36 and 38 Mullins St · Livingston, KY
Flood risk No data
- FEMA flood zone
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- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
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- Est. flood insurance / yr
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Fire risk No data
- Est. fire insurance / yr
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Heat risk No data
- Hot days now (above threshold)
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- Hot days in 30 yrs
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Wind risk No data
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
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Air-quality risk No data
- Unhealthy air days now
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- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
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Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the B- grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +30.0/30.0
- 1% rule +10.0/10.0
- DSCR +10.0/10.0
- ARV discount +7.5/15.0
- Livability +3.1/5.0
- Schools +2.6/10.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- Appreciation +1.7/10.0
- Condition / age +1.0/5.0
$27,900
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
Investor special at 36 & 38 Mullins Street in Livingston, Kentucky. This property, sitting just off US 25, South Wilderness Road, offers approximately 1,040 square feet of potential and is ready for a full renovation. It situated in the city limits of Livingston, with quick access to Interstate 75 in Mt. Vernon and London. With a spacious, open interior, attractive design elements, two bedroom areas, one bathroom area, and two cellars for added storage, there is a solid foundation here for the right buyer to reimagine and improve. Vacant for several years, the home will require substantial updates and is best suited for investors, flippers, or cash buyers looking for their next project. Detailed listing photos provide important insight into the condition and renovation needs. The old Livingston jail building conveys with no assigned value due to disrepair. Property is sold per deed, and buyers should verify square footage, acreage, and all other property details independently.
Key facts
- Full renovation
- 6,534 sq ft lot
- Listed 89 days
Tags
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 2-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $28k. Condition is rated poor.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $544 ($7k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($933 rent vs $28k).
- Recommended offer: $26k (6.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 62/100 on livability (#346 in KY) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: crime A+, cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: schools F, amenities F, commute F.
- Rockcastle County (rural): math 23% / reading 40% proficiency, ranked #102 of 165 in KY (top 62%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
- Market conditions: 10 active listings in the ZIP.
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $193 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $837 of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Rockcastle County population projected to shrink 8% by 2050 — rents likely to lag national; underwrite the cash flow, not the appreciation.
- At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $8k cash investment doubles in ~2 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 90 days — a 6% lower offer ($26k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 90 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 6% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Have any recent inspections been done? Can we get a copy of the seller's disclosures and any deferred-maintenance estimates?
- Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 3.34% ✓
- Cap rate
- 29.70%
- Cash-on-cash
- 83.61%
- DSCR
- 4.72
- GRM
- 2.5
CMA / ARV
- ARV (median comp)
- $70,638
- List price
- $27,900
- Delta
- -60.50%
- Verdict
- UNDERPRICED
- Comps
- 3 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 1 sale within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 815 Red Hill Rd | 0.74mi | 3/2.0 (+1) | 1,008 (-3%) | 13mo | $70,000 | $69 | 41 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 84.0%
- Equity multiple
- 4.86×
- Total profit
- $30,159
- Equity at exit
- $4,160
- IRR
- 87.2%
- Equity multiple
- 10.08×
- Total profit
- $70,958
- Equity at exit
- $2,412
Cash invested: $7,812 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 83 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State Kentucky
- 83 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+16
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 40445
- Home prices YoY
- -4.8%
- Active inventory
- 10
- Price-to-rent
- 2.5×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $933 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$146
- Tax est. 1.5%
- −$35 /mo · $418/yr
- Insurance
- −$12
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$196
- Net cashflow
- $544
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $564 | -5% $554 | +0% $544 | +5% $535 | +10% $525 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $471 | -5% $507 | +0% $544 | +5% $581 | +10% $618 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $558 | -0.5pp $551 | base $544 | +0.5pp $537 | +1.0pp $530 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $6,975
- Closing costs
- $837
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Listing history 20 events
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2026-06-21days on market $27,900 Active 90 DOM
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2026-06-19days on market $27,900 Active 88 DOM
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2026-06-18days on market $27,900 Active 87 DOM
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2026-06-17days on market $27,900 Active 86 DOM
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2026-06-16days on market $27,900 Active 85 DOM
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2026-06-15days on market $27,900 Active 84 DOM
-
2026-06-14days on market $27,900 Active 82 DOM
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2026-06-13days on market $27,900 Active 81 DOM
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2026-06-10days on market $27,900 Active 79 DOM
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2026-06-09days on market $27,900 Active 78 DOM
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2026-06-08days on market $27,900 Active 77 DOM
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2026-06-07days on market $27,900 Active 76 DOM
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2026-06-05days on market $27,900 Active 73 DOM
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2026-06-03days on market $27,900 Active 72 DOM
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2026-06-02days on market $27,900 Active 71 DOM
-
2026-06-01days on market $27,900 Active 70 DOM
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2026-05-31days on market $27,900 Active 69 DOM
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2026-05-30days on market $27,900 Active 68 DOM
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2026-04-12price $27,900 995-char remark
Show marketing remark (995 chars)
Investor special at 36 & 38 Mullins Street in Livingston, Kentucky. This property, sitting just off US 25, South Wilderness Road, offers approximately 1,040 square feet of potential and is ready for a full renovation. It situated in the city limits of Livingston, with quick access to Interstate 75 in Mt. Vernon and London. With a spacious, open interior, attractive design elements, two bedroom areas, one bathroom area, and two cellars for added storage, there is a solid foundation here for the right buyer to reimagine and improve. Vacant for several years, the home will require substantial updates and is best suited for investors, flippers, or cash buyers looking for their next project. Detailed listing photos provide important insight into the condition and renovation needs. The old Livingston jail building conveys with no assigned value due to disrepair. Property is sold per deed, and buyers should verify square footage, acreage, and all other property details independently.
