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93 Pat Leake Rd
C Composite 59.87
Why this score? — see what drove the C grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +22.9/30.0
  • Appreciation +7.7/10.0
  • ARV discount +7.5/15.0
  • DSCR +7.4/10.0
  • 1% rule +5.6/10.0
  • Livability +3.2/5.0
  • Rent growth +2.5/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Schools +0.6/10.0

$110,000

93 Pat Leake Rd · Woodville, MS 39669
3 bd · 1.0 ba · 1,299 sqft · SingleFamily public records · 186 Days on market
Built 1981 1.02 ac lot ↓ 8% since listing

🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks MLS

Located near HNF (Homochitto National Forest). This 3 bed / 1 bath home sits on a hill in Woodville, MS. It is blacktop accessible with a paved driveway, located approximately 2 miles from Highway 61. With some updates of your choice, this home would make a great rental property, first time home, hunting camp, etc. There are lots of cabinets in the kitchen giving you plenty of storage space. You will appreciate the large laundry room as well. A new septic tank was installed a year ago. The home has a metal roof. There is also a covered carport attached with room to add on if needed. Surrounded by woods, you can always enjoy the privacy, peace, and quiet that this place has to offer. Call today for your private showing! THE LISTING AGENT MAKES NO REPRESENTATIONS AND OR WARRANTIES, EXPRESSED OR IMPLIED, REGARDING THE PROPERTY'S CONDITION, SUITABILITY FOR A PARTICULAR PURPOSE, OR ANY OTHER ASPECT OF THE PROPERTY. THE BUYER IS ADVISED TO VERIFY ALL INFORMATION PROVIDED IN THE LISTING WITH THEIR OWN SOURCES.

Key facts

  • Metal roof
  • Covered carport
  • Paved driveway

Tags

PAVED DRIVEWAYLARGE LAUNDRY ROOMNEW SEPTIC TANKMETAL ROOFCOVERED CARPORTSURROUNDED BY WOODS

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 3-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $110k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $194 ($2k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $110k).
  • Recommended offer: $97k (12.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 65/100 on livability (#104 in MS) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: crime A+, cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: employment D, schools F, amenities F.
  • Wilkinson County School District (rural): math 4% / reading 11% proficiency, ranked #124 of 130 in MS (top 95%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 95% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
  • Market conditions: 35 active listings in the ZIP.

Forward outlook

  • In year one you build about $7k of equity ($761 loan paydown + $6k appreciation (5.3% local appreciation)).
  • Wilkinson County population projected at -37% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
  • At projected returns (5.3% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $31k cash investment doubles in ~4 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
  • By year 6, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$36k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 186 days — a 12% lower offer ($97k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Climate carrying-cost: severe wind risk, 98% chance of damaging wind over 30y; moderate wildfire risk; extreme-heat days projected 7→19/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Recommended offer $96,800 (12.0% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. It's been on market 186 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 12% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  2. Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
  3. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  4. Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
  5. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  6. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  7. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
1.06%
Cap rate
8.41%
Cash-on-cash
7.56%
DSCR
1.34
GRM
7.9

CMA / ARV

No comps found within radius.

Projected returns pro-forma

5.31% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
20.1%
Equity multiple
2.29×
Total profit
$39,679
Equity at exit
$64,428
10-year hold
IRR
19.7%
Equity multiple
4.52×
Total profit
$108,391
Equity at exit
$112,963

Cash invested: $30,800 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
State Mississippi
90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+11
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
3-day pay-or-quit; very landlord-favorable; no rent control.

ZIP-level market 39669

Home prices YoY
6.4%
Active inventory
35
Price-to-rent
7.9×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$1,166 medium interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$577
Tax from tax record
$105 /mo · $1,254/yr
Insurance
$46
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$245
Net cashflow
$194

Break-even live

Break-even rent $921
Max offer price $110,000
Occupancy floor 78%

Sensitivity live

Price -10% $256 -5% $225 +0% $194 +5% $163 +10% $132
Rent -10% $102 -5% $148 +0% $194 +5% $240 +10% $286
Rate -1.0pp $249 -0.5pp $222 base $194 +0.5pp $166 +1.0pp $137

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$27,500
Closing costs
$3,300
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Listing history 18 events

  1. 2026-06-21
    days on market $110,000 Active 186 DOM
  2. 2026-06-18
    days on market $110,000 Active 184 DOM
  3. 2026-06-17
    days on market $110,000 Active 183 DOM
  4. 2026-06-16
    days on market $110,000 Active 182 DOM
  5. 2026-06-15
    days on market $110,000 Active 181 DOM
  6. 2026-06-13
    days on market $110,000 Active 179 DOM
  7. 2026-06-12
    days on market $110,000 Active 178 DOM
  8. 2026-06-09
    days on market $110,000 Active 175 DOM
  9. 2026-06-08
    days on market $110,000 Active 174 DOM
  10. 2026-06-07
    days on market $110,000 Active 173 DOM
  11. 2026-06-05
    days on market $110,000 Active 171 DOM
  12. 2026-06-04
    days on market $110,000 Active 169 DOM
  13. 2026-06-02
    days on market $110,000 Active 168 DOM
  14. 2026-06-01
    days on market $110,000 Active 167 DOM
  15. 2026-05-31
    days on market $110,000 Active 166 DOM
  16. 2026-04-08
    price $110,000 1023-char remark
    Show marketing remark (1023 chars)

