1130 29th St S · St. Petersburg, FL
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $947 – $1,759
Heat risk 10/10 · Severe
- Hot days now (above 106°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 24 days/yr
Wind risk 10/10 · Severe
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 99.0%
Air-quality risk 4/10 · Minor
- Unhealthy air days now
- 4 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 4 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the B grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +30.0/30.0
- ARV discount +15.0/15.0
- DSCR +10.0/10.0
- 1% rule +8.1/10.0
- Schools +4.3/10.0
- Livability +2.5/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Rent growth +2.3/5.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$167,000
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
Great Investment! The property was originally a duplex, (two small 1/1's) tastefully converted to a 3 bed, 2 bath. Endless possibilities. .. .needs little work.
Key facts
- Manageable lot
- Outdoor space
- 3,419 sq ft lot
Tags
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 3-bed/2.0-bath single-family listed at $167k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $675 ($8k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $167k).
- Cap rate 11.1% vs local median 2.6% in St. Petersburg — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads: area grade B — affects rentability + tenant quality, not the cash-flow math above.
- Pinellas (suburban): math 51% / reading 51% proficiency, ranked #31 of 73 in FL (top 42%) — acceptable for families but not a draw, mixed tenant base, ~2y average lease.
- Market conditions: Rents soft (-0.8%/yr); 204 active listings in the ZIP; 40 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals leasing fast (median 5d on market — plan ~1-2 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 2,676 units permitted in Pinellas County in 2024 (1,422 in 5+ unit buildings).
- This rent runs 43% of the median local income ($60k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $1k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $5k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Pinellas County population projected at +14% by 2050 — modest demand growth; plan on rents tracking national, not racing it.
- At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 0.0% rent growth), your $47k cash investment doubles in ~10 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Negotiation context
- Only 2 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.
- 3 sale attempts since 22y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
- Current owner paid $70k; list at $167k implies a 139% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: built in 1955 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
- Climate carrying-cost: severe wind risk, 99% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→24/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- Built in 1955 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.31% ✓
- Cap rate
- 11.15%
- Cash-on-cash
- 17.33%
- DSCR
- 1.77
- GRM
- 6.4
CMA / ARV
- ARV (on-the-fly)
- $260,064
- Comps found
- 12
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1742 31st St S | 0.43mi | 3/1.5 | 988 (-2%) | 9mo | $264,855 | $268 | 67 |
| 3127 Oakley Ave S | 0.32mi | 3/1.0 | 950 (-6%) | 6mo | $245,000 | $258 | 66 |
| 2584 14th Ave S | 0.27mi | 2/1.0 (-1) | 914 (-9%) | 3mo | $285,000 | $312 | 60 |
| 2487 15th Ave S | 0.39mi | 3/2.0 | 1,125 (+12%) | 6mo | $285,000 | $253 | 57 |
| 2401 17th Ave S | 0.53mi | 3/1.0 | 912 (-10%) | 1mo | $90,000 | $99 | 55 |
