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76 W Foxrun St
B Composite 70.99
Why this score? — see what drove the B grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +30.0/30.0
  • 1% rule +10.0/10.0
  • DSCR +10.0/10.0
  • ARV discount +7.5/15.0
  • Schools +4.5/10.0
  • Livability +4.0/5.0
  • Rent growth +2.5/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$46,900

76 W Foxrun St · Holland, OH 43528
2 bd · 2.0 ba · 1,185 sqft · Manufactured · 162 Days on market
Built 1994 ↓ 2% since listing

🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks

Great two large bedroom, two full bath home in Holland. Beautifully landscaped, this one really pops in the spring! Open kitchen with gas range, hood and refrigerator included. Complete with front and rear porch and on a cul-de-sac. Also includes washer/dryer and a/c. Park includes playground and a beautiful Olympic size pool. Also includes large shed converted to woodshop with its own electrical service, lights & bench, additional shed included for lawn car and other landscaping tools!

Key facts

  • Woodshop
  • Cul-de-sac
  • Open kitchen

Tags

OPEN KITCHENGAS RANGECUL-DE-SACOLYMPIC SIZE POOLWOODSHOPADDITIONAL SHED

Property features AI

Finance

  • Other: Located on a cul-de-sac with concrete road frontage; Subdivision: Fox Run
  • Financial info: Land lease: yes
  • HOA & community: Homeowner association present; Community pool; Community features: curbs, park, playground

Exterior

  • Parking: Concrete driveway; 3 parking spaces
  • Security: Closed-circuit cameras; Smoke detectors
  • Utilities: Public water; Sanitary sewer; Electricity connected (200+ amp service); Natural gas connected; Cable, internet and WiFi available
  • Home design: Residential double-wide mobile home; One story; Main entry on one level; Shingle roof; Facing information not provided
  • Construction: Vinyl siding; Raised foundation; Fleetwood mobile home (model AUB), approx. 75' x 15'; Wood skirting
  • Exterior features: Private entrance; Front porch; Covered porch; Rear porch; Outbuilding / shed(s)

Interior

  • Kitchen: Gas range; Gas oven; Range hood; Refrigerator; Eat-in layout
  • Bedrooms: Primary bedroom (main level) — approx. 18 x 15; Bedroom 2 (main level) — approx. 18 x 15
  • Flooring: Carpet; Tile
  • Bathrooms: 2 full bathrooms
  • Heating & cooling: Forced air heating; Central air; Window unit(s) for cooling
  • Interior features: Open floorplan; Eat-in kitchen; No interior steps; Primary bathroom; Double vanity
  • Laundry & utility: Washer hookup inside (main level); Gas dryer hookup; Washer and dryer included; Water heater

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 2-bed/2.0-bath manufactured listed at $47k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $675 ($8k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $47k).
  • Recommended offer: $41k (12.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
  • Cap rate 23.6% vs local median 2.4% in Holland — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 80/100 on livability (#110 in OH, #1,661 nationally) — a professional / high-income tenant draw. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+, health & safety A+; Watch: crime C-, commute F.
  • Springfield Local (suburban): math 47% / reading 57% proficiency, ranked #404 of 656 in OH (top 62%) — acceptable for families but not a draw, mixed tenant base, ~2y average lease.
  • Zoned schools: Crissey Elementary School (math 62% / reading 72%, grade B+, #456 of 1,584 statewide, top 31%, 324 students, 47% FRL); Springfield Middle School (math 44% / reading 53%, grade C-, #435 of 654 statewide, top 67%, 744 students, 81% FRL); Springfield High School (math 40% / reading 60%, grade D+, #384 of 781 statewide, top 49%, 922 students, 48% FRL).
  • Market conditions: 79 active listings in the ZIP; 3 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals leasing fast (median 3d on market — plan ~1-2 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); solid renter incomes; 415 units permitted in Lucas County in 2024 (122 in 5+ unit buildings).
  • This rent is only 16% of the median local income ($94k/yr) — well below the 30% rent-burden line; pricing power to push rent on renewal without tenant pushback.

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $324 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $1k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • Lucas County population projected at -16% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
  • At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $13k cash investment doubles in ~2 years — after that, you're playing with house money.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 162 days — a 12% lower offer ($41k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Recommended offer $41,272 (12.0% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. It's been on market 162 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 12% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  2. Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
  3. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  4. Schools are B-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
  5. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  6. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  7. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
2.70%
Cap rate
23.57%
Cash-on-cash
61.70%
DSCR
3.75
GRM
3.1

CMA / ARV

No comps found within radius.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
60.6%
Equity multiple
3.70×
Total profit
$35,424
Equity at exit
$6,993
10-year hold
IRR
65.2%
Equity multiple
7.57×
Total profit
$86,299
Equity at exit
$4,055

Cash invested: $13,132 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
73 Landlord-Friendly
State Ohio
73 Landlord-Friendly · R+6
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
3-day notice; Cleveland / Columbus have some habitability code enforcement; otherwise landlord-leaning.

