashFlowRE
Sign in Sign up
14773 Cumberland Dr
B- Composite 67.97
Why this score? — see what drove the B- grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +24.1/30.0
  • 1% rule +10.0/10.0
  • DSCR +7.8/10.0
  • ARV discount +7.5/15.0
  • Appreciation +5.3/10.0
  • Schools +4.3/10.0
  • Livability +3.9/5.0
  • Rent growth +2.6/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0

$125,000

14773 Cumberland Dr · Delray Beach, FL 33446
2 bd · 2.0 ba · 1,044 sqft · SingleFamily · 80 Days on market
Built 1980 $956/mo HOA · 37% of rent ↓ 20% since listing

🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks

Experience tranquil living in this exquisite 2-bedroom, 2-bathroom condo. As you step inside this meticulously remodeled haven, attention to detail and top-of-the-line finishes greet you. The brand-new kitchen beckons with state-of-the-art appliances, effortlessly combining functionality with style. The bathrooms, equally reimagined, boast beautiful vanities, elegant lighting, and now, featuring new porcelain floors throughout the unit that adds an extra layer of refinement. Immerse yourself in relaxation and leisure at the pristine pool, an oasis beckoning for refreshing swims or sun-soaked repose. the new clubhouse, a true gem of this community. Inside, you'll discover a well-equipped gym

Key facts

  • Pristine pool
  • New porcelain floors
  • Brand-new kitchen

Tags

BRAND-NEW KITCHENSTATE-OF-THE-ART APPLIANCESNEW PORCELAIN FLOORSPRISTINE POOLNEW CLUBHOUSEWELL-EQUIPPED GYM

Property features AI

Finance

  • Other: Association fee amount not displayed
  • Financial info: Pets allowed with possible breed restrictions and other pet restrictions
  • HOA & community: Monthly HOA with amenities including pool, fitness center, clubhouse, sauna, billiard room, game room, business center, management on site, storage, jogging path/trails, sidewalks and street lights; HOA fee paid monthly

Exterior

  • Parking: Assigned parking
  • Security: Smoke detector(s)
  • Utilities: Public water; Public sewer; Sewer available; Water available
  • Home design: Condominium; Resale property; Faces north; 4 total stories; Entry level information not provided
  • Construction: CBS construction
  • Exterior features: Not waterfront

Interior

  • Kitchen: Dishwasher; Microwave; Refrigerator; Garbage disposal
  • Bedrooms: 2 bedrooms on main level
  • Flooring: Other
  • Bathrooms: 2 full bathrooms on main level
  • Heating & cooling: Central heating; Central air conditioning
  • Interior features: Entrance foyer; Walk-in closets; Closet cabinetry; Smoke detector(s)
  • Laundry & utility: Inside laundry; Electric water heater

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 2-bed/2.0-bath single-family listed at $125k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $247 ($3k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($3k rent vs $125k).
  • Recommended offer: $118k (6.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
  • Cap rate 8.7% vs local median 4.3% in Delray Beach — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 77/100 on livability (#202 in FL, #3,160 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: housing A+, health & safety A+, commute A-; Watch: cost of living C-, crime D-, amenities F.
  • Palm Beach (suburban): math 46% / reading 53% proficiency, ranked #34 of 73 in FL (top 47%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
  • Market conditions: Rents flat; 584 active listings in the ZIP; 40 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 20d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); solid renter incomes; 3,974 units permitted in Palm Beach County in 2024 (1,012 in 5+ unit buildings).
  • This rent runs 39% of the median local income ($80k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.

