96533 Commodore Point Dr · Yulee, FL
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 4/10 · Minor
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $947 – $1,759
Heat risk 9/10 · Severe
- Hot days now (above 106°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 20 days/yr
Wind risk 9/10 · Severe
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 99.0%
Air-quality risk 4/10 · Minor
- Unhealthy air days now
- 5 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 6 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the D- grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Appreciation +10.0/10.0
- Cash flow +6.6/30.0
- Schools +6.0/10.0
- ARV discount +4.8/15.0
- Livability +3.3/5.0
- Rent growth +3.2/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- 1% rule +1.8/10.0
- DSCR +0.8/10.0
$330,000
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
Private, fenced property surrounded on three sides by nature preserve, this adorable house is in mint condition and meticulously maintained. Recently painted interior/exterior and no carpet in the house, it is fresh, clean and ready for a new owner. The kitchen has a large island overlooking the breakfast nook and family room for open concept living and entertaining. The primary bedroom is spacious with a double trey ceiling and his/her closets. CDD FEE IS PAID IN FULL. Conveniently located near the beautiful beaches of Amelia Island and charming, historic downtown, Jacksonville International Airport and the Naval Submarine Base Kings Bay.
Key facts
- Double closets
- Tall upper cabinets
- Granite countertops
Tags
Property features AI
Finance
- HOA & community: Homeowners association with an annual fee of $100
Exterior
- Parking: Two-car garage; Two car garage listed as parking feature
- Utilities: Public water; Public sewer
- Home design: Single-story home; Resale property; Frame and stucco construction; Shingle roof; Planned Unit Development (PUD) zoning
- Construction: Frame and stucco construction; Shingle roof
- Exterior features: Fenced yard; Rear porch; Deck; Paved road frontage; Lot dimensions approximately 53 x 110; Preservation frontage
Interior
- Kitchen: Oven; Stove; Dishwasher; Refrigerator
- Bedrooms: Two bedrooms
- Flooring: Plank vinyl flooring throughout main living areas and bedrooms; Tile flooring in the kitchen
- Bathrooms: Two full bathrooms
- Heating & cooling: Central electric heating; Central electric air conditioning
- Interior features: Ceiling fan(s); Window treatments; Vinyl windows; Blinds
- Laundry & utility: Washer; Dryer
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 3-bed/2.0-bath single-family listed at $330k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $-545 ($-7k/yr) — negative.
- To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $234k (29.2% below list).
- To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $224k (32.2% below list).
- Recommended offer: $224k (32.2% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
- Cap rate 4.3% vs local median 3.3% in Yulee — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 66/100 on livability (#605 in FL) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: housing A+, cost of living A-, crime B+; Watch: amenities F, commute F, health & safety F.
- Nassau (town): math 74% / reading 65% proficiency, ranked #4 of 73 in FL (top 6%) — acceptable for families but not a draw, mixed tenant base, ~2y average lease.
- Market conditions: Rents rising (+2.9%/yr); 601 active listings in the ZIP; 8 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals leasing fast (median 13d on market — plan ~1-2 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); solid renter incomes; 953 units permitted in Nassau County in 2024 (24 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- In year one you build about $35k of equity ($2k loan paydown + $33k appreciation (10.0% local appreciation)).
- Nassau County population projected at +17% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
- By year 2, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$57k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 95 days — a 9% lower offer ($300k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 6 sale attempts since 6y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
Risks & watch-outs
- Climate carrying-cost: severe wind risk, 99% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→20/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
- It's been on market 95 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 32% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- What does the HOA fee cover, when was the last increase, and are there any pending special assessments or reserve-fund shortfalls?
- Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are B-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
- The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 0.68% ✗
- Cap rate
- 4.31%
- Cash-on-cash
- -7.08%
- DSCR
- 0.68
- GRM
- 12.3
CMA / ARV
- ARV (on-the-fly)
- $311,168
- Comps found
- 12
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 96055 Aqua Vista Ct | 0.24mi | 3/2.0 | 1,449 (+3%) | 3mo | $292,000 | $202 | 81 |
| 96712 Commodore Point Dr | 0.33mi | 3/2.0 | 1,362 (-3%) | 2mo | $295,000 | $217 | 78 |
| 96028 Aqua Vista Ct | 0.26mi | 3/2.0 | 1,331 (-6%) | 11mo | $300,000 | $225 | 69 |
| 94055 Last Ln | 0.51mi | 3/2.0 | 1,415 (+0%) | 7mo | $320,000 | $226 | 69 |
| 96051 Bass Ln | 0.24mi | 3/2.0 | 1,503 (+7%) | 11mo | $330,000 | $220 | 68 |
| 96002 Coral Reef Rd | 0.30mi | 3/2.0 | 1,495 (+6%) | 11mo | $329,900 | $221 | 66 |
| 94037 Last Ln | 0.50mi | 3/2.0 | 1,504 (+7%) | 1mo | $350,000 | $233 | 65 |
| 96004 Gray Heron Ct | 0.34mi | 3/2.0 | 1,556 (+10%) | 6mo | $327,500 | $210 | 62 |
| 97560 Albatross Dr | 0.47mi | 3/2.0 | 1,537 (+9%) | 2mo | $344,000 | $224 | 61 |
| 97512 Albatross Dr | 0.41mi | 3/2.0 | 1,537 (+9%) | 6mo | $320,000 | $208 | 61 |
| 97615 Albatross Dr | 0.54mi | 3/2.0 | 1,506 (+7%) | 11mo | $345,000 | $229 | 54 |
| 95886 Graylon Dr | 0.55mi | 4/2.0 (+1) | 1,514 (+8%) | 5mo | $280,000 | $185 | 52 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
10.0% appreciation · 2.88% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 19.3%
- Equity multiple
- 2.57×
- Total profit
- $144,770
- Equity at exit
- $297,290
- IRR
- 17.7%
- Equity multiple
- 5.90×
- Total profit
- $453,203
- Equity at exit
- $641,117
Cash invested: $92,400 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State Florida
- 87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+3
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 32097
- Home prices YoY
- 19.5%
- Rents YoY
- 2.9%
- Active inventory
- 601
- Price-to-rent
- 12.3×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $2,236 high interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$1,731
- Tax from tax record
- −$436 /mo · $5,228/yr
- Insurance
- −$138
- HOA
- −$8
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$470
- Net cashflow
- $-545
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $-359 | -5% $-452 | +0% $-545 | +5% $-639 | +10% $-732 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $-722 | -5% $-634 | +0% $-545 | +5% $-457 | +10% $-369 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $-379 | -0.5pp $-462 | base $-545 | +0.5pp $-631 | +1.0pp $-718 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $82,500
- Closing costs
- $9,900
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 8 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 96008 Coral Reef Rd Yulee, FL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1213 | $1,875 | $1.55 | 9d | 1 | 0.28mi |
| 96095 Tidal Bay Ct Yulee, FL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1495 | $2,100 | $1.40 | 12d | 1 | 0.33mi |
| 96045 Tidal Bay Ct Yulee, FL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1243 | $1,809 | $1.46 | 25d | 1 | 0.37mi |
| 96043 Starlight Ln Yulee, FL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1499 | $2,099 | $1.40 | 25d | 1 | 0.45mi |
| 86195 Courtney Isles Way Yulee, FL | 1.0–3.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 1116 | $2,096 | $1.88 | 3d | 9 | 0.70mi |
| 96013 Waters Ct Fernandina Beach, FL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1628 | $2,395 | $1.47 | 6d | 1 | 1.23mi |
| 85041 Christian Way Yulee, FL | 1.0–3.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 1102 | $2,245 | $2.04 | 3d | 20 | 1.33mi |
| 85041 Christian Way Yulee, FL | 1.0–3.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 1102 | $2,151 | $1.95 | 25d | 24 | 1.33mi |
HOA detail
- Monthly dues
- $8 · $96/yr
Listing history 32 events
-
2026-06-21days on market $330,000 Active 95 DOM
-
2026-06-18days on market $330,000 Active 92 DOM
-
2026-06-17days on market $330,000 Active 91 DOM
-
2026-06-16days on market $330,000 Active 90 DOM
-
2026-06-15days on market $330,000 Active 89 DOM
-
2026-06-13days on market $330,000 Active 87 DOM
-
2026-06-13days on market $330,000 Active 86 DOM
-
2026-06-09days on market $330,000 Active 83 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $330,000 Active 82 DOM
-
2026-06-07days on market $330,000 Active 81 DOM
-
2026-06-05days on market $330,000 Active 78 DOM
-
2026-06-03days on market $330,000 Active 77 DOM
-
2026-06-02days on market $330,000 Active 76 DOM
-
2026-06-01days on market $330,000 Active 75 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $330,000 Active 74 DOM
-
2026-04-21price $330,000
-
2026-03-18$335,000 Active
-
2022-06-06soldstatus $375,000
-
2022-06-03soldstatus $375,000 647-char remark
Show marketing remark (647 chars)
Private, fenced property surrounded on three sides by nature preserve, this adorable house is in mint condition and meticulously maintained. Recently painted interior/exterior and no carpet in the house, it is fresh, clean and ready for a new owner. The kitchen has a large island overlooking the breakfast nook and family room for open concept living and entertaining. The primary bedroom is spacious with a double trey ceiling and his/her closets. CDD FEE IS PAID IN FULL. Conveniently located near the beautiful beaches of Amelia Island and charming, historic downtown, Jacksonville International Airport and the Naval Submarine Base Kings Bay.
