🏷️ Likely Rental
1411 N Fourth St #9 · Flagstaff, AZ
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 7/10 · Major
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $610 – $1,132
Heat risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Hot days now (above 87°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 19 days/yr
Wind risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- —
Air-quality risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 0 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 0 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the F grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- ARV discount +7.5/15.0
- Cash flow +7.3/30.0
- Condition / age +5.0/5.0
- Livability +3.1/5.0
- Rent growth +2.9/5.0
- Appreciation +2.5/10.0
- 1% rule +2.0/10.0
- Schools +2.0/10.0
- DSCR +1.4/10.0
- Manufactured-home adj. -2.7
$224,921
1411 N Fourth St #9 · Flagstaff, AZ 86004
2 bd · 2.0 ba · 910 sqft · Manufactured
· 214 Days on market
Manufactured home
Built 2023
2,400 sqft lot
$247/sqft
· 54% below area
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks
Welcome to Tiny House Village Flagstaff! Located in the center of Flagstaff is a first of its kind: residents can embrace the peace downsizing brings without sacrificing a sense of community. This new 2 bedroom 2 bathroom home has stainless appliances, upgraded cabinets & countertops, blinds, AIR CONDITIONING and fenced yard. Also includes upgraded insulation, 2x6 exterior walls, high efficiency dual pane windows and concrete driveway. Land lease includes water, sewer, trash, snow removal and clubhouse use @ 1,365.89/month. Homes are not for rent. Owner is a licensed Realtor in Arizona.
Key facts
- Fenced yard
- Stainless appliances
- Upgraded insulation
Tags
Neighborhood map
Sold within
Property
Rental comp
Retail
Costco
Walmart
Transit
Schools
Stadiums
Fortune 500
· Circle radius: 6.0 mi
Loading POIs…
🏷️ Possibly a rental listed for sale. The $224,921 price
doesn't fit this home's estimated sale value (~$485,000)
and the remarks read like a rental — treat the cards below with caution.
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 2-bed/2.0-bath manufactured listed at $225k. Condition is rated excellent.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $-303 ($-4k/yr) — negative.
- To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $181k (19.5% below list).
- To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $158k (29.6% below list).
- Recommended offer: $158k (29.6% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
- Cap rate 4.7% vs local median 2.4% in Flagstaff — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 61/100 on livability (#167 in AZ) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: housing B; Watch: employment C-, crime D-, amenities F.
- Flagstaff Unified District (4192) (urban): math 18% / reading 29% proficiency, ranked #158 of 249 in AZ (top 64%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover.
- Zoned schools: Thomas M Knoles Elementary School (math 23% / reading 35%, grade F, #570 of 1,109 statewide, top 52%, 490 students, 37% FRL); Sinagua Middle School (math 12% / reading 22%, grade F, #147 of 218 statewide, top 69%, 1,016 students, 40% FRL); Coconino High School (math 12% / reading 17%, grade F, #267 of 381 statewide, top 72%, 1,528 students, 33% FRL) — zoned schools at 37% FRL track the district average.
