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36 and 38 Mullins St
B- Composite 68.32
Why this score? — see what drove the B- grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +30.0/30.0
  • 1% rule +10.0/10.0
  • DSCR +10.0/10.0
  • ARV discount +7.5/15.0
  • Livability +3.1/5.0
  • Schools +2.6/10.0
  • Rent growth +2.5/5.0
  • Appreciation +1.7/10.0
  • Condition / age +1.0/5.0

$27,900

36 and 38 Mullins St · Livingston, KY 40445
2 bd · 1.0 ba · 1,040 sqft · SingleFamily · 90 Days on market
Poor condition 6,534 sqft lot $27/sqft · 61% below area ↓ 7% since listing

🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks MLS

Investor special at 36 & 38 Mullins Street in Livingston, Kentucky. This property, sitting just off US 25, South Wilderness Road, offers approximately 1,040 square feet of potential and is ready for a full renovation. It situated in the city limits of Livingston, with quick access to Interstate 75 in Mt. Vernon and London. With a spacious, open interior, attractive design elements, two bedroom areas, one bathroom area, and two cellars for added storage, there is a solid foundation here for the right buyer to reimagine and improve. Vacant for several years, the home will require substantial updates and is best suited for investors, flippers, or cash buyers looking for their next project. Detailed listing photos provide important insight into the condition and renovation needs. The old Livingston jail building conveys with no assigned value due to disrepair. Property is sold per deed, and buyers should verify square footage, acreage, and all other property details independently.

Key facts

  • Full renovation
  • 6,534 sq ft lot
  • Listed 89 days

Tags

FULL RENOVATIONQUICK ACCESS TO INTERSTATE 75SPACIOUS OPEN INTERIORTWO CELLARS FOR ADDED STORAGE

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 2-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $28k. Condition is rated poor.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $544 ($7k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($933 rent vs $28k).
  • Recommended offer: $26k (6.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 62/100 on livability (#346 in KY) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: crime A+, cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: schools F, amenities F, commute F.
  • Rockcastle County (rural): math 23% / reading 40% proficiency, ranked #102 of 165 in KY (top 62%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
  • Market conditions: 10 active listings in the ZIP.

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $193 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $837 of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • Rockcastle County population projected to shrink 8% by 2050 — rents likely to lag national; underwrite the cash flow, not the appreciation.
  • At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $8k cash investment doubles in ~2 years — after that, you're playing with house money.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 90 days — a 6% lower offer ($26k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Recommended offer $26,226 (6.0% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. It's been on market 90 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 6% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  2. Have any recent inspections been done? Can we get a copy of the seller's disclosures and any deferred-maintenance estimates?
  3. Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
  4. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  5. Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
  6. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  7. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  8. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
3.34%
Cap rate
29.70%
Cash-on-cash
83.61%
DSCR
4.72
GRM
2.5

CMA / ARV

ARV (median comp)
$70,638
List price
$27,900
Delta
-60.50%
Verdict
UNDERPRICED
Comps
3 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 1 sale within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
815 Red Hill Rd 0.74mi 3/2.0 (+1) 1,008 (-3%) 13mo $70,000 $69 41

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
84.0%
Equity multiple
4.86×
Total profit
$30,159
Equity at exit
$4,160
10-year hold
IRR
87.2%
Equity multiple
10.08×
Total profit
$70,958
Equity at exit
$2,412

Cash invested: $7,812 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
83 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
State Kentucky
83 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+16
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
7-day pay-or-quit (URLTA cities); generally landlord-friendly.

ZIP-level market 40445

Home prices YoY
-4.8%
Active inventory
10
Price-to-rent
2.5×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$933 medium interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$146
Tax est. 1.5%
$35 /mo · $418/yr
Insurance
$12
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$196
Net cashflow
$544

Break-even live

Break-even rent $244
Max offer price $27,900
Occupancy floor 37%

Sensitivity live

Price -10% $564 -5% $554 +0% $544 +5% $535 +10% $525
Rent -10% $471 -5% $507 +0% $544 +5% $581 +10% $618
Rate -1.0pp $558 -0.5pp $551 base $544 +0.5pp $537 +1.0pp $530

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$6,975
Closing costs
$837
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Listing history 20 events

  1. 2026-06-21
    days on market $27,900 Active 90 DOM
  2. 2026-06-19
    days on market $27,900 Active 88 DOM
  3. 2026-06-18
    days on market $27,900 Active 87 DOM
  4. 2026-06-17
    days on market $27,900 Active 86 DOM
  5. 2026-06-16
    days on market $27,900 Active 85 DOM
  6. 2026-06-15
    days on market $27,900 Active 84 DOM
  7. 2026-06-14
    days on market $27,900 Active 82 DOM
  8. 2026-06-13
    days on market $27,900 Active 81 DOM
  9. 2026-06-10
    days on market $27,900 Active 79 DOM
  10. 2026-06-09
    days on market $27,900 Active 78 DOM
  11. 2026-06-08
    days on market $27,900 Active 77 DOM
  12. 2026-06-07
    days on market $27,900 Active 76 DOM
  13. 2026-06-05
    days on market $27,900 Active 73 DOM
  14. 2026-06-03
    days on market $27,900 Active 72 DOM
  15. 2026-06-02
    days on market $27,900 Active 71 DOM
  16. 2026-06-01
    days on market $27,900 Active 70 DOM
  17. 2026-05-31
    days on market $27,900 Active 69 DOM
  18. 2026-05-30
    days on market $27,900 Active 68 DOM
  19. 2026-04-12
    price $27,900 995-char remark
    Show marketing remark (995 chars)

    Investor special at 36 & 38 Mullins Street in Livingston, Kentucky. This property, sitting just off US 25, South Wilderness Road, offers approximately 1,040 square feet of potential and is ready for a full renovation. It situated in the city limits of Livingston, with quick access to Interstate 75 in Mt. Vernon and London. With a spacious, open interior, attractive design elements, two bedroom areas, one bathroom area, and two cellars for added storage, there is a solid foundation here for the right buyer to reimagine and improve. Vacant for several years, the home will require substantial updates and is best suited for investors, flippers, or cash buyers looking for their next project. Detailed listing photos provide important insight into the condition and renovation needs. The old Livingston jail building conveys with no assigned value due to disrepair. Property is sold per deed, and buyers should verify square footage, acreage, and all other property details independently.

