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8347 Union Grove Rd
C- Composite 54.65
Why this score? — see what drove the C- grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +18.9/30.0
  • ARV discount +14.7/15.0
  • DSCR +6.0/10.0
  • 1% rule +5.2/10.0
  • Rent growth +2.8/5.0
  • Livability +2.5/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Schools +2.1/10.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$255,000

8347 Union Grove Rd · Stonecrest, GA 30058
3 bd · 2.0 ba · 1,922 sqft · SingleFamily public records · 316 Days on market
Built 1976 1.10 ac lot $133/sqft · 16% below area Est $304k · 16% under

🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks MLS

**100% FINANCING AVAILABLE ON THIS HOME FOR QUALIFIED BUYERS** A beautifully renovated 5-bedroom, 2.5-bathroom home. This home features stylish updates including stainless steel kitchen appliances, granite countertops, and updated flooring throughout. Conveniently located near shopping, dining, and more! Do not miss this opportunity! Contact SouthState Bank (Amy Buynoski NMLS#545254) at 678-249-7457 for more information on 100% financing options. Advertised product assumes the purchase of a single-family primary residence, 600 minimum FICO, down payment of 0%, and loan amount up to the conforming loan amount limit. Buyer is free to shop financing offers from any lender to choose the best services and best rate.

Key facts

  • Large level lot
  • Updated flooring
  • Granite countertops

Tags

GRANITE COUNTERTOPSUPDATED FLOORINGLARGE LEVEL LOT

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 3-bed/2.0-bath single-family listed at $255k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $262 ($3k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($3k rent vs $255k).
  • Recommended offer: $224k (12.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
  • Cap rate 7.5% vs local median 5.1% in Stonecrest — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads: area grade C — affects rentability + tenant quality, not the cash-flow math above.
  • Dekalb County (suburban): math 19% / reading 28% proficiency, ranked #125 of 174 in GA (top 72%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 68% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
  • Market conditions: Rents rising (+1.2%/yr); 435 active listings in the ZIP; 4 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals leasing fast (median 5d on market — plan ~1-2 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 1,240 units permitted in DeKalb County in 2024 (385 in 5+ unit buildings).
  • At $2,594/mo this rent would consume 50% of the median local household income ($62k/yr) (locally 3471% of renters already pay >50% of income on rent) — very limited rent-growth headroom before tenants either downsize or default.

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $2k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $8k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • DeKalb County population projected at +28% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 316 days — a 12% lower offer ($224k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
  • 8 sale attempts since 13y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
  • Current owner paid $137k; list at $255k implies a 86% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Climate carrying-cost: moderate wind risk, 25% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→18/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Recommended offer $224,400 (12.0% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. It's been on market 316 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 12% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  2. Built in 1976 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  3. Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
  4. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  5. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  6. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  7. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
1.02%
Cap rate
7.52%
Cash-on-cash
4.40%
DSCR
1.20
GRM
8.2

CMA / ARV

ARV (median comp)
$303,834
List price
$255,000
Delta
-16.07%
Verdict
UNDERPRICED
Comps
20 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 7 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
8359 Union Grove Rd 0.03mi 3/2.5 1,872 (-3%) 5mo $230,000 $123 88
8332 Union Grove Rd 0.19mi 4/3.0 (+1) 2,079 (+8%) 6mo $525,000 $253 63
8450 Union Grove Rd 0.25mi 3/2.0 1,780 (-7%) 16mo $347,000 $195 62
2428 Harmony Ridge Ct 0.31mi 4/2.5 (+1) 2,110 (+10%) 11mo $289,900 $137 53
2975 Riviera Dr NW 0.54mi 3/2.0 2,112 (+10%) 17mo $254,000 $120 44
2372 Benson Rdg 0.30mi 4/2.5 (+1) 2,202 (+15%) 16mo $255,000 $116 42
2039 Monterey Dr 0.56mi 4/3.0 (+1) 1,860 (-3%) 23mo $360,000 $194 41

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 1.18% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
-11.5%
Equity multiple
0.59×
Total profit
$-29,274
Equity at exit
$38,021
10-year hold
IRR
-5.2%
Equity multiple
0.69×
Total profit
$-22,276
Equity at exit
$22,048

Cash invested: $71,400 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
State Georgia
90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+3
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
Magistrate court evictions in 10-30 days; no rent control; preempted; few tenant protections.

