3014 Farcott St · Mobile, AL
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $916 – $1,700
Heat risk 9/10 · Severe
- Hot days now (above 105°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 21 days/yr
Wind risk 9/10 · Severe
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 99.0%
Air-quality risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 1 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 1 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the B grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +30.0/30.0
- ARV discount +12.5/15.0
- DSCR +10.0/10.0
- 1% rule +9.1/10.0
- Rent growth +3.8/5.0
- Livability +3.8/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Schools +2.3/10.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$139,900
🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
NEW FORTIFIED ROOF IN '24!!!! Spacious 5 bedroom, 2 bath centrally located home with easy interstate access. HVAC approximately 5 years old and wiring has been updated according to 2022 inspection report. Would make a GREAT rental or starter home! 2 driveways and a carport provide ample parking. There is a large covered porch in the backyard for hanging out on warm days as well as a shed. The primary and one secondary bedroom are located in the back of the home with convenient access to the indoor laundry. They are split from the other 3 beds and a bath located off a hallway at the front of the home. Refrigerator included with the home.
Key facts
- Updated wiring
- Large covered porch
- Ample parking
Tags
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 5-bed/2.0-bath single-family listed at $140k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $670 ($8k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $140k).
- Recommended offer: $136k (3.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
- Cap rate 12.0% vs local median 4.9% in Mobile — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 75/100 on livability (#20 in AL, #4,262 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: commute A+, cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: schools D-, crime F, employment D-.
- Mobile County (urban): math 15% / reading 39% proficiency, ranked #81 of 129 in AL (top 63%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 67% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
- Market conditions: Rents rising fast (+5.1%/yr); 174 active listings in the ZIP; 1 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; 1,678 units permitted in Mobile County in 2024 (264 in 5+ unit buildings).
- At $1,975/mo this rent would consume 46% of the median local household income ($51k/yr) (locally 999% of renters already pay >50% of income on rent) — very limited rent-growth headroom before tenants either downsize or default.
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $967 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $4k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Mobile County population projected to shrink 8% by 2050 — rents likely to lag national; underwrite the cash flow, not the appreciation.
- At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 5.1% rent growth), your $39k cash investment doubles in ~6 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 40 days — a 3% lower offer ($136k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 7 sale attempts since 6y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
- Current owner paid $109k; 28% above their basis — modest negotiation headroom, anchor on the comps not their cost.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: built in 1955 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
- Climate carrying-cost: severe wind risk, 99% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→21/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 40 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 3% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Built in 1955 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
- Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.41% ✓
- Cap rate
- 12.04%
- Cash-on-cash
- 20.51%
- DSCR
- 1.91
- GRM
- 5.9
CMA / ARV
- ARV (median comp)
- $157,514
- List price
- $139,900
- Delta
- -11.18%
- Verdict
- UNDERPRICED
- Comps
- 16 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 1 sale within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 966 Delmar Dr | 0.63mi | 4/2.0 (-1) | 1,360 (-9%) | 12mo | $147,000 | $108 | 40 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 5.06% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 15.0%
- Equity multiple
- 1.62×
- Total profit
- $24,132
- Equity at exit
- $20,860
- IRR
- 25.1%
- Equity multiple
- 3.39×
- Total profit
- $93,730
- Equity at exit
- $12,096
Cash invested: $39,172 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State Alabama
- 90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+15
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 36606
- Rents YoY
- 5.1%
- Active inventory
- 174
- Price-to-rent
- 5.9×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,975 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$734
- Tax from tax record
- −$99 /mo · $1,182/yr
- Insurance
- −$58
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$415
- Net cashflow
- $670
Break-even live
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $34,975
- Closing costs
- $4,197
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 1 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2863 Potter Dr Unit 1043693P Mobile, AL | 4.0 | 2.0 | 1496 | $3,049 | $2.04 | 13d | 1 | 0.99mi |
Listing history 22 events
-
2026-05-31days on market $139,900 Pending 40 DOM
-
2026-05-14status Pending 644-char remark
Show marketing remark (698 chars)
NEW FORTIFIED ROOF IN '24!!!! Spacious 5 bedroom, 2 bath centrally located home with easy interstate access. HVAC approximately 5 years old and wiring has been updated according to 2022 inspection report. Would make a GREAT rental or starter home! 2 driveways and a carport provide ample parking. There is a large covered porch in the backyard for hanging out on warm days as well as a shed. The primary and one secondary bedroom are located in the back of the home with convenient access to the indoor laundry. They are split from the other 3 beds and a bath located off a hallway at the front of the home. Refrigerator included with the home. Buyer to verify all information during due diligence.
