CashFlowRE
Sign in Sign up
5426 Merriman Dr
C+ Composite 60.73
Why this score? — see what drove the C+ grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +21.3/30.0
  • ARV discount +12.7/15.0
  • DSCR +6.8/10.0
  • Schools +5.9/10.0
  • 1% rule +4.6/10.0
  • Livability +4.4/5.0
  • Rent growth +2.5/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$145,000

5426 Merriman Dr · Sylvania, OH 43560
3 bd · 1.0 ba · 954 sqft · SingleFamily public records · 9 Days on market
Built 1949 5,000 sqft lot Est $164k · 12% under

🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks MLS

3 bed Sylvania home with an attached garage. The property has a nice fenced yard with a deck for your outdoor enjoyment. There are 2 sheds on the property.

Key facts

  • 5,000 sq ft lot
  • Garage
  • Built 1949

Property features AI

Exterior

  • Parking: Attached garage; 1 garage space; Driveway; Gravel parking
  • Utilities: Electricity connected (100 amp service); Natural gas connected; Well water; Septic tank
  • Home design: Single-family house; Residential property; Not attached to other structures; One and one half levels; Facing not specified
  • Construction: Vinyl siding; Slab foundation; Asphalt shingle roof
  • Exterior features: Deck; Covered porch; Privacy fencing; Level lot; City street frontage; Asphalt road

Interior

  • Kitchen: Disposal; Electric oven; Electric range; Refrigerator; Electric range connection; Water heater
  • Bedrooms: Bedroom 2 on upper level (12 x 9); Bedroom 3 on upper level (11 x 9)
  • Flooring: Carpet; Ceramic tile; Engineered hardwood
  • Bathrooms: 1 full bathroom
  • Heating & cooling: Forced air heating; Natural gas heating
  • Interior features: Eat-in kitchen; Insulated windows; Window treatments; Total of 5 rooms
  • Laundry & utility: Laundry on main level

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 3-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $145k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $213 ($3k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $139k (4.2% below list).
  • Recommended offer: $139k (4.2% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
  • Cap rate 8.1% vs local median 2.8% in Sylvania — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 88/100 on livability (#18 in OH, #191 nationally) — a professional / high-income tenant draw. Strengths: crime A+, employment A+, cost of living A+; Watch: amenities C-, commute F.
  • Sylvania Schools (suburban): math 63% / reading 71% proficiency, ranked #157 of 656 in OH (top 24%) — acceptable for families but not a draw, mixed tenant base, ~2y average lease; only 18% free/reduced lunch — higher-income household profile.
  • Zoned schools: Hill View Elementary School (math 67% / reading 73%, grade A-, #380 of 1,584 statewide, top 25%, 359 students, 32% FRL); Sylvania Northview High School (math 59% / reading 78%, grade B, #130 of 781 statewide, top 17%, 1,352 students, 20% FRL).
  • Market conditions: 195 active listings in the ZIP; 5 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 15d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 40% of comp listings sitting > 30 days — soft ceiling on asking rent; solid renter incomes; 415 units permitted in Lucas County in 2024 (122 in 5+ unit buildings).
  • This rent is only 15% of the median local income ($109k/yr) — well below the 30% rent-burden line; pricing power to push rent on renewal without tenant pushback.

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $1k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $4k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • Lucas County population projected at -16% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.

Negotiation context

  • Only 9 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.
  • 4 sale attempts since 23y ago; this cycle's ask is 559% above the opening price — seller raised mid-cycle; expect resistance to lowballs.
  • Current owner paid $23k; list at $145k implies a 530% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Watch-outs: built in 1949 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Recommended offer $138,896 (4.2% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. Built in 1949 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  2. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  3. Schools are A-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
  4. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  5. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  6. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
0.96%
Cap rate
8.05%
Cash-on-cash
6.29%
DSCR
1.28
GRM
8.7

CMA / ARV

ARV (on-the-fly)
$164,088
Comps found
12
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
5438 Grey Dr 0.31mi 3/1.0 960 (+1%) 9mo $162,000 $169 77
5239 Mc Gregor Ln 0.11mi 2/1.0 (-1) 1,015 (+6%) 4mo $176,200 $174 76
5664 Stewart Rd 0.38mi 3/1.0 976 (+2%) 3mo $154,000 $158 76
5444 Silvertown Dr 0.13mi 2/1.0 (-1) 976 (+2%) 12mo $167,900 $172 75
5150 Arbor Way 0.19mi 2/1.0 (-1) 870 (-9%) 2mo $168,000 $193 70
5202 Arbor Way 0.18mi 2/1.0 (-1) 840 (-12%) 6mo $166,000 $198 62
5240 Silvertown Dr 0.25mi 2/1.0 (-1) 841 (-12%) 5mo $138,000 $164 59
5258 Alexis Rd 0.30mi 2/1.0 (-1) 875 (-8%) 14mo $80,000 $91 56
5718 Webster Dr 0.50mi 3/1.5 999 (+5%) 14mo $232,000 $232 55
4944 Trellis Way 0.38mi 3/1.0 858 (-10%) 14mo $195,000 $227 54
5228 Estess Ave 0.71mi 3/1.0 996 (+4%) 11mo $164,900 $166 50
6015 Whiteford Rd 0.73mi 3/1.0 1,017 (+7%) 8mo $143,000 $141 49

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
-6.6%
Equity multiple
0.75×
Total profit
$-9,995
Equity at exit
$21,620
10-year hold
IRR
2.9%
Equity multiple
1.21×
Total profit
$8,539
Equity at exit
$12,537

Cash invested: $40,600 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
73 Landlord-Friendly
State Ohio
73 Landlord-Friendly · R+6
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
3-day notice; Cleveland / Columbus have some habitability code enforcement; otherwise landlord-leaning.

