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12905 Woodforest Blvd #601
C- Composite 54.52
Why this score? — see what drove the C- grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +15.3/30.0
  • ARV discount +13.2/15.0
  • 1% rule +10.0/10.0
  • DSCR +4.7/10.0
  • Livability +3.7/5.0
  • Schools +2.8/10.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Rent growth +2.3/5.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$62,000

12905 Woodforest Blvd #601 · Houston, TX 77015
1 bd · 1.0 ba · 752 sqft · Condo public records · 51 Days on market
Built 1982 $82/sqft · 13% below area Est $71k · 13% under $315/mo HOA · 30% of rent

🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks MLS

Very well maintained 1 bedroom/1bath. Parking is close to the unit. Property is gated. Close to shopping and bus line.

Key facts

  • Gated community
  • Community pool
  • $315 HOA

Tags

GATED COMMUNITYASSIGNED COVERED PARKINGCOMMUNITY POOLWHITE BRICK FIREPLACE

Property features AI

Finance

  • Financial info: Lease considered
  • HOA & community: Prestige Association Mgmnt. Group; Monthly association fee (includes common area and structure maintenance); Community pool

Exterior

  • Parking: Laundry area accessed from garage (laundry in garage)
  • Security: Security gate; Smoke detector(s)
  • Utilities: Public water; Public sewer
  • Home design: Residential condo; One story; Full ownership; Built in 1982
  • Construction: Brick and wood siding exterior; Composition roof; Slab foundation
  • Exterior features: Community/association pool; Security gate; Smoke detector(s); Asphalt and concrete road surfaces

Interior

  • Kitchen: Electric range/oven; Microwave; Dishwasher; Refrigerator; Breakfast nook (approx. 8 x 8)
  • Bedrooms: Primary bedroom on first floor (approx. 12 x 15)
  • Flooring: Carpet; Tile
  • Bathrooms: 1 full bathroom (primary bathroom on first floor, approx. 4 x 8)
  • Heating & cooling: Central heating (electric); Central air conditioning (electric)
  • Interior features: Breakfast bar; Ceiling fan(s); Decorative fireplace (1)
  • Laundry & utility: Washer and dryer included; Laundry in garage; Electric dryer hookup

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 1-bed/1.0-bath condo listed at $62k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $23 ($276/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $62k).
  • Recommended offer: $60k (3.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
  • Cap rate 6.7% vs local median 3.2% in Houston — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 74/100 on livability (#184 in TX, #4,771 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: amenities A+, cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: crime F.
  • Galena Park ISD (suburban): math 32% / reading 33% proficiency, ranked #578 of 826 in TX (top 70%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases; 74% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
  • Zoned schools: Normandy Crossing El (math 30% / reading 28%, grade F, #2,668 of 4,322 statewide, top 63%, 660 students, 90% FRL); Cunningham Middle (math 29% / reading 35%, grade F, #971 of 1,662 statewide, top 60%, 928 students, 89% FRL); North Shore Senior High (math 35% / reading 40%, grade F, #888 of 1,632 statewide, top 55%, 4,569 students, 86% FRL).
  • Market conditions: Rents soft (-0.8%/yr); 162 active listings in the ZIP; 40 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals leasing fast (median 13d on market — plan ~1-2 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 29,883 units permitted in Harris County in 2024 (8,621 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $429 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $2k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • Harris County population projected at +47% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 51 days — a 3% lower offer ($60k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
  • 7 sale attempts since 8y ago; this cycle's ask is 6259% above the opening price — seller raised mid-cycle; expect resistance to lowballs.
  • Current owner paid $11k; list at $62k implies a 451% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Watch-outs: HOA is 30% of rent.
  • Climate carrying-cost: severe wind risk, 99% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→26/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Recommended offer $60,140 (3.0% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. It's been on market 51 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 3% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  2. What does the HOA fee cover, when was the last increase, and are there any pending special assessments or reserve-fund shortfalls?
  3. Any open or pending special assessments — roof, HVAC, plumbing, elevator, façade? What's the per-unit balance and payoff schedule, and is the seller paying it off at close or rolling it to the buyer?
  4. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  5. Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
  6. Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
  7. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  8. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  9. How much new apartment / multifamily construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply (>2% of stock underway) typically softens rents 12–24 months out; light construction supports rent growth.

