5104 University Blvd · Prichard, AL 36613

$100,000

3 bd · 2.0 ba · 2,530 sqft · SingleFamily public records · 181 Days on market

Built 1982 0.79 ac lot $40/sqft · 56% below area

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Why this score? — see what drove the B- grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

• Cash flow +30.0/30.0
• 1% rule +10.0/10.0
• DSCR +10.0/10.0
• ARV discount +7.5/15.0
• Livability +2.7/5.0
• Rent growth +2.5/5.0
• Condition / age +2.5/5.0
• Schools +2.3/10.0
• Appreciation +0.0/10.0

Listing remarks MLS

***Enter at your own risk*** Perfect rehab opportunity for investors Property is being sold as is Property has a private driveway home sits up on a hill

Key facts

• Rehab opportunity
• Private driveway
• Sits up on a hill

Tags

• PRIVATE DRIVEWAY
• REHAB OPPORTUNITY
• SITS UP ON A HILL

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

• This is a 3-bed/2.0-bath single-family listed at $100k.

Deal economics

• At list price, monthly cash flow is $638 ($8k/yr) — positive.
• The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
• Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $100k).
• Recommended offer: $88k (12.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
• Cap rate 13.9% vs local median 11.0% in Prichard — meaningfully above typical; check what's discounted (condition, days-on-market, listing class) to confirm the premium yield is real.

Location & tenants

• Location reads 54/100 on livability (#472 in AL) — a working-class tenant base; expect higher turnover. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A; Watch: schools D-, crime F, amenities F.
• Mobile County (urban): math 15% / reading 39% proficiency, ranked #81 of 129 in AL (top 63%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 67% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
• Market conditions: 93 active listings in the ZIP; 1,678 units permitted in Mobile County in 2024 (264 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

• Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $691 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $3k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
• Mobile County population projected to shrink 8% by 2050 — rents likely to lag national; underwrite the cash flow, not the appreciation.
• At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $28k cash investment doubles in ~5 years — after that, you're playing with house money.

Negotiation context

• It's been on market 181 days — a 12% lower offer ($88k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.

Risks & watch-outs

• Climate carrying-cost: severe wind risk, 99% chance of damaging wind over 30y; major wildfire risk; extreme-heat days projected 7→21/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.

Recommended offer $88,000 (12.0% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

1. It's been on market 181 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 12% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
2. Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
3. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
4. Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
5. Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
6. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
7. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
8. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

• 1% rule: 1.63% ✓
• Cap rate: 13.94%
• Cash-on-cash: 27.33%
• DSCR: 2.22
• GRM: 5.1

CMA / ARV

• ARV (median comp): $228,402
• List price: $100,000
• Delta: -56.22%
• Verdict: UNDERPRICED
• Comps: 12 within 1.0 mi

Show comp detail 1 sale within ~0.75 mi

Address	Dist	Beds/Ba	Sqft	Sold	Price	$/sf	Match
4811 Henry Rd	0.58mi	4/3.0 (+1)	2,483 (-2%)	22mo	$204,000	$82	42

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold

• IRR: 21.3%
• Equity multiple: 1.87×
• Total profit: $24,407
• Equity at exit: $14,910

10-year hold

• IRR: 29.4%
• Equity multiple: 3.63×
• Total profit: $73,541
• Equity at exit: $8,646

Cash invested: $28,000 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

• Overall (STATE): 90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
• State Alabama: 90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+15
• County: — inherits STATE
• City: — inherits STATE

Right-to-evict in 7 days for non-payment; no rent control; preempted statewide; courts move quickly.

Methodology + full state rankings →

ZIP-level market 36613

• Home prices YoY: -23.9%
• Active inventory: 93
• Price-to-rent: 5.1×

Monthly cashflow live

• Estimated rent: $1,627 medium
• Mortgage (P&I): −$524
• Tax from tax record: −$82 /mo · $979/yr
• Insurance: −$42
• HOA: −$0
• Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt: −$342
• Net cashflow: $638

Break-even live

Break-even rent $820

Max offer price $100,000

Occupancy floor 56%

Sensitivity live

Price	-10% $694	-5% $666	+0% $638	+5% $609	+10% $581
Rent	-10% $509	-5% $573	+0% $638	+5% $702	+10% $766
Rate	-1.0pp $688	-0.5pp $663	base $638	+0.5pp $612	+1.0pp $585

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

• Down payment: $25,000
• Closing costs: $3,000
• Reserves months: —
• Total cash needed: —