Forward outlook

  • In year one you build about $2k of equity ($864 loan paydown + $859 appreciation (0.7% local appreciation)).
  • Palm Beach County population projected at +30% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
  • At projected returns (0.7% appreciation + 0.5% rent growth), your $35k cash investment doubles in ~9 years — after that, you're playing with house money.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 80 days — a 6% lower offer ($118k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
  • 4 sale attempts since 19y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Watch-outs: HOA is 37% of rent.
  • Climate carrying-cost: severe wind risk, 99% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 6→23/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Recommended offer $117,500 (6.0% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. It's been on market 80 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 6% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  2. What does the HOA fee cover, when was the last increase, and are there any pending special assessments or reserve-fund shortfalls?
  3. Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
  4. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  5. Schools are B-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
  6. Crime grade is D in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
  7. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  8. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  9. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
2.09%
Cap rate
8.67%
Cash-on-cash
8.48%
DSCR
1.38
GRM
4.0

CMA / ARV

ARV (on-the-fly)
$305,892
Comps found
1
Show comp detail 1 sale within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
6839 Moonlit Dr 0.32mi 2/2.0 1,148 (+10%) 7mo $336,450 $293 63

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

0.69% appreciation · 0.51% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
6.2%
Equity multiple
1.30×
Total profit
$10,414
Equity at exit
$40,648
10-year hold
IRR
7.7%
Equity multiple
1.80×
Total profit
$28,085
Equity at exit
$52,485

Cash invested: $35,000 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
State Florida
87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+3
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
3-day pay-or-quit; preempts local rent control; landlord-friendly statutes. Court speed varies by county.

ZIP-level market 33446

Home prices YoY
0.3%
Rents YoY
0.5%
Active inventory
584
Price-to-rent
4.0×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$2,617 high interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$656
Tax est. 1.5%
$156 /mo · $1,875/yr
Insurance
$52
HOA
$956
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$549
Net cashflow
$247

Break-even live

Break-even rent $2,304
Max offer price $125,000
Occupancy floor 86%

Sensitivity live

Price -10% $334 -5% $290 +0% $247 +5% $204 +10% $161
Rent -10% $41 -5% $144 +0% $247 +5% $351 +10% $454
Rate -1.0pp $310 -0.5pp $279 base $247 +0.5pp $215 +1.0pp $182

