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14-23 31 Ave Unit 4C
C+ Composite 61.25
Why this score? — see what drove the C+ grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +19.5/30.0
  • 1% rule +8.1/10.0
  • ARV discount +7.5/15.0
  • DSCR +6.1/10.0
  • Appreciation +5.1/10.0
  • Schools +5.0/10.0
  • Livability +3.8/5.0
  • Rent growth +3.7/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0

$394,000

14-23 31 Ave Unit 4C · New York, NY 11102
1 bd · 1.0 ba · 590 sqft · Condo · 112 Days on market
Built 1988 ↓ 6% since listing

🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks

Renovated 1 Bedroom in Hot Location in Astoria freshly painted close to New Ferry Transportation and Sculpture Park. Heat, hot water and gas included for cooking. Sunny apartment, Elevator, Storage room, Laundry Room jacuzzi in the bathroom SORRY NO PETS owner motivated, Additional information: Appearance:Excellent

Key facts

  • Storage room
  • Renovated
  • Laundry room

Tags

RENOVATEDNEW FERRY TRANSPORTATIONSCULPTURE PARKELEVATORSTORAGE ROOMLAUNDRY ROOM

Property features AI

Finance

  • HOA & community: Building amenities include elevator(s); Association fee includes hot water, trash, and water

Exterior

  • Parking: No carport; Other parking features
  • Utilities: Public sewer; Trash collection (public)
  • Home design: Stock cooperative; Four-story building; Entry on 4th floor
  • Construction: Brick construction
  • Exterior features: Brick exterior; Non-waterfront

Interior

  • Kitchen: Refrigerator
  • Bedrooms: One bedroom (entry level: 4)
  • Bathrooms: One full bathroom
  • Heating & cooling: Natural gas heat; Steam heat; Wall/window air conditioning unit(s)
  • Interior features: Elevator; Three total rooms
  • Laundry & utility: Laundry in basement

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 1-bed/1.0-bath condo listed at $394k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $444 ($5k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($5k rent vs $394k).
  • Recommended offer: $359k (9.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
  • Cap rate 7.6% vs local median 2.6% in New York — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 75/100 on livability (#268 in NY, #4,188 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: amenities A+, commute A+, health & safety A; Watch: crime F, cost of living F.
  • Market conditions: Rents rising fast (+4.8%/yr); 114 active listings in the ZIP; 35 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 19d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); solid renter incomes; 5,302 units permitted in Queens County in 2024 (4,918 in 5+ unit buildings).
  • At $5,168/mo this rent would consume 64% of the median local household income ($97k/yr) (locally 2407% of renters already pay >50% of income on rent) — very limited rent-growth headroom before tenants either downsize or default.

Forward outlook

  • In year one you build about $3k of equity ($3k loan paydown + $647 appreciation (0.2% local appreciation)).
  • Queens County population projected at +16% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
  • At projected returns (0.2% appreciation + 4.8% rent growth), your $110k cash investment doubles in ~8 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
  • By year 8, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$33k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 112 days — a 9% lower offer ($359k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
  • 3 sale attempts since 6y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Climate carrying-cost: major flood risk; major wind risk, 27% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→15/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Recommended offer $358,540 (9.0% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. It's been on market 112 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 9% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  2. What does the HOA fee cover, when was the last increase, and are there any pending special assessments or reserve-fund shortfalls?
  3. Any open or pending special assessments — roof, HVAC, plumbing, elevator, façade? What's the per-unit balance and payoff schedule, and is the seller paying it off at close or rolling it to the buyer?
  4. Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
  5. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  6. Schools are B-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
  7. Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
  8. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  9. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  10. How much new apartment / multifamily construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply (>2% of stock underway) typically softens rents 12–24 months out; light construction supports rent growth.

Investment metrics

1% rule
1.31%
Cap rate
7.65%
Cash-on-cash
4.83%
DSCR
1.21
GRM
6.4

CMA / ARV

No comps found within radius.

Projected returns pro-forma

0.16% appreciation · 4.79% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
5.5%
Equity multiple
1.27×
Total profit
$29,912
Equity at exit
$117,649
10-year hold
IRR
12.2%
Equity multiple
2.46×
Total profit
$160,539
Equity at exit
$144,034

Cash invested: $110,320 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (CITY)
0 Strongly Tenant-Friendly
State New York
15 Strongly Tenant-Friendly · D+10
County
— inherits STATE
City New York
0 Strongly Tenant-Friendly · D+34
Rent Stabilization Code; HSTPA; 6+ months in housing court.

