315 Coyol St · San Antonio, TX
Flood risk 6/10 · Moderate
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.73%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $1,222 – $2,270
Heat risk 8/10 · Major
- Hot days now (above 108°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 22 days/yr
Wind risk 7/10 · Major
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 78.0%
Air-quality risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 1 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 1 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the C- grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +15.0/30.0
- Appreciation +10.0/10.0
- ARV discount +7.5/15.0
- 1% rule +5.0/10.0
- DSCR +5.0/10.0
- Rent growth +4.0/5.0
- Livability +4.0/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Schools +1.3/10.0
$31,450
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks
This is a fantastic opportunity for someone wanting a great builder lot with sewer and water available. Priced to sell quick. Full 100% fenced lot sitting on approximately . 20 of an acre. Drive by take a look. We are not able to open the house for access.
Key facts
- Fenced lot
- 5,967 sq ft lot
- Built 2007
Tags
Property features AI
Finance
- HOA & community: Subdivision: Loma Area 1A Ed
Exterior
- Utilities: Water system
- Home design: Pre-owned single-family residence; Approximately 19 years old
- Construction: Wood exterior; Cedar post foundation; Other roof type (see remarks)
- Exterior features: Street is paved
Interior
- Kitchen: Kitchen approximately 10 x 10
- Bedrooms: Master bedroom approximately 10 x 10; Second bedroom approximately 10 x 10
- Flooring: Other flooring (see remarks)
- Bathrooms: 2 full bathrooms
- Heating & cooling: Other heating fuel (see remarks)
- Interior features: One living area
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 3-bed/2.0-bath single-family listed at $31k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $950 ($11k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $31k).
- Recommended offer: $31k (1.5% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
- Cap rate 42.5% vs local median 3.8% in San Antonio — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 80/100 on livability (#31 in TX, #1,616 nationally) — a professional / high-income tenant draw. Strengths: amenities A+, commute A+, cost of living A+; Watch: crime F.
- Edgewood ISD (urban): math 12% / reading 21% proficiency, ranked #812 of 826 in TX (top 98%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover.
- Zoned schools: Loma Park El (math 11% / reading 22%, grade F, #3,946 of 4,322 statewide, top 92%, 586 students, 98% FRL); Gus Garcia Middle (math 13% / reading 20%, grade F, #1,536 of 1,662 statewide, top 93%, 505 students, 96% FRL, charter); Memorial H S (math 22% / reading 29%, grade F, #1,246 of 1,632 statewide, top 77%, 872 students, 92% FRL) — zoned schools average 95% FRL vs 24% district-wide (71 pts higher); higher-poverty schools than district average — tighter screening recommended.
- Market conditions: Rents rising fast (+6.1%/yr); 140 active listings in the ZIP; 3 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals leasing fast (median 13d on market — plan ~1-2 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); lower-income renter base — watch delinquency; 8,308 units permitted in Bexar County in 2024 (2,506 in 5+ unit buildings).
- This rent runs 41% of the median local income ($43k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.
Forward outlook
- In year one you build about $3k of equity ($218 loan paydown + $3k appreciation (10.0% local appreciation)).
- Bexar County population projected at +50% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
- At projected returns (10.0% appreciation + 6.1% rent growth), your $9k cash investment doubles in ~1 year — after that, you're playing with house money.
- By year 9, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$35k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 20 days — a 2% lower offer ($31k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Risks & watch-outs
- Climate carrying-cost: major flood risk; major wind risk, 78% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→22/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 4.70% ✓
- Cap rate
- 42.53%
- Cash-on-cash
- 129.43%
- DSCR
- 6.76
- GRM
- 1.8
CMA / ARV
No comps found within radius.