ZIP-level market 43528

Home prices YoY
-19.7%
Active inventory
79
Price-to-rent
3.1×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$1,265 medium interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$246
Tax est. 1.5%
$59 /mo · $704/yr
Insurance
$20
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$266
Net cashflow
$675

Break-even live

Break-even rent $410
Max offer price $46,900
Occupancy floor 42%

Sensitivity live

Price -10% $708 -5% $691 +0% $675 +5% $659 +10% $643
Rent -10% $575 -5% $625 +0% $675 +5% $725 +10% $775
Rate -1.0pp $699 -0.5pp $687 base $675 +0.5pp $663 +1.0pp $651

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$11,725
Closing costs
$1,407
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 3 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
7717 Angola Rd Holland, OH 2.0–3.0 2.0 1188 $1,099 $0.93 2d 1 0.23mi
7000 Quail Lakes Dr Holland, OH 1.0–3.0 1.0–2.0 1078 $1,540 $1.43 2d 7 1.05mi
7300 Nightingale Dr Holland, OH 1.0–2.0 1.0–2.0 813 $1,725 $2.12 2d 13 1.28mi

Listing history 16 events

  1. 2026-06-18
    days on market $46,900 Active 162 DOM
  2. 2026-06-17
    days on market $46,900 Active 161 DOM
  3. 2026-06-16
    days on market $46,900 Active 160 DOM
  4. 2026-06-15
    days on market $46,900 Active 159 DOM
  5. 2026-06-14
    days on market $46,900 Active 157 DOM
  6. 2026-06-10
    days on market $46,900 Active 154 DOM
  7. 2026-06-09
    days on market $46,900 Active 153 DOM
  8. 2026-06-08
    days on market $46,900 Active 152 DOM
  9. 2026-06-07
    days on market $46,900 Active 151 DOM
  10. 2026-06-03
    days on market $46,900 Active 147 DOM
  11. 2026-06-02
    days on market $46,900 Active 146 DOM
  12. 2026-06-01
    days on market $46,900 Active 145 DOM
  13. 2026-05-31
    days on market $46,900 Active 144 DOM
  14. 2026-05-30
    pricedays on market $46,900 Active 143 DOM
  15. 2026-03-31
    price $48,900
  16. 2026-01-07
    listed $49,900 Active

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 3/10 Moderate
  • 🌡 Heat 3/10 Moderate 7 d/yr ≥98°F today · 16 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 2/10 Low
  • 🫁 Air quality 2/10 Low 1 unhealthy d/yr today · 2 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$15,180
− Mortgage interest
−$2,627
− Property taxes
−$704
− Insurance
−$234
− Repairs & maintenance
−$1,214
− Management
−$1,214
− Depreciation
−$1,364
Taxable income
$7,821
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
−$1,877
After-tax cash flow
$6,225/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Springfield Local
NCES district ID
3904822
Math proficiency
47% ▼ -17.00%
Reading proficiency
57% ▼ -11.00%
Median HH income
$54,807
Composite
44.87/100
National rank
#2719
State rank
#404 of 656 in OH

Livability — Holland

Score
80/100
State rank
#110
US rank
#1661

Category grades

Amenities B Commute F Cost of living A+ Crime C- Employment B- Housing A+ Health & safety A+ User ratings A

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

County
Lucas County · 380,724 people
City population
16,207
Metro
Toledo, OH
Population (ZIP)
16,207
Household income
$93,986
Rent vs Own
22.7% rent · 77.3% own
Severe rent burden
307.0

Population outlook (Lucas County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
420,751 people
By 2030
410,187 · -2.5%
By 2040
384,019 · -8.7%
By 2050
355,125 · -15.6%
By 2075
291,683 · -30.7%
By 2100
233,670 · -44.5%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly White (74%)
Race & ethnicity
White 74% Black 8% Hispanic / Latino 8% Two or more races 7% Asian 3%
Hispanic origin (detail)
Mexican 6%
Common ancestry
Lithuanian 7% Romanian 6% Iranian 2%
Foreign-born
6% · Canada, China, Jamaica
Languages at home
94% English-only · Spanish 3% Arabic 1% Other Indo-European 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Lucas

2024 margin
D (+12.6) · D 55.8% · R 43.2%
2008→2024 swing
-18.9pp toward R · 2008: 31.4pp · 2024: 12.6pp
All cycles
2024: D+12.6 2020: D+16.8 2016: D+17.4 2012: D+30.4 2008: D+31.4

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -52.78%
Current HPI
215.3916
Rent YoY
Metro
Toledo, OH
State GDP YoY
▲ 1.98%
F500 in state
48

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in OH)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

-2.0% since first listed
2 events — show timeline
  • 2026-03-31 Price Changed $48,900 NORIS
  • 2026-01-07 Listed $49,900 NORIS

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

Loading sold comps…