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1130 29th St S
B Composite 74.74
Why this score? — see what drove the B grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +30.0/30.0
  • ARV discount +15.0/15.0
  • DSCR +10.0/10.0
  • 1% rule +8.1/10.0
  • Schools +4.3/10.0
  • Livability +2.5/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Rent growth +2.3/5.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$167,000

1130 29th St S · St. Petersburg, FL 33712
3 bd · 2.0 ba · 1,008 sqft · SingleFamily public records · 2 Days on market
Built 1955 3,419 sqft lot Est $260k · 36% under

🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks MLS

Great Investment! The property was originally a duplex, (two small 1/1's) tastefully converted to a 3 bed, 2 bath. Endless possibilities. .. .needs little work.

Key facts

  • Manageable lot
  • Outdoor space
  • 3,419 sq ft lot

Tags

CLASSIC FRAME CONSTRUCTIONMANAGEABLE LOTOUTDOOR SPACEQUICK ACCESS TO I-275

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 3-bed/2.0-bath single-family listed at $167k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $675 ($8k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $167k).
  • Cap rate 11.1% vs local median 2.6% in St. Petersburg — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads: area grade B — affects rentability + tenant quality, not the cash-flow math above.
  • Pinellas (suburban): math 51% / reading 51% proficiency, ranked #31 of 73 in FL (top 42%) — acceptable for families but not a draw, mixed tenant base, ~2y average lease.
  • Market conditions: Rents soft (-0.8%/yr); 204 active listings in the ZIP; 40 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals leasing fast (median 5d on market — plan ~1-2 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 2,676 units permitted in Pinellas County in 2024 (1,422 in 5+ unit buildings).
  • This rent runs 43% of the median local income ($60k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $1k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $5k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • Pinellas County population projected at +14% by 2050 — modest demand growth; plan on rents tracking national, not racing it.
  • At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 0.0% rent growth), your $47k cash investment doubles in ~10 years — after that, you're playing with house money.

Negotiation context

  • Only 2 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.
  • 3 sale attempts since 22y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
  • Current owner paid $70k; list at $167k implies a 139% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Watch-outs: built in 1955 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
  • Climate carrying-cost: severe wind risk, 99% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→24/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Recommended offer $167,000

Questions for the listing agent

  1. Built in 1955 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  2. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  3. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  4. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  5. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
1.31%
Cap rate
11.15%
Cash-on-cash
17.33%
DSCR
1.77
GRM
6.4

CMA / ARV

ARV (on-the-fly)
$260,064
Comps found
12
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
1742 31st St S 0.43mi 3/1.5 988 (-2%) 9mo $264,855 $268 67
3127 Oakley Ave S 0.32mi 3/1.0 950 (-6%) 6mo $245,000 $258 66
2584 14th Ave S 0.27mi 2/1.0 (-1) 914 (-9%) 3mo $285,000 $312 60
2487 15th Ave S 0.39mi 3/2.0 1,125 (+12%) 6mo $285,000 $253 57
2401 17th Ave S 0.53mi 3/1.0 912 (-10%) 1mo $90,000 $99 55
3227 Queensboro Ave S 0.53mi 3/2.0 1,144 (+14%) 2mo $235,000 $205 51
1931 24th St S 0.69mi 3/1.0 1,038 (+3%) 10mo $215,000 $207 51
2027 13th Ave S 0.72mi 3/1.0 958 (-5%) 6mo $210,000 $219 49
2950 2nd Ave S 0.70mi 3/2.0 1,083 (+7%) 7mo $510,000 $471 49
3455 14th Ave S 0.52mi 4/2.0 (+1) 1,098 (+9%) 10mo $282,500 $257 47
2331 16th Ave S 0.53mi 3/1.0 872 (-14%) 6mo $245,000 $281 43
3336 Carlisle Ave S 0.73mi 2/1.0 (-1) 928 (-8%) 4mo $240,000 $259 40

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 0.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
5.4%
Equity multiple
1.20×
Total profit
$9,513
Equity at exit
$24,900
10-year hold
IRR
12.1%
Equity multiple
1.83×
Total profit
$38,768
Equity at exit
$14,439

Cash invested: $46,760 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
State Florida
87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+3
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
3-day pay-or-quit; preempts local rent control; landlord-friendly statutes. Court speed varies by county.

ZIP-level market 33712

Rents YoY
-0.8%
Active inventory
204
Price-to-rent
6.4×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$2,189 high interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$876
Tax from tax record
$109 /mo · $1,304/yr
Insurance
$70
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$460
Net cashflow
$675

Break-even live

Break-even rent $1,334
Max offer price $167,000
Occupancy floor 64%

Sensitivity live

Price -10% $770 -5% $723 +0% $675 +5% $628 +10% $581
Rent -10% $502 -5% $589 +0% $675 +5% $762 +10% $848
Rate -1.0pp $760 -0.5pp $718 base $675 +0.5pp $632 +1.0pp $588

