2050 Springfield #101 · Chico, CA
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 8/10 · Major
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $659 – $1,223
Heat risk 8/10 · Major
- Hot days now (above 104°F)
- 6 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 15 days/yr
Wind risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- —
Air-quality risk 10/10 · Severe
- Unhealthy air days now
- 37 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 41 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the B+ grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +30.0/30.0
- ARV discount +15.0/15.0
- DSCR +10.0/10.0
- 1% rule +7.7/10.0
- Schools +4.6/10.0
- Livability +3.6/5.0
- Rent growth +3.4/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$160,000
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
Welcome to your new home and community! The living area of this home is spacious enough for entertaining or simply spreading out. The bright kitchen with plenty of storage opens up to the equally spacious Dining Room. The Master Bedroom has a double walk-in closet and a slider to the back patio and lovely landscaped backyard. Master Bath has double sinks, plenty of storage, a soaking tub and a step-in shower. The 2nd bedroom and bath are located at the opposite end of the home. The Laundry room has yet more storage, space for washer, dryer and a separate area for a 2nd refrigerator or freezer. The attached 2-Car garage has doors leading directly into the house and the backyard. New paint throughout, 1 yr old carpet, newer roof, newer kitchen and laundry flooring. Springfied Manor offers plenty for the active Senior community. The Club House boasts a Card room, Pool room, Library, Large Meeting room, 2 kitchens, Exercise room. Other amenities include the Pool, Spa, Picnic Patio and green spaces. Springfield Manor is located within walking distance (or a short drive) to grocery, restaurants and shopping.
Key facts
- 2 garage spots
- Community pool
- Built 1990
Property features AI
Finance
- Financial info: Monthly land lease of $941 (park); Park name: Springfield Manor
- HOA & community: Part of an association; Senior community; Community features include urban setting; Rent includes association dues and pool (land lease community)
Exterior
- Parking: Attached 2-car garage; 2 total parking spaces; Located in Springfield Manor park
- Utilities: Public sewer; District/public water
- Home design: Single-story mobile home; Mobile home remains on site; Corner lot; Close to clubhouse; Facing/entry at front door
- Construction: Mobile home approximately 28 by 58 feet; One total story
- Exterior features: In-ground community pool
Interior
- Kitchen: Built-in range
- Bedrooms: Main floor primary bedroom
- Bathrooms: 2 full bathrooms
- Heating & cooling: Central heating (furnace); Central cooling
- Interior features: Skylights; In-ground community spa; Front door entry; Single-level living
- Laundry & utility: Indoor laundry in a dedicated room
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 2-bed/2.0-bath manufactured listed at $160k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $620 ($7k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $160k).
- Recommended offer: $146k (9.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
- Cap rate 10.9% vs local median 2.6% in Chico — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 72/100 on livability (#195 in CA) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: amenities A+, commute A+, health & safety A-; Watch: employment C-, crime F, cost of living F.
- Chico Unified (urban): math 40% / reading 70% proficiency, ranked #117 of 517 in CA (top 23%) — acceptable for families but not a draw, mixed tenant base, ~2y average lease.
- Market conditions: Rents rising (+3.4%/yr); 139 active listings in the ZIP; 16 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals lingering (median 45d on market — plan ~5-8 weeks vacancy on turnover, expect pricing pressure); 50% of comp listings sitting > 30 days — soft ceiling on asking rent; 946 units permitted in Butte County in 2024 (254 in 5+ unit buildings).
- This rent runs 38% of the median local income ($65k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $1k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $5k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Butte County population projected at +10% by 2050 — modest demand growth; plan on rents tracking national, not racing it.
- At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 3.4% rent growth), your $45k cash investment doubles in ~7 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 91 days — a 9% lower offer ($146k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 3 sale attempts since 14y ago; this cycle's ask has dropped $20k (11%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.