Projected returns pro-forma
10.0% appreciation · 6.13% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- —
- Equity multiple
- 10.36×
- Total profit
- $82,441
- Equity at exit
- $28,333
- IRR
- —
- Equity multiple
- 24.43×
- Total profit
- $206,296
- Equity at exit
- $61,100
Cash invested: $8,806 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State Texas
- 87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+5
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 78237
- Home prices YoY
- 14.1%
- Rents YoY
- 6.1%
- Active inventory
- 140
- Price-to-rent
- 1.8×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,477 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$165
- Tax est. 1.5%
- −$39 /mo · $472/yr
- Insurance
- −$13
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$310
- Net cashflow
- $950
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $972 | -5% $961 | +0% $950 | +5% $939 | +10% $928 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $833 | -5% $891 | +0% $950 | +5% $1,008 | +10% $1,066 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $966 | -0.5pp $958 | base $950 | +0.5pp $942 | +1.0pp $933 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $7,862
- Closing costs
- $944
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 3 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4767 Lark San Antonio, TX | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1248 | $1,475 | $1.18 | 12d | 1 | 1.03mi |
| 314 Globe Ave San Antonio, TX | 3.0 | 2.0 | 936 | $1,600 | $1.71 | 4d | 1 | 1.09mi |
| 127 Riverdale Dr San Antonio, TX | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1032 | $1,100 | $1.07 | 14d | 1 | 1.28mi |
Listing history 15 events
-
2026-06-21days on market $31,450 Active 20 DOM
-
2026-06-21days on market $31,450 Active 19 DOM
-
2026-06-18days on market $31,450 Active 17 DOM
-
2026-06-17days on market $31,450 Active 16 DOM
-
2026-06-16days on market $31,450 Active 15 DOM
-
2026-06-15days on market $31,450 Active 14 DOM
-
2026-06-13days on market $31,450 Active 12 DOM
-
2026-06-12statusdays on market $31,450 Active 11 DOM
-
2026-06-09days on market $31,450 New 8 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $31,450 New 7 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $31,450 New 6 DOM
-
2026-06-07days on market $31,450 New 5 DOM
-
2026-06-03days on market $31,450 New 2 DOM
-
2026-06-02remarks 256-char remark
-
2026-06-02$31,450 New 1 DOM
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 6/10 Major FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 73% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 1/10 Low
- Heat 8/10 Severe 7 d/yr ≥108°F today · 22 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 7/10 Severe 78% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 2/10 Low 1 unhealthy d/yr today · 1 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $17,728
- − Mortgage interest
- −$1,762
- − Property taxes
- −$472
- − Insurance
- −$157
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,418
- − Management
- −$1,418
- − Depreciation
- −$915
- Taxable income
- $11,586
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$2,781
- After-tax cash flow
- $8,617/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Edgewood ISD
- NCES district ID
- 4818150
- Math proficiency
- 12% ▼ -18.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 21% ▼ -5.00%
- Median HH income
- $27,419
- Composite
- 12.82/100
- National rank
- #9597
- State rank
- #812 of 826 in TX
Livability — San Antonio
- Score
- 80/100
- State rank
- #31
- US rank
- #1616
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- San Antonio, TX
- County
- Bexar County · 1,990,555 people
- City population
- 1,806,925
- Metro
- San Antonio-New Braunfels, TX
- Population (ZIP)
- 37,379
- Household income
- $42,772
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 1185.0
Population outlook (Bexar County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 2,336,851 people
- By 2030
- 2,560,728 · +9.6%
- By 2040
- 3,020,569 · +29.3%
- By 2050
- 3,493,522 · +49.5%
- By 2075
- 4,668,459 · +99.8%
- By 2100
- 5,533,242 · +136.8%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly Hispanic (95%)
- Race & ethnicity
- Hispanic / Latino 95% Two or more races 50% White 3% Native American 2% Black 2%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 84%
- Foreign-born
- 18% · Canada
- Languages at home
- 34% English-only · Spanish 66%
Political lean MEDSL · Bexar
- 2024 margin
- Lean D (+9.8) · D 54.3% · R 44.6% · Other 1.1%
- 2008→2024 swing
- +4.2pp toward D · 2008: 5.6pp · 2024: 9.8pp
- All cycles
- 2024: D+9.8 2020: D+18.2 2016: D+13.5 2012: D+4.6 2008: D+5.6
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▲ 30.52%
- Current HPI
- 247.7257
- Rent YoY
- ▲ 6.13%
- Metro
- San Antonio-New Braunfels, TX
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 3.95%
- F500 in state
- 110
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in TX)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Energy | 16 | $1,198B |
|
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| Technology | 5 | $198B |
|
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| Engineering / Construction | 4 | $72B |
|
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| Energy Services | 3 | $60B |
|
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| Utilities | 3 | $41B |
|
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| Healthcare | 2 | $330B |
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Price history
-70.7% since first listed4 events — show timeline
- 2026-06-01 Listed $31,450 LERA
- 2026-04-10 Sold (Public Records) $107,209 Public Records
- 2021-09-22 Sold (Public Records) — Public Records
- 2005-03-04 Sold (Public Records) — Public Records
Property tax history
+2.4%/yrLatest (2025): $2,244 · -44.2% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…