-
2026-05-14status Pending 698-char remark
Show marketing remark (698 chars)
NEW FORTIFIED ROOF IN '24!!!! Spacious 5 bedroom, 2 bath centrally located home with easy interstate access. HVAC approximately 5 years old and wiring has been updated according to 2022 inspection report. Would make a GREAT rental or starter home! 2 driveways and a carport provide ample parking. There is a large covered porch in the backyard for hanging out on warm days as well as a shed. The primary and one secondary bedroom are located in the back of the home with convenient access to the indoor laundry. They are split from the other 3 beds and a bath located off a hallway at the front of the home. Refrigerator included with the home. Buyer to verify all information during due diligence.
-
2026-05-05status Active 644-char remark
Show marketing remark (698 chars)
NEW FORTIFIED ROOF IN '24!!!! Spacious 5 bedroom, 2 bath centrally located home with easy interstate access. HVAC approximately 5 years old and wiring has been updated according to 2022 inspection report. Would make a GREAT rental or starter home! 2 driveways and a carport provide ample parking. There is a large covered porch in the backyard for hanging out on warm days as well as a shed. The primary and one secondary bedroom are located in the back of the home with convenient access to the indoor laundry. They are split from the other 3 beds and a bath located off a hallway at the front of the home. Refrigerator included with the home. Buyer to verify all information during due diligence.
-
2026-05-05$139,900 Active 698-char remark
Show marketing remark (698 chars)
NEW FORTIFIED ROOF IN '24!!!! Spacious 5 bedroom, 2 bath centrally located home with easy interstate access. HVAC approximately 5 years old and wiring has been updated according to 2022 inspection report. Would make a GREAT rental or starter home! 2 driveways and a carport provide ample parking. There is a large covered porch in the backyard for hanging out on warm days as well as a shed. The primary and one secondary bedroom are located in the back of the home with convenient access to the indoor laundry. They are split from the other 3 beds and a bath located off a hallway at the front of the home. Refrigerator included with the home. Buyer to verify all information during due diligence.
-
2026-05-01historical 644-char remark
Show marketing remark (644 chars)
NEW FORTIFIED ROOF IN '24!!!! Spacious 5 bedroom, 2 bath centrally located home with easy interstate access. HVAC approximately 5 years old and wiring has been updated according to 2022 inspection report. Would make a GREAT rental or starter home! 2 driveways and a carport provide ample parking. There is a large covered porch in the backyard for hanging out on warm days as well as a shed. The primary and one secondary bedroom are located in the back of the home with convenient access to the indoor laundry. They are split from the other 3 beds and a bath located off a hallway at the front of the home. Refrigerator included with the home.
-
2026-03-31$139,900 Active 644-char remark
Show marketing remark (644 chars)
NEW FORTIFIED ROOF IN '24!!!! Spacious 5 bedroom, 2 bath centrally located home with easy interstate access. HVAC approximately 5 years old and wiring has been updated according to 2022 inspection report. Would make a GREAT rental or starter home! 2 driveways and a carport provide ample parking. There is a large covered porch in the backyard for hanging out on warm days as well as a shed. The primary and one secondary bedroom are located in the back of the home with convenient access to the indoor laundry. They are split from the other 3 beds and a bath located off a hallway at the front of the home. Refrigerator included with the home.
-
2026-03-31$139,900 Active
Show marketing remark (644 chars)
NEW FORTIFIED ROOF IN '24!!!! Spacious 5 bedroom, 2 bath centrally located home with easy interstate access. HVAC approximately 5 years old and wiring has been updated according to 2022 inspection report. Would make a GREAT rental or starter home! 2 driveways and a carport provide ample parking. There is a large covered porch in the backyard for hanging out on warm days as well as a shed. The primary and one secondary bedroom are located in the back of the home with convenient access to the indoor laundry. They are split from the other 3 beds and a bath located off a hallway at the front of the home. Refrigerator included with the home.