- Market conditions: Rents rising (+1.6%/yr); 514 active listings in the ZIP; 32 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals leasing fast (median 11d on market — plan ~1-2 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); solid renter incomes; 698 units permitted in Coconino County in 2024 (354 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $2k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $7k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Coconino County population projected at +20% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 214 days — a 12% lower offer ($198k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 2 sale attempts with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
Risks & watch-outs
- Climate carrying-cost: major wildfire risk — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Recommended offer
$158,414
(29.6% below list)
Questions for the listing agent
- What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
- It's been on market 214 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 30% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Crime grade is D in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
- The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 0.70% ✗
- Cap rate
- 4.68%
- Cash-on-cash
- -5.77%
- DSCR
- 0.74
- GRM
- 11.8
CMA / ARV
- ARV (median comp)
- $485,000
- List price
- $224,921
- Delta
- -53.62%
- Verdict
- UNDERPRICED
- Comps
- 1 within 2.0 mi
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4343 E Soliere Ave #1037 | 1.35mi | 2/1.0 | 1,011 (+11%) | 3mo | $330,000 | $326 | 40 |
| 2531 E Jeffrey Loop | 0.89mi | 2/2.0 | 1,106 (+22%) | 1mo | $425,000 | $384 | 39 |
| 2920 N West St | 1.35mi | 3/1.0 (+1) | 1,003 (+10%) | 2mo | $415,000 | $414 | 37 |
| 1720 N Fairway Dr | 1.05mi | 2/2.0 | 1,057 (+16%) | 4mo | $567,500 | $537 | 37 |
| 4343 E Soliere Ave #1011 | 1.40mi | 2/2.0 | 1,094 (+20%) | 4mo | $380,000 | $347 | 36 |
| 2645 E Jeffrey Loop | 0.94mi | 2/2.0 | 1,106 (+22%) | 4mo | $390,000 | $353 | 36 |
| 1650 E Ponderosa Pkwy #110 | 1.16mi | 2/2.0 | 1,134 (+25%) | 5mo | $425,000 | $375 | 36 |
| 1055 N Manzanita Way | 1.50mi | 3/2.0 (+1) | 1,106 (+22%) | 1mo | $417,500 | $377 | 34 |
| 2029 N West St | 0.94mi | 3/2.0 (+1) | 1,120 (+23%) | 3mo | $390,000 | $348 | 32 |
| 1650 E Ponderosa Pkwy #107 | 1.16mi | 1/1.0 (-1) | 794 (-13%) | 4mo | $340,000 | $428 | 31 |
| 2719 E Lockett Rd | 1.20mi | 3/1.0 (+1) | 1,075 (+18%) | 2mo | $495,000 | $460 | 30 |
| 4343 E Soliere Ave #1032 | 1.34mi | 1/1.0 (-1) | 758 (-17%) | 5mo | $310,000 | $409 | 27 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 1.59% rent growth · sell at horizon
5-year hold
- IRR
- -27.8%
- Equity multiple
- 0.08×
- Total profit
- $-57,932
- Equity at exit
- $33,536
10-year hold
- IRR
- -32.3%
- Equity multiple
- -0.33×
- Total profit
- $-84,031
- Equity at exit
- $19,447
Cash invested: $62,978 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State Arizona
- 87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+3
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
5-day pay-or-quit; AZ courts known for speed; no state rent control; cities preempted by state law.
Active competition Active MLS
- For sale now
- 2 active
- Median asking
- $157,450 ($214/sqft)
- Median days on market
- 59 d
- This list price
- 100% of active listings are priced below it
- ARV vs active asking
- +148.9% above current asking $/sqft
Closed sales set the value; these active listings set current market conditions and a practical price ceiling.
ZIP-level market 86004
- Rents YoY
- 1.6%
- Active inventory
- 514
- Price-to-rent
- 11.8×
Monthly cashflow live
↻
- Estimated rent
- $1,584 high interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$1,180
- Tax est. 1.5%
- −$281 /mo · $3,374/yr
- Insurance
- −$94
- HOA
- −$0
- Lot rent leased land?
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$333
- Net cashflow
- $-303
Break-even live
Break-even rent
$1,968
Max offer price
$181,090
Occupancy floor
—
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $-147 | -5% $-225 | +0% $-303 | +5% $-381 | +10% $-458 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $-428 | -5% $-365 | +0% $-303 | +5% $-240 | +10% $-178 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $-190 | -0.5pp $-246 | base $-303 | +0.5pp $-361 | +1.0pp $-420 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $56,230