ZIP-level market 11102

Home prices YoY
0.1%
Rents YoY
4.8%
Active inventory
114
Price-to-rent
6.4×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$5,168 high interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$2,066
Tax est. 1.5%
$492 /mo · $5,910/yr
Insurance
$164
HOA est. from 1 same-building comp
$916
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$1,085
Net cashflow
$444

Break-even live

Break-even rent $4,606
Max offer price $394,000
Occupancy floor 86%

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$98,500
Closing costs
$11,820
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 35 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
1420 27th Ave Astoria, NY 1.0–2.0 1.0–2.0 887 $3,237 $3.65 4d 9 0.35mi
888 Main St New York, NY 1.0–3.0 1.0–2.0 963 $4,431 $4.60 6d 7 0.68mi
3705 30th St Long Island City, NY 2.0 1.0–2.0 700 $4,840 $6.91 11d 3 0.90mi
515 E 86th St Unit 1760 New York, NY 1.0 1.0 485 $5,420 $11.18 3d 1 0.97mi
515 E 86th St Unit 589 New York, NY 1.0 1.0 695 $6,070 $8.73 20d 1 0.97mi
501 1/2 E 83rd St #1998 New York, NY 2.0 1.0 525 $4,710 $8.97 25d 2 0.98mi
501 E 87th St #2094 New York, NY 1.0 1.0 618 $7,890 $12.77 2d 2 1.00mi
1567 York Ave Unit 1021866P New York, NY 2.0 1.0 742 $5,910 $7.96 22d 1 1.02mi
420 E 80th St #198 New York, NY 1.0 1.0 623 $4,760 $7.64 19d 1 1.09mi
515 E 72nd St Unit 17D New York, NY 1.0 1.0 687 $5,500 $8.01 25d 1 1.15mi
34-35 44th St Astoria, NY 1.0–2.0 1.0–2.0 613 $3,576 $5.83 2d 26 1.15mi
354 E 91st St #648 New York, NY 1.0–2.0 1.0 692 $5,600 $8.09 2d 2 1.20mi
347 E 78th St Unit 1460467P New York, NY 2.0 1.0 645 $7,606 $11.79 25d 1 1.23mi
347 E 78th St Unit 1530420P New York, NY 2.0 1.0 645 $6,270 $9.72 22d 1 1.23mi
315 E 86th St Unit 1327 New York, NY 1.0 2.0 726 $6,460 $8.90 25d 1 1.24mi
345 E 94th St #1470 New York, NY 2.0 1.0–2.0 710 $5,645 $7.95 4d 3 1.26mi
315 E 78th St Unit 1021994P New York, NY 1.0 1.0 441 $5,037 $11.42 21d 1 1.27mi
315 E 78th St Unit 1021894P New York, NY 1.0 1.0 548 $5,643 $10.30 22d 1 1.27mi
315 E 78th St Unit 1021847P New York, NY 1.0 1.0 516 $4,880 $9.46 20d 1 1.27mi
1373 1st Ave Unit 1952 New York, NY 2.0 2.0 650 $7,260 $11.17 25d 1 1.28mi
301 E 79th St Unit 28P New York, NY 1.0 1.0 700 $5,500 $7.86 25d 1 1.28mi
308 E 78th St #2024 New York, NY 1.0–2.0 1.0 550 $4,610 $8.38 25d 2 1.30mi
244 E 86th St #604 New York, NY 1.0–2.0 1.0–2.0 950 $4,920 $5.18 4d 2 1.31mi
235 E 89th St Unit 1495783P New York, NY 2.0 1.0 699 $7,443 $10.65 21d 1 1.32mi
403 E 69th St #1518 New York, NY 1.0–3.0 1.0 745 $3,990 $5.36 25d 3 1.36mi
1290 1st Ave #1499 New York, NY 2.0 1.0 671 $6,100 $9.09 3d 2 1.38mi
231 E 76th St #1530 New York, NY 1.0 1.0 650 $6,470 $9.95 21d 1 1.39mi
200 E 82nd St #505 New York, NY 2.0 1.0 636 $6,715 $10.55 2d 3 1.41mi
201 E 86th St #298 New York, NY 1.0–2.0 1.0–1.5 700 $7,210 $10.30 4d 2 1.41mi
240e E 75th St Unit 1021873P New York, NY 1.0 441 $5,227 $11.85 5d 1 1.41mi
240e E 75th St Unit 1021876P New York, NY 1.0 441 $5,981 $13.56 8d 1 1.41mi
200 E 89th St Unit 12G New York, NY 1.0 1.0 650 $5,000 $7.69 18d 1 1.42mi
215 E 95th St #1293 New York, NY 1.0–2.0 1.0–1.5 740 $5,520 $7.46 2d 2 1.46mi
400 E 66th St Unit 1016404P New York, NY 1.0–2.0 1.0–2.0 791 $10,597 $13.40 4d 2 1.48mi
215 E 96th St Unit 688 New York, NY 1.0 1.0 717 $7,960 $11.10 3d 1 1.49mi

HOA detail condo

Monthly dues
$0 · $0/yr
Likely covers
watergas
Assessments
None detected in remarks — confirm with the listing agent.

