8085 Thurston Dr · North Syracuse, NY
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $473 – $860
Fire risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $691 – $1,283
Heat risk 3/10 · Minor
- Hot days now (above 95°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 16 days/yr
Wind risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 1.0%
Air-quality risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 1 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 1 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the C- grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +15.3/30.0
- ARV discount +15.0/15.0
- 1% rule +6.0/10.0
- DSCR +4.7/10.0
- Schools +4.2/10.0
- Livability +3.6/5.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$199,900
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
A GREAT VALUE IN CICERO AWAITS YOU! THIS RAISED RANCH FEATURES A NEWLY RENOVATED KITCHEN WITH A NEW ELECTRIC INDUCTION STOVE, REFRIGERATOR, CABINETS, CERAMIC TILE BACKSPLASH, & A BEATUFUL GRANITE COUNTERTOP. THE HOME HAS NEW FLOORING IN THE LIVING ROOM, & A NEWLY RENOVATED HALF BATH. THE PARTIALLY FINISHED BASEMENT HAS A BEAUTIFUL WOODBURNING FIREPLACE AND IS LARGE ENOUGH FOR AN EXTRA LIVING ROOM, HOME OFFICE, OR AN EXTRA BEDROOM. CONVENIENTLY LOCATED MINUTES FROM MAJOR HIGHWAYS, SHOPPING AND SCHOOLS. A MUST SEE! CALL TODAY!
Key facts
- Great location
- Finished basement
- Granite countertops
Tags
Property features AI
Finance
- Other: Below-grade finished area included (624 sq. ft.); Green energy-efficient appliances and HVAC
Exterior
- Parking: Attached garage with 1 space; Garage with electricity and garage door opener
- Utilities: Electricity connected (circuit breakers); Public water connected; Sewer connected; Cable available; High-speed internet available
- Home design: Single-story home; Existing construction
- Construction: Aluminum siding; Asphalt roof; Block foundation; Attic/crawl hatchway(s) insulated; Blown-in insulation; Copper plumbing; Built as existing (no new construction)
- Exterior features: Deck; Fully fenced yard; Blacktop driveway; Rectangular residential lot (approx. 89 x 130); City street frontage
Interior
- Kitchen: Dishwasher; Electric cooktop; Electric oven; Electric range; Microwave; Refrigerator; Disposal; Granite counters
- Bedrooms: 3 main-level bedrooms
- Flooring: Carpet; Laminate; Luxury vinyl; Tile; Varies
- Bathrooms: 1 full bathroom; 1 half bathroom; 1 main-level bathroom
- Heating & cooling: Gas forced-air heating; Central air conditioning
- Interior features: Eat-in kitchen; Granite counters; Finished walk-out basement; Full finished basement; Fireplace (1)
- Laundry & utility: Laundry in basement; Gas water heater
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 3-bed/1.5-bath single-family listed at $200k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $74 ($891/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $200k).
- Recommended offer: $194k (3.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
- Cap rate 6.7% vs local median 5.1% in North Syracuse — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 72/100 on livability (#379 in NY) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: housing A+, health & safety A+, cost of living A; Watch: schools C-, crime D, amenities F.
- North Syracuse Central School District (suburban): math 45% / reading 50% proficiency, ranked #402 of 590 in NY (top 68%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
- Market conditions: 87 active listings in the ZIP; 1 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; 616 units permitted in Onondaga County in 2024 (256 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $1k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $6k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Onondaga County population projected to shrink 9% by 2050 — rents likely to lag national; underwrite the cash flow, not the appreciation.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 31 days — a 3% lower offer ($194k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 2 sale attempts since 11y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
- Current owner paid $115k; list at $200k implies a 74% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: property tax is 3.2% of price.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 31 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 3% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Built in 1974 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Property tax is high relative to price — has the assessment been appealed recently, and will the sale trigger a re-assessment?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Crime grade is D in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.10% ✓