- Current owner paid $78k; list at $160k implies a 105% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
Risks & watch-outs
- Climate carrying-cost: severe wildfire risk; extreme-heat days projected 6→15/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 91 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 9% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are B-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
- Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.27% ✓
- Cap rate
- 10.94%
- Cash-on-cash
- 16.61%
- DSCR
- 1.74
- GRM
- 6.5
CMA / ARV
- ARV (on-the-fly)
- $192,780
- Comps found
- 12
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2050 Springfield Dr #103 | 0.01mi | 2/2.0 | 1,680 (+4%) | 0mo | $160,015 | $95 | 93 |
| 2050 Springfield Dr #215 | 0.12mi | 2/2.0 | 1,568 (-3%) | 1mo | $180,000 | $115 | 88 |
| 2050 Springfield Dr #312 | 0.09mi | 2/2.0 | 1,512 (-7%) | 2mo | $180,000 | $119 | 83 |
| 2050 Springfield Dr #314 | 0.10mi | 2/2.0 | 1,512 (-7%) | 10mo | $185,000 | $122 | 76 |
| 2050 Springfield Dr #303 | 0.04mi | 2/2.0 | 1,456 (-10%) | 7mo | $170,000 | $117 | 75 |
| 2050 Springfield Dr #210 | 0.08mi | 2/2.0 | 1,512 (-7%) | 14mo | $161,000 | $106 | 74 |
| 2050 Springfield Dr #316 | 0.11mi | 2/2.0 | 1,512 (-7%) | 12mo | $189,000 | $125 | 73 |
| 2050 Springfield #213 | 0.11mi | 2/2.0 | 1,404 (-13%) | 5mo | $190,000 | $135 | 69 |
| 2050 Springfield Dr #315 | 0.11mi | 2/2.0 | 1,404 (-13%) | 6mo | $187,000 | $133 | 68 |
| 2050 Springfield Dr #204 | 0.05mi | 2/2.0 | 1,404 (-13%) | 10mo | $190,000 | $135 | 67 |
| 2050 Springfield Dr #155 | 0.19mi | 2/2.0 | 1,456 (-10%) | 10mo | $170,000 | $117 | 66 |
| 2050 Springfield Dr #123 | 0.10mi | 2/2.0 | 1,404 (-13%) | 20mo | $146,000 | $104 | 56 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 3.43% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 8.2%
- Equity multiple
- 1.32×
- Total profit
- $14,422
- Equity at exit
- $23,857
- IRR
- 17.7%
- Equity multiple
- 2.49×
- Total profit
- $66,930
- Equity at exit
- $13,834
Cash invested: $44,800 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 18 Strongly Tenant-Friendly
- State California
- 18 Strongly Tenant-Friendly · D+13
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 95928
- Rents YoY
- 3.4%
- Active inventory
- 139
- Price-to-rent
- 6.5×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $2,040 high interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$839
- Tax from tax record
- −$85 /mo · $1,024/yr
- Insurance
- −$67
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$428
- Net cashflow
- $620
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $711 | -5% $666 | +0% $620 | +5% $575 | +10% $530 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $459 | -5% $540 | +0% $620 | +5% $701 | +10% $781 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $701 | -0.5pp $661 | base $620 | +0.5pp $579 | +1.0pp $537 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $40,000
- Closing costs
- $4,800
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 16 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1826 Bedford Dr Chico, CA | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1842 | $2,750 | $1.49 | 44d | 1 | 0.16mi |
| 1890 Notre Dame Blvd Unit 3 Chico, CA | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1067 | $1,915 | $1.79 | 22d | 1 | 0.19mi |
| 1886 Notre Dame Blvd Unit 3 Chico, CA | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1067 | $1,915 | $1.79 | 22d | 1 | 0.19mi |
| 2038 Huntington Dr Chico, CA | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1500 | $2,300 | $1.53 | 44d | 1 | 0.30mi |
| 1450 Springfield Dr Chico, CA | 2.0–3.0 | 2.0 | 1066 | $1,560 | $1.46 | 44d | 1 | 0.39mi |
| 1550 Springfield Dr Chico, CA | 1.0–2.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 961 | $1,518 | $1.58 | 14d | 5 | 0.49mi |
| 7 Heartwood Ct Chico, CA | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1316 | $2,350 | $1.79 | 44d | 1 | 0.63mi |
| 23 Morning Rose Way Unit 1 Chico, CA | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1145 | $1,925 | $1.68 | 44d | 1 | 0.71mi |
| 1880 Humboldt Rd Apt 19 Chico, CA | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1230 | $1,800 | $1.46 | 44d | 1 | 0.74mi |
| 2361 England St Chico, CA | 3.0 | 2.5 | 1739 | $2,350 | $1.35 | 22d | 1 | 0.80mi |
| 860 Inyo St Chico, CA | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1053 | $2,150 | $2.04 | 22d | 1 | 0.93mi |
| One Illahee LN Cohasset, CA | 2.0 | 1.5 | 1080 | $1,750 | $1.62 | 14d | 1 | 0.99mi |
| 100 Sterling Oaks Dr Chico, CA | 1.0–2.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 938 | $1,935 | $2.06 | 14d | 6 | 1.00mi |
| 2 Lakeshore Ter Unit l Chico, CA | 1.0 | 2.0 | 1300 | $2,000 | $1.54 | 44d | 1 | 1.17mi |