| 3227 Queensboro Ave S | 0.53mi | 3/2.0 | 1,144 (+14%) | 2mo | $235,000 | $205 | 51 |
| 1931 24th St S | 0.69mi | 3/1.0 | 1,038 (+3%) | 10mo | $215,000 | $207 | 51 |
| 2027 13th Ave S | 0.72mi | 3/1.0 | 958 (-5%) | 6mo | $210,000 | $219 | 49 |
| 2950 2nd Ave S | 0.70mi | 3/2.0 | 1,083 (+7%) | 7mo | $510,000 | $471 | 49 |
| 3455 14th Ave S | 0.52mi | 4/2.0 (+1) | 1,098 (+9%) | 10mo | $282,500 | $257 | 47 |
| 2331 16th Ave S | 0.53mi | 3/1.0 | 872 (-14%) | 6mo | $245,000 | $281 | 43 |
| 3336 Carlisle Ave S | 0.73mi | 2/1.0 (-1) | 928 (-8%) | 4mo | $240,000 | $259 | 40 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 0.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 5.4%
- Equity multiple
- 1.20×
- Total profit
- $9,513
- Equity at exit
- $24,900
- IRR
- 12.1%
- Equity multiple
- 1.83×
- Total profit
- $38,768
- Equity at exit
- $14,439
Cash invested: $46,760 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State Florida
- 87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+3
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 33712
- Rents YoY
- -0.8%
- Active inventory
- 204
- Price-to-rent
- 6.4×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $2,189 high interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$876
- Tax from tax record
- −$109 /mo · $1,304/yr
- Insurance
- −$70
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$460
- Net cashflow
- $675
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $770 | -5% $723 | +0% $675 | +5% $628 | +10% $581 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $502 | -5% $589 | +0% $675 | +5% $762 | +10% $848 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $760 | -0.5pp $718 | base $675 | +0.5pp $632 | +1.0pp $588 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $41,750
- Closing costs
- $5,010
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 40 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1361 29th St S Saint Petersburg, FL | 3.0 | 1.0 | 819 | $2,400 | $2.93 | 25d | 1 | 0.18mi |
| 2728 14th Ave S St. Petersburg, FL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1257 | $2,100 | $1.67 | 8d | 1 | 0.20mi |
| 3091 15th Ave S St. Petersburg, FL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1000 | $2,195 | $2.19 | 25d | 1 | 0.29mi |
| 3089 15th Ave S Saint Petersburg, FL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1000 | $2,195 | $2.19 | 5d | 1 | 0.29mi |
| 2547 14th Ave S Saint Petersburg, FL | 2.0 | 1.0 | 726 | $2,800 | $3.86 | 5d | 1 | 0.29mi |
| 1147 32nd St S Saint Petersburg, FL | 2.0 | 1.0 | 780 | $1,350 | $1.73 | 15d | 1 | 0.31mi |
| 2900 Freemont Ter S Saint Petersburg, FL | 3.0 | 3.0 | 1376 | $2,560 | $1.86 | 5d | 1 | 0.35mi |
| 1227 Fargo St S Unit 1 St. Petersburg, FL | 2.0 | 1.0 | 780 | $1,600 | $2.05 | 25d | 1 | 0.37mi |
| 626 31st St S Saint Petersburg, FL | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1040 | $2,200 | $2.12 | 3d | 1 | 0.42mi |
| 560 26th St S Saint Petersburg, FL | 3.0 | 1.0 | 979 | $2,407 | $2.46 | 25d | 1 | 0.48mi |
| 1827 Auburn St S Saint Petersburg, FL | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1056 | $1,855 | $1.76 | 5d | 1 | 0.54mi |
| 2231 15th Ave S Saint Petersburg, FL | 2.0 | 1.0 | 768 | $1,900 | $2.47 | 5d | 1 | 0.55mi |
| 2245 17th Ave S Saint Petersburg, FL | 4.0 | 2.0 | 1058 | $2,400 | $2.27 | 5d | 1 | 0.58mi |
| 1901 31st St S Unit 1/2 St. Petersburg, FL | 2.0 | 1.0 | 721 | $1,950 | $2.70 | 4d | 1 | 0.59mi |
| 2745 4th Ave S Saint Petersburg, FL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1235 | $3,200 | $2.59 | 4d | 1 | 0.60mi |
| 3145 4th Ave S St. Petersburg, FL | 2.0 | 1.5 | 938 | $2,020 | $2.15 | 25d | 1 | 0.63mi |