ZIP-level market 30058

Home prices YoY
-21.4%
Rents YoY
1.2%
Active inventory
435
Price-to-rent
8.2×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$2,594 medium interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$1,337
Tax from tax record
$344 /mo · $4,128/yr
Insurance
$106
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$545
Net cashflow
$262

Break-even live

Break-even rent $2,263
Max offer price $255,000
Occupancy floor 85%

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$63,750
Closing costs
$7,650
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 4 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
2902 Barcelona Way Conyers, GA 4.0 2.5 2510 $2,106 $0.84 5d 1 0.49mi
2243 Mason Pt Lithonia, GA 4.0 3.0 2588 $2,700 $1.04 1d 1 0.55mi
2500 Rockbridge Rd NW Unit 1569851P Conyers, GA 4.0 3.0 2594 $5,224 $2.01 3d 1 1.29mi
1831 Nicole Ln Lithonia, GA 4.0 2.0 2000 $1,975 $0.99 5d 1 1.35mi

Listing history 26 events

  1. 2025-07-15
    listed $255,000 New 722-char remark
    Show marketing remark (722 chars)

    **100% FINANCING AVAILABLE ON THIS HOME FOR QUALIFIED BUYERS** A beautifully renovated 5-bedroom, 2.5-bathroom home. This home features stylish updates including stainless steel kitchen appliances, granite countertops, and updated flooring throughout. Conveniently located near shopping, dining, and more! Do not miss this opportunity! Contact SouthState Bank (Amy Buynoski NMLS#545254) at 678-249-7457 for more information on 100% financing options. Advertised product assumes the purchase of a single-family primary residence, 600 minimum FICO, down payment of 0%, and loan amount up to the conforming loan amount limit. Buyer is free to shop financing offers from any lender to choose the best services and best rate.

  2. 2023-07-17
    historical
  3. 2020-09-15
    soldstatus $137,000
  4. 2020-09-09
    soldstatus $137,000 Sold 353-char remark
    Show marketing remark (353 chars)

    HUGE PRICE REDUCTION!!!! MOTIVATED SELLER!!!!! This lovely 5/2 bath home, located in a non-HOA neighborhood, has been completely updated/remodeled. Plenty of space for your dog to play in the partially fenced backyard. . All of this is located in a quiet neighborhood and just a short drive from all the amenities that Lithonia / Conyers has to offer.

  5. 2020-08-25
    status Under Contract 353-char remark
    Show marketing remark (353 chars)

    HUGE PRICE REDUCTION!!!! MOTIVATED SELLER!!!!! This lovely 5/2 bath home, located in a non-HOA neighborhood, has been completely updated/remodeled. Plenty of space for your dog to play in the partially fenced backyard. . All of this is located in a quiet neighborhood and just a short drive from all the amenities that Lithonia / Conyers has to offer.

  6. 2020-08-24
    listed $160,000 New 353-char remark
    Show marketing remark (353 chars)

    HUGE PRICE REDUCTION!!!! MOTIVATED SELLER!!!!! This lovely 5/2 bath home, located in a non-HOA neighborhood, has been completely updated/remodeled. Plenty of space for your dog to play in the partially fenced backyard. . All of this is located in a quiet neighborhood and just a short drive from all the amenities that Lithonia / Conyers has to offer.

  7. 2020-05-31
    historical
  8. 2020-03-17
    price $160,000
  9. 2020-01-05
    price $184,900
  10. 2019-11-30
    listed $194,900 New
  11. 2015-11-09
    historical
  12. 2015-08-27
    price $94,900
  13. 2015-08-06
    listed $96,500 New
  14. 2015-05-04
    historical
  15. 2015-03-02
    listed $114,999 New
  16. 2013-12-12
    price $40,000
  17. 2013-11-27
    soldstatus $40,000 Sold
  18. 2013-11-19
    status Under Contract
  19. 2013-11-19
    price $44,900
  20. 2013-11-01
    status Back On Market
  21. 2013-09-25
    status Under Contract
  22. 2013-08-29
    status Back On Market
  23. 2013-08-13
    status Under Contract
  24. 2013-07-31
    price $44,900 Reduced
  25. 2013-06-28
    listed $52,500 New
  26. 1994-09-29
    soldstatus $95,000

