405 S 4th St · Milan, MN
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $473 – $860
Fire risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $888 – $1,650
Heat risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Hot days now (above 100°F)
- 6 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 12 days/yr
Wind risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- —
Air-quality risk 3/10 · Minor
- Unhealthy air days now
- 2 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 2 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the B grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +30.0/30.0
- 1% rule +10.0/10.0
- DSCR +10.0/10.0
- ARV discount +7.5/15.0
- Appreciation +5.0/10.0
- Schools +3.7/10.0
- Livability +3.0/5.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
$60,000
🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks
This property has character with 3 bedrooms and 2 full bathrooms. Hardwood floors, natural light, main floor laundry, lots of storage space. This property sits on a corner lot with lots of yard space and a detached garage. This property has lots of potential!
Key facts
- 0.25 acre lot
- 2 garage spots
- Built 1928
Property features AI
Finance
- Financial info: Annual tax information available
Exterior
- Parking: Detached or attached 2-car garage (2 garage spaces)
- Utilities: City water (connected); City sewer (connected); Electric with circuit breakers; Propane fuel
- Home design: Residential property; Two levels
- Construction: Block construction; Block foundation; Asphalt roof; Foundation area ~616
- Exterior features: Vinyl exterior; Chain link fencing; Lot approximately 0.254 acres (dimensions ~100 x 111)
Interior
- Kitchen: Kitchen (9 x 10 on main level)
- Bedrooms: 3 bedrooms (all on upper level except main-level rooms noted in room list); Bedroom sizes include 12 x 8, 8 x 11, and 8 x 7 (upper level)
- Bathrooms: Main floor full bath; Upper-level 3/4 bath; Additional bath areas listed (16 x 6 main; 5 x 7 upper)
- Heating & cooling: Forced air heating; Window air conditioning units
- Interior features: Informal dining area; Full basement
- Laundry & utility: Laundry on main level
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 3-bed/2.0-bath single-family listed at $60k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $415 ($5k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $60k).
- Recommended offer: $59k (1.5% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 60/100 on livability (#769 in MN) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: health & safety D+, schools F, crime D-.
- Lac Qui Parle Valley School District (rural): math 44% / reading 44% proficiency, ranked #193 of 301 in MN (top 64%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
- Market conditions: 5 active listings in the ZIP; 13 units permitted in Chippewa County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- In year one you build about $2k of equity ($415 loan paydown + $2k appreciation (3.0% local appreciation)).
- Chippewa County population projected at -12% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
- At projected returns (3.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $17k cash investment doubles in ~3 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 16 days — a 2% lower offer ($59k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: built in 1928 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Questions for the listing agent
- Built in 1928 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
- Crime grade is D in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.75% ✓
- Cap rate
- 14.60%
- Cash-on-cash
- 29.66%
- DSCR
- 2.32
- GRM
- 4.8
CMA / ARV
No comps found within radius.
Projected returns pro-forma
3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 35.5%
- Equity multiple
- 3.01×
- Total profit
- $33,694
- Equity at exit
- $26,979
- IRR
- 35.7%
- Equity multiple
- 5.93×
- Total profit
- $82,908
- Equity at exit
- $41,577
Cash invested: $16,800 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 46 Balanced
- State Minnesota
- 46 Balanced · D+2
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 56262
- Active inventory
- 5
- Price-to-rent
- 4.8×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,050 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$315
- Tax from tax record
- −$75 /mo · $896/yr
- Insurance
- −$25
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$221
- Net cashflow
- $415
Break-even live
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $15,000
- Closing costs
- $1,800
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Listing history 2 events
-
2026-05-11$60,000 Active 262-char remark
-
2026-04-28historical $60,000 262-char remark
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast MN · Partial reset (capped growth)
- Current annual tax
- $896 · $75/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $896 · $75/mo
- Expected delta
- $0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 1/10 Low
- Heat 2/10 Low 6 d/yr ≥100°F today · 12 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 2/10 Low
- Air quality 3/10 Moderate 2 unhealthy d/yr today · 2 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $12,602
- − Mortgage interest
- −$3,361
- − Property taxes
- −$896
- − Insurance
- −$300
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,008
- − Management
- −$1,008
- − Depreciation
- −$1,745
- Taxable income
- $4,283
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$1,028
- After-tax cash flow
- $3,956/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Lac Qui Parle Valley School District
- NCES district ID
- 2700125
- Math proficiency
- 44% ▼ -14.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 44% ▼ -9.00%
- Median HH income
- $44,760
- Composite
- 37.32/100
- National rank
- #4444
- State rank
- #193 of 301 in MN
Livability — Milan
- Score
- 60/100
- State rank
- #769
- US rank
- #19265
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Milan, MN
- Population (ZIP)
- 799
Population outlook (Chippewa County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 11,593 people
- By 2030
- 11,294 · -2.6%
- By 2040
- 10,715 · -7.6%
- By 2050
- 10,229 · -11.8%
- By 2075
- 9,600 · -17.2%
- By 2100
- 8,500 · -26.7%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.65)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 58% Pacific Islander 26% Hispanic / Latino 15% Two or more races 4%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 12%
- Common ancestry
- Portuguese 36% Italian 4% Scottish 2%
- Foreign-born
- 23% · Canada
- Languages at home
- 66% English-only · Other Asian/Pacific 23% Spanish 10%
Political lean MEDSL · Chippewa
- 2024 margin
- Solid R (+34.1) · D 32.2% · R 66.3% · Other 1.6%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -40.0pp toward R · 2008: 5.9pp · 2024: -34.1pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+34.1 2020: R+30.6 2016: R+28.9 2012: D+1.9 2008: D+5.9
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- —
- Current HPI
- —
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- —
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 2.41%
- F500 in state
- 34
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in MN)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Healthcare | 2 | $407B |
|
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| Retail | 2 | $150B |
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| Consumer Goods | 2 | $32B |
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| Industrial Machinery | 2 | $6B |
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| Agriculture | 1 | $40B |
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| Healthcare / Medical Devices | 1 | $32B |
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Price history
+0.0% since first listed4 events — show timeline
- 2026-06-15 Sold (MLS) $60,000 NORTHSTARMLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2026-05-27 Pending — NORTHSTARMLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2026-05-11 Listed $60,000 NORTHSTARMLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2026-04-28 Coming Soon $60,000 NORTHSTARMLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
Property tax history
+8.6%/yrLatest (2026): $896 · -0.9% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…