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705 Ellison Ave
B+ Composite 75.12
Why this score? — see what drove the B+ grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +30.0/30.0
  • ARV discount +15.0/15.0
  • 1% rule +10.0/10.0
  • DSCR +10.0/10.0
  • Livability +3.1/5.0
  • Rent growth +2.5/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Schools +2.1/10.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$89,900

705 Ellison Ave · Clanton, AL 35045
3 bd · 1.0 ba · 1,288 sqft · SingleFamily public records · 66 Days on market
Built 1956 1.84 ac lot $70/sqft · 41% below area Est $154k · 41% under

🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks MLS

Welcome to this inviting home located in the heart of Clanton! Situated on a quiet street & offers the perfect blend of comfort, convenience, and opportunity whether you're a first-time homebuyer, downsizing, or looking for your next investment property. Step inside to find a functional layout with plenty of natural light and a warm, welcoming feel throughout. The home features 3/1 with a possible 4th, a spacious living area, and a kitchen ready for your personal touch. With solid bones and great potential, this property gives you the chance to add value and make it truly your own. Outside, you’ll find a generous yard perfect for entertaining, pets, or future improvements. The location is hard to beat, just minutes from local schools, shopping, and everything Clanton has to offer.

Key facts

  • Generous yard
  • Spacious living area
  • Functional layout

Tags

GENEROUS YARDFUNCTIONAL LAYOUTSPACIOUS LIVING AREAMINUTES FROM LOCAL SCHOOLSMINUTES FROM SHOPPING

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 3-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $90k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $561 ($7k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $90k).
  • Recommended offer: $85k (6.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
  • Cap rate 13.8% vs local median 3.4% in Clanton — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 61/100 on livability (#259 in AL) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: schools D-, crime D-, amenities F.
  • Chilton County (rural): math 15% / reading 34% proficiency, ranked #94 of 129 in AL (top 73%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover.
  • Market conditions: 125 active listings in the ZIP; 5 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 24d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 25 units permitted in Chilton County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $622 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $3k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • Chilton County population projected at -10% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
  • At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $25k cash investment doubles in ~5 years — after that, you're playing with house money.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 66 days — a 6% lower offer ($85k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Watch-outs: built in 1956 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
  • Climate carrying-cost: major wind risk, 64% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→19/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Recommended offer $84,506 (6.0% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. It's been on market 66 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 6% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  2. Built in 1956 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  3. Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
  4. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  5. Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
  6. Crime grade is D in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
  7. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  8. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  9. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
1.58%
Cap rate
13.78%
Cash-on-cash
26.74%
DSCR
2.19
GRM
5.3

CMA / ARV

ARV (median comp)
$153,652
List price
$89,900
Delta
-41.49%
Verdict
UNDERPRICED
Comps
20 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 10 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
118 Park Dr N 0.39mi 3/2.0 1,245 (-3%) 7mo $230,000 $185 67
1407 8th St N 0.42mi 2/1.0 (-1) 1,274 (-1%) 10mo $129,900 $102 65
117 Park Dr N 0.37mi 2/2.0 (-1) 1,333 (+4%) 10mo $150,000 $113 60
128 Park Dr N 0.42mi 2/2.0 (-1) 1,312 (+2%) 12mo $173,750 $132 58
2003 Yellowleaf Rd 0.23mi 3/2.0 1,396 (+8%) 16mo $125,000 $90 58
809 14th Ave N 0.51mi 3/2.0 1,276 (-1%) 24mo $179,900 $141 51
169 Park Dr N 0.56mi 3/2.0 1,380 (+7%) 9mo $210,000 $152 50
120 Morris Ave 0.64mi 3/2.0 1,300 (+1%) 21mo $200,000 $154 47
120 Park Dr 0.40mi 3/2.0 1,470 (+14%) 21mo $212,000 $144 37
114 Morris Ave 0.59mi 3/1.0 1,107 (-14%) 23mo $132,000 $119 30

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
20.6%
Equity multiple
1.84×
Total profit
$21,138
Equity at exit
$13,404
10-year hold
IRR
28.8%
Equity multiple
3.56×
Total profit
$64,342
Equity at exit
$7,773

Cash invested: $25,172 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
State Alabama
90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+15
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
Right-to-evict in 7 days for non-payment; no rent control; preempted statewide; courts move quickly.