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$41,750
Closing costs
$5,010
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 40 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
1361 29th St S Saint Petersburg, FL 3.0 1.0 819 $2,400 $2.93 25d 1 0.18mi
2728 14th Ave S St. Petersburg, FL 3.0 2.0 1257 $2,100 $1.67 8d 1 0.20mi
3091 15th Ave S St. Petersburg, FL 3.0 2.0 1000 $2,195 $2.19 25d 1 0.29mi
3089 15th Ave S Saint Petersburg, FL 3.0 2.0 1000 $2,195 $2.19 5d 1 0.29mi
2547 14th Ave S Saint Petersburg, FL 2.0 1.0 726 $2,800 $3.86 5d 1 0.29mi
1147 32nd St S Saint Petersburg, FL 2.0 1.0 780 $1,350 $1.73 15d 1 0.31mi
2900 Freemont Ter S Saint Petersburg, FL 3.0 3.0 1376 $2,560 $1.86 5d 1 0.35mi
1227 Fargo St S Unit 1 St. Petersburg, FL 2.0 1.0 780 $1,600 $2.05 25d 1 0.37mi
626 31st St S Saint Petersburg, FL 3.0 1.0 1040 $2,200 $2.12 3d 1 0.42mi
560 26th St S Saint Petersburg, FL 3.0 1.0 979 $2,407 $2.46 25d 1 0.48mi
1827 Auburn St S Saint Petersburg, FL 3.0 1.0 1056 $1,855 $1.76 5d 1 0.54mi
2231 15th Ave S Saint Petersburg, FL 2.0 1.0 768 $1,900 $2.47 5d 1 0.55mi
2245 17th Ave S Saint Petersburg, FL 4.0 2.0 1058 $2,400 $2.27 5d 1 0.58mi
1901 31st St S Unit 1/2 St. Petersburg, FL 2.0 1.0 721 $1,950 $2.70 4d 1 0.59mi
2745 4th Ave S Saint Petersburg, FL 3.0 2.0 1235 $3,200 $2.59 4d 1 0.60mi
3145 4th Ave S St. Petersburg, FL 2.0 1.5 938 $2,020 $2.15 25d 1 0.63mi
2410 18th Ave S Saint Petersburg, FL 4.0 1.0 927 $1,895 $2.04 5d 1 0.63mi
3535 14th Ave S Saint Petersburg, FL 3.0 1.0 768 $1,650 $2.15 5d 1 0.65mi
1930 Walton St S Saint Petersburg, FL 3.0 1.0 814 $2,000 $2.46 5d 1 0.68mi
2810 2nd Ave S Unit B St. Petersburg, FL 2.0 1.0 950 $2,795 $2.94 15d 1 0.68mi
3603 16th Ave S Saint Petersburg, FL 4.0 2.0 1235 $3,000 $2.43 5d 1 0.70mi
1400 21st St S Saint Petersburg, FL 4.0 2.0 1487 $2,970 $2.00 8d 1 0.72mi
3246 20th Ave S Saint Petersburg, FL 2.0 1.0 864 $1,795 $2.08 25d 1 0.73mi
2020 14th Ave S Unit A St. Petersburg, FL 2.0 2.0 1000 $1,920 $1.92 8d 1 0.74mi
2028 14th Ave S Unit A St. Petersburg, FL 2.0 2.0 1000 $1,920 $1.92 25d 1 0.74mi
2900 1st Ave S Unit A St. Petersburg, FL 2.0 1.0 1000 $2,295 $2.29 25d 1 0.75mi
2710 22nd Ave S Saint Petersburg, FL 3.0 1.0 1083 $2,450 $2.26 4d 1 0.75mi
3421 4th Ave S Saint Petersburg, FL 2.0 1.5 938 $1,805 $1.92 4d 1 0.77mi
1665 37th St S Saint Petersburg, FL 3.0 1.0 867 $1,850 $2.13 11d 1 0.79mi
1920 14th Ave S Saint Petersburg, FL 3.0 2.0 1073 $1,865 $1.74 25d 1 0.80mi
2010 22nd St S Saint Petersburg, FL 3.0 1.0 1036 $1,695 $1.64 5d 1 0.82mi
2244 21st Ave S Saint Petersburg, FL 3.0 1.0 1229 $2,250 $1.83 5d 1 0.83mi
3100 Central Ave Saint Petersburg, FL 1.0–2.0 1.0–2.0 880 $2,660 $3.02 2d 10 0.84mi
201 35th St S Saint Petersburg, FL 2.0 1.0 850 $1,680 $1.98 2d 1 0.88mi
2423 Auburn St S Saint Petersburg, FL 3.0 2.0 1057 $1,650 $1.56 25d 1 0.89mi
2425 Auburn St S Saint Petersburg, FL 3.0 2.0 1092 $2,195 $2.01 4d 1 0.90mi
1771 15th Ave S Saint Petersburg, FL 2.0 1.0 800 $1,195 $1.49 4d 1 0.90mi
3550 2nd Ave S St. Petersburg, FL 2.0 1.0 720 $2,800 $3.89 25d 1 0.91mi
1642 39th St S Saint Petersburg, FL 3.0 1.0 975 $1,995 $2.05 21d 1 0.91mi
1734 39th St S Saint Petersburg, FL 4.0 2.0 1152 $2,000 $1.74 25d 1 0.93mi