| 2768 Native Oak Dr Chico, CA | 1.0–3.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 822 | $1,056 | $1.28 | 44d | 5 | 1.17mi |
| 1528 Boucher St Chico, CA | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1496 | $2,000 | $1.34 | 22d | 1 | 1.32mi |
Listing history 13 events
-
2026-06-19days on market $160,000 Active 91 DOM
-
2026-06-18days on market $160,000 Active 90 DOM
-
2026-06-17days on market $160,000 Active 89 DOM
-
2026-06-16days on market $160,000 Active 88 DOM
-
2026-06-15days on market $160,000 Active 87 DOM
-
2026-06-14days on market $160,000 Active 85 DOM
-
2026-06-13days on market $160,000 Active 84 DOM
-
2026-06-10days on market $160,000 Active 82 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $160,000 Active 80 DOM
-
2026-06-07days on market $160,000 Active 79 DOM
-
2026-06-05days on market $160,000 Active 76 DOM
-
2026-06-02remarks 687-char remark
-
2026-06-02$160,000 Active 74 DOM
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast CA · Resets to sale price
- Current annual tax
- $1,024 · $85/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $1,216 · $101/mo
- Expected delta
- +$192/yr (+$16/mo · 18.7%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 8/10 Severe
- Heat 8/10 Severe 6 d/yr ≥104°F today · 15 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 1/10 Low
- Air quality 10/10 Extreme 37 unhealthy d/yr today · 41 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $24,475
- − Mortgage interest
- −$8,962
- − Property taxes
- −$1,024
- − Insurance
- −$800
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,958
- − Management
- −$1,958
- − Depreciation
- −$4,655
- Taxable income
- $5,118
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$1,228
- After-tax cash flow
- $6,214/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Chico Unified
- NCES district ID
- 0608370
- Math proficiency
- 40% ▼ -2.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 70% ▲ 14.00%
- Median HH income
- $46,223
- Composite
- 46.45/100
- National rank
- #2443
- State rank
- #117 of 517 in CA
Livability — Chico
- Score
- 72/100
- State rank
- #195
- US rank
- #6332
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Chico, CA
- County
- Butte County · 175,030 people
- City population
- 117,007
- Metro
- Chico, CA
- Population (ZIP)
- 37,409
- Household income
- $64,949
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 3612.0
Population outlook (Butte County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 237,527 people
- By 2030
- 243,804 · +2.6%
- By 2040
- 253,899 · +6.9%
- By 2050
- 262,561 · +10.5%
- By 2075
- 283,709 · +19.4%
- By 2100
- 282,689 · +19.0%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (68%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 68% Hispanic / Latino 20% Two or more races 12% Asian 3% Black 2%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 18%
- Common ancestry
- Slovak 3% Lithuanian 3% Italian 3%
- Foreign-born
- 8% · Canada, China
- Languages at home
- 83% English-only · Spanish 12% Other Indo-European 2% Other Asian/Pacific 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Butte
- 2024 margin
- Toss-up / Even · D 46.8% · R 49.9% · Other 3.3%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -5.5pp toward R · 2008: 2.4pp · 2024: -3.1pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+3.1 2020: D+1.7 2016: R+4.0 2012: R+3.9 2008: D+2.4
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -313.43%
- Current HPI
- 251.1819
- Rent YoY
- ▲ 3.43%
- Metro
- Chico, CA
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 3.21%
- F500 in state
- 116
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in CA)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Technology | 27 | $1,492B |
|
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| Financial Services | 3 | $174B |
|
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| Retail | 3 | $44B |
|
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| Insurance | 3 | $26B |
|
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| Media / Entertainment | 2 | $115B |
|
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| Pharmaceuticals / Biotech | 2 | $62B |
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Price history
+100.0% since first listed8 events — show timeline
- 2026-05-12 Price Changed $160,000 CRMLS
- 2026-04-14 Price Changed $170,000 CRMLS
- 2026-03-20 Listed $180,000 CRMLS
- 2026-03-18 Coming Soon $180,000 CRMLS
- 2026-02-20 Listed $185,000 CRMLS
- 2013-03-08 Sold (MLS) $78,000 CRMLS
- 2013-02-14 Listing Removed — CRMLS
- 2012-11-21 Listed $80,000 CRMLS
Property tax history
+2.0%/yrLatest (2025): $1,024 · +6.5% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…