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3728 Garrett Fork Rd
D Composite 44.84
Why this score? — see what drove the D grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +12.8/30.0
  • Appreciation +8.0/10.0
  • ARV discount +7.5/15.0
  • DSCR +3.8/10.0
  • Livability +3.1/5.0
  • 1% rule +2.5/10.0
  • Rent growth +2.5/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Schools +2.1/10.0

$135,000

3728 Garrett Fork Rd · Chapmanville, WV 25508
2 bd · 1.0 ba · 1,674 sqft · SingleFamily public records · 30 Days on market
Built 1992 10,803 sqft lot

🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks

Charming and move-in ready home located at 3728 Garrett Fork Road in Chapmanville! Offering approximately 1,410 sq. ft. of living space, this home features 2 bedrooms, 1 full bath, and a spacious 29 x 38 open floor plan combining the living room, dining area, and kitchen with appliances included. Enjoy the nice level fenced-in yard, newer porch, and plenty of parking. Convenient country setting with room to relax and entertain!

Key facts

  • Open floor plan
  • Country setting
  • Newer porch

Tags

OPEN FLOOR PLANFENCED-IN YARDNEWER PORCHCOUNTRY SETTING

Property features AI

Exterior

  • Parking: Parking pad
  • Security: Smoke detectors
  • Utilities: Public water; Septic tank sewer; Cable available
  • Home design: Single family residence; Residential property
  • Construction: Frame construction with vinyl siding
  • Exterior features: Patio; Porch; Fenced yard

Interior

  • Kitchen: Electric range; Microwave; Refrigerator
  • Flooring: Vinyl flooring
  • Bathrooms: 1 full bathroom
  • Heating & cooling: Electric forced-air heating; Central electric air conditioning
  • Interior features: Eat-in kitchen; Insulated windows; Electric Range, Microwave, Refrigerator

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 2-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $135k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $-79 ($-950/yr) — negative.
  • To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $121k (10.4% below list).
  • To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $102k (24.5% below list).
  • Recommended offer: $102k (24.5% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 62/100 on livability (#178 in WV) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: crime A+, cost of living A+; Watch: amenities F, commute F, employment F.
  • Logan County Schools (rural): math 18% / reading 32% proficiency, ranked #48 of 55 in WV (top 87%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover.
  • Zoned schools: Chapmanville Primary School (285 students, 0% FRL); Chapmanville Middle School (math 13% / reading 38%, grade F, #75 of 109 statewide, top 73%, 524 students, 0% FRL); Chapmanville Regional High School (math 12% / reading 42%, grade F, #79 of 110 statewide, top 78%, 721 students, 0% FRL) — zoned schools average 0% FRL vs 49% district-wide (49 pts lower); this property's tenant base skews higher-income than the district average.
  • Market conditions: 23 active listings in the ZIP; 1 units permitted in Logan County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

  • In year one you build about $9k of equity ($933 loan paydown + $8k appreciation (6.0% local appreciation)).
  • Logan County population projected at -35% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
  • At projected returns (6.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $38k cash investment doubles in ~5 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
  • By year 4, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$31k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 30 days — a 2% lower offer ($133k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
  • 3 sale attempts since 7y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
  • Current owner paid $96k; 41% above their basis — modest negotiation headroom, anchor on the comps not their cost.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Watch-outs: flood insurance adds $66/mo.
  • Climate carrying-cost: severe flood risk; moderate wildfire risk; extreme-heat days projected 8→21/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Recommended offer $101,923 (24.5% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
  2. What's the actual annual flood-insurance premium (NFIP or private), and is the property in a SFHA with mandatory coverage?
  3. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  4. The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
  5. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  6. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  7. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
0.75%
Cap rate
6.18%
Cash-on-cash
-0.40%
DSCR
0.98
GRM
11.0

CMA / ARV

No comps found within radius.

Projected returns pro-forma

6.04% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
13.4%
Equity multiple
1.91×
Total profit
$34,251
Equity at exit
$85,218
10-year hold
IRR
13.9%
Equity multiple
3.77×
Total profit
$104,575
Equity at exit
$154,842

Cash invested: $37,800 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
83 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
State West Virginia
83 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+22
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
Landlord-favorable; preempted; minimal protections.