- Closing costs
- $6,748
- Club membership (one-time)
- —
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Cash invested
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Cash invested
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Cash invested
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 32 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1401 N Fourth St Unit 7-141 Flagstaff, AZ | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1122 | $2,000 | $1.78 | 2d | 1 | 0.10mi |
| 1002 N 4th St Flagstaff, AZ | 2.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 944 | $2,875 | $3.05 | 0d | 32 | 0.42mi |
| 1704 N Main St Unit Na Flagstaff, AZ | 2.0 | 1.0 | 800 | $1,750 | $2.19 | 44d | 1 | 0.59mi |
| 1710 N Main St Unit Na Flagstaff, AZ | 2.0 | 1.0 | 900 | $1,750 | $1.94 | 41d | 1 | 0.60mi |
| 3001 E Butler Ave #17 Flagstaff, AZ | 3.0 | 1.5 | 1124 | $3,000 | $2.67 | 184d | 1 | 0.65mi |
| 3001 E Butler Ave #44 Flagstaff, AZ | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1085 | $2,600 | $2.40 | 10d | 1 | 0.65mi |
| 1906 N Main St Flagstaff, AZ | 2.0 | 1.5 | 862 | $1,700 | $1.97 | 44d | 1 | 0.66mi |
| 1906 N Main St Unit 132 Flagstaff, AZ | 2.0 | 1.5 | 862 | $1,700 | $1.97 | 10d | 1 | 0.66mi |
| 1965 E Mountain View Ave Flagstaff, AZ | 1.0–2.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 909 | $2,300 | $2.53 | 10d | 2 | 0.67mi |
| 1719 N East St Apt C Flagstaff, AZ | 2.0 | 1.0 | 840 | $1,700 | $2.02 | 10d | 1 | 0.69mi |
| 1914 E Mountain View Ave Apt 401 Flagstaff, AZ | 2.0 | 1.0 | 735 | $1,895 | $2.58 | 17d | 1 | 0.72mi |
| 1914 E Mountain View Ave Apt 401 Flagstaff, AZ | 2.0 | 1.0 | 735 | $1,895 | $2.58 | 10d | 1 | 0.72mi |
| 2809 E Lewis Dr Flagstaff, AZ | 3.0 | 1.5 | 1032 | $2,600 | $2.52 | 1d | 1 | 0.80mi |
| 2809 E Lewis Dr Flagstaff, AZ | 3.0 | 1.5 | 1032 | $2,600 | $2.52 | 37d | 1 | 0.80mi |
| 2110 North East St Unit F Flagstaff, AZ | 2.0 | 1.0 | 810 | $1,450 | $1.79 | 2d | 1 | 0.83mi |
| 2111 N Center St Flagstaff, AZ | 1.0 | 1.0 | 800 | $1,900 | $2.38 | 10d | 1 | 0.90mi |
| 2115 N West St Apt B Flagstaff, AZ | 3.0 | 2.5 | 1025 | $2,200 | $2.15 | 0d | 1 | 0.97mi |
| 2526 E Heidi Loop Flagstaff, AZ | 2.0 | 2.0 | 996 | $2,200 | $2.21 | 2d | 1 | 0.97mi |
| 1721 N Fairway Dr Flagstaff, AZ | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1057 | $2,300 | $2.18 | 51d | 1 | 1.03mi |
| 1650 E Ponderosa Pkwy Flagstaff, AZ | 1.0 | 1.0 | 852 | $1,650 | $1.94 | 29d | 1 | 1.04mi |
| 2410 N West St Unit B Flagstaff, AZ | 1.0 | 1.0 | 650 | $1,600 | $2.46 | 184d | 1 | 1.06mi |
| 2521 N Center St Unit 4 Flagstaff, AZ | 2.0 | 1.0 | 800 | $1,599 | $2.00 | 10d | 1 | 1.11mi |
| 4015 E Soliere Ave Flagstaff, AZ | 2.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 800 | $2,010 | $2.51 | 8d | 1 | 1.14mi |
| 2200 E Dortha Ave Unit J Flagstaff, AZ | 2.0 | 1.5 | 952 | $1,900 | $2.00 | 10d | 1 | 1.15mi |
| 4255 E Soliere Ave Flagstaff, AZ | 1.0–2.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 837 | $2,346 | $2.80 | 2d | 11 | 1.22mi |
| 3009 N Rose St Unit 09 Flagstaff, AZ | 2.0 | 1.0 | 767 | $1,695 | $2.21 | 184d | 1 | 1.25mi |
| 3009 N Rose St Unit 15 Flagstaff, AZ | 2.0 | 1.0 | 767 | $1,695 | $2.21 | 10d | 1 | 1.25mi |
| 3325 E Lockett Rd Unit 3325-1 Flagstaff, AZ | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1100 | $1,915 | $1.74 | 31d | 1 | 1.28mi |
| 1201 E Ponderosa Pkwy Flagstaff, AZ | 1.0–2.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 721 | $2,065 | $2.86 | 1d | 17 | 1.34mi |
| 3550 N Jamison Blvd Unit 2 Flagstaff, AZ | 2.0 | 1.0 | 800 | $1,600 | $2.00 | 184d | 1 | 1.36mi |
| 3122 Monte Vista Dr Unit 294 Flagstaff, AZ | 2.0 | 1.5 | 850 | $1,500 | $1.76 | 10d | 1 | 1.39mi |
| 1105 E Ponderosa Pkwy Flagstaff, AZ | 1.0–2.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 738 | $1,745 | $2.36 | 2d | 11 | 1.43mi |
Property features AI
Finance
- Other
- Located in Tiny House Village FlagstaffLot approximately 0.06 acre (about 2,400 sq ft)Parcel number 107160169
- HOA & community
- Has associationCommunity clubhouse
