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8085 Thurston Dr
C- Composite 53.83
Why this score? — see what drove the C- grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +15.3/30.0
  • ARV discount +15.0/15.0
  • 1% rule +6.0/10.0
  • DSCR +4.7/10.0
  • Schools +4.2/10.0
  • Livability +3.6/5.0
  • Rent growth +2.5/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$199,900

8085 Thurston Dr · North Syracuse, NY 13039
3 bd · 1.5 ba · 1,652 sqft · SingleFamily public records · 31 Days on market
Built 1974 0.27 ac lot $121/sqft · 29% below area Est $283k · 29% under

🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks MLS

A GREAT VALUE IN CICERO AWAITS YOU! THIS RAISED RANCH FEATURES A NEWLY RENOVATED KITCHEN WITH A NEW ELECTRIC INDUCTION STOVE, REFRIGERATOR, CABINETS, CERAMIC TILE BACKSPLASH, & A BEATUFUL GRANITE COUNTERTOP. THE HOME HAS NEW FLOORING IN THE LIVING ROOM, & A NEWLY RENOVATED HALF BATH. THE PARTIALLY FINISHED BASEMENT HAS A BEAUTIFUL WOODBURNING FIREPLACE AND IS LARGE ENOUGH FOR AN EXTRA LIVING ROOM, HOME OFFICE, OR AN EXTRA BEDROOM. CONVENIENTLY LOCATED MINUTES FROM MAJOR HIGHWAYS, SHOPPING AND SCHOOLS. A MUST SEE! CALL TODAY!

Key facts

  • Great location
  • Finished basement
  • Granite countertops

Tags

FINISHED BASEMENTGRANITE COUNTERTOPSHIGH-EFFICIENCY FURNACEGREAT LOCATION

Property features AI

Finance

  • Other: Below-grade finished area included (624 sq. ft.); Green energy-efficient appliances and HVAC

Exterior

  • Parking: Attached garage with 1 space; Garage with electricity and garage door opener
  • Utilities: Electricity connected (circuit breakers); Public water connected; Sewer connected; Cable available; High-speed internet available
  • Home design: Single-story home; Existing construction
  • Construction: Aluminum siding; Asphalt roof; Block foundation; Attic/crawl hatchway(s) insulated; Blown-in insulation; Copper plumbing; Built as existing (no new construction)
  • Exterior features: Deck; Fully fenced yard; Blacktop driveway; Rectangular residential lot (approx. 89 x 130); City street frontage

Interior

  • Kitchen: Dishwasher; Electric cooktop; Electric oven; Electric range; Microwave; Refrigerator; Disposal; Granite counters
  • Bedrooms: 3 main-level bedrooms
  • Flooring: Carpet; Laminate; Luxury vinyl; Tile; Varies
  • Bathrooms: 1 full bathroom; 1 half bathroom; 1 main-level bathroom
  • Heating & cooling: Gas forced-air heating; Central air conditioning
  • Interior features: Eat-in kitchen; Granite counters; Finished walk-out basement; Full finished basement; Fireplace (1)
  • Laundry & utility: Laundry in basement; Gas water heater

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 3-bed/1.5-bath single-family listed at $200k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $74 ($891/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $200k).
  • Recommended offer: $194k (3.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
  • Cap rate 6.7% vs local median 5.1% in North Syracuse — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 72/100 on livability (#379 in NY) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: housing A+, health & safety A+, cost of living A; Watch: schools C-, crime D, amenities F.
  • North Syracuse Central School District (suburban): math 45% / reading 50% proficiency, ranked #402 of 590 in NY (top 68%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
  • Market conditions: 87 active listings in the ZIP; 1 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; 616 units permitted in Onondaga County in 2024 (256 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $1k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $6k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • Onondaga County population projected to shrink 9% by 2050 — rents likely to lag national; underwrite the cash flow, not the appreciation.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 31 days — a 3% lower offer ($194k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
  • 2 sale attempts since 11y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
  • Current owner paid $115k; list at $200k implies a 74% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Watch-outs: property tax is 3.2% of price.
Recommended offer $193,903 (3.0% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. It's been on market 31 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 3% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  2. Built in 1974 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  3. Property tax is high relative to price — has the assessment been appealed recently, and will the sale trigger a re-assessment?
  4. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  5. Crime grade is D in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
  6. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  7. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  8. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
1.10%
Cap rate
6.74%
Cash-on-cash
1.59%
DSCR
1.07
GRM
7.6