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast GA · Resets to sale price

Current annual tax
$4,128 · $344/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$4,128 · $344/mo
Expected delta
$0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (shaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 3/10 Moderate
  • 🌡 Heat 6/10 Major 7 d/yr ≥105°F today · 18 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 5/10 Major 25% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
  • 🫁 Air quality 5/10 Major 7 unhealthy d/yr today · 10 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$31,125
− Mortgage interest
−$14,284
− Property taxes
−$4,128
− Insurance
−$1,275
− Repairs & maintenance
−$2,490
− Management
−$2,490
− Depreciation
−$7,418
Taxable loss
−$960
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
+$231
After-tax cash flow
$3,369/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Dekalb County
NCES district ID
1301740
Math proficiency
19% ▼ -12.00%
Reading proficiency
28% ▼ -7.00%
Median HH income
$51,448
Composite
20.92/100
National rank
#8482
State rank
#125 of 174 in GA

Livability — Stonecrest

No livability data for this city. (Only ~50 U.S. cities are tracked.)

Census & demographics

County
Dekalb County · 782,738 people
City population
106,165
Metro
Atlanta-Sandy Springs-Alpharetta, GA
Population (ZIP)
62,614
Household income
$61,684
Rent vs Own
34.8% rent · 65.2% own
Severe rent burden
3471.0

Population outlook (DeKalb County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
839,977 people
By 2030
891,768 · +6.2%
By 2040
988,894 · +17.7%
By 2050
1,074,583 · +27.9%
By 2075
1,245,026 · +48.2%
By 2100
1,303,135 · +55.1%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly Black (91%)
Race & ethnicity
Black 91% Hispanic / Latino 3% White 3% Two or more races 3%
Common ancestry
Hispanic 0%
Foreign-born
12% · Canada, United Kingdom
Languages at home
93% English-only · Spanish 2% French/Haitian/Cajun 1%

Political lean MEDSL · DeKalb

2024 margin
Solid D (+64.8) · D 81.9% · R 17.1% · Other 1.0%
2008→2024 swing
+6.1pp toward D · 2008: 58.6pp · 2024: 64.8pp
All cycles
2024: D+64.8 2020: D+67.4 2016: D+64.8 2012: D+56.8 2008: D+58.6

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -60.90%
Current HPI
224.0366
Rent YoY
▲ 1.18%
Metro
Atlanta-Sandy Springs-Alpharetta, GA
State GDP YoY
▲ 2.66%
F500 in state
28

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in GA)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

+168.4% since first listed
26 events — show timeline
  • 2025-07-15 Listed $255,000 GAMLS
  • 2023-07-17 Rental Removed GAMLS
  • 2020-09-15 Sold (Public Records) $137,000 Public Records
  • 2020-09-09 Sold (MLS) $137,000 GAMLS
  • 2020-08-25 Pending GAMLS
  • 2020-08-24 Listed $160,000 GAMLS
  • 2020-05-31 Listing Removed GAMLS
  • 2020-03-17 Price Changed $160,000 GAMLS
  • 2020-01-05 Price Changed $184,900 GAMLS
  • 2019-11-30 Listed $194,900 GAMLS
  • 2015-11-09 Listing Removed GAMLS
  • 2015-08-27 Price Changed $94,900 GAMLS
  • 2015-08-06 Listed $96,500 GAMLS
  • 2015-05-04 Listing Removed GAMLS
  • 2015-03-02 Listed $114,999 GAMLS
  • 2013-12-12 Price Changed $40,000 GAMLS
  • 2013-11-27 Sold (MLS) $40,000 GAMLS
  • 2013-11-19 Pending GAMLS
  • 2013-11-19 Price Changed $44,900 GAMLS
  • 2013-11-01 Relisted GAMLS
  • 2013-09-25 Pending GAMLS
  • 2013-08-29 Relisted GAMLS
  • 2013-08-13 Pending GAMLS
  • 2013-07-31 Price Changed $44,900 GAMLS
  • 2013-06-28 Listed $52,500 GAMLS
  • 1994-09-29 Sold (Public Records) $95,000 Public Records

Property tax history

+4.0%/yr

Latest (2025): $4,128 · +0.1% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

Loading sold comps…