ZIP-level market 35045

Home prices YoY
-25.8%
Active inventory
125
Price-to-rent
5.3×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$1,421 high interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$471
Tax from tax record
$53 /mo · $635/yr
Insurance
$37
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$298
Net cashflow
$561

Break-even live

Break-even rent $711
Max offer price $89,900
Occupancy floor 56%

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$22,475
Closing costs
$2,697
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 5 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
57 Park Dr S Clanton, AL 3.0 2.0 1192 $1,200 $1.01 43d 1 0.49mi
85 Park Dr S Clanton, AL 2.0 2.5 1204 $1,395 $1.16 23d 1 0.56mi
87 Park Dr S Clanton, AL 3.0 2.5 1344 $1,495 $1.11 23d 1 0.57mi
89 Park Dr S Clanton, AL 3.0 2.5 1344 $1,495 $1.11 23d 1 0.57mi
91 Park Dr S Clanton, AL 2.0 2.5 1204 $1,395 $1.16 23d 1 0.58mi

Listing history 15 events

  1. 2026-06-18
    days on market $89,900 Active 66 DOM
  2. 2026-06-17
    days on market $89,900 Active 65 DOM
  3. 2026-06-16
    days on market $89,900 Active 64 DOM
  4. 2026-06-15
    days on market $89,900 Active 63 DOM
  5. 2026-06-13
    days on market $89,900 Active 61 DOM
  6. 2026-06-13
    days on market $89,900 Active 60 DOM
  7. 2026-06-10
    pricedays on market $89,900 Active 58 DOM
  8. 2026-06-09
    days on market $99,900 Active 57 DOM
  9. 2026-06-08
    days on market $99,900 Active 56 DOM
  10. 2026-06-07
    days on market $99,900 Active 55 DOM
  11. 2026-06-03
    days on market $99,900 Active 51 DOM
  12. 2026-06-02
    days on market $99,900 Active 50 DOM
  13. 2026-06-01
    days on market $99,900 Active 49 DOM
  14. 2026-05-31
    days on market $99,900 Active 48 DOM
  15. 2026-04-10
    listed $99,900 Active 803-char remark
    Show marketing remark (803 chars)

    Welcome to this inviting home located in the heart of Clanton! Situated on a quiet street & offers the perfect blend of comfort, convenience, and opportunity whether you're a first-time homebuyer, downsizing, or looking for your next investment property. Step inside to find a functional layout with plenty of natural light and a warm, welcoming feel throughout. The home features 3/1 with a possible 4th, a spacious living area, and a kitchen ready for your personal touch. With solid bones and great potential, this property gives you the chance to add value and make it truly your own. Outside, you’ll find a generous yard perfect for entertaining, pets, or future improvements. The location is hard to beat, just minutes from local schools, shopping, and everything Clanton has to offer.

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast AL · Resets to sale price

Current annual tax
$635 · $53/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$635 · $53/mo
Expected delta
$0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 3/10 Moderate
  • 🌡 Heat 6/10 Major 7 d/yr ≥106°F today · 19 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 6/10 Major 64% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
  • 🫁 Air quality 2/10 Low 1 unhealthy d/yr today · 3 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

Loading sold comps map…

Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$17,054
− Mortgage interest
−$5,036
− Property taxes
−$635
− Insurance
−$450
− Repairs & maintenance
−$1,364
− Management
−$1,364
− Depreciation
−$2,615
Taxable income
$5,589
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
−$1,341
After-tax cash flow
$5,389/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Chilton County
NCES district ID
0100660
Math proficiency
15% ▼ -26.00%
Reading proficiency
34% ▼ -5.00%
Median HH income
$41,269
Composite
20.73/100
National rank
#8520
State rank
#94 of 129 in AL

Livability — Clanton

Score
61/100
State rank
#259
US rank
#18072

Category grades

Amenities F Commute F Cost of living A+ Crime D- Employment F Housing A+ Health & safety F User ratings A+

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Clanton, AL
County
Chilton County · 15,324 people
City population
15,324
Metro
Birmingham-Hoover, AL
Population (ZIP)
15,324
Household income
$65,907
Rent vs Own
28.3% rent · 71.7% own
Severe rent burden
326.0

Population outlook (Chilton County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
44,064 people
By 2030
43,694 · -0.8%
By 2040
42,168 · -4.3%
By 2050
39,667 · -10.0%
By 2075
31,397 · -28.7%
By 2100
21,319 · -51.6%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly White (78%)
Race & ethnicity
White 78% Black 9% Hispanic / Latino 7% Two or more races 4% Asian 1%
Hispanic origin (detail)
Mexican 6%
Common ancestry
Slovak 2% Serbian 2% Italian 1%
Foreign-born
3% · Canada, South Korea
Languages at home
95% English-only · Spanish 4% Other Indo-European 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Chilton

2024 margin
Solid R (+72.1) · D 13.7% · R 85.8%
2008→2024 swing
-14.3pp toward R · 2008: -57.8pp · 2024: -72.1pp
All cycles
2024: R+72.1 2020: R+67.4 2016: R+66.6 2012: R+60.3 2008: R+57.8

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -65.21%
Current HPI
187.6339
Rent YoY
Metro
Birmingham-Hoover, AL
State GDP YoY
▲ 2.94%
F500 in state
4

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in AL)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

1 event — show timeline
  • 2026-04-10 Listed $99,900 Greater Alabama MLS

Property tax history

+7.9%/yr

Latest (2025): $635 · +7.9% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

Loading sold comps…