Exterior
- Security
- Smoke detector(s)
- Utilities
- Electricity availableCable availablePhone availableLand lease
- Home design
- Single wide manufactured homeComplete spec homeBuilt by Champion/HopeEntry level information provided by owner
- Construction
- Pillar/post/pier foundation
- Exterior features
- Partial perimeter fencingLevel lotPaved road accessPrivate and public maintained road access
Interior
- Kitchen
- Electric range
- Flooring
- Vinyl flooring
- Bathrooms
- 2 bathrooms
- Heating & cooling
- Electric forced air heatingCentral air conditioningRefrigeration cooling (HVAC SEER Rating)
- Interior features
- PantryBreakfast barSatellite dishSmoke detector(s)
- Laundry & utility
- Hall laundry
Listing history 50 events
-
2026-11-08days on market $224,921 Active 214 DOM
-
2026-11-07days on market $224,921 Active 213 DOM
-
2026-11-06days on market $224,921 Active 212 DOM
-
2026-11-05days on market $224,921 Active 211 DOM
-
2026-11-04days on market $224,921 Active 210 DOM
-
2026-11-02days on market $224,921 Active 208 DOM
-
2026-11-01days on market $224,921 Active 207 DOM
-
2026-10-31days on market $224,921 Active 206 DOM
-
2026-10-30days on market $224,921 Active 205 DOM
-
2026-10-29days on market $224,921 Active 204 DOM
-
2026-10-28days on market $224,921 Active 203 DOM
-
2026-10-27days on market $224,921 Active 202 DOM
-
2026-10-26days on market $224,921 Active 201 DOM
-
2026-10-25days on market $224,921 Active 200 DOM
-
2026-10-24days on market $224,921 Active 199 DOM
-
2026-10-23days on market $224,921 Active 198 DOM
-
2026-10-22days on market $224,921 Active 197 DOM
-
2026-10-21days on market $224,921 Active 196 DOM
-
2026-10-20days on market $224,921 Active 195 DOM
-
2026-10-19days on market $224,921 Active 194 DOM
-
2026-10-18days on market $224,921 Active 193 DOM
-
2026-10-17days on market $224,921 Active 192 DOM
-
2026-10-16days on market $224,921 Active 191 DOM
-
2026-10-15days on market $224,921 Active 190 DOM
-
2026-10-14days on market $224,921 Active 189 DOM
-
2026-10-13days on market $224,921 Active 188 DOM
-
2026-10-12days on market $224,921 Active 187 DOM
-
2026-10-11days on market $224,921 Active 186 DOM
-
2026-10-10days on market $224,921 Active 185 DOM
-
2026-10-09days on market $224,921 Active 184 DOM
-
2026-10-08days on market $224,921 Active 183 DOM
-
2026-10-07days on market $224,921 Active 182 DOM
-
2026-10-06days on market $224,921 Active 181 DOM
-
2026-10-05days on market $224,921 Active 180 DOM
-
2026-10-04days on market $224,921 Active 179 DOM
-
2026-10-04days on market $224,921 Active 178 DOM
-
2026-10-02days on market $224,921 Active 177 DOM
-
2026-10-01days on market $224,921 Active 176 DOM
-
2026-09-30days on market $224,921 Active 175 DOM
-
2026-09-29days on market $224,921 Active 174 DOM
-
2026-09-28days on market $224,921 Active 173 DOM
-
2026-09-27days on market $224,921 Active 172 DOM
-
2026-09-26days on market $224,921 Active 171 DOM
-
2026-09-25days on market $224,921 Active 170 DOM
-
2026-09-24days on market $224,921 Active 169 DOM
-
2026-09-24days on market $224,921 Active 168 DOM
-
2026-09-22days on market $224,921 Active 167 DOM
-
2026-09-21days on market $224,921 Active 166 DOM
-
2026-09-20days on market $224,921 Active 165 DOM
-
2026-09-19days on market $224,921 Active 164 DOM
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 7/10 Severe
- Heat 2/10 Low 7 d/yr ≥87°F today · 19 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 1/10 Low
- Air quality 1/10 Low 0 unhealthy d/yr today · 0 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $19,010
- − Mortgage interest
- −$12,599
- − Property taxes
- −$3,374
- − Insurance
- −$1,125
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,521
- − Management
- −$1,521
- − Depreciation
- −$6,543
- Taxable loss
- −$7,673
combined federal + state — saved on this device
- Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
- +$1,841
- After-tax cash flow
- $-1,793/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Condition & rehab AI · 12 photos
100/100
None rehab
This Tiny House Village Flagstaff unit is move-in ready with excellent condition and no visible repairs needed. It offers a great combination of modern amenities and community living.