Listing history 19 events

  1. 2026-06-18
    status $167,000 Pending 2 DOM
  2. 2026-06-18
    days on market $167,000 Active 2 DOM
  3. 2026-06-17
    pricedays on marketlisting id $167,000 Active 1 DOM
  4. 2026-06-09
    days on market $195,000 Active 10 DOM
  5. 2026-06-08
    days on market $195,000 Active 9 DOM
  6. 2026-06-07
    days on market $195,000 Active 8 DOM
  7. 2026-06-04
    days on market $195,000 Active 5 DOM
  8. 2026-06-03
    days on market $195,000 Active 4 DOM
  9. 2026-06-02
    days on market $195,000 Active 3 DOM
  10. 2026-06-01
    days on market $195,000 Active 2 DOM
  11. 2026-05-31
    remarks 699-char remark
  12. 2026-05-31
    pricedays on marketlisting id $195,000 Active 1 DOM
  13. 2026-05-12
    listed $170,000 Active
  14. 2006-06-14
    soldstatus $70,000
  15. 2006-06-02
    soldstatus $70,000 160-char remark
    Show marketing remark (160 chars)

    Great Investment! The property was originally a duplex, (two small 1/1's) tastefully converted to a 3 bed, 2 bath. Endless possibilities. .. .needs little work.

  16. 2006-05-03
    listed $79,000 160-char remark
    Show marketing remark (160 chars)

    Great Investment! The property was originally a duplex, (two small 1/1's) tastefully converted to a 3 bed, 2 bath. Endless possibilities. .. .needs little work.

  17. 2005-01-06
    soldstatus $94,000
  18. 2004-07-02
    listed $94,000
  19. 2002-10-08
    soldstatus $33,000

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast FL · Resets to sale price

Current annual tax
$1,304 · $109/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$1,386 · $116/mo
Expected delta
+$82/yr (+$7/mo · 6.3%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 1/10 Low
  • 🌡 Heat 10/10 Extreme 7 d/yr ≥106°F today · 24 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 10/10 Extreme 99% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
  • 🫁 Air quality 4/10 Moderate 4 unhealthy d/yr today · 4 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

Loading sold comps map…

Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

Loading nearby amenities…

Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$26,270
− Mortgage interest
−$9,355
− Property taxes
−$1,304
− Insurance
−$835
− Repairs & maintenance
−$2,102
− Management
−$2,102
− Depreciation
−$4,858
Taxable income
$5,715
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
−$1,372
After-tax cash flow
$6,734/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Pinellas
NCES district ID
1201560
Math proficiency
51% ▼ -5.00%
Reading proficiency
51% ▼ -3.00%
Median HH income
$46,270
Composite
43.27/100
National rank
#3046
State rank
#31 of 73 in FL

Livability — St. Petersburg

No livability data for this city. (Only ~50 U.S. cities are tracked.)

Census & demographics

Census place
St. Petersburg, FL
County
Pinellas County · 939,478 people
City population
249,151
Metro
Tampa-St. Petersburg-Clearwater, FL
Population (ZIP)
27,142
Household income
$60,450
Rent vs Own
43.2% rent · 56.8% own
Severe rent burden
1928.0

Population outlook (Pinellas County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
1,027,532 people
By 2030
1,063,586 · +3.5%
By 2040
1,125,020 · +9.5%
By 2050
1,168,637 · +13.7%
By 2075
1,265,188 · +23.1%
By 2100
1,260,357 · +22.7%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly Black (68%)
Race & ethnicity
Black 68% White 23% Two or more races 6% Hispanic / Latino 4%
Common ancestry
Lithuanian 1% Slovak 1% Estonian 1%
Foreign-born
7% · Canada, Jamaica
Languages at home
92% English-only · French/Haitian/Cajun 3% Spanish 3% Other Indo-European 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Pinellas

2024 margin
Lean R (+5.2) · D 46.9% · R 52.1%
2008→2024 swing
-13.5pp toward R · 2008: 8.3pp · 2024: -5.2pp
All cycles
2024: R+5.2 2020: D+0.2 2016: R+1.1 2012: D+5.6 2008: D+8.3

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -275.45%
Current HPI
412.7251
Rent YoY
▼ -0.77%
Metro
Tampa-St. Petersburg-Clearwater, FL
State GDP YoY
▲ 3.28%
F500 in state
36

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in FL)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

+415.2% since first listed
7 events — show timeline
  • 2026-05-12 Listed $170,000 FSBO.com
  • 2006-06-14 Sold (Public Records) $70,000 Public Records
  • 2006-06-02 Sold (MLS) $70,000 Stellar MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2006-05-03 Listed $79,000 Stellar MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2005-01-06 Sold (Public Records) $94,000 Public Records
  • 2004-07-02 Listed $94,000 Stellar MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2002-10-08 Sold (Public Records) $33,000 Public Records

Property tax history

+12.6%/yr

Latest (2025): $1,304 · +15.6% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

Loading sold comps…