| 2410 18th Ave S Saint Petersburg, FL | 4.0 | 1.0 | 927 | $1,895 | $2.04 | 5d | 1 | 0.63mi |
| 3535 14th Ave S Saint Petersburg, FL | 3.0 | 1.0 | 768 | $1,650 | $2.15 | 5d | 1 | 0.65mi |
| 1930 Walton St S Saint Petersburg, FL | 3.0 | 1.0 | 814 | $2,000 | $2.46 | 5d | 1 | 0.68mi |
| 2810 2nd Ave S Unit B St. Petersburg, FL | 2.0 | 1.0 | 950 | $2,795 | $2.94 | 15d | 1 | 0.68mi |
| 3603 16th Ave S Saint Petersburg, FL | 4.0 | 2.0 | 1235 | $3,000 | $2.43 | 5d | 1 | 0.70mi |
| 1400 21st St S Saint Petersburg, FL | 4.0 | 2.0 | 1487 | $2,970 | $2.00 | 8d | 1 | 0.72mi |
| 3246 20th Ave S Saint Petersburg, FL | 2.0 | 1.0 | 864 | $1,795 | $2.08 | 25d | 1 | 0.73mi |
| 2020 14th Ave S Unit A St. Petersburg, FL | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1000 | $1,920 | $1.92 | 8d | 1 | 0.74mi |
| 2028 14th Ave S Unit A St. Petersburg, FL | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1000 | $1,920 | $1.92 | 25d | 1 | 0.74mi |
| 2900 1st Ave S Unit A St. Petersburg, FL | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1000 | $2,295 | $2.29 | 25d | 1 | 0.75mi |
| 2710 22nd Ave S Saint Petersburg, FL | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1083 | $2,450 | $2.26 | 4d | 1 | 0.75mi |
| 3421 4th Ave S Saint Petersburg, FL | 2.0 | 1.5 | 938 | $1,805 | $1.92 | 4d | 1 | 0.77mi |
| 1665 37th St S Saint Petersburg, FL | 3.0 | 1.0 | 867 | $1,850 | $2.13 | 11d | 1 | 0.79mi |
| 1920 14th Ave S Saint Petersburg, FL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1073 | $1,865 | $1.74 | 25d | 1 | 0.80mi |
| 2010 22nd St S Saint Petersburg, FL | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1036 | $1,695 | $1.64 | 5d | 1 | 0.82mi |
| 2244 21st Ave S Saint Petersburg, FL | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1229 | $2,250 | $1.83 | 5d | 1 | 0.83mi |
| 3100 Central Ave Saint Petersburg, FL | 1.0–2.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 880 | $2,660 | $3.02 | 2d | 10 | 0.84mi |
| 201 35th St S Saint Petersburg, FL | 2.0 | 1.0 | 850 | $1,680 | $1.98 | 2d | 1 | 0.88mi |
| 2423 Auburn St S Saint Petersburg, FL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1057 | $1,650 | $1.56 | 25d | 1 | 0.89mi |
| 2425 Auburn St S Saint Petersburg, FL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1092 | $2,195 | $2.01 | 4d | 1 | 0.90mi |
| 1771 15th Ave S Saint Petersburg, FL | 2.0 | 1.0 | 800 | $1,195 | $1.49 | 4d | 1 | 0.90mi |
| 3550 2nd Ave S St. Petersburg, FL | 2.0 | 1.0 | 720 | $2,800 | $3.89 | 25d | 1 | 0.91mi |
| 1642 39th St S Saint Petersburg, FL | 3.0 | 1.0 | 975 | $1,995 | $2.05 | 21d | 1 | 0.91mi |
| 1734 39th St S Saint Petersburg, FL | 4.0 | 2.0 | 1152 | $2,000 | $1.74 | 25d | 1 | 0.93mi |
Listing history 19 events
-
2026-06-18status $167,000 Pending 2 DOM
-
2026-06-18days on market $167,000 Active 2 DOM
-
2026-06-17pricedays on market $167,000 Active 1 DOM
-
2026-06-09days on market $195,000 Active 10 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $195,000 Active 9 DOM
-
2026-06-07days on market $195,000 Active 8 DOM
-
2026-06-04days on market $195,000 Active 5 DOM
-
2026-06-03days on market $195,000 Active 4 DOM
-
2026-06-02days on market $195,000 Active 3 DOM
-
2026-06-01days on market $195,000 Active 2 DOM
-
2026-05-31remarks 699-char remark
-
2026-05-31pricedays on market $195,000 Active 1 DOM
-
2026-05-12$170,000 Active
-
2006-06-14soldstatus $70,000
-
2006-06-02soldstatus $70,000 160-char remark
Show marketing remark (160 chars)
Great Investment! The property was originally a duplex, (two small 1/1's) tastefully converted to a 3 bed, 2 bath. Endless possibilities. .. .needs little work.