Value-add opportunities
- Both Landscaping and curb appeal improvements — Enhances both resale and rental value. ↑
- Both Addition of smart home features — Improves convenience and appeal to potential buyers/renters. ↑
- Both Upgrading to LED lighting — Saves on energy costs and enhances curb appeal. ↑
F
Composite school gradezoned avg 20/100
Zoned Schools
Elementary
Thomas M Knoles Elementary School
F
AZ #570/1,109
Nat'l #27,846/41,679
Middle
Sinagua Middle School
F
AZ #147/218
Nat'l #12,279/14,009
High
Coconino High School
F
AZ #267/381
Nat'l #15,534/17,239
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Flagstaff Unified District (4192)
- NCES district ID
- 0402860
- Math proficiency
- 18% ▼ -16.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 29% ▼ -10.00%
- Median HH income
- $53,510
- Composite
- 21.11/100
- National rank
- #8437
- State rank
- #158 of 249 in AZ
C
Composite livability gradescore 61/100
Livability — Flagstaff
- Score
- 61/100
- State rank
- #167
- US rank
- #18308
Category grades
Amenities F
Commute F
Cost of living F
Crime D-
Employment C-
Housing B
Health & safety C+
User ratings D+
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Flagstaff, AZ
- County
- Coconino County · 150,645 people
- City population
- 91,667
- Metro
- Flagstaff, AZ
- Population (ZIP)
- 36,394
- Household income
- $81,172
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 5% of renters
Population outlook (Coconino County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 150,645 people
- By 2030
- 156,857 · +4.1%
- By 2040
- 168,714 · +12.0%
- By 2050
- 181,082 · +20.2%
- By 2075
- 218,399 · +45.0%
- By 2100
- 238,853 · +58.6%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.61)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 59% Hispanic / Latino 21% Two or more races 13% Native American 12% Asian 1% Black 1%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 15%
- Languages at home
- 80% English-only · Spanish 12% German/W. Germanic 1% Other Asian/Pacific 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Coconino
- 2024 margin
- D (+19.9) · D 59.2% · R 39.4% · Other 1.4%
- 2008→2024 swing
- +2.9pp toward D · 2008: 17.0pp · 2024: 19.9pp
- All cycles
- 2024: D+19.9 2020: D+24.1 2016: D+19.4 2012: D+14.9 2008: D+17.0
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -454.67%
- Current HPI
- 411.8577
- Rent YoY
- ▲ 1.59%
- Metro
- Flagstaff, AZ
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 4.54%
- F500 in state
- 20
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in AZ)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Technology | 2 | $13B |
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| Mining / Metals | 1 | $23B |
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| Environmental Services | 1 | $16B |
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| Metals / Steel | 1 | $14B |
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| Technology Distribution | 1 | $9B |
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| Homebuilding | 1 | $8B |
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Price history
+0.0% since first listed3 events — show timeline
- 2026-04-08 Listed $224,921 NAZMLS
- 2026-01-01 Listing Removed — NAZMLS
- 2025-10-01 Listed $224,921 NAZMLS
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…