831 Kimberly Cir · Oberlin, OH 44074

$189,900

3 bd · 1.5 ba · 1,238 sqft · SingleFamily public records · 9 Days on market

Built 1961 0.76 ac lot Est $142k · 33% over

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Why this score? — see what drove the D grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

• Cash flow +19.6/30.0
• DSCR +6.2/10.0
• 1% rule +4.9/10.0
• Schools +4.2/10.0
• Livability +4.2/5.0
• Rent growth +2.5/5.0
• Condition / age +2.5/5.0
• ARV discount +0.0/15.0
• Appreciation +0.0/10.0

Listing remarks

Charming 3 bedroom, 1.5 bath bi-level in the heart of Oberlin, a vibrant college town known for its arts, culture, and community feel. Conveniently located just minutes from downtown shops, restaurants, parks, and Oberlin College, this home offers both small-town charm and everyday convenience. Situated on a large lot, plenty of outdoor space, and a finished basement this well-maintained home offers solid bones and endless potential. Inside, you’ll find spacious living areas, great natural light, and a functional layout ready for your personal touch. While some cosmetic updates could make it truly shine, major improvements have already been started with a newer roof (2025) and overall

Key facts

• Newer roof
• Large lot
• Finished basement

Tags

• FINISHED BASEMENT
• LARGE LOT
• OUTDOOR SPACE
• NEWER ROOF
• FUNCTIONAL LAYOUT

Property features AI

Exterior

• Parking: Attached garage; Driveway; Garage with 2 spaces
• Utilities: Public water; Public sewer
• Home design: 2-story house
• Construction: Brick and vinyl siding exterior; Asphalt fiberglass roof
• Exterior features: Enclosed porch; Patio; Porch

Interior

• Kitchen: Dishwasher; Range; Refrigerator
• Bedrooms: 3 main-level bedrooms
• Bathrooms: 1 full bathroom; 1 half bathroom; 1 main-level bathroom
• Heating & cooling: Central air conditioning; Forced air gas heating
• Interior features: Full finished basement; Total of 7 rooms

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

• This is a 3-bed/1.5-bath single-family listed at $190k.

Deal economics

• At list price, monthly cash flow is $217 ($3k/yr) — positive.
• The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
• To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $188k (1.0% below list).
• Recommended offer: $188k (1.0% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
• Cap rate 7.7% vs local median 4.0% in Oberlin — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

• Location reads 83/100 on livability (#62 in OH, #923 nationally) — a professional / high-income tenant draw. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+, amenities A; Watch: employment D+, commute F.
• Oberlin City Schools (town): math 41% / reading 56% proficiency, ranked #447 of 656 in OH (top 68%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
• Market conditions: 38 active listings in the ZIP; 1,098 units permitted in Lorain County in 2024 (20 in 5+ unit buildings).
• This rent runs 31% of the median local income ($74k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.

Forward outlook

• Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $1k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $6k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.

Negotiation context

• Only 9 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.

Recommended offer $188,015 (1.0% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

1. Built in 1961 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
2. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
3. Schools are A-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
4. The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
5. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
6. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
7. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

• 1% rule: 0.99% ✗
• Cap rate: 7.67%
• Cash-on-cash: 4.90%
• DSCR: 1.22
• GRM: 8.4

CMA / ARV

• ARV (on-the-fly): $142,370
• Comps found: 1

Show comp detail 1 sale within ~0.75 mi

Address	Dist	Beds/Ba	Sqft	Sold	Price	$/sf	Match
873 Kimberly Cir	0.09mi	3/1.5	1,176 (-5%)	22mo	$134,900	$115	69

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold

• IRR: -8.7%
• Equity multiple: 0.68×
• Total profit: $-16,933
• Equity at exit: $28,315

10-year hold

• IRR: 0.8%
• Equity multiple: 1.06×
• Total profit: $3,079
• Equity at exit: $16,419

Cash invested: $53,172 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

• Overall (STATE): 73 Landlord-Friendly
• State Ohio: 73 Landlord-Friendly · R+6
• County: — inherits STATE
• City: — inherits STATE

3-day notice; Cleveland / Columbus have some habitability code enforcement; otherwise landlord-leaning.