Investment metrics

1% rule
1.67%
Cap rate
6.74%
Cash-on-cash
1.59%
DSCR
1.07
GRM
5.0

CMA / ARV

ARV (median comp)
$71,039
List price
$62,000
Delta
-12.72%
Verdict
UNDERPRICED
Comps
20 within 1.0 mi

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 0.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
-19.7%
Equity multiple
0.34×
Total profit
$-11,371
Equity at exit
$9,244
10-year hold
IRR
-34.8%
Equity multiple
-0.08×
Total profit
$-18,752
Equity at exit
$5,361

Cash invested: $17,360 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
State Texas
87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+5
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
3-day notice; statewide preemption; one of the fastest eviction climates; Travis County (Austin) slightly slower.

ZIP-level market 77015

Home prices YoY
-10.8%
Rents YoY
-0.8%
Active inventory
162
Price-to-rent
5.0×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$1,034 high interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$325
Tax from tax record
$128 /mo · $1,538/yr
Insurance
$26
HOA
$315
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$217
Net cashflow
$23

Break-even live

Break-even rent $1,005
Max offer price $62,000
Occupancy floor 93%

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$15,500
Closing costs
$1,860
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 40 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
12905 Woodforest Blvd Houston, TX 2.0 1.0 886 $1,098 $1.24 20d 2 0.03mi
12955 Woodforest Blvd Unit 305 Houston, TX 1.0 1.0 728 $975 $1.34 24d 1 0.07mi
12800 Woodforest Blvd Unit 12857 Houston, TX 2.0 2.0 850 $1,126 $1.32 2d 1 0.08mi
456 Normandy St Houston, TX 1.0 1.0 734 $1,099 $1.50 43d 1 0.35mi
13161 Woodforest Blvd Houston, TX 2.0 2.0 965 $1,058 $1.10 43d 1 0.36mi
536 Normandy St Houston, TX 2.0 2.0 860 $1,144 $1.33 43d 1 0.44mi
555 Normandy St Houston, TX 1.0–2.0 1.0–2.0 745 $818 $1.10 2d 23 0.50mi
561 Normandy St Houston, TX 2.0 2.0 940 $1,200 $1.28 22d 1 0.51mi
561 Normandy St Houston, TX 1.0 1.0 680 $999 $1.47 24d 1 0.51mi
561 Normandy St Houston, TX 2.0 2.0 940 $1,200 $1.28 43d 1 0.51mi
695 Normandy St Houston, TX 1.0–2.0 1.0–2.0 788 $899 $1.14 12d 30 0.58mi
250 Uvalde Rd Houston, TX 1.0–3.0 1.0–2.0 909 $739 $0.81 2d 26 0.71mi
13025 Joliet St Unit A Houston, TX 1.0 1.0 842 $925 $1.10 24d 1 0.72mi
316 White Cedar St Houston, TX 1.0 1.0 712 $1,035 $1.45 22d 1 0.80mi
316 White Cedar St Houston, TX 2.0 2.0 1028 $1,306 $1.27 24d 1 0.80mi
316 White Cedar St Houston, TX 1.0 1.0 712 $1,035 $1.45 19d 1 0.80mi
14340 Wallisville Rd Unit 2047 Houston, TX 2.0 2.0 940 $1,425 $1.52 11d 1 0.81mi
14340 Wallisville Rd Unit 1162 Houston, TX 1.0 1.0 670 $1,080 $1.61 5d 1 0.81mi
14340 Wallisville Rd Unit 2148 Houston, TX 2.0 2.0 940 $1,382 $1.47 2d 1 0.81mi
14340 Wallisville Rd Unit 2162 Houston, TX 2.0 2.0 940 $1,390 $1.48 5d 1 0.81mi
14340 Wallisville Rd Houston, TX 1.0 1.0 670 $1,069 $1.60 12d 1 0.81mi
14340 Wallisville Rd Unit 325 Houston, TX 1.0 1.0 670 $1,077 $1.61 2d 1 0.81mi
14346 Wallisville Rd Houston, TX 2.0 2.0 936 $1,360 $1.45 43d 1 0.81mi
14340 Wallisville Rd Unit 14361 Houston, TX 1.0 1.0 670 $1,077 $1.61 2d 1 0.82mi
14340 Wallisville Rd Unit 14397 Houston, TX 2.0 2.0 936 $1,410 $1.51 43d 1 0.82mi
14340 Wallisville Rd Unit 14391 Houston, TX 1.0 1.0 669 $1,090 $1.63 43d 1 0.82mi
14340 Wallisville Rd Unit 425 Houston, TX 2.0 2.0 940 $1,382 $1.47 2d 1 0.82mi
14340 Wallisville Rd Unit 14361 Houston, TX 1.0 1.0 669 $1,095 $1.64 12d 1 0.82mi
14340 Wallisville Rd Unit 14377 Houston, TX 2.0 2.0 940 $1,414 $1.50 10d 1 0.82mi
353 Audrey Ln Unit 365 1/2 Houston, TX 2.0 1.0 800 $1,375 $1.72 43d 1 0.86mi
14445 Wallisville Rd Houston, TX 2.0 1.0–2.0 659 $976 $1.48 1d 10 0.93mi
5675 Purple Sage Rd Houston, TX 1.0–2.0 1.0–2.0 782 $1,039 $1.33 3d 18 0.93mi
799 Normandy St Houston, TX 1.0–2.0 1.0–2.0 843 $929 $1.10 1d 13 0.94mi
13502 N Thorntree Dr Unit 13523 Houston, TX 1.0 1.0 635 $869 $1.37 12d 1 0.97mi
13502 N Thorntree Dr Unit 13553 Houston, TX 1.0 1.0 635 $864 $1.36 43d 1 0.97mi
13502 N Thorntree Dr Unit 424 Houston, TX 2.0 2.0 766 $939 $1.23 5d 1 0.97mi
13502 N Thorntree Dr Unit 425 Houston, TX 2.0 2.0 766 $963 $1.26 10d 1 0.97mi
13502 N Thorntree Dr Unit 13523 Houston, TX 1.0 1.0 583 $781 $1.34 2d 1 0.97mi
12516 Orleans St Houston, TX 2.0 2.0 995 $1,275 $1.28 24d 1 0.97mi
13502 N Thorntree Dr Unit 1047 Houston, TX 1.0 1.0 583 $824 $1.41 11d 1 0.97mi

