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CLAYTON BLAZER Plan 🏗️ New Construction
C- Composite 51.79
Why this score? — see what drove the C- grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +18.3/30.0
  • ARV discount +7.5/15.0
  • DSCR +5.8/10.0
  • 1% rule +4.9/10.0
  • Schools +4.9/10.0
  • Condition / age +4.0/5.0
  • Livability +3.3/5.0
  • Rent growth +3.1/5.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$47,900

CLAYTON BLAZER Plan · Toledo, OH 43615
2 bd · 2.0 ba · 960 sqft · SingleFamily · 1000 Days on market
Good condition

🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks

If you're looking for an affordable Brand-New 2 Bed, 2 Full Bath home in Springfield Schools, this is for you! Royal Village Mobile Community has new ownership & the park is undergoing a complete overhaul! Brand new single wide homes are now on the property & being prepared for their new owners! Planned park renovations consist of brand new homes, updates to inground pool, pool house, new clubhouse/office, roads & updated grounds! Additional storage for boats/campers. From a sparkling pool to pet-friendly areas and helpful conveniences, Royal Village delivers a safe, comfortable lifestyle for everyone. Includes all new appliances and Washer/Dryer Hookups.

Key facts

  • Listed 999 days

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Costco Walmart Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 6.0 mi
Loading POIs…
🏗️ New construction. The $47,900 list price is a builder figure, so every metric below is computed on the value from comparable previous sales — $115,188.

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 2-bed/2.0-bath single-family listed at $48k. Condition is rated good.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $106 ($1k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $48k).
  • Recommended offer: $42k (12.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 66/100 on livability (#645 in OH) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+, health & safety A+; Watch: amenities C-, crime F, commute F.
  • Springfield Local (suburban): math 47% / reading 57% proficiency, ranked #404 of 656 in OH (top 62%) — acceptable for families but not a draw, mixed tenant base, ~2y average lease.
  • Zoned schools: Springfield Middle School (math 44% / reading 53%, grade C-, #435 of 654 statewide, top 67%, 744 students, 81% FRL); Springfield High School (math 40% / reading 60%, grade D+, #384 of 781 statewide, top 49%, 922 students, 48% FRL).
  • Market conditions: Rents rising (+2.6%/yr); 174 active listings in the ZIP; 6 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals lingering (median 63d on market — plan ~5-8 weeks vacancy on turnover, expect pricing pressure); 100% of comp listings sitting > 30 days — soft ceiling on asking rent; 415 units permitted in Lucas County in 2024 (122 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $797 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $3k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • Lucas County population projected at -16% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 1000 days — a 12% lower offer ($42k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Watch-outs: property tax is 3.6% of price.
Recommended offer $42,152 (12.0% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. It's been on market 1000 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 12% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  2. Property tax is high relative to price — has the assessment been appealed recently, and will the sale trigger a re-assessment?
  3. Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
  4. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  5. Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
  6. Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
  7. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  8. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  9. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
0.99%
Cap rate
7.40%
Cash-on-cash
3.94%
DSCR
1.18
GRM
8.4

CMA / ARV

ARV (median comp)
$115,188
List price
$47,900
Delta
-58.42%
Verdict
UNDERPRICED
Comps
2 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
247 Deigle Dr 1.67mi 2/1.0 1,000 (+4%) 3mo $112,500 $113 51
1818 Raynor Dr 1.66mi 3/1.0 (+1) 1,009 (+5%) 3mo $174,000 $172 45
1911 N Holland Sylvania Rd 1.97mi 3/1.0 (+1) 914 (-5%) 4mo $124,000 $136 45
1633 Brooklynn Park 1.75mi 2/2.0 1,118 (+16%) 0mo $215,000 $192 40
6802 Woodmeadow Dr 1.97mi 2/2.0 1,168 (+22%) 1mo $178,000 $152 40
6804 Woodmeadow Dr 1.97mi 2/2.0 1,168 (+22%) 1mo $202,000 $173 39
1613 E Brooklynn Park 1.74mi 2/2.0 1,170 (+22%) 2mo $185,000 $158 38
6035 Red Oak Dr 2.22mi 2/2.0 1,118 (+16%) 3mo $134,000 $120 38
5887 Globe Ave 1.97mi 2/1.0 834 (-13%) 4mo $32,750 $39 36
216 Bonaparte Dr 1.67mi 2/1.0 1,104 (+15%) 2mo $146,000 $132 34
3335 Indian Oaks Ln 2.20mi 3/2.0 (+1) 1,112 (+16%) 3mo $257,000 $231 33
1809 Birdie Dr 1.57mi 3/1.0 (+1) 1,124 (+17%) 4mo $167,900 $149 28

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 2.59% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
-10.6%
Equity multiple
0.62×
Total profit
$-12,371
Equity at exit
$17,175
10-year hold
IRR
-1.8%
Equity multiple
0.88×
Total profit
$-3,924
Equity at exit
$9,959

Cash invested: $32,253 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
73 Landlord-Friendly
State Ohio
73 Landlord-Friendly · R+6
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
3-day notice; Cleveland / Columbus have some habitability code enforcement; otherwise landlord-leaning.