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$31,250
Closing costs
$3,750
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 40 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
14747 Cumberland Dr #301 Delray Beach, FL 2.0 2.0 1044 $1,900 $1.82 25d 1 0.05mi
14723 Cumberland Dr Unit 404 B Delray Beach, FL 1.0 2.0 912 $1,850 $2.03 25d 1 0.07mi
14800 Cumberland Dr Delray Beach, FL 2.0–3.0 2.0 1324 $3,827 $2.89 0d 4 0.14mi
7260 Kinghurst Dr #205 Delray Beach, FL 2.0 2.0 1230 $2,800 $2.28 20d 1 0.17mi
14828 Golden Jax Ln Unit 8-105 Radiance Delray Beach, FL 2.0 2.0 1321 $3,948 $2.99 16d 1 0.17mi
14828 Golden Jax Ln Unit 8103 Delray Beach, FL 2.0 2.0 1321 $3,948 $2.99 0d 1 0.17mi
14828 Golden Jax Ln Unit 6-105 Radiance Delray Beach, FL 2.0 2.0 1321 $4,148 $3.14 18d 1 0.17mi
14509 Sloan Ridge Dr Unit 10-104 Luminosa Delray Beach, FL 3.0 2.0 1328 $3,827 $2.88 25d 1 0.17mi
14 Willowbrook Ln #101 Delray Beach, FL 2.0 2.0 1005 $1,700 $1.69 6d 1 0.18mi
14896 Bal Moral Ln Delray Beach, FL 2.0 2.0 1040 $2,200 $2.12 25d 1 0.19mi
14895 Builtmore Way Delray Beach, FL 2.0 2.0 1103 $1,800 $1.63 25d 1 0.20mi
14898 Wedgefield Dr #202 Delray Beach, FL 2.0 2.0 1103 $2,000 $1.81 19d 1 0.20mi
20 Abbey Ln #102 Delray Beach, FL 2.0 2.0 925 $2,600 $2.81 25d 1 0.24mi
21 Abbey Ln #107 Delray Beach, FL 2.0 2.0 925 $1,800 $1.95 16d 1 0.26mi
10 Willowbrook Ln #105 Delray Beach, FL 2.0 2.0 1005 $2,100 $2.09 12d 1 0.26mi
19 Abbey Ln #206 Delray Beach, FL 2.0 2.0 925 $1,750 $1.89 25d 1 0.27mi
7310 Ashford Pl Delray Beach, FL 2.0 2.0 1230 $2,700 $2.20 20d 2 0.27mi
7310 Ashford Pl Delray Beach, FL 2.0 2.0 1230 $3,200 $2.60 16d 1 0.27mi
7310 Ashford Pl Delray Beach, FL 2.0 2.0 1230 $3,200 $2.60 9d 1 0.27mi
23 Abbey Ln #208 Delray Beach, FL 2.0 2.0 925 $1,500 $1.62 4d 1 0.27mi
14534 Highland Center Way Delray Beach, FL 2.0 2.0 1319 $3,400 $2.58 9d 1 0.28mi
14556 Wiley Range Rd Delray Beach, FL 2.0 2.0 1319 $3,000 $2.27 25d 1 0.32mi
14624 Three Ponds Trl Delray Beach, FL 3.0 2.0 1411 $3,250 $2.30 19d 1 0.33mi
31 Abbey Ln #207 Delray Beach, FL 2.0 2.0 925 $1,300 $1.41 25d 1 0.34mi
6813 Moonlit Dr Delray Beach, FL 2.0 2.0 1148 $2,150 $1.87 25d 1 0.34mi
3 Abbey Ln #102 Delray Beach, FL 2.0 2.0 925 $2,500 $2.70 25d 1 0.35mi
15015 Michelangelo Blvd #102 Delray Beach, FL 3.0 2.0 1238 $2,499 $2.02 25d 1 0.36mi
15015 Michelangelo Blvd #102 Delray Beach, FL 3.0 2.0 1238 $2,499 $2.02 4d 1 0.36mi
7286 Huntington Ln #105 Delray Beach, FL 2.0 2.0 1070 $3,350 $3.13 25d 1 0.36mi
7515 S Oriole Blvd Delray Beach, FL 2.0 2.0 850 $1,700 $2.00 25d 1 0.36mi
7350 Kinghurst Dr #305 Delray Beach, FL 2.0 2.0 1220 $4,500 $3.69 0d 1 0.37mi
7350 Kinghurst Dr #305 Delray Beach, FL 2.0 2.0 1220 $4,500 $3.69 23d 1 0.37mi
7350 Kinghurst Dr Delray Beach, FL 2.0 2.0 1220 $4,500 $3.69 16d 1 0.37mi
15035 Michelangelo Blvd #103 Delray Beach, FL 2.0 2.0 1079 $2,000 $1.85 25d 1 0.37mi
15035 Michelangelo Blvd #202 Delray Beach, FL 1.0 1.0 700 $1,895 $2.71 0d 1 0.37mi
7192 Huntington Ln #307 Delray Beach, FL 2.0 2.0 1070 $3,500 $3.27 19d 1 0.37mi
32 Abbey Ln #207 Delray Beach, FL 2.0 2.0 925 $2,500 $2.70 25d 1 0.37mi
7301 Amberly Ln #304 Delray Beach, FL 2.0 2.0 1080 $1,495 $1.38 9d 1 0.38mi
15055 Michelangelo Blvd #208 Delray Beach, FL 3.0 2.0 1238 $2,500 $2.02 0d 1 0.40mi
15065 Michelangelo Blvd #105 Delray Beach, FL 2.0 2.0 1079 $2,400 $2.22 3d 1 0.40mi