-
2022-05-10$375,000 647-char remark
Show marketing remark (647 chars)
Private, fenced property surrounded on three sides by nature preserve, this adorable house is in mint condition and meticulously maintained. Recently painted interior/exterior and no carpet in the house, it is fresh, clean and ready for a new owner. The kitchen has a large island overlooking the breakfast nook and family room for open concept living and entertaining. The primary bedroom is spacious with a double trey ceiling and his/her closets. CDD FEE IS PAID IN FULL. Conveniently located near the beautiful beaches of Amelia Island and charming, historic downtown, Jacksonville International Airport and the Naval Submarine Base Kings Bay.
-
2021-10-21soldstatus $298,000 Sold 536-char remark
Show marketing remark (536 chars)
One of the most special homes in Heron Isles with Preserve areas on 3 sides! Beautifully landscaped fenced yard, creating an abundance of privacy. Open floor plan flows nicely between living, kitchen and dining areas. Tall wood cabinets with soft close drawers, pantry and stainless appliances. Counters and fixtures are upgraded in kitchen and bathrooms.Back deck for grilling and o the left is a privacy panel and awning. Garage is being used as a outdoor space with a screen enclosure. Hot tub is negotiable outside of the contract.
-
2021-10-21soldstatus $298,000
Show marketing remark (536 chars)
One of the most special homes in Heron Isles with Preserve areas on 3 sides! Beautifully landscaped fenced yard, creating an abundance of privacy. Open floor plan flows nicely between living, kitchen and dining areas. Tall wood cabinets with soft close drawers, pantry and stainless appliances. Counters and fixtures are upgraded in kitchen and bathrooms.Back deck for grilling and o the left is a privacy panel and awning. Garage is being used as a outdoor space with a screen enclosure. Hot tub is negotiable outside of the contract.
-
2021-10-21soldstatus $298,000
Show marketing remark (536 chars)
One of the most special homes in Heron Isles with Preserve areas on 3 sides! Beautifully landscaped fenced yard, creating an abundance of privacy. Open floor plan flows nicely between living, kitchen and dining areas. Tall wood cabinets with soft close drawers, pantry and stainless appliances. Counters and fixtures are upgraded in kitchen and bathrooms.Back deck for grilling and o the left is a privacy panel and awning. Garage is being used as a outdoor space with a screen enclosure. Hot tub is negotiable outside of the contract.
-
2021-09-23status Pending 536-char remark
Show marketing remark (536 chars)
One of the most special homes in Heron Isles with Preserve areas on 3 sides! Beautifully landscaped fenced yard, creating an abundance of privacy. Open floor plan flows nicely between living, kitchen and dining areas. Tall wood cabinets with soft close drawers, pantry and stainless appliances. Counters and fixtures are upgraded in kitchen and bathrooms.Back deck for grilling and o the left is a privacy panel and awning. Garage is being used as a outdoor space with a screen enclosure. Hot tub is negotiable outside of the contract.
-
2021-09-16$297,000 Active 536-char remark
Show marketing remark (536 chars)
One of the most special homes in Heron Isles with Preserve areas on 3 sides! Beautifully landscaped fenced yard, creating an abundance of privacy. Open floor plan flows nicely between living, kitchen and dining areas. Tall wood cabinets with soft close drawers, pantry and stainless appliances. Counters and fixtures are upgraded in kitchen and bathrooms.Back deck for grilling and o the left is a privacy panel and awning. Garage is being used as a outdoor space with a screen enclosure. Hot tub is negotiable outside of the contract.