-
2006-05-03$79,000 160-char remark
Show marketing remark (160 chars)
Great Investment! The property was originally a duplex, (two small 1/1's) tastefully converted to a 3 bed, 2 bath. Endless possibilities. .. .needs little work.
-
2005-01-06soldstatus $94,000
-
2004-07-02$94,000
-
2002-10-08soldstatus $33,000
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast FL · Resets to sale price
- Current annual tax
- $1,304 · $109/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $1,386 · $116/mo
- Expected delta
- +$82/yr (+$7/mo · 6.3%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 1/10 Low
- Heat 10/10 Extreme 7 d/yr ≥106°F today · 24 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 10/10 Extreme 99% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 4/10 Moderate 4 unhealthy d/yr today · 4 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $26,270
- − Mortgage interest
- −$9,355
- − Property taxes
- −$1,304
- − Insurance
- −$835
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$2,102
- − Management
- −$2,102
- − Depreciation
- −$4,858
- Taxable income
- $5,715
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$1,372
- After-tax cash flow
- $6,734/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Pinellas
- NCES district ID
- 1201560
- Math proficiency
- 51% ▼ -5.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 51% ▼ -3.00%
- Median HH income
- $46,270
- Composite
- 43.27/100
- National rank
- #3046
- State rank
- #31 of 73 in FL
Livability — St. Petersburg
No livability data for this city. (Only ~50 U.S. cities are tracked.)
Census & demographics
- Census place
- St. Petersburg, FL
- County
- Pinellas County · 939,478 people
- City population
- 249,151
- Metro
- Tampa-St. Petersburg-Clearwater, FL
- Population (ZIP)
- 27,142
- Household income
- $60,450
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 1928.0
Population outlook (Pinellas County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 1,027,532 people
- By 2030
- 1,063,586 · +3.5%
- By 2040
- 1,125,020 · +9.5%
- By 2050
- 1,168,637 · +13.7%
- By 2075
- 1,265,188 · +23.1%
- By 2100
- 1,260,357 · +22.7%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly Black (68%)
- Race & ethnicity
- Black 68% White 23% Two or more races 6% Hispanic / Latino 4%
- Common ancestry
- Lithuanian 1% Slovak 1% Estonian 1%
- Foreign-born
- 7% · Canada, Jamaica
- Languages at home
- 92% English-only · French/Haitian/Cajun 3% Spanish 3% Other Indo-European 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Pinellas
- 2024 margin
- Lean R (+5.2) · D 46.9% · R 52.1%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -13.5pp toward R · 2008: 8.3pp · 2024: -5.2pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+5.2 2020: D+0.2 2016: R+1.1 2012: D+5.6 2008: D+8.3
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -275.45%
- Current HPI
- 412.7251
- Rent YoY
- ▼ -0.77%
- Metro
- Tampa-St. Petersburg-Clearwater, FL
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 3.28%
- F500 in state
- 36
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in FL)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Industrial Technology | 2 | $29B |
|
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| Insurance | 2 | $17B |
|
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| Retail | 1 | $60B |
|
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| Technology Distribution | 1 | $58B |
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| Homebuilding | 1 | $35B |
|
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| Technology Manufacturing | 1 | $35B |
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Price history
+415.2% since first listed7 events — show timeline
- 2026-05-12 Listed $170,000 FSBO.com
- 2006-06-14 Sold (Public Records) $70,000 Public Records
- 2006-06-02 Sold (MLS) $70,000 Stellar MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2006-05-03 Listed $79,000 Stellar MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2005-01-06 Sold (Public Records) $94,000 Public Records
- 2004-07-02 Listed $94,000 Stellar MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2002-10-08 Sold (Public Records) $33,000 Public Records
Property tax history
+12.6%/yrLatest (2025): $1,304 · +15.6% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…