-
2026-03-21$29,900 Active 995-char remark
Show marketing remark (995 chars)
Investor special at 36 & 38 Mullins Street in Livingston, Kentucky. This property, sitting just off US 25, South Wilderness Road, offers approximately 1,040 square feet of potential and is ready for a full renovation. It situated in the city limits of Livingston, with quick access to Interstate 75 in Mt. Vernon and London. With a spacious, open interior, attractive design elements, two bedroom areas, one bathroom area, and two cellars for added storage, there is a solid foundation here for the right buyer to reimagine and improve. Vacant for several years, the home will require substantial updates and is best suited for investors, flippers, or cash buyers looking for their next project. Detailed listing photos provide important insight into the condition and renovation needs. The old Livingston jail building conveys with no assigned value due to disrepair. Property is sold per deed, and buyers should verify square footage, acreage, and all other property details independently.
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
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Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $11,196
- − Mortgage interest
- −$1,563
- − Property taxes
- −$418
- − Insurance
- −$140
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$896
- − Management
- −$896
- − Depreciation
- −$812
- Taxable income
- $6,473
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$1,553
- After-tax cash flow
- $4,978/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Condition & rehab AI · 13 photos
This property requires extensive renovation, including structural repairs, kitchen and bathroom updates, and exterior improvements. Significant value can be added through a comprehensive renovation.
Repairs flagged
- Major Exposed framing — Structural integrity compromised
- Major Missing cabinets — Kitchen functionality impaired
- Major Weathered shingles — Roof leakage risk
- Major Weathered siding — Structural integrity compromised
- Major Exposed subfloor — Flooring functionality impaired
- Major Exposed framing — Structural integrity compromised
Value-add opportunities
- Both Kitchen renovation — Modern kitchen increases both resale and rental value
- Both Bathroom renovation — Modern bathroom increases both resale and rental value
- Both Roof replacement — New roof reduces maintenance and increases both resale and rental value
- Both Exterior siding and paint — New siding and paint improves curb appeal and increases both resale and rental value
- Both Flooring replacement — New flooring improves functionality and increases both resale and rental value
- Both Interior wall repairs and painting — New walls and paint improve functionality and increase both resale and rental value
Renovation cost estimate screening
| Repair item | Severity | Est. cost |
|---|---|---|
| Exposed framing · Structural integrity compromised | Major | $15,000–50,000 |
| Missing cabinets · Kitchen functionality impaired | Major | $15,000–50,000 |
| Weathered shingles · Roof leakage risk | Major | $15,000–50,000 |
| Weathered siding · Structural integrity compromised | Major | $15,000–50,000 |
| Exposed subfloor · Flooring functionality impaired | Major | $15,000–50,000 |
| Exposed framing · Structural integrity compromised | Major | $15,000–50,000 |
| Total estimated repair cost · 6 items | $90,000–300,000 |
Value-add ROI direction
- Both Kitchen renovation — Modern kitchen increases both resale and rental value ↑
- Both Bathroom renovation — Modern bathroom increases both resale and rental value ↑
- Both Roof replacement — New roof reduces maintenance and increases both resale and rental value ↑
- Both Exterior siding and paint — New siding and paint improves curb appeal and increases both resale and rental value ↑
- Both Flooring replacement — New flooring improves functionality and increases both resale and rental value ↑
- Both Interior wall repairs and painting — New walls and paint improve functionality and increase both resale and rental value ↑
ⓘ Cost ranges are severity-bucket heuristics (US national rule-of-thumb). Get contractor quotes + a written scope before underwriting a rehab budget.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Rockcastle County
- NCES district ID
- 2105070
- Math proficiency
- 23% ▼ -21.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 40% ▼ -18.00%
- Median HH income
- $30,809
- Composite
- 25.55/100
- National rank
- #7430
- State rank
- #102 of 165 in KY
Livability — Livingston
- Score
- 62/100
- State rank
- #346
- US rank
- #16500
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Livingston, KY
- Population (ZIP)
- 755
Population outlook (Rockcastle County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 17,003 people
- By 2030
- 16,913 · -0.5%
- By 2040
- 16,504 · -2.9%
- By 2050
- 15,697 · -7.7%
- By 2075
- 13,724 · -19.3%
- By 2100
- 11,369 · -33.1%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (99%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 99%
- Common ancestry
- Italian 9% Slovak 4% Lithuanian 1%
- Languages at home
- 99% English-only · Spanish 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Rockcastle
- 2024 margin
- Solid R (+73.1) · D 12.8% · R 85.9% · Other 1.3%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -19.8pp toward R · 2008: -53.4pp · 2024: -73.1pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+73.1 2020: R+69.9 2016: R+70.2 2012: R+63.2 2008: R+53.4
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -6.66%
- Current HPI
- 131.5023
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- —
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 1.81%
- F500 in state
- 4
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in KY)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Healthcare | 1 | $118B |
|
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| Food / Beverage | 1 | $7B |
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Price history
-6.7% since first listed2 events — show timeline
- 2026-04-12 Price Changed $27,900 ImagineMLS
- 2026-03-21 Listed $29,900 ImagineMLS
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…