Listing history 18 events

  1. 2026-06-18
    days on market $394,000 Active 112 DOM
  2. 2026-06-17
    days on market $394,000 Active 111 DOM
  3. 2026-06-15
    days on market $394,000 Active 109 DOM
  4. 2026-06-13
    days on market $394,000 Active 107 DOM
  5. 2026-06-10
    days on market $394,000 Active 103 DOM
  6. 2026-06-08
    days on market $394,000 Active 102 DOM
  7. 2026-06-08
    days on market $394,000 Active 101 DOM
  8. 2026-06-04
    days on market $394,000 Active 98 DOM
  9. 2026-06-03
    days on market $394,000 Active 97 DOM
  10. 2026-06-01
    days on market $394,000 Active 95 DOM
  11. 2026-05-31
    days on market $394,000 Active 94 DOM
  12. 2026-05-20
    price $394,000
  13. 2026-02-26
    listed $399,000 Active
  14. 2020-07-30
    historical
  15. 2020-05-28
    status Active
  16. 2020-05-24
    historical
  17. 2020-02-06
    price $399,000
  18. 2020-01-28
    listed $419,000 New

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 6/10 Major FEMA zone X (shaded) · 53% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 1/10 Low
  • 🌡 Heat 6/10 Major 7 d/yr ≥99°F today · 15 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 6/10 Major 27% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
  • 🫁 Air quality 4/10 Moderate 5 unhealthy d/yr today · 6 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

Loading sold comps map…

Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

Loading nearby amenities…

Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$62,017
− Mortgage interest
−$22,070
− Property taxes
−$5,910
− Insurance
−$1,970
− Repairs & maintenance
−$4,961
− Management
−$4,961
− HOA
−$10,992
− Depreciation
−$11,462
Taxable loss
−$310
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
+$74
After-tax cash flow
$5,402/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

No district data.

Livability — New York

Score
75/100
State rank
#268
US rank
#4188

Category grades

Amenities A+ Commute A+ Cost of living F Crime F Employment A- Housing C+ Health & safety A User ratings A

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
New York, NY
County
Queens County · 1,914,869 people
City population
7,731,280
Metro
New York-Newark-Jersey City, NY-NJ-PA
Population (ZIP)
28,503
Household income
$96,617
Rent vs Own
86.6% rent · 13.4% own
Severe rent burden
2407.0

Population outlook (Queens County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
2,546,320 people
By 2030
2,643,059 · +3.8%
By 2040
2,815,563 · +10.6%
By 2050
2,944,423 · +15.6%
By 2075
3,123,338 · +22.7%
By 2100
3,098,688 · +21.7%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.69)
Race & ethnicity
White 47% Hispanic / Latino 26% Asian 15% Two or more races 12% Black 6%
Hispanic origin (detail)
Mexican 4% Puerto Rican 5% Dominican 3%
Common ancestry
Romanian 2% Lithuanian 1% Italian 1%
Foreign-born
34% · Canada, China, Jamaica
Languages at home
55% English-only · Spanish 21% Other Indo-European 14% Russian/Polish/Slavic 3%

Political lean MEDSL · Queens

2024 margin
Strong D (+24.6) · D 62.3% · R 37.7%
2008→2024 swing
-26.2pp toward R · 2008: 50.8pp · 2024: 24.6pp
All cycles
2024: D+24.6 2020: D+45.2 2016: D+53.4 2012: D+58.5 2008: D+50.8

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▲ 0.16%
Current HPI
144.3118
Rent YoY
▲ 4.79%
Metro
New York-Newark-Jersey City, NY-NJ-PA
State GDP YoY
▲ 2.60%
F500 in state
92

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in NY)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

-6.0% since first listed
7 events — show timeline
  • 2026-05-20 Price Changed $394,000 OneKey® MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2026-02-26 Listed $399,000 OneKey® MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2020-07-30 Listing Removed OneKey® MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2020-05-28 Relisted OneKey® MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2020-05-24 Listing Removed OneKey® MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2020-02-06 Price Changed $399,000 OneKey® MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2020-01-28 Listed $419,000 OneKey® MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

Loading sold comps…