-
2026-01-08price $145,000
-
2026-01-08price $145,000
-
2025-11-10status Active
-
2025-10-14status Pending
-
2025-09-26price $150,170
-
2025-09-21price $150,170
-
2025-08-19$160,000 Active
-
2022-06-09price $1,400
-
2022-04-26soldstatus $109,000
-
2022-04-18soldstatus $109,900
-
2020-06-17soldstatus $33,500
-
2020-06-17soldstatus $33,500
-
2020-05-18$36,000
-
2009-03-03soldstatus $80,051
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast AL · Resets to sale price
- Current annual tax
- $1,182 · $99/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $1,182 · $99/mo
- Expected delta
- $0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 1/10 Low
- Heat 9/10 Extreme 7 d/yr ≥105°F today · 21 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 9/10 Extreme 99% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 2/10 Low 1 unhealthy d/yr today · 1 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $23,696
- − Mortgage interest
- −$7,837
- − Property taxes
- −$1,182
- − Insurance
- −$700
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,896
- − Management
- −$1,896
- − Depreciation
- −$4,070
- Taxable income
- $6,116
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$1,468
- After-tax cash flow
- $6,566/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Mobile County
- NCES district ID
- 0102370
- Math proficiency
- 15% ▼ -28.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 39% ▬ 0.00%
- Median HH income
- $42,455
- Composite
- 22.9/100
- National rank
- #8002
- State rank
- #81 of 129 in AL
Livability — Mobile
- Score
- 75/100
- State rank
- #20
- US rank
- #4262
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Mobile, AL
- County
- Mobile County · 246,577 people
- City population
- 205,729
- Metro
- Mobile, AL
- Population (ZIP)
- 18,728
- Household income
- $51,303
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 999.0
Population outlook (Mobile County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 415,303 people
- By 2030
- 411,755 · -0.9%
- By 2040
- 399,670 · -3.8%
- By 2050
- 382,616 · -7.9%
- By 2075
- 337,353 · -18.8%
- By 2100
- 283,391 · -31.8%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Majority Black (56%)
- Race & ethnicity
- Black 56% White 37% Two or more races 5% Hispanic / Latino 4%
- Common ancestry
- Italian 2% Scottish 2% Lithuanian 1%
- Foreign-born
- 3% · Canada
- Languages at home
- 96% English-only · Spanish 3%
Political lean MEDSL · Mobile
- 2024 margin
- R (+16.4) · D 41.3% · R 57.7%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -7.7pp toward R · 2008: -8.7pp · 2024: -16.4pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+16.4 2020: R+11.9 2016: R+13.9 2012: R+9.3 2008: R+8.7
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -232.19%
- Current HPI
- 145.9025
- Rent YoY
- ▲ 5.06%
- Metro
- Mobile, AL
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 2.94%
- F500 in state
- 4
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in AL)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Financial Services | 1 | $8B |
|
||
| Healthcare | 1 | $5B |
|
||
Price history
+74.8% since first listed21 events — show timeline
- 2026-05-14 Pending — GCMLS AL
- 2026-05-14 Pending — BCAR
- 2026-05-05 Relisted — GCMLS AL
- 2026-05-05 Listed $139,900 BCAR
- 2026-05-01 Delisted — GCMLS AL
- 2026-03-31 Listed $139,900 GCMLS AL
- 2026-03-31 Listed $139,900 BCAR
- 2026-01-08 Price Changed $145,000 GCMLS AL
- 2026-01-08 Price Changed $145,000 BCAR
- 2025-11-10 Relisted — BCAR
- 2025-10-14 Pending — BCAR
- 2025-09-26 Price Changed $150,170 BCAR
- 2025-09-21 Price Changed $150,170 GCMLS AL
- 2025-08-19 Listed $160,000 BCAR
- 2022-06-09 Price Changed $1,400 RENT.
- 2022-04-26 Sold (Public Records) $109,000 Public Records
- 2022-04-18 Sold (MLS) $109,900 GCMLS AL
- 2020-06-17 Sold (MLS) $33,500 GCMLS AL
- 2020-06-17 Sold (MLS) $33,500 BCAR
- 2020-05-18 Listed $36,000 BCAR
- 2009-03-03 Sold (Public Records) $80,051 Public Records
Property tax history
+9.2%/yrLatest (2025): $1,182 · +0.0% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…