HOA detail condo

Monthly dues
$315 · $3,780/yr
Likely covers
security
Assessments
None detected in remarks — confirm with the listing agent.

Listing history 32 events

  1. 2026-06-18
    days on market $62,000 Active 51 DOM
  2. 2026-06-17
    days on market $62,000 Active 50 DOM
  3. 2026-06-16
    days on market $62,000 Active 49 DOM
  4. 2026-06-15
    days on market $62,000 Active 48 DOM
  5. 2026-06-13
    days on market $62,000 Active 46 DOM
  6. 2026-06-13
    days on market $62,000 Active 45 DOM
  7. 2026-06-09
    days on market $62,000 Active 42 DOM
  8. 2026-06-08
    days on market $62,000 Active 41 DOM
  9. 2026-06-07
    days on market $62,000 Active 40 DOM
  10. 2026-06-04
    days on market $62,000 Active 37 DOM
  11. 2026-06-03
    days on market $62,000 Active 36 DOM
  12. 2026-06-02
    days on market $62,000 Active 35 DOM
  13. 2026-06-01
    days on market $62,000 Active 34 DOM
  14. 2026-05-31
    days on market $62,000 Active 33 DOM
  15. 2026-04-30
    listed $975
  16. 2026-04-28
    listed $62,000 Active 592-char remark
  17. 2026-04-14
    historical
  18. 2025-11-07
    listed $64,000 Active
  19. 2025-10-29
    historical $895
  20. 2025-10-03
    listed $895
  21. 2025-10-02
    historical $895
  22. 2025-07-12
    listed $895
  23. 2024-03-08
    historical $895
  24. 2023-12-22
    listed $895
  25. 2018-09-26
    soldstatus
  26. 2018-07-05
    soldstatus
  27. 2018-07-02
    soldstatus Sold
    Show marketing remark (118 chars)

    Very well maintained 1 bedroom/1bath. Parking is close to the unit. Property is gated. Close to shopping and bus line.

  28. 2018-06-29
    status Pending
    Show marketing remark (118 chars)

    Very well maintained 1 bedroom/1bath. Parking is close to the unit. Property is gated. Close to shopping and bus line.