- Cap rate
- 6.74%
- Cash-on-cash
- 1.59%
- DSCR
- 1.07
- GRM
- 7.6
CMA / ARV
- ARV (median comp)
- $283,443
- List price
- $199,900
- Delta
- -29.47%
- Verdict
- UNDERPRICED
- Comps
- 20 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8045 Thurston Dr | 0.13mi | 3/2.0 | 1,560 (-6%) | 3mo | $379,900 | $244 | 80 |
| 8111 Thurston Dr | 0.09mi | 3/2.0 | 1,548 (-6%) | 11mo | $275,000 | $178 | 74 |
| 8222 Cicero Mills Rd | 0.49mi | 3/2.0 | 1,632 (-1%) | 5mo | $405,000 | $248 | 69 |
| 7959 Oldfield Way | 0.42mi | 3/1.5 | 1,724 (+4%) | 5mo | $255,000 | $148 | 69 |
| 8074 Crockett Dr | 0.10mi | 3/1.5 | 1,416 (-14%) | 5mo | $242,000 | $171 | 68 |
| 8070 Pickett Ln | 0.17mi | 3/2.0 | 1,520 (-8%) | 14mo | $250,000 | $164 | 66 |
| 8044 Thurston Dr | 0.13mi | 4/2.0 (+1) | 1,746 (+6%) | 15mo | $228,000 | $131 | 65 |
| 5990 Pony Ln | 0.50mi | 3/2.0 | 1,700 (+3%) | 7mo | $290,000 | $171 | 64 |
| 5819 Reis Dr | 0.44mi | 3/1.5 | 1,506 (-9%) | 5mo | $260,000 | $173 | 61 |
| 5962 Pony Ln | 0.47mi | 3/1.0 | 1,520 (-8%) | 11mo | $239,000 | $157 | 54 |
| 6090 Owlwood Dr | 0.69mi | 4/2.5 (+1) | 1,773 (+7%) | 8mo | $410,000 | $231 | 40 |
| 5728 Sunset Ter | 0.67mi | 4/2.5 (+1) | 1,876 (+14%) | 10mo | $330,000 | $176 | 29 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- -13.6%
- Equity multiple
- 0.51×
- Total profit
- $-27,458
- Equity at exit
- $29,806
- IRR
- -4.6%
- Equity multiple
- 0.70×
- Total profit
- $-16,983
- Equity at exit
- $17,284
Cash invested: $55,972 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 15 Strongly Tenant-Friendly
- State New York
- 15 Strongly Tenant-Friendly · D+10
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 13039
- Home prices YoY
- -28.9%
- Active inventory
- 87
- Price-to-rent
- 7.6×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $2,200 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$1,048
- Tax from tax record
- −$532 /mo · $6,386/yr
- Insurance
- −$83
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$462
- Net cashflow
- $74
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $187 | -5% $131 | +0% $74 | +5% $18 | +10% $-39 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $-100 | -5% $-13 | +0% $74 | +5% $161 | +10% $248 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $175 | -0.5pp $125 | base $74 | +0.5pp $22 | +1.0pp $-30 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $49,975
- Closing costs
- $5,997
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 1 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8091 Weblank Way Clay, NY | 3.0 | 1.5 | 1150 | $2,200 | $1.91 | 22d | 1 | 1.42mi |
Listing history 17 events
-
2026-06-13statusdays on market $199,900 Pending 31 DOM
-
2026-06-10days on market $199,900 Active Under Contract 30 DOM
-
2026-06-09days on market $199,900 Active Under Contract 29 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $199,900 Active Under Contract 28 DOM
-
2026-06-07days on market $199,900 Active Under Contract 27 DOM
-
2026-06-03days on market $199,900 Active Under Contract 23 DOM
-
2026-06-02days on market $199,900 Active Under Contract 22 DOM
-
2026-06-01days on market $199,900 Active Under Contract 21 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $199,900 Active Under Contract 20 DOM
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2026-05-30days on market $199,900 Active Under Contract 19 DOM
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2026-05-18historical Active Under Contract 823-char remark
-
2026-05-11$199,900 Active 823-char remark
-
2016-04-18soldstatus $115,000
-
2016-04-12soldstatus $115,000 Closed Sale or Rented 540-char remark
Show marketing remark (540 chars)
A GREAT VALUE IN CICERO AWAITS YOU! THIS RAISED RANCH FEATURES A NEWLY RENOVATED KITCHEN WITH A NEW ELECTRIC INDUCTION STOVE, REFRIGERATOR, CABINETS, CERAMIC TILE BACKSPLASH, & A BEATUFUL GRANITE COUNTERTOP. THE HOME HAS NEW FLOORING IN THE LIVING ROOM, & A NEWLY RENOVATED HALF BATH. THE PARTIALLY FINISHED BASEMENT HAS A BEAUTIFUL WOODBURNING FIREPLACE AND IS LARGE ENOUGH FOR AN EXTRA LIVING ROOM, HOME OFFICE, OR AN EXTRA BEDROOM. CONVENIENTLY LOCATED MINUTES FROM MAJOR HIGHWAYS, SHOPPING AND SCHOOLS. A MUST SEE! CALL TODAY!
