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405 S 4th St
B Composite 74.23
Why this score? — see what drove the B grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +30.0/30.0
  • 1% rule +10.0/10.0
  • DSCR +10.0/10.0
  • ARV discount +7.5/15.0
  • Appreciation +5.0/10.0
  • Schools +3.7/10.0
  • Livability +3.0/5.0
  • Rent growth +2.5/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0

$60,000

405 S 4th St · Milan, MN 56262
3 bd · 2.0 ba · 1,050 sqft · SingleFamily · 16 Days on market
Built 1928 0.25 ac lot

🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks

This property has character with 3 bedrooms and 2 full bathrooms. Hardwood floors, natural light, main floor laundry, lots of storage space. This property sits on a corner lot with lots of yard space and a detached garage. This property has lots of potential!

Key facts

  • 0.25 acre lot
  • 2 garage spots
  • Built 1928

Property features AI

Finance

  • Financial info: Annual tax information available

Exterior

  • Parking: Detached or attached 2-car garage (2 garage spaces)
  • Utilities: City water (connected); City sewer (connected); Electric with circuit breakers; Propane fuel
  • Home design: Residential property; Two levels
  • Construction: Block construction; Block foundation; Asphalt roof; Foundation area ~616
  • Exterior features: Vinyl exterior; Chain link fencing; Lot approximately 0.254 acres (dimensions ~100 x 111)

Interior

  • Kitchen: Kitchen (9 x 10 on main level)
  • Bedrooms: 3 bedrooms (all on upper level except main-level rooms noted in room list); Bedroom sizes include 12 x 8, 8 x 11, and 8 x 7 (upper level)
  • Bathrooms: Main floor full bath; Upper-level 3/4 bath; Additional bath areas listed (16 x 6 main; 5 x 7 upper)
  • Heating & cooling: Forced air heating; Window air conditioning units
  • Interior features: Informal dining area; Full basement
  • Laundry & utility: Laundry on main level

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 3-bed/2.0-bath single-family listed at $60k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $415 ($5k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $60k).
  • Recommended offer: $59k (1.5% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 60/100 on livability (#769 in MN) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: health & safety D+, schools F, crime D-.
  • Lac Qui Parle Valley School District (rural): math 44% / reading 44% proficiency, ranked #193 of 301 in MN (top 64%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
  • Market conditions: 5 active listings in the ZIP; 13 units permitted in Chippewa County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

  • In year one you build about $2k of equity ($415 loan paydown + $2k appreciation (3.0% local appreciation)).
  • Chippewa County population projected at -12% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
  • At projected returns (3.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $17k cash investment doubles in ~3 years — after that, you're playing with house money.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 16 days — a 2% lower offer ($59k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Watch-outs: built in 1928 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Recommended offer $59,100 (1.5% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. Built in 1928 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  2. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  3. Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
  4. Crime grade is D in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
  5. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  6. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  7. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
1.75%
Cap rate
14.60%
Cash-on-cash
29.66%
DSCR
2.32
GRM
4.8

CMA / ARV

No comps found within radius.

Projected returns pro-forma

3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
35.5%
Equity multiple
3.01×
Total profit
$33,694
Equity at exit
$26,979
10-year hold
IRR
35.7%
Equity multiple
5.93×
Total profit
$82,908
Equity at exit
$41,577

Cash invested: $16,800 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
46 Balanced
State Minnesota
46 Balanced · D+2
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
2024 reforms strengthened tenant protections; ramsey/hennepin courts paced moderate to slow.

ZIP-level market 56262

Active inventory
5
Price-to-rent
4.8×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$1,050 medium interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$315
Tax from tax record
$75 /mo · $896/yr
Insurance
$25
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$221
Net cashflow
$415

Break-even live

Break-even rent $524
Max offer price $60,000
Occupancy floor 55%

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$15,000
Closing costs
$1,800
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Listing history 2 events

  1. 2026-05-11
    listed $60,000 Active 262-char remark
  2. 2026-04-28
    historical $60,000 262-char remark

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast MN · Partial reset (capped growth)

Current annual tax
$896 · $75/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$896 · $75/mo
Expected delta
$0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 1/10 Low
  • 🌡 Heat 2/10 Low 6 d/yr ≥100°F today · 12 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 2/10 Low
  • 🫁 Air quality 3/10 Moderate 2 unhealthy d/yr today · 2 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$12,602
− Mortgage interest
−$3,361
− Property taxes
−$896
− Insurance
−$300
− Repairs & maintenance
−$1,008
− Management
−$1,008
− Depreciation
−$1,745
Taxable income
$4,283
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
−$1,028
After-tax cash flow
$3,956/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Lac Qui Parle Valley School District
NCES district ID
2700125
Math proficiency
44% ▼ -14.00%
Reading proficiency
44% ▼ -9.00%
Median HH income
$44,760
Composite
37.32/100
National rank
#4444
State rank
#193 of 301 in MN

Livability — Milan

Score
60/100
State rank
#769
US rank
#19265

Category grades

Amenities F Commute F Cost of living A+ Crime D- Employment C Housing A+ Health & safety D+ User ratings A

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Milan, MN
Population (ZIP)
799

Population outlook (Chippewa County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
11,593 people
By 2030
11,294 · -2.6%
By 2040
10,715 · -7.6%
By 2050
10,229 · -11.8%
By 2075
9,600 · -17.2%
By 2100
8,500 · -26.7%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.65)
Race & ethnicity
White 58% Pacific Islander 26% Hispanic / Latino 15% Two or more races 4%
Hispanic origin (detail)
Mexican 12%
Common ancestry
Portuguese 36% Italian 4% Scottish 2%
Foreign-born
23% · Canada
Languages at home
66% English-only · Other Asian/Pacific 23% Spanish 10%

Political lean MEDSL · Chippewa

2024 margin
Solid R (+34.1) · D 32.2% · R 66.3% · Other 1.6%
2008→2024 swing
-40.0pp toward R · 2008: 5.9pp · 2024: -34.1pp
All cycles
2024: R+34.1 2020: R+30.6 2016: R+28.9 2012: D+1.9 2008: D+5.9

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
Current HPI
Rent YoY
Metro
State GDP YoY
▲ 2.41%
F500 in state
34

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in MN)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

+0.0% since first listed
4 events — show timeline
  • 2026-06-15 Sold (MLS) $60,000 NORTHSTARMLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2026-05-27 Pending NORTHSTARMLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2026-05-11 Listed $60,000 NORTHSTARMLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2026-04-28 Coming Soon $60,000 NORTHSTARMLS as Distributed by MLS Grid

Property tax history

+8.6%/yr

Latest (2026): $896 · -0.9% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

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