CMA / ARV

ARV (median comp)
$283,443
List price
$199,900
Delta
-29.47%
Verdict
UNDERPRICED
Comps
20 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
8045 Thurston Dr 0.13mi 3/2.0 1,560 (-6%) 3mo $379,900 $244 80
8111 Thurston Dr 0.09mi 3/2.0 1,548 (-6%) 11mo $275,000 $178 74
8222 Cicero Mills Rd 0.49mi 3/2.0 1,632 (-1%) 5mo $405,000 $248 69
7959 Oldfield Way 0.42mi 3/1.5 1,724 (+4%) 5mo $255,000 $148 69
8074 Crockett Dr 0.10mi 3/1.5 1,416 (-14%) 5mo $242,000 $171 68
8070 Pickett Ln 0.17mi 3/2.0 1,520 (-8%) 14mo $250,000 $164 66
8044 Thurston Dr 0.13mi 4/2.0 (+1) 1,746 (+6%) 15mo $228,000 $131 65
5990 Pony Ln 0.50mi 3/2.0 1,700 (+3%) 7mo $290,000 $171 64
5819 Reis Dr 0.44mi 3/1.5 1,506 (-9%) 5mo $260,000 $173 61
5962 Pony Ln 0.47mi 3/1.0 1,520 (-8%) 11mo $239,000 $157 54
6090 Owlwood Dr 0.69mi 4/2.5 (+1) 1,773 (+7%) 8mo $410,000 $231 40
5728 Sunset Ter 0.67mi 4/2.5 (+1) 1,876 (+14%) 10mo $330,000 $176 29

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
-13.6%
Equity multiple
0.51×
Total profit
$-27,458
Equity at exit
$29,806
10-year hold
IRR
-4.6%
Equity multiple
0.70×
Total profit
$-16,983
Equity at exit
$17,284

Cash invested: $55,972 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
15 Strongly Tenant-Friendly
State New York
15 Strongly Tenant-Friendly · D+10
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
NYC rent stabilization (~1M units); 2019 HSTPA strengthened tenant rights; courts deeply backlogged.

ZIP-level market 13039

Home prices YoY
-28.9%
Active inventory
87
Price-to-rent
7.6×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$2,200 medium interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$1,048
Tax from tax record
$532 /mo · $6,386/yr
Insurance
$83
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$462
Net cashflow
$74

Break-even live

Break-even rent $2,106
Max offer price $199,900
Occupancy floor 92%

Sensitivity live

Price -10% $187 -5% $131 +0% $74 +5% $18 +10% $-39
Rent -10% $-100 -5% $-13 +0% $74 +5% $161 +10% $248
Rate -1.0pp $175 -0.5pp $125 base $74 +0.5pp $22 +1.0pp $-30

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$49,975
Closing costs
$5,997
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 1 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
8091 Weblank Way Clay, NY 3.0 1.5 1150 $2,200 $1.91 22d 1 1.42mi

Listing history 17 events

  1. 2026-06-13
    statusdays on market $199,900 Pending 31 DOM
  2. 2026-06-10
    days on market $199,900 Active Under Contract 30 DOM
  3. 2026-06-09
    days on market $199,900 Active Under Contract 29 DOM
  4. 2026-06-08
    days on market $199,900 Active Under Contract 28 DOM
  5. 2026-06-07
    days on market $199,900 Active Under Contract 27 DOM
  6. 2026-06-03
    days on market $199,900 Active Under Contract 23 DOM
  7. 2026-06-02
    days on market $199,900 Active Under Contract 22 DOM
  8. 2026-06-01
    days on market $199,900 Active Under Contract 21 DOM
  9. 2026-05-31
    days on market $199,900 Active Under Contract 20 DOM
  10. 2026-05-30
    days on market $199,900 Active Under Contract 19 DOM
  11. 2026-05-18
    historical Active Under Contract 823-char remark
  12. 2026-05-11
    listed $199,900 Active 823-char remark
  13. 2016-04-18
    soldstatus $115,000
  14. 2016-04-12
    soldstatus $115,000 Closed Sale or Rented 540-char remark
    Show marketing remark (540 chars)

    A GREAT VALUE IN CICERO AWAITS YOU! THIS RAISED RANCH FEATURES A NEWLY RENOVATED KITCHEN WITH A NEW ELECTRIC INDUCTION STOVE, REFRIGERATOR, CABINETS, CERAMIC TILE BACKSPLASH, & A BEATUFUL GRANITE COUNTERTOP. THE HOME HAS NEW FLOORING IN THE LIVING ROOM, & A NEWLY RENOVATED HALF BATH. THE PARTIALLY FINISHED BASEMENT HAS A BEAUTIFUL WOODBURNING FIREPLACE AND IS LARGE ENOUGH FOR AN EXTRA LIVING ROOM, HOME OFFICE, OR AN EXTRA BEDROOM. CONVENIENTLY LOCATED MINUTES FROM MAJOR HIGHWAYS, SHOPPING AND SCHOOLS. A MUST SEE! CALL TODAY!