    Located near HNF (Homochitto National Forest). This 3 bed / 1 bath home sits on a hill in Woodville, MS. It is blacktop accessible with a paved driveway, located approximately 2 miles from Highway 61. With some updates of your choice, this home would make a great rental property, first time home, hunting camp, etc. There are lots of cabinets in the kitchen giving you plenty of storage space. You will appreciate the large laundry room as well. A new septic tank was installed a year ago. The home has a metal roof. There is also a covered carport attached with room to add on if needed. Surrounded by woods, you can always enjoy the privacy, peace, and quiet that this place has to offer. Call today for your private showing! THE LISTING AGENT MAKES NO REPRESENTATIONS AND OR WARRANTIES, EXPRESSED OR IMPLIED, REGARDING THE PROPERTY'S CONDITION, SUITABILITY FOR A PARTICULAR PURPOSE, OR ANY OTHER ASPECT OF THE PROPERTY. THE BUYER IS ADVISED TO VERIFY ALL INFORMATION PROVIDED IN THE LISTING WITH THEIR OWN SOURCES.

  17. 2025-12-16
    listed $120,000 Active 1023-char remark
    Show marketing remark (1023 chars)

    Located near HNF (Homochitto National Forest). This 3 bed / 1 bath home sits on a hill in Woodville, MS. It is blacktop accessible with a paved driveway, located approximately 2 miles from Highway 61. With some updates of your choice, this home would make a great rental property, first time home, hunting camp, etc. There are lots of cabinets in the kitchen giving you plenty of storage space. You will appreciate the large laundry room as well. A new septic tank was installed a year ago. The home has a metal roof. There is also a covered carport attached with room to add on if needed. Surrounded by woods, you can always enjoy the privacy, peace, and quiet that this place has to offer. Call today for your private showing! THE LISTING AGENT MAKES NO REPRESENTATIONS AND OR WARRANTIES, EXPRESSED OR IMPLIED, REGARDING THE PROPERTY'S CONDITION, SUITABILITY FOR A PARTICULAR PURPOSE, OR ANY OTHER ASPECT OF THE PROPERTY. THE BUYER IS ADVISED TO VERIFY ALL INFORMATION PROVIDED IN THE LISTING WITH THEIR OWN SOURCES.

  18. 2003-12-22
    soldstatus

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast MS · Resets to sale price

Current annual tax
$1,254 · $105/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$1,254 · $105/mo
Expected delta
$0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 5/10 Major
  • 🌡 Heat 7/10 Severe 7 d/yr ≥109°F today · 19 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 8/10 Severe 98% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
  • 🫁 Air quality 1/10 Low 0 unhealthy d/yr today · 0 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

Loading sold comps map…

Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

Loading nearby amenities…

Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$13,994
− Mortgage interest
−$6,162
− Property taxes
−$1,254
− Insurance
−$550
− Repairs & maintenance
−$1,120
− Management
−$1,120
− Depreciation
−$3,200
Taxable income
$589
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
−$141
After-tax cash flow
$2,188/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Wilkinson County School District
NCES district ID
2804710
Math proficiency
4% ▼ -12.00%
Reading proficiency
11% ▼ -5.00%
Median HH income
$29,558
Composite
5.57/100
National rank
#10025
State rank
#124 of 130 in MS

Livability — Woodville

Score
65/100
State rank
#104
US rank
#12514

Category grades

Amenities F Commute F Cost of living A+ Crime A+ Employment D Housing A+ Health & safety F User ratings A+

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Population (ZIP)
4,260

Population outlook (Wilkinson County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
7,916 people
By 2030
7,289 · -7.9%
By 2040
6,036 · -23.7%
By 2050
4,978 · -37.1%
By 2075
3,361 · -57.5%
By 2100
2,387 · -69.8%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly Black (69%)
Race & ethnicity
Black 69% White 28% Two or more races 3%
Common ancestry
Lithuanian 3% Serbian 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Wilkinson

2024 margin
Strong D (+25.3) · D 62.0% · R 36.7% · Other 1.3%
2008→2024 swing
-13.1pp toward R · 2008: 38.4pp · 2024: 25.3pp
All cycles
2024: D+25.3 2020: D+34.5 2016: D+36.4 2012: D+39.3 2008: D+38.4

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▲ 5.31%
Current HPI
88.8448
Rent YoY
Metro
State GDP YoY
F500 in state
0

Price history

-8.3% since first listed
3 events — show timeline
  • 2026-04-08 Price Changed $110,000 MLSU
  • 2025-12-16 Listed $120,000 MLSU
  • 2003-12-22 Sold (Public Records) Public Records

Property tax history

+9.9%/yr

Latest (2025): $1,254 · +1.6% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

Loading sold comps…