-
2016-02-17historical Continue to Show- Under Contract 540-char remark
Show marketing remark (540 chars)
A GREAT VALUE IN CICERO AWAITS YOU! THIS RAISED RANCH FEATURES A NEWLY RENOVATED KITCHEN WITH A NEW ELECTRIC INDUCTION STOVE, REFRIGERATOR, CABINETS, CERAMIC TILE BACKSPLASH, & A BEATUFUL GRANITE COUNTERTOP. THE HOME HAS NEW FLOORING IN THE LIVING ROOM, & A NEWLY RENOVATED HALF BATH. THE PARTIALLY FINISHED BASEMENT HAS A BEAUTIFUL WOODBURNING FIREPLACE AND IS LARGE ENOUGH FOR AN EXTRA LIVING ROOM, HOME OFFICE, OR AN EXTRA BEDROOM. CONVENIENTLY LOCATED MINUTES FROM MAJOR HIGHWAYS, SHOPPING AND SCHOOLS. A MUST SEE! CALL TODAY!
-
2015-11-25$122,000 Active 540-char remark
Show marketing remark (540 chars)
A GREAT VALUE IN CICERO AWAITS YOU! THIS RAISED RANCH FEATURES A NEWLY RENOVATED KITCHEN WITH A NEW ELECTRIC INDUCTION STOVE, REFRIGERATOR, CABINETS, CERAMIC TILE BACKSPLASH, & A BEATUFUL GRANITE COUNTERTOP. THE HOME HAS NEW FLOORING IN THE LIVING ROOM, & A NEWLY RENOVATED HALF BATH. THE PARTIALLY FINISHED BASEMENT HAS A BEAUTIFUL WOODBURNING FIREPLACE AND IS LARGE ENOUGH FOR AN EXTRA LIVING ROOM, HOME OFFICE, OR AN EXTRA BEDROOM. CONVENIENTLY LOCATED MINUTES FROM MAJOR HIGHWAYS, SHOPPING AND SCHOOLS. A MUST SEE! CALL TODAY!
-
2007-01-04soldstatus $73,000
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast NY · Partial reset (capped growth)
- Current annual tax
- $6,386 · $532/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $6,386 · $532/mo
- Expected delta
- $0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 1/10 Low
- Heat 3/10 Moderate 7 d/yr ≥95°F today · 16 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 1/10 Low 100% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 2/10 Low 1 unhealthy d/yr today · 1 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $26,400
- − Mortgage interest
- −$11,198
- − Property taxes
- −$6,386
- − Insurance
- −$1,000
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$2,112
- − Management
- −$2,112
- − Depreciation
- −$5,815
- Taxable loss
- −$2,223
- Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
- +$533
- After-tax cash flow
- $1,424/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- North Syracuse Central School District
- NCES district ID
- 3621210
- Math proficiency
- 45% ▼ -9.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 50% ▲ 1.00%
- Median HH income
- $62,904
- Composite
- 41.93/100
- National rank
- #3356
- State rank
- #402 of 590 in NY
Livability — North Syracuse
- Score
- 72/100
- State rank
- #379
- US rank
- #6513
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- City population
- 20,185
- Population (ZIP)
- 17,184
Population outlook (Onondaga County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 467,894 people
- By 2030
- 463,381 · -1.0%
- By 2040
- 447,697 · -4.3%
- By 2050
- 426,399 · -8.9%
- By 2075
- 373,661 · -20.1%
- By 2100
- 307,967 · -34.2%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (93%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 93% Asian 3% Two or more races 2% Black 2%
- Common ancestry
- Romanian 10% Lithuanian 3% Slovak 2%
- Foreign-born
- 4% · China, Canada, Mexico
- Languages at home
- 95% English-only · Spanish 1% Other Indo-European 1% Chinese 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Onondaga
- 2024 margin
- D (+17.3) · D 58.6% · R 41.4%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -3.0pp toward R · 2008: 20.3pp · 2024: 17.3pp
- All cycles
- 2024: D+17.3 2020: D+20.6 2016: D+12.8 2012: D+21.1 2008: D+20.3
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -127.98%
- Current HPI
- 314.7902
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- —
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 2.60%
- F500 in state
- 92
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in NY)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Financial Services | 10 | $950B |
|
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| Consumer Goods | 9 | $162B |
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| Insurance | 4 | $225B |
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| Telecommunications | 2 | $144B |
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| Pharmaceuticals | 2 | $112B |
|
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| Media / Entertainment | 2 | $69B |
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Price history
+173.8% since first listed8 events — show timeline
- 2026-06-11 Pending — CNYIS
- 2026-05-18 Contingent — CNYIS
- 2026-05-11 Listed $199,900 CNYIS
- 2016-04-18 Sold (Public Records) $115,000 Public Records
- 2016-04-12 Sold (MLS) $115,000 CNYIS
- 2016-02-17 Contingent — CNYIS
- 2015-11-25 Listed $122,000 CNYIS
- 2007-01-04 Sold (Public Records) $73,000 Public Records
Property tax history
+4.2%/yrLatest (2025): $6,386 · +4.2% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…