  15. 2016-02-17
    historical Continue to Show- Under Contract 540-char remark
    Show marketing remark (540 chars)

    A GREAT VALUE IN CICERO AWAITS YOU! THIS RAISED RANCH FEATURES A NEWLY RENOVATED KITCHEN WITH A NEW ELECTRIC INDUCTION STOVE, REFRIGERATOR, CABINETS, CERAMIC TILE BACKSPLASH, & A BEATUFUL GRANITE COUNTERTOP. THE HOME HAS NEW FLOORING IN THE LIVING ROOM, & A NEWLY RENOVATED HALF BATH. THE PARTIALLY FINISHED BASEMENT HAS A BEAUTIFUL WOODBURNING FIREPLACE AND IS LARGE ENOUGH FOR AN EXTRA LIVING ROOM, HOME OFFICE, OR AN EXTRA BEDROOM. CONVENIENTLY LOCATED MINUTES FROM MAJOR HIGHWAYS, SHOPPING AND SCHOOLS. A MUST SEE! CALL TODAY!

  16. 2015-11-25
    listed $122,000 Active 540-char remark
    Show marketing remark (540 chars)

    A GREAT VALUE IN CICERO AWAITS YOU! THIS RAISED RANCH FEATURES A NEWLY RENOVATED KITCHEN WITH A NEW ELECTRIC INDUCTION STOVE, REFRIGERATOR, CABINETS, CERAMIC TILE BACKSPLASH, & A BEATUFUL GRANITE COUNTERTOP. THE HOME HAS NEW FLOORING IN THE LIVING ROOM, & A NEWLY RENOVATED HALF BATH. THE PARTIALLY FINISHED BASEMENT HAS A BEAUTIFUL WOODBURNING FIREPLACE AND IS LARGE ENOUGH FOR AN EXTRA LIVING ROOM, HOME OFFICE, OR AN EXTRA BEDROOM. CONVENIENTLY LOCATED MINUTES FROM MAJOR HIGHWAYS, SHOPPING AND SCHOOLS. A MUST SEE! CALL TODAY!

  17. 2007-01-04
    soldstatus $73,000

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast NY · Partial reset (capped growth)

Current annual tax
$6,386 · $532/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$6,386 · $532/mo
Expected delta
$0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 1/10 Low
  • 🌡 Heat 3/10 Moderate 7 d/yr ≥95°F today · 16 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 1/10 Low 100% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
  • 🫁 Air quality 2/10 Low 1 unhealthy d/yr today · 1 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$26,400
− Mortgage interest
−$11,198
− Property taxes
−$6,386
− Insurance
−$1,000
− Repairs & maintenance
−$2,112
− Management
−$2,112
− Depreciation
−$5,815
Taxable loss
−$2,223
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
+$533
After-tax cash flow
$1,424/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
North Syracuse Central School District
NCES district ID
3621210
Math proficiency
45% ▼ -9.00%
Reading proficiency
50% ▲ 1.00%
Median HH income
$62,904
Composite
41.93/100
National rank
#3356
State rank
#402 of 590 in NY

Livability — North Syracuse

Score
72/100
State rank
#379
US rank
#6513

Category grades

Amenities F Commute F Cost of living A Crime D Employment C Housing A+ Health & safety A+ User ratings A

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

City population
20,185
Population (ZIP)
17,184

Population outlook (Onondaga County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
467,894 people
By 2030
463,381 · -1.0%
By 2040
447,697 · -4.3%
By 2050
426,399 · -8.9%
By 2075
373,661 · -20.1%
By 2100
307,967 · -34.2%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly White (93%)
Race & ethnicity
White 93% Asian 3% Two or more races 2% Black 2%
Common ancestry
Romanian 10% Lithuanian 3% Slovak 2%
Foreign-born
4% · China, Canada, Mexico
Languages at home
95% English-only · Spanish 1% Other Indo-European 1% Chinese 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Onondaga

2024 margin
D (+17.3) · D 58.6% · R 41.4%
2008→2024 swing
-3.0pp toward R · 2008: 20.3pp · 2024: 17.3pp
All cycles
2024: D+17.3 2020: D+20.6 2016: D+12.8 2012: D+21.1 2008: D+20.3

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -127.98%
Current HPI
314.7902
Rent YoY
Metro
State GDP YoY
▲ 2.60%
F500 in state
92

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in NY)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

+173.8% since first listed
8 events — show timeline
  • 2026-06-11 Pending CNYIS
  • 2026-05-18 Contingent CNYIS
  • 2026-05-11 Listed $199,900 CNYIS
  • 2016-04-18 Sold (Public Records) $115,000 Public Records
  • 2016-04-12 Sold (MLS) $115,000 CNYIS
  • 2016-02-17 Contingent CNYIS
  • 2015-11-25 Listed $122,000 CNYIS
  • 2007-01-04 Sold (Public Records) $73,000 Public Records

Property tax history

+4.2%/yr

Latest (2025): $6,386 · +4.2% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

Loading sold comps…