Active competition Active MLS

For sale now
29 active
Median asking
$49,900 ($49/sqft)
Median days on market
140 d
This list price
31% of active listings are priced below it
ARV vs active asking
+143.3% above current asking $/sqft

Closed sales set the value; these active listings set current market conditions and a practical price ceiling.

ZIP-level market 43615

Home prices YoY
-31.9%
Rents YoY
2.6%
Active inventory
174
Price-to-rent
3.5×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$1,142 high interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$604
Tax est. 1.5%
$144 /mo · $1,728/yr
Insurance
$48
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$240
Net cashflow
$106

Break-even live

Break-even rent $1,008
Max offer price $115,188
Occupancy floor 86%

Sensitivity live

Price -10% $186 -5% $146 +0% $106 +5% $66 +10% $26
Rent -10% $16 -5% $61 +0% $106 +5% $151 +10% $196
Rate -1.0pp $164 -0.5pp $135 base $106 +0.5pp $76 +1.0pp $46

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$28,797
Closing costs
$3,456
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Cash invested
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Cash invested
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Cash invested
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 6 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
1210 Country View Pl Toledo, OH 2.0 1.0–2.0 966 $1,130 $1.17 63d 1 0.59mi
2150 N McCord Rd Toledo, OH 1.0–2.0 1.0 765 $1,315 $1.72 63d 6 1.04mi
1800 N McCord Rd Toledo, OH 2.0 1.0 934 $900 $0.96 63d 1 1.07mi
6633 W Bancroft St Toledo, OH 1.0–3.0 1.0 941 $954 $1.01 63d 1 1.08mi
2130 Country Trace Pl Toledo, OH 2.0 1.0–2.0 917 $1,050 $1.14 63d 1 1.18mi
6535 Dorr St Toledo, OH 1.0–2.0 1.0–2.0 895 $1,000 $1.12 70d 1 1.19mi

Property features AI

Finance

Other
Financial info
List price listed as $47,900
HOA & community

Exterior

Parking
Security
Utilities
Natural gasForced air heatingCooling (other)
Home design
New construction plan (CLAYTON BLAZER)
Construction
Exterior features
Other-type roof

Interior

Kitchen
Bedrooms
2 bedrooms
Flooring
Bathrooms
2 full bathrooms
Heating & cooling
Natural gas forced-air heatingCooling system (other type)
Interior features
Open living space (plan)Listing indicates a plan/home design named CLAYTON BLAZER
Laundry & utility

Listing history 50 events

  1. 2026-08-08
    days on market $47,900 Active 1000 DOM
  2. 2026-08-07
    days on market $47,900 Active 999 DOM
  3. 2026-08-06
    days on market $47,900 Active 998 DOM
  4. 2026-08-05
    days on market $47,900 Active 997 DOM
  5. 2026-08-04
    days on market $47,900 Active 996 DOM
  6. 2026-08-03
    days on market $47,900 Active 995 DOM
  7. 2026-07-31
    days on market $47,900 Active 992 DOM
  8. 2026-07-30
    days on market $47,900 Active 991 DOM
  9. 2026-07-29
    days on market $47,900 Active 990 DOM
  10. 2026-07-27
    days on market $47,900 Active 988 DOM
  11. 2026-07-25
    days on market $47,900 Active 986 DOM
  12. 2026-07-24
    days on market $47,900 Active 985 DOM
  13. 2026-07-23
    days on market $47,900 Active 984 DOM
  14. 2026-07-22
    days on market $47,900 Active 983 DOM
  15. 2026-07-21
    days on market $47,900 Active 982 DOM
  16. 2026-07-18
    days on market $47,900 Active 979 DOM
  17. 2026-07-16
    days on market $47,900 Active 977 DOM
  18. 2026-07-16
    days on market $47,900 Active 976 DOM
  19. 2026-07-14
    days on market $47,900 Active 975 DOM
  20. 2026-07-13
    days on market $47,900 Active 974 DOM
  21. 2026-07-12
    days on market $47,900 Active 973 DOM
  22. 2026-07-11
    days on market $47,900 Active 972 DOM
  23. 2026-07-10
    days on market $47,900 Active 971 DOM
  24. 2026-07-09
    days on market $47,900 Active 970 DOM
  25. 2026-07-08
    days on market $47,900 Active 969 DOM
  26. 2026-07-07
    days on market $47,900 Active 968 DOM
  27. 2026-07-06
    days on market $47,900 Active 967 DOM
  28. 2026-07-05
    days on market $47,900 Active 966 DOM
  29. 2026-07-04
    days on market $47,900 Active 965 DOM
  30. 2026-07-03
    days on market $47,900 Active 964 DOM
  31. 2026-07-02
    days on market $47,900 Active 963 DOM
  32. 2026-07-01
    days on market $47,900 Active 962 DOM
  33. 2026-06-30
    days on market $47,900 Active 961 DOM
  34. 2026-06-29
    days on market $47,900 Active 960 DOM
  35. 2026-06-28
    days on market $47,900 Active 959 DOM
  36. 2026-06-28
    days on market $47,900 Active 958 DOM
  37. 2026-06-27
    days on market $47,900 Active 957 DOM
  38. 2026-06-25
    days on market $47,900 Active 955 DOM
  39. 2026-06-23
    days on market $47,900 Active 953 DOM
  40. 2026-06-21
    days on market $47,900 Active 952 DOM
  41. 2026-06-18
    days on market $47,900 Active 949 DOM
  42. 2026-06-17
    days on market $47,900 Active 948 DOM
  43. 2026-06-16
    days on market $47,900 Active 947 DOM
  44. 2026-06-15
    days on market $47,900 Active 946 DOM
  45. 2026-06-14
    days on market $47,900 Active 944 DOM
  46. 2026-06-10
    days on market $47,900 Active 941 DOM
  47. 2026-06-09
    days on market $47,900 Active 940 DOM
  48. 2026-06-08
    days on market $47,900 Active 939 DOM
  49. 2026-06-07
    days on market $47,900 Active 938 DOM
  50. 2026-06-03
    days on market $47,900 Active 934 DOM