ZIP-level market 43560

Home prices YoY
-31.7%
Active inventory
195
Price-to-rent
8.7×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$1,389 high interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$760
Tax from tax record
$64 /mo · $764/yr
Insurance
$60
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$292
Net cashflow
$213

Break-even live

Break-even rent $1,120
Max offer price $145,000
Occupancy floor 80%

Sensitivity live

Price -10% $295 -5% $254 +0% $213 +5% $172 +10% $131
Rent -10% $103 -5% $158 +0% $213 +5% $268 +10% $323
Rate -1.0pp $286 -0.5pp $250 base $213 +0.5pp $175 +1.0pp $137

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$36,250
Closing costs
$4,350
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 5 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
5301 Alexis Rd Sylvania, OH 1.0–2.0 1.0 685 $875 $1.28 14d 1 0.30mi
5600 Alexis Rd Sylvania, OH 1.0–2.0 1.0 590 $925 $1.57 14d 1 0.62mi
5360 Monroe St Toledo, OH 1.0–2.0 1.0 729 $900 $1.23 44d 1 0.76mi
4606 Nantuckett Dr Toledo, OH 1.0–2.0 1.0 775 $925 $1.19 44d 1 1.09mi
5747 Talmadge Rd Toledo, OH 1.0–2.0 1.0 647 $919 $1.42 14d 1 1.21mi

Listing history 10 events

  1. 2026-06-18
    days on market $145,000 Active 9 DOM
  2. 2026-06-17
    days on market $145,000 Active 8 DOM
  3. 2026-06-16
    days on market $145,000 Active 7 DOM
  4. 2026-06-15
    days on market $145,000 Active 6 DOM
  5. 2026-06-14
    days on market $145,000 Active 4 DOM
  6. 2026-06-13
    days on market $145,000 Active 3 DOM
  7. 2026-06-09
    statusdays on market $145,000 Active 1 DOM
  8. 2026-06-08
    days on market $145,000 Coming Soon 3 DOM
  9. 2026-06-07
    remarks 699-char remark
  10. 2026-06-07
    listed $145,000 Coming Soon 2 DOM

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast OH · Partial reset (capped growth)

Current annual tax
$764 · $64/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$1,513 · $126/mo
Expected delta
+$749/yr (+$62/mo · 98.0%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 1/10 Low
  • 🌡 Heat 3/10 Moderate 7 d/yr ≥100°F today · 16 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 2/10 Low
  • 🫁 Air quality 2/10 Low 1 unhealthy d/yr today · 1 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

Loading sold comps map…

Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

Loading nearby amenities…

Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$16,668
− Mortgage interest
−$8,122
− Property taxes
−$764
− Insurance
−$725
− Repairs & maintenance
−$1,333
− Management
−$1,333
− Depreciation
−$4,218
Taxable income
$171
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
−$41
After-tax cash flow
$2,512/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Sylvania Schools
NCES district ID
3904487
Math proficiency
63% ▼ -12.00%
Reading proficiency
71% ▼ -6.00%
Median HH income
$71,949
Composite
58.95/100
National rank
#967
State rank
#157 of 656 in OH

Livability — Sylvania

Score
88/100
State rank
#18
US rank
#191

Category grades

Amenities C- Commute F Cost of living A+ Crime A+ Employment A+ Housing A+ Health & safety A+ User ratings A+

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

County
Lucas County · 380,724 people
City population
33,286
Metro
Toledo, OH
Population (ZIP)
33,286
Household income
$109,486
Rent vs Own
18.1% rent · 81.9% own
Severe rent burden
355.0

Population outlook (Lucas County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
420,751 people
By 2030
410,187 · -2.5%
By 2040
384,019 · -8.7%
By 2050
355,125 · -15.6%
By 2075
291,683 · -30.7%
By 2100
233,670 · -44.5%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly White (86%)
Race & ethnicity
White 86% Two or more races 4% Asian 4% Hispanic / Latino 3% Black 3%
Common ancestry
Romanian 10% Lithuanian 4% Slovak 2%
Foreign-born
6% · China, Canada
Languages at home
92% English-only · Other Indo-European 2% Arabic 2% Spanish 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Lucas

2024 margin
D (+12.6) · D 55.8% · R 43.2%
2008→2024 swing
-18.9pp toward R · 2008: 31.4pp · 2024: 12.6pp
All cycles
2024: D+12.6 2020: D+16.8 2016: D+17.4 2012: D+30.4 2008: D+31.4

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -99.73%
Current HPI
215.2986
Rent YoY
Metro
Toledo, OH
State GDP YoY
▲ 1.98%
F500 in state
48

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in OH)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

+400.0% since first listed
13 events — show timeline
  • 2026-06-05 Coming Soon $145,000 NORIS
  • 2026-05-16 Price Changed $22,000 NORIS
  • 2013-11-25 Sold (MLS) $23,000 NORIS
  • 2013-10-30 Price Changed $23,000 NORIS
  • 2013-10-25 Listed $22,000 NORIS
  • 2004-05-06 Sold (Public Records) $75,000 Public Records
  • 2004-02-23 Listing Removed NORIS
  • 2004-02-23 Listing Removed NORIS
  • 2003-09-23 Listed $74,900 NORIS
  • 2003-08-23 Listed $74,900 NORIS
  • 2003-07-30 Listing Removed NORIS
  • 2003-01-14 Listed $79,000 NORIS
  • 1991-07-29 Sold (Public Records) $29,000 Public Records

Property tax history

-5.4%/yr

Latest (2025): $764 · +5.8% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

Loading sold comps…