Methodology + full state rankings →

ZIP-level market 44074

• Home prices YoY: -25.8%
• Active inventory: 38
• Price-to-rent: 8.4×

Monthly cashflow live

• Estimated rent: $1,880 medium
• Mortgage (P&I): −$996
• Tax from tax record: −$193 /mo · $2,317/yr
• Insurance: −$79
• HOA: −$0
• Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt: −$395
• Net cashflow: $217

Break-even live

Break-even rent $1,605

Max offer price $189,900

Occupancy floor 83%

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

• Down payment: $47,475
• Closing costs: $5,697
• Reserves months: —
• Total cash needed: —

Listing history 6 events

1. 2026-06-18
   status $189,900 Pending 9 DOM
2. 2026-06-18
   days on market $189,900 Active 9 DOM
3. 2026-06-17
   days on market $189,900 Active 8 DOM
4. 2026-06-16
   days on market $189,900 Active 7 DOM
5. 2026-06-16
   status $189,900 Active 6 DOM
6. 2026-05-20
   listed $189,900 Active

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast OH · Partial reset (capped growth)

• Current annual tax: $2,317 · $193/mo
• Projected year-2 tax: $2,640 · $220/mo
• Expected delta: +$323/yr (+$27/mo · 13.9%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

• 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
• 🔥 Wildfire 1/10 Low
• 🌡 Heat 2/10 Low 7 d/yr ≥99°F today · 15 d/yr by 30 yrs out
• 💨 Wind 1/10 Low
• 🫁 Air quality 2/10 Low 1 unhealthy d/yr today · 2 by 30 yrs out

Taxation est. · year 1

• Rental income: $22,562
• − Mortgage interest: −$10,637
• − Property taxes: −$2,317
• − Insurance: −$950
• − Repairs & maintenance: −$1,805
• − Management: −$1,805
• − Depreciation: −$5,524
• Taxable loss: −$476
• Est. tax savings @ 24.0%: +$114
• After-tax cash flow: $2,722/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

• District: Oberlin City Schools
• NCES district ID: 3904459
• Math proficiency: 41% ▼ -21.00%
• Reading proficiency: 56% ▼ -7.00%
• Median HH income: $54,514
• Composite: 41.92/100
• National rank: #3362
• State rank: #447 of 656 in OH

Livability — Oberlin

• Score: 83/100
• State rank: #62
• US rank: #923

Category grades

Amenities A Commute F Cost of living A+ Crime A- Employment D+ Housing A+ Health & safety A User ratings A+

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

• Census place: Oberlin, OH
• County: Lorain · 305,041 people
• City population: 11,684
• Metro: Cleveland, OH
• Population (ZIP): 11,684
• Household income: $73,697
• Rent vs Own: 31.7% rent · 68.3% own
• Severe rent burden: 7.1

Population outlook (Lorain County) Hauer SSP2

• Today (2025): 314,924 people
• By 2030: 317,546 · +0.8%
• By 2040: 317,962 · +1.0%
• By 2050: 312,872 · -0.7%
• By 2075: 301,806 · -4.2%
• By 2100: 278,271 · -11.6%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

• Neighborhood character: Predominantly White (75%)
• Race & ethnicity: White 75% Two or more races 11% Black 9% Hispanic / Latino 6% Asian 3%
• Hispanic origin (detail): Mexican 2% Puerto Rican 2%
• Common ancestry: Romanian 5% Slovak 2% Lithuanian 2%
• Foreign-born: 4% · Canada, China
• Languages at home: 92% English-only · Spanish 3% Other Indo-European 1% Chinese 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Lorain

• 2024 margin: Lean R (+5.7) · D 46.7% · R 52.4%
• 2008→2024 swing: -23.6pp toward R · 2008: 17.9pp · 2024: -5.7pp
• All cycles: 2024: R+5.7 2020: R+2.5 2016: R+0.3 2012: D+14.4 2008: D+17.9

Not yet ingested

• Civics: —

Market trends

• HPI YoY: ▼ -72.36%
• Current HPI: 208.1653
• Rent YoY: —
• Metro: —
• State GDP YoY: ▲ 1.98%
• F500 in state: 48

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in OH)

Industry	F500 HQs	Revenue
▸Insurance	3	$145B
▸Industrial Machinery	3	$49B
▸Financial Services	3	$24B
▸Consumer Goods	2	$93B
▸Aerospace / Defense	2	$47B
▸Utilities	2	$33B

Price history

1 event — show timeline

• 2026-05-20 Listed $189,900 MLSNOW

Property tax history

+3.8%/yr

Latest (2025): $2,317 · -21.4% YoY. Source: county tax records.