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 4/10 Moderate FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 20% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 1/10 Low
  • 🌡 Heat 3/10 Moderate 7 d/yr ≥99°F today · 16 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 2/10 Low
  • 🫁 Air quality 2/10 Low 1 unhealthy d/yr today · 1 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$13,701
− Mortgage interest
−$6,452
− Property taxes
−$1,728
− Insurance
−$576
− Repairs & maintenance
−$1,096
− Management
−$1,096
− Depreciation
−$3,351
Taxable loss
−$598
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
+$144
After-tax cash flow
$1,415/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Condition & rehab AI · 9 photos

Good 80/100 Cosmetic rehab Est. rehab $4,800–$14,400 screening

This single-wide mobile home is in good condition with minimal repairs needed. It's move-in ready with a good curb appeal and potential for further value increases through exterior painting and landscaping.

Components & finishes AI

Flooring laminate Appliances black

Deferred maintenance Est. $50,000–$150,000 screening

  • Major Roof (roof|hvac|water heater|windows|electrical|plumbing|exterior|other) — roof appears damaged and missing shingles
  • Major Windows (roof|hvac|water heater|windows|electrical|plumbing|exterior|other) — windows appear old and possibly not sealed properly
  • Major Electrical (roof|hvac|water heater|windows|electrical|plumbing|exterior|other) — electrical panel appears old and possibly not up to code
  • Major Plumbing (roof|hvac|water heater|windows|electrical|plumbing|exterior|other) — plumbing fixtures appear old and possibly not up to code
  • Major Exterior (roof|hvac|water heater|windows|electrical|plumbing|exterior|other) — exterior siding appears damaged and possibly not up to code

Value-add opportunities

  • Both Paint exterior siding — Enhances curb appeal and value
  • Both Landscaping — Improves curb appeal and enhances property value
  • Both Add outdoor lighting — Enhances safety and curb appeal

ⓘ Rehab cost is a screening estimate — Cosmetic scope × the home's square footage at US $/sqft rules of thumb (the same model as the Flip Finder). Get contractor quotes + a written scope before underwriting.

F Composite school gradezoned avg 48/100

Zoned Schools

Elementary Dorr Street Elementary School D- OH #942/1,584 Nat'l #14,504/41,679 Middle Springfield Middle School C- OH #435/654 Nat'l #3,846/14,009 High Springfield High School D+ OH #384/781 Nat'l #5,448/17,239

Schools (NCES district)

District
Springfield Local
NCES district ID
3904822
Math proficiency
47% ▼ -17.00%
Reading proficiency
57% ▼ -11.00%
Median HH income
$54,807
Composite
44.87/100
National rank
#2719
State rank
#404 of 656 in OH
C Composite livability gradescore 66/100

Livability — Toledo

Score
66/100
State rank
#645
US rank
#11442

Category grades

Amenities C- Commute F Cost of living A+ Crime F Employment F Housing A+ Health & safety A+ User ratings D-

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

County
Lucas County · 420,751 people
City population
280,811
Metro
Toledo, OH
Population (ZIP)
40,146
Household income
$57,713
Rent vs Own
46.0% rent · 54.0% own
Severe rent burden
9% of renters

Population outlook (Lucas County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
420,751 people
By 2030
410,187 · -2.5%
By 2040
384,019 · -8.7%
By 2050
355,125 · -15.6%
By 2075
291,683 · -30.7%
By 2100
233,670 · -44.5%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Majority White (62%)
Race & ethnicity
White 62% Black 26% Two or more races 6% Hispanic / Latino 4% Asian 3%
Common ancestry
Romanian 7% Lithuanian 3% Slovak 2%
Foreign-born
5% · China, Canada
Languages at home
93% English-only · Arabic 2% Spanish 1% Chinese 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Lucas

2024 margin
D (+12.6) · D 55.8% · R 43.2%
2008→2024 swing
-18.9pp toward R · 2008: 31.4pp · 2024: 12.6pp
All cycles
2024: D+12.6 2020: D+16.8 2016: D+17.4 2012: D+30.4 2008: D+31.4

Not yet ingested

Civics

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

Loading sold comps…