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1600 S San Jacinto Ave #113
B- Composite 68.4
Why this score? — see what drove the B- grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +30.0/30.0
  • 1% rule +10.0/10.0
  • DSCR +10.0/10.0
  • ARV discount +7.5/15.0
  • Rent growth +3.2/5.0
  • Livability +3.2/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Schools +2.1/10.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$49,900

1600 S San Jacinto Ave #113 · San Jacinto, CA 92583
2 bd · 1.0 ba · 648 sqft · Manufactured public records · 106 Days on market
Built 1978 $77/sqft · 143% above area

🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks MLS

GAll age community with clubhouse pool spa billiards and more . Affordable $724 space rent. Great location. Close to everything. Saves gas.

Key facts

  • 2 parking spots
  • Community pool
  • Built 1978

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 2-bed/1.0-bath manufactured listed at $50k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $958 ($12k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $50k).
  • Recommended offer: $45k (9.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
  • Cap rate 29.3% vs local median 3.8% in San Jacinto — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 63/100 on livability (#467 in CA) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: housing A+; Watch: employment D+, schools D-, amenities F.
  • San Jacinto Unified (suburban): math 13% / reading 36% proficiency, ranked #421 of 517 in CA (top 81%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 68% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
  • Market conditions: Rents rising (+2.6%/yr); 159 active listings in the ZIP; 16 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 25d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 9,195 units permitted in Riverside County in 2024 (1,512 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $345 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $1k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • Riverside County population projected at +22% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
  • At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 2.6% rent growth), your $14k cash investment doubles in ~2 years — after that, you're playing with house money.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 106 days — a 9% lower offer ($45k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Climate carrying-cost: extreme-heat days projected 5→15/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Recommended offer $45,409 (9.0% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. It's been on market 106 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 9% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  2. Built in 1978 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  3. Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
  4. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  5. Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
  6. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  7. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  8. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
3.31%
Cap rate
29.34%
Cash-on-cash
82.32%
DSCR
4.66
GRM
2.5

CMA / ARV

ARV (median comp)
$19,117
List price
$49,900
Delta
161.03%
Verdict
OVERPRICED
Comps
6 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 8 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
1600 S San Jacinto Ave #114 0.00mi 1/1.0 (-1) 660 (+2%) 16mo $8,000 $12 79
1600-Spc 75 S San Jacinto Ave 0.03mi 2/1.0 738 (+14%) 8mo $40,000 $54 69
1600 S San Jacinto Ave #66 0.03mi 2/1.0 728 (+12%) 13mo $27,500 $38 67
999 S Santa Fe #48 0.49mi 1/1.0 (-1) 624 (-4%) 1mo $20,500 $33 65
258 W 7th St #51 0.66mi 3/1.0 (+1) 672 (+4%) 6mo $18,000 $27 53
1600 S San Jacinto Ave #83 0.03mi 1/1.0 (-1) 550 (-15%) 20mo $39,599 $72 52
999 S Santa Fe Ave #36 0.49mi 1/1.0 (-1) 624 (-4%) 18mo $38,000 $61 50
999 S Santa Fe Ave #45 0.50mi 2/1.0 720 (+11%) 11mo $16,500 $23 49

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 2.61% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
82.2%
Equity multiple
4.75×
Total profit
$52,337
Equity at exit
$7,440
10-year hold
IRR
85.4%
Equity multiple
9.71×
Total profit
$121,652
Equity at exit
$4,314

Cash invested: $13,972 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
18 Strongly Tenant-Friendly
State California
18 Strongly Tenant-Friendly · D+13
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
AB1482 statewide rent cap (10% + CPI). Cities (SF/LA/Berkeley) layer stricter rules. Just-cause statewide.

ZIP-level market 92583

Home prices YoY
-14.8%
Rents YoY
2.6%
Active inventory
159
Price-to-rent
2.5×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$1,650 high interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$262
Tax est. 1.5%
$62 /mo · $748/yr
Insurance
$21
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$346
Net cashflow
$958