  29. 2018-06-26
    status Option Pending
    Show marketing remark (118 chars)

    Very well maintained 1 bedroom/1bath. Parking is close to the unit. Property is gated. Close to shopping and bus line.

  30. 2018-05-14
    listed $43,900 Active
    Show marketing remark (118 chars)

    Very well maintained 1 bedroom/1bath. Parking is close to the unit. Property is gated. Close to shopping and bus line.

  31. 2015-07-24
    soldstatus
  32. 1988-01-20
    soldstatus $11,250

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast TX · Resets to sale price

Current annual tax
$1,538 · $128/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$1,538 · $128/mo
Expected delta
$0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 1/10 Low
  • 🌡 Heat 10/10 Extreme 7 d/yr ≥109°F today · 26 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 9/10 Extreme 99% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
  • 🫁 Air quality 2/10 Low 2 unhealthy d/yr today · 2 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$12,412
− Mortgage interest
−$3,473
− Property taxes
−$1,538
− Insurance
−$310
− Repairs & maintenance
−$993
− Management
−$993
− HOA
−$3,780
− Depreciation
−$1,804
Taxable loss
−$478
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
+$115
After-tax cash flow
$391/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Galena Park ISD
NCES district ID
4820250
Math proficiency
32% ▼ -20.00%
Reading proficiency
33% ▼ -7.00%
Median HH income
$43,158
Composite
27.62/100
National rank
#6927
State rank
#578 of 826 in TX

Livability — Houston

Score
74/100
State rank
#184
US rank
#4771

Category grades

Amenities A+ Commute A Cost of living A+ Crime F Employment C Housing A+ Health & safety A- User ratings F

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

County
Harris County · 4,702,590 people
City population
3,226,434
Metro
Houston-The Woodlands-Sugar Land, TX
Population (ZIP)
58,415
Household income
$57,753
Rent vs Own
46.8% rent · 53.2% own
Severe rent burden
1816.0

Population outlook (Harris County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
5,571,493 people
By 2030
6,089,821 · +9.3%
By 2040
7,142,806 · +28.2%
By 2050
8,185,864 · +46.9%
By 2075
10,574,329 · +89.8%
By 2100
12,109,958 · +117.4%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly Hispanic (77%)
Race & ethnicity
Hispanic / Latino 77% Two or more races 54% Black 14% White 6% Asian 1% Native American 1%
Hispanic origin (detail)
Mexican 60% Cuban 2%
Foreign-born
33% · Canada, Vietnam
Languages at home
31% English-only · Spanish 68% Vietnamese 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Harris

2024 margin
Lean D (+5.5) · D 52.0% · R 46.4% · Other 1.6%
2008→2024 swing
+3.9pp toward D · 2008: 1.6pp · 2024: 5.5pp
All cycles
2024: D+5.5 2020: D+13.3 2016: D+12.4 2012: D+0.1 2008: D+1.6

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -36.47%
Current HPI
300.1821
Rent YoY
▼ -0.83%
Metro
Houston-The Woodlands-Sugar Land, TX
State GDP YoY
▲ 3.95%
F500 in state
110

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in TX)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

+451.1% since first listed
19 events — show timeline
  • 2026-05-29 Price Changed $925 HARMLS
  • 2026-04-30 Listed for Rent $975 HARMLS
  • 2026-04-28 Listed $62,000 HARMLS
  • 2026-04-14 Listing Removed HARMLS
  • 2025-11-07 Listed $64,000 HARMLS
  • 2025-10-29 Rental Removed $895 HARMLS
  • 2025-10-03 Listed for Rent $895 HARMLS
  • 2025-10-02 Rental Removed $895 HARMLS
  • 2025-07-12 Listed for Rent $895 HARMLS
  • 2024-03-08 Rental Removed $895 HARMLS
  • 2023-12-22 Listed for Rent $895 HARMLS
  • 2018-09-26 Sold (Public Records) Public Records
  • 2018-07-05 Sold (Public Records) Public Records
  • 2018-07-02 Sold (MLS) HARMLS
  • 2018-06-29 Pending HARMLS
  • 2018-06-26 Pending HARMLS
  • 2018-05-14 Listed $43,900 HARMLS
  • 2015-07-24 Sold (Public Records) Public Records
  • 1988-01-20 Sold (Public Records) $11,250 Public Records

Property tax history

+10.3%/yr

Latest (2025): $1,538 · +19.8% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

Loading sold comps…