  20. 2026-03-21
    listed $29,900 Active 995-char remark
    Show marketing remark (995 chars)

    Investor special at 36 & 38 Mullins Street in Livingston, Kentucky. This property, sitting just off US 25, South Wilderness Road, offers approximately 1,040 square feet of potential and is ready for a full renovation. It situated in the city limits of Livingston, with quick access to Interstate 75 in Mt. Vernon and London. With a spacious, open interior, attractive design elements, two bedroom areas, one bathroom area, and two cellars for added storage, there is a solid foundation here for the right buyer to reimagine and improve. Vacant for several years, the home will require substantial updates and is best suited for investors, flippers, or cash buyers looking for their next project. Detailed listing photos provide important insight into the condition and renovation needs. The old Livingston jail building conveys with no assigned value due to disrepair. Property is sold per deed, and buyers should verify square footage, acreage, and all other property details independently.

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$11,196
− Mortgage interest
−$1,563
− Property taxes
−$418
− Insurance
−$140
− Repairs & maintenance
−$896
− Management
−$896
− Depreciation
−$812
Taxable income
$6,473
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
−$1,553
After-tax cash flow
$4,978/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Condition & rehab AI · 13 photos

Poor 20/100 Extensive rehab

This property requires extensive renovation, including structural repairs, kitchen and bathroom updates, and exterior improvements. Significant value can be added through a comprehensive renovation.

Repairs flagged

  • Major Exposed framing — Structural integrity compromised
  • Major Missing cabinets — Kitchen functionality impaired
  • Major Weathered shingles — Roof leakage risk
  • Major Weathered siding — Structural integrity compromised
  • Major Exposed subfloor — Flooring functionality impaired
  • Major Exposed framing — Structural integrity compromised

Value-add opportunities

  • Both Kitchen renovation — Modern kitchen increases both resale and rental value
  • Both Bathroom renovation — Modern bathroom increases both resale and rental value
  • Both Roof replacement — New roof reduces maintenance and increases both resale and rental value
  • Both Exterior siding and paint — New siding and paint improves curb appeal and increases both resale and rental value
  • Both Flooring replacement — New flooring improves functionality and increases both resale and rental value
  • Both Interior wall repairs and painting — New walls and paint improve functionality and increase both resale and rental value

Renovation cost estimate screening

Repair itemSeverityEst. cost
Exposed framing · Structural integrity compromised Major $15,000–50,000
Missing cabinets · Kitchen functionality impaired Major $15,000–50,000
Weathered shingles · Roof leakage risk Major $15,000–50,000
Weathered siding · Structural integrity compromised Major $15,000–50,000
Exposed subfloor · Flooring functionality impaired Major $15,000–50,000
Exposed framing · Structural integrity compromised Major $15,000–50,000
Total estimated repair cost · 6 items $90,000–300,000

Value-add ROI direction

  • Both Kitchen renovation — Modern kitchen increases both resale and rental value
  • Both Bathroom renovation — Modern bathroom increases both resale and rental value
  • Both Roof replacement — New roof reduces maintenance and increases both resale and rental value
  • Both Exterior siding and paint — New siding and paint improves curb appeal and increases both resale and rental value
  • Both Flooring replacement — New flooring improves functionality and increases both resale and rental value
  • Both Interior wall repairs and painting — New walls and paint improve functionality and increase both resale and rental value

ⓘ Cost ranges are severity-bucket heuristics (US national rule-of-thumb). Get contractor quotes + a written scope before underwriting a rehab budget.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Rockcastle County
NCES district ID
2105070
Math proficiency
23% ▼ -21.00%
Reading proficiency
40% ▼ -18.00%
Median HH income
$30,809
Composite
25.55/100
National rank
#7430
State rank
#102 of 165 in KY

Livability — Livingston

Score
62/100
State rank
#346
US rank
#16500

Category grades

Amenities F Commute F Cost of living A+ Crime A+ Employment F Housing A+ Health & safety F User ratings B+

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Livingston, KY
Population (ZIP)
755

Population outlook (Rockcastle County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
17,003 people
By 2030
16,913 · -0.5%
By 2040
16,504 · -2.9%
By 2050
15,697 · -7.7%
By 2075
13,724 · -19.3%
By 2100
11,369 · -33.1%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly White (99%)
Race & ethnicity
White 99%
Common ancestry
Italian 9% Slovak 4% Lithuanian 1%
Languages at home
99% English-only · Spanish 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Rockcastle

2024 margin
Solid R (+73.1) · D 12.8% · R 85.9% · Other 1.3%
2008→2024 swing
-19.8pp toward R · 2008: -53.4pp · 2024: -73.1pp
All cycles
2024: R+73.1 2020: R+69.9 2016: R+70.2 2012: R+63.2 2008: R+53.4

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -6.66%
Current HPI
131.5023
Rent YoY
Metro
State GDP YoY
▲ 1.81%
F500 in state
4

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in KY)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

-6.7% since first listed
2 events — show timeline
  • 2026-04-12 Price Changed $27,900 ImagineMLS
  • 2026-03-21 Listed $29,900 ImagineMLS

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

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