HOA detail

Monthly dues
$956 · $11,472/yr
Likely covers
poolgym

Listing history 10 events

  1. 2026-05-02
    status Pending
  2. 2026-04-05
    status Active
  3. 2026-04-01
    historical
  4. 2026-02-07
    listed $125,000 Active
  5. 2024-01-27
    historical $2,000
  6. 2024-01-08
    price $2,000
  7. 2023-12-06
    price $2,100
  8. 2023-11-30
    listed $3,800
  9. 2007-04-27
    historical
  10. 2007-03-02
    listed $157,000

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 2/10 Low
  • 🌡 Heat 9/10 Extreme 6 d/yr ≥107°F today · 23 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 10/10 Extreme 99% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
  • 🫁 Air quality 2/10 Low 0 unhealthy d/yr today · 2 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

Loading sold comps map…

Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

Loading nearby amenities…

Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$31,399
− Mortgage interest
−$7,002
− Property taxes
−$1,875
− Insurance
−$625
− Repairs & maintenance
−$2,512
− Management
−$2,512
− HOA
−$11,472
− Depreciation
−$3,636
Taxable income
$1,765
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
−$424
After-tax cash flow
$2,544/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Palm Beach
NCES district ID
1201500
Math proficiency
46% ▼ -16.00%
Reading proficiency
53% ▼ -4.00%
Median HH income
$53,943
Composite
42.72/100
National rank
#3160
State rank
#34 of 73 in FL

Livability — Delray Beach

Score
77/100
State rank
#202
US rank
#3160

Category grades

Amenities F Commute A- Cost of living C- Crime D- Employment B+ Housing A+ Health & safety A+ User ratings A

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

County
Palm Beach County · 1,438,312 people
City population
123,167
Metro
Miami-Fort Lauderdale-Pompano Beach, FL
Population (ZIP)
28,431
Household income
$80,187
Rent vs Own
11.4% rent · 88.6% own
Severe rent burden
494.0

Population outlook (Palm Beach County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
1,637,487 people
By 2030
1,743,255 · +6.5%
By 2040
1,948,712 · +19.0%
By 2050
2,132,979 · +30.3%
By 2075
2,530,027 · +54.5%
By 2100
2,706,979 · +65.3%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly White (79%)
Race & ethnicity
White 79% Hispanic / Latino 13% Two or more races 9% Black 4%
Hispanic origin (detail)
Puerto Rican 3% Dominican 1%
Common ancestry
Romanian 9% Scotch-Irish 9% Italian 2%
Foreign-born
20% · Canada, Jamaica, Guatemala
Languages at home
80% English-only · Spanish 12% Other Indo-European 2% French/Haitian/Cajun 2%

Political lean MEDSL · Palm Beach

2024 margin
Toss-up / Even · D 50.0% · R 49.2%
2008→2024 swing
-22.1pp toward R · 2008: 22.9pp · 2024: 0.8pp
All cycles
2024: D+0.8 2020: D+12.8 2016: D+15.3 2012: D+17.0 2008: D+22.9

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▲ 0.69%
Current HPI
242.5138
Rent YoY
▲ 0.51%
Metro
Miami-Fort Lauderdale-Pompano Beach, FL
State GDP YoY
▲ 3.28%
F500 in state
36

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in FL)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

-20.4% since first listed
10 events — show timeline
  • 2026-05-02 Pending Beaches MLS
  • 2026-04-05 Relisted Beaches MLS
  • 2026-04-01 Listing Removed Beaches MLS
  • 2026-02-07 Listed $125,000 Beaches MLS
  • 2024-01-27 Rental Removed $2,000 RMLSFL
  • 2024-01-08 Price Changed $2,000 RMLSFL
  • 2023-12-06 Price Changed $2,100 RMLSFL
  • 2023-11-30 Listed for Rent $3,800 RMLSFL
  • 2007-04-27 Listing Removed Beaches MLS
  • 2007-03-02 Listed $157,000 Beaches MLS

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

Loading sold comps…