Listing history 18 events

1. 2026-06-21
   days on market $100,000 Active 181 DOM
2. 2026-06-18
   days on market $100,000 Active 178 DOM
3. 2026-06-17
   days on market $100,000 Active 177 DOM
4. 2026-06-16
   days on market $100,000 Active 176 DOM
5. 2026-06-15
   days on market $100,000 Active 175 DOM
6. 2026-06-14
   days on market $100,000 Active 173 DOM
7. 2026-06-13
   days on market $100,000 Active 172 DOM
8. 2026-06-10
   days on market $100,000 Active 170 DOM
9. 2026-06-09
   days on market $100,000 Active 169 DOM
10. 2026-06-08
    days on market $100,000 Active 168 DOM
11. 2026-06-07
    days on market $100,000 Active 167 DOM
12. 2026-06-05
    days on market $100,000 Active 164 DOM
13. 2026-06-03
    days on market $100,000 Active 163 DOM
14. 2026-06-02
    days on market $100,000 Active 162 DOM
15. 2026-06-01
    days on market $100,000 Active 161 DOM
16. 2026-05-31
    days on market $100,000 Active 160 DOM
17. 2026-05-30
    days on market $100,000 Active 159 DOM
18. 2025-12-22
    listed $100,000 Active 152-char remark

    Show marketing remark (152 chars)

    ***Enter at your own risk*** Perfect rehab opportunity for investors Property is being sold as is Property has a private driveway home sits up on a hill

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast AL · Resets to sale price

• Current annual tax: $979 · $82/mo
• Projected year-2 tax: $979 · $82/mo
• Expected delta: $0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

• 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
• 🔥 Wildfire 6/10 Major
• 🌡 Heat 9/10 Extreme 7 d/yr ≥104°F today · 21 d/yr by 30 yrs out
• 💨 Wind 9/10 Extreme 99% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
• 🫁 Air quality 1/10 Low 0 unhealthy d/yr today · 0 by 30 yrs out

Taxation est. · year 1

• Rental income: $19,524
• − Mortgage interest: −$5,602
• − Property taxes: −$979
• − Insurance: −$500
• − Repairs & maintenance: −$1,562
• − Management: −$1,562
• − Depreciation: −$2,909
• Taxable income: $6,411
• Est. tax owed @ 24.0%: −$1,539
• After-tax cash flow: $6,114/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

• District: Mobile County
• NCES district ID: 0102370
• Math proficiency: 15% ▼ -28.00%
• Reading proficiency: 39% ▬ 0.00%
• Median HH income: $42,455
• Composite: 22.9/100
• National rank: #8002
• State rank: #81 of 129 in AL

Livability — Prichard

• Score: 54/100
• State rank: #472
• US rank: #24080

Category grades

Amenities F Commute F Cost of living A+ Crime F Employment F Housing A Health & safety F User ratings F

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

• Census place: Prichard, AL
• City population: 13,402
• Population (ZIP): 12,082

Population outlook (Mobile County) Hauer SSP2

• Today (2025): 415,303 people
• By 2030: 411,755 · -0.9%
• By 2040: 399,670 · -3.8%
• By 2050: 382,616 · -7.9%
• By 2075: 337,353 · -18.8%
• By 2100: 283,391 · -31.8%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

• Neighborhood character: Majority Black (52%)
• Race & ethnicity: Black 52% White 44% Two or more races 3% Hispanic / Latino 2%
• Common ancestry: Lithuanian 2% Italian 2% Slovak 2%
• Foreign-born: 0%
• Languages at home: 99% English-only · Spanish 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Mobile

• 2024 margin: R (+16.4) · D 41.3% · R 57.7%
• 2008→2024 swing: -7.7pp toward R · 2008: -8.7pp · 2024: -16.4pp
• All cycles: 2024: R+16.4 2020: R+11.9 2016: R+13.9 2012: R+9.3 2008: R+8.7

Not yet ingested

• Civics: —

Market trends

• HPI YoY: ▼ -65.49%
• Current HPI: 208.8677
• Rent YoY: —
• Metro: —
• State GDP YoY: ▲ 2.94%
• F500 in state: 4

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in AL)

Industry	F500 HQs	Revenue
▸Financial Services	1	$8B
▸Healthcare	1	$5B

Price history

1 event — show timeline

• 2025-12-22 Listed $100,000 GCMLS AL

Property tax history

+7.1%/yr

Latest (2025): $979 · +6.0% YoY. Source: county tax records.