ZIP-level market 25508

Home prices YoY
4.0%
Active inventory
23
Price-to-rent
11.0×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$1,019 medium interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$708
Tax from tax record
$54 /mo · $644/yr
Insurance
$56
Flood insurance flood zone
−$66 /mo · $798/yr
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$214
Net cashflow
$-79

Break-even live

Break-even rent $1,119
Max offer price $121,015
Occupancy floor

Sensitivity live

Price -10% $-3 -5% $-41 +0% $-79 +5% $-117 +10% $-156
Rent -10% $-160 -5% $-119 +0% $-79 +5% $-39 +10% $1
Rate -1.0pp $-11 -0.5pp $-45 base $-79 +0.5pp $-114 +1.0pp $-150

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$33,750
Closing costs
$4,050
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Listing history 19 events

  1. 2026-06-21
    days on market $135,000 Active 30 DOM
  2. 2026-06-21
    days on market $135,000 Active 29 DOM
  3. 2026-06-18
    days on market $135,000 Active 27 DOM
  4. 2026-06-17
    days on market $135,000 Active 26 DOM
  5. 2026-06-16
    days on market $135,000 Active 25 DOM
  6. 2026-06-15
    days on market $135,000 Active 24 DOM
  7. 2026-06-15
    days on market $135,000 Active 23 DOM
  8. 2026-06-13
    days on market $135,000 Active 22 DOM
  9. 2026-06-12
    days on market $135,000 Active 21 DOM
  10. 2026-06-10
    status $135,000 Active 18 DOM
  11. 2026-06-02
    status $135,000 Pending 18 DOM
  12. 2026-06-01
    days on market $135,000 Active 18 DOM
  13. 2026-05-31
    days on market $135,000 Active 17 DOM
  14. 2026-05-13
    listed $135,000 Active
  15. 2021-02-01
    soldstatus $96,000
  16. 2021-01-29
    soldstatus $96,000
  17. 2020-11-11
    listed $105,000
  18. 2019-04-09
    listed $99,500
  19. 1998-12-09
    soldstatus $65,000

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast WV · Resets to sale price

Current annual tax
$644 · $54/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$796 · $66/mo
Expected delta
+$152/yr (+$13/mo · 23.6%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 9/10 Extreme FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 99% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 5/10 Major
  • 🌡 Heat 5/10 Major 8 d/yr ≥99°F today · 21 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 1/10 Low 100% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
  • 🫁 Air quality 1/10 Low 0 unhealthy d/yr today · 0 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

Loading sold comps map…

Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$12,231
− Mortgage interest
−$7,562
− Property taxes
−$644
− Insurance
−$1,472
− Repairs & maintenance
−$978
− Management
−$978
− Depreciation
−$3,927
Taxable loss
−$3,332
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
+$800
After-tax cash flow
$-150/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Logan County Schools
NCES district ID
5400690
Math proficiency
18% ▼ -15.00%
Reading proficiency
32% ▼ -9.00%
Median HH income
$36,127
Composite
20.68/100
National rank
#8531
State rank
#48 of 55 in WV

Livability — Chapmanville

Score
62/100
State rank
#178
US rank
#16281

Category grades

Amenities F Commute F Cost of living A+ Crime A+ Employment F Housing B- Health & safety F User ratings A

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Population (ZIP)
8,282

Population outlook (Logan County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
30,218 people
By 2030
27,848 · -7.8%
By 2040
23,262 · -23.0%
By 2050
19,582 · -35.2%
By 2075
12,739 · -57.8%
By 2100
7,787 · -74.2%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly White (98%)
Race & ethnicity
White 98% Two or more races 2%
Common ancestry
Italian 1% Serbian 1% Slovak 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Logan

2024 margin
Solid R (+66.7) · D 16.1% · R 82.8% · Other 1.1%
2008→2024 swing
-55.9pp toward R · 2008: -10.8pp · 2024: -66.7pp
All cycles
2024: R+66.7 2020: R+63.0 2016: R+63.2 2012: R+39.7 2008: R+10.8

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▲ 6.04%
Current HPI
156.5895
Rent YoY
Metro
State GDP YoY
F500 in state
0

Price history

+107.7% since first listed
6 events — show timeline
  • 2026-05-13 Listed $135,000 KVBOR
  • 2021-02-01 Sold (Public Records) $96,000 Public Records
  • 2021-01-29 Sold (MLS) $96,000 KVBOR
  • 2020-11-11 Listed $105,000 KVBOR
  • 2019-04-09 Listed $99,500 KVBOR
  • 1998-12-09 Sold (Public Records) $65,000 Public Records

Property tax history

+4.1%/yr

Latest (2025): $644 · +1.7% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

Loading sold comps…