Break-even live

Break-even rent $437
Max offer price $49,900
Occupancy floor 37%

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$12,475
Closing costs
$1,497
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 16 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
811 E Menlo Ave Unit 02 Hemet, CA 1.0 1.0 550 $1,300 $2.36 44d 1 0.85mi
811 E Menlo Ave Apt 12 Hemet, CA 1.0 1.0 550 $1,300 $2.36 24d 1 0.85mi
646 Greystone Ln Apt 2 Hemet, CA 3.0 1.0 750 $1,500 $2.00 44d 1 0.98mi
320 S Pico Ave San Jacinto, CA 2.0 1.0 650 $1,500 $2.31 44d 1 0.99mi
526 Greystone Ln Apt 3 Hemet, CA 2.0 1.0 700 $1,650 $2.36 44d 1 1.00mi
526 Greystone Ln Hemet, CA 2.0 1.0 700 $1,600 $2.29 44d 1 1.00mi
526 Greystone Ln Hemet, CA 2.0 1.0 700 $1,600 $2.29 18d 1 1.00mi
560 E Oakland Ave Apt P Hemet, CA 1.0 1.0 550 $1,325 $2.41 17d 1 1.08mi
1376 E Date St Unit 5 Hemet, CA 2.0 1.0 650 $1,500 $2.31 17d 1 1.17mi
426 N Buena Vista St Hemet, CA 2.0 1.0 680 $1,550 $2.28 4d 1 1.18mi
426 N Buena Vista St Apt 1 Hemet, CA 2.0 1.0 680 $1,550 $2.28 8d 1 1.18mi
700 E Main St Unit 08 San Jacinto, CA 2.0 1.0 750 $1,395 $1.86 24d 1 1.24mi
210 N Santa Fe St Hemet, CA 1.0 1.0 600 $1,300 $2.17 4d 1 1.39mi
1955 E Devonshire Ave Hemet, CA 1.0 1.0 500 $1,450 $2.90 44d 1 1.43mi
1955 E Devonshire Ave Hemet, CA 1.0 1.0 500 $1,350 $2.70 24d 1 1.43mi
2207 Woodberry Ave Hemet, CA 1.0 1.0 700 $1,495 $2.14 3d 1 1.44mi

Listing history 15 events

  1. 2026-06-18
    days on market $49,900 Active 106 DOM
  2. 2026-06-17
    days on market $49,900 Active 105 DOM
  3. 2026-06-16
    days on market $49,900 Active 104 DOM
  4. 2026-06-15
    days on market $49,900 Active 103 DOM
  5. 2026-06-13
    days on market $49,900 Active 101 DOM
  6. 2026-06-13
    days on market $49,900 Active 100 DOM
  7. 2026-06-09
    days on market $49,900 Active 97 DOM
  8. 2026-06-08
    days on market $49,900 Active 96 DOM
  9. 2026-06-07
    days on market $49,900 Active 95 DOM
  10. 2026-06-04
    days on market $49,900 Active 92 DOM
  11. 2026-06-03
    days on market $49,900 Active 91 DOM
  12. 2026-06-02
    days on market $49,900 Active 90 DOM
  13. 2026-06-01
    days on market $49,900 Active 89 DOM
  14. 2026-05-31
    days on market $49,900 Active 88 DOM
  15. 2026-03-04
    listed $49,900 Active 139-char remark
    Show marketing remark (139 chars)

    GAll age community with clubhouse pool spa billiards and more . Affordable $724 space rent. Great location. Close to everything. Saves gas.

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 4/10 Moderate
  • 🌡 Heat 7/10 Severe 5 d/yr ≥104°F today · 15 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 1/10 Low
  • 🫁 Air quality 6/10 Major 12 unhealthy d/yr today · 14 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$19,797
− Mortgage interest
−$2,795
− Property taxes
−$748
− Insurance
−$250
− Repairs & maintenance
−$1,584
− Management
−$1,584
− Depreciation
−$1,452
Taxable income
$11,384
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
−$2,732
After-tax cash flow
$8,769/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
San Jacinto Unified
NCES district ID
0634440
Math proficiency
13% ▼ -9.00%
Reading proficiency
36% ▬ 0.00%
Median HH income
$43,560
Composite
20.94/100
National rank
#8478
State rank
#421 of 517 in CA

Livability — San Jacinto

Score
63/100
State rank
#467
US rank
#15889

Category grades

Amenities F Commute C+ Cost of living F Crime C+ Employment D+ Housing A+ Health & safety F User ratings C

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
San Jacinto, CA
County
Riverside County · 2,287,001 people
City population
33,778
Metro
Riverside-San Bernardino-Ontario, CA
Population (ZIP)
33,778
Household income
$68,351
Rent vs Own
31.4% rent · 68.6% own
Severe rent burden
747.0

Population outlook (Riverside County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
2,664,475 people
By 2030
2,802,692 · +5.2%
By 2040
3,050,904 · +14.5%
By 2050
3,256,783 · +22.2%
By 2075
3,655,058 · +37.2%
By 2100
3,766,594 · +41.4%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.57)
Race & ethnicity
Hispanic / Latino 60% White 26% Two or more races 23% Black 5% Asian 3% Native American 3%
Hispanic origin (detail)
Mexican 52%
Common ancestry
Lithuanian 1% Iranian 1% Portuguese 1%
Foreign-born
20% · Canada
Languages at home
56% English-only · Spanish 40% Tagalog/Filipino 2% Other Asian/Pacific 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Riverside

2024 margin
Toss-up / Even · D 48.0% · R 49.3% · Other 2.6%
2008→2024 swing
-3.6pp toward R · 2008: 2.3pp · 2024: -1.3pp
All cycles
2024: R+1.3 2020: D+8.0 2016: D+4.3 2012: R+0.4 2008: D+2.3

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -71.15%
Current HPI
407.8584
Rent YoY
▲ 2.61%
Metro
Riverside-San Bernardino-Ontario, CA
State GDP YoY
▲ 3.21%
F500 in state
116

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in CA)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

1 event — show timeline
  • 2026-03-04 Listed $49,900 CRMLS

Property tax history

-5.0%/yr

Latest (2025): $35 · +11.8% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

Loading sold comps…