-
2021-09-09$297,000
-
2020-08-10soldstatus $220,000
-
2020-08-07soldstatus $220,000
-
2020-06-12$215,000
-
2020-06-05$215,000
-
2010-12-20soldstatus $484,500
-
2006-05-24soldstatus $2,220,000
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast FL · Resets to sale price
- Current annual tax
- $5,228 · $436/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $5,228 · $436/mo
- Expected delta
- $0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 4/10 Moderate
- Heat 9/10 Extreme 7 d/yr ≥106°F today · 20 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 9/10 Extreme 99% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 4/10 Moderate 5 unhealthy d/yr today · 6 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $26,829
- − Mortgage interest
- −$18,485
- − Property taxes
- −$5,228
- − Insurance
- −$1,650
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$2,146
- − Management
- −$2,146
- − HOA
- −$96
- − Depreciation
- −$9,600
- Taxable loss
- −$12,522
- Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
- +$3,005
- After-tax cash flow
- $-3,540/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Nassau
- NCES district ID
- 1201350
- Math proficiency
- 74% ▼ -2.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 65% ▼ -2.00%
- Median HH income
- $58,267
- Composite
- 59.79/100
- National rank
- #899
- State rank
- #4 of 73 in FL
Livability — Yulee
- Score
- 66/100
- State rank
- #605
- US rank
- #11615
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Yulee, FL
- County
- Nassau County · 67,729 people
- City population
- 979,034
- Metro
- Jacksonville, FL
- Population (ZIP)
- 26,700
- Household income
- $93,161
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 404.0
Population outlook (Nassau County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 88,419 people
- By 2030
- 92,679 · +4.8%
- By 2040
- 99,257 · +12.3%
- By 2050
- 103,378 · +16.9%
- By 2075
- 109,726 · +24.1%
- By 2100
- 107,006 · +21.0%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (75%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 75% Two or more races 9% Black 9% Hispanic / Latino 8% Asian 1% Native American 1%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 2% Puerto Rican 2%
- Common ancestry
- Lithuanian 4% Italian 3% Romanian 2%
- Foreign-born
- 4% · Canada, Vietnam
- Languages at home
- 93% English-only · Spanish 5% Vietnamese 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Nassau
- 2024 margin
- Solid R (+46.9) · D 26.1% · R 73.1%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -3.1pp toward R · 2008: -43.8pp · 2024: -46.9pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+46.9 2020: R+45.9 2016: R+50.2 2012: R+48.6 2008: R+43.8
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▲ 49.35%
- Current HPI
- 301.9299
- Rent YoY
- ▲ 2.88%
- Metro
- Jacksonville, FL
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 3.28%
- F500 in state
- 36
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in FL)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Industrial Technology | 2 | $29B |
|
||
| Insurance | 2 | $17B |
|
||
| Retail | 1 | $60B |
|
||
| Technology Distribution | 1 | $58B |
|
||
| Homebuilding | 1 | $35B |
|
||
| Technology Manufacturing | 1 | $35B |
|
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Price history
-85.1% since first listed17 events — show timeline
- 2026-04-21 Price Changed $330,000 AINCAR
- 2026-03-18 Listed $335,000 AINCAR
- 2022-06-06 Sold (Public Records) $375,000 Public Records
- 2022-06-03 Sold (MLS) $375,000 AINCAR
- 2022-05-10 Listed $375,000 AINCAR
- 2021-10-21 Sold (Public Records) $298,000 Public Records
- 2021-10-21 Sold (MLS) $298,000 AINCAR
- 2021-10-21 Sold (MLS) $298,000 realMLS
- 2021-09-23 Pending — realMLS
- 2021-09-16 Listed $297,000 realMLS
- 2021-09-09 Listed $297,000 AINCAR
- 2020-08-10 Sold (Public Records) $220,000 Public Records
- 2020-08-07 Sold (MLS) $220,000 realMLS
- 2020-06-12 Listed $215,000 AINCAR
- 2020-06-05 Listed $215,000 realMLS
- 2010-12-20 Sold (Public Records) $484,500 Public Records
- 2006-05-24 Sold (Public Records) $2,220,000 Public Records
Property tax history
+12.2%/yrLatest (2025): $5,228 · +11.3% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…