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15 Wright St
D+ Composite 45.78
Why this score? — see what drove the D+ grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • ARV discount +11.5/15.0
  • Appreciation +10.0/10.0
  • Cash flow +8.1/30.0
  • Livability +3.8/5.0
  • Schools +3.2/10.0
  • Rent growth +2.5/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • 1% rule +2.1/10.0
  • DSCR +2.1/10.0

$198,000

15 Wright St · Amsterdam, NY 12010
3 bd · 1.0 ba · 1,176 sqft · SingleFamily public records · 2 Days on market
Built 1976 9,147 sqft lot Est $218k · 9% under

🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks

Charming and quaint 3 bedroom, 1 bath home located on the south side of Amsterdam. This beauty is first floor living at its finest. There are 3 nice sized bedrooms with hardwood floors under carpet, a large bathroom with walk-in shower, and washer/dryer hookups. A spacious living room with newer carpet which borders an eat in kitchen. The basement is the perfect layout for bonus space. Outside you will find a fenced in yard and a lovely patio space. There are (2) 2 car garages and storage spaces attached. This home is located on a dead end street, and is walking distance to restaurants as well as the Riverlink Park over the Mohawk River.

Key facts

  • First floor living
  • Bonus space
  • Hardwood floors

Tags

FIRST FLOOR LIVINGHARDWOOD FLOORSWALK IN SHOWERFENCED IN YARDPATIO SPACEBONUS SPACE

Property features AI

Exterior

  • Parking: Detached garage; Second garage/garage(s); Total of 6 parking spaces, including 5 garage spaces; Off-street paved driveway parking
  • Utilities: Public water; Public sewer
  • Home design: Single family residence; Below-grade finished area present
  • Construction: Vinyl siding; Shingle roof
  • Exterior features: Patio; Paved driveway; Front yard fencing with gate; Drive-paved exterior

Interior

  • Kitchen: Dishwasher; Oven; Range; Refrigerator
  • Bedrooms: Three first-floor bedrooms
  • Flooring: Carpet; Hardwood
  • Bathrooms: One full bathroom on the first floor
  • Heating & cooling: Hot water heating
  • Interior features: Chair rail; Full basement with interior entry; 5 total rooms
  • Laundry & utility: Laundry located in the basement and in a bathroom

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 3-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $198k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $-252 ($-3k/yr) — negative.
  • To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $153k (22.5% below list).
  • To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $141k (28.9% below list).
  • Recommended offer: $141k (28.9% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 75/100 on livability (#247 in NY, #3,884 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+, health & safety A+; Watch: crime F, employment F.
  • Amsterdam City School District (town): math 35% / reading 41% proficiency, ranked #546 of 590 in NY (top 92%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
  • Zoned schools: Amsterdam High School (math 75% / reading 82%, grade A-, #563 of 1,100 statewide, top 52%, 1,179 students, 68% FRL) — zoned schools average 68% FRL vs 40% district-wide (28 pts higher); higher-poverty schools than district average — tighter screening recommended.
  • Zoned-school proficiency averages 78% at this address vs 38% district-wide (+40 pts) — the actual schools serving this property are materially stronger than the Amsterdam City School District average implies; a family-tenant draw the district grade alone would hide.
  • Market conditions: 164 active listings in the ZIP; 11 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 19d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 210 units permitted in Montgomery County in 2024 (168 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

  • In year one you build about $21k of equity ($1k loan paydown + $20k appreciation (10.0% local appreciation)).
  • Montgomery County population projected at -11% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
  • By year 2, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$34k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.

Negotiation context

  • Only 2 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Watch-outs: flood insurance adds $56/mo.
  • Climate carrying-cost: severe flood risk — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Recommended offer $140,773 (28.9% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
  2. Built in 1976 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  3. What's the actual annual flood-insurance premium (NFIP or private), and is the property in a SFHA with mandatory coverage?
  4. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  5. Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
  6. Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
  7. The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
  8. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  9. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  10. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
0.71%
Cap rate
5.10%
Cash-on-cash
-4.26%
DSCR
0.81
GRM
11.7

CMA / ARV

ARV (on-the-fly)
$217,560
Comps found
5
Show comp detail 5 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
33 Dewitt St 0.20mi 2/1.0 (-1) 1,209 (+3%) 8mo $65,000 $54 75
106 Perkins St 0.06mi 4/1.5 (+1) 1,310 (+11%) 9mo $260,000 $198 64
239 Florida Ave 0.29mi 4/1.5 (+1) 1,056 (-10%) 8mo $195,000 $185 56
252 Florida Ave 0.38mi 3/1.5 1,040 (-12%) 10mo $79,537 $76 53
34 Broadway 0.71mi 3/1.5 1,028 (-13%) 23mo $280,000 $272 25

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

10.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
20.4%
Equity multiple
2.66×
Total profit
$91,789
Equity at exit
$178,374
10-year hold
IRR
18.6%
Equity multiple
6.10×
Total profit
$282,975
Equity at exit
$384,670

Cash invested: $55,440 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
15 Strongly Tenant-Friendly
State New York
15 Strongly Tenant-Friendly · D+10
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
NYC rent stabilization (~1M units); 2019 HSTPA strengthened tenant rights; courts deeply backlogged.

ZIP-level market 12010

Home prices YoY
4.0%
Active inventory
164
Price-to-rent
11.7×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$1,408 high interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$1,038
Tax from tax record
$188 /mo · $2,256/yr
Insurance
$82
Flood insurance flood zone
−$56 /mo · $666/yr
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$296
Net cashflow
$-252

Break-even live

Break-even rent $1,727
Max offer price $153,440
Occupancy floor

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$49,500
Closing costs
$5,940
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 11 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
21 Dewitt St Unit 2nd floor Amsterdam, NY 3.0 1.0 1000 $1,450 $1.45 14d 1 0.19mi
70 Wall St Amsterdam, NY 3.0 1.0 1098 $1,300 $1.18 19d 1 0.71mi
18 Garden St Amsterdam, NY 3.0 1.0 1180 $1,300 $1.10 19d 1 0.71mi
265 W Main St Unit 1 Amsterdam, NY 3.0 1.0 1200 $1,450 $1.21 14d 1 0.79mi
255 Main St Amsterdam, NY 2.0 1.0 800 $1,400 $1.75 14d 1 0.98mi
62 Glen Ave Amsterdam, NY 3.0 1.0 1115 $1,550 $1.39 23d 1 0.99mi
30 Kline St Amsterdam, NY 2.0 1.0 800 $1,300 $1.62 19d 1 1.04mi
49 Elizabeth St Amsterdam, NY 3.0 1.0 1300 $1,450 $1.12 21d 1 1.05mi
17 Grand St Amsterdam, NY 4.0 1.0 1098 $1,400 $1.28 23d 1 1.06mi
214 Market St Amsterdam, NY 3.0 1.5 1500 $1,300 $0.87 23d 1 1.28mi
214 Market St Amsterdam, NY 3.0 1.5 1500 $1,450 $0.97 43d 1 1.28mi

Listing history 2 events

  1. 2026-05-06
    status Pending
  2. 2026-05-04
    listed $198,000 Active

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast NY · Partial reset (capped growth)

Current annual tax
$2,256 · $188/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$2,801 · $233/mo
Expected delta
+$545/yr (+$45/mo · 24.2%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 9/10 Extreme FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 99% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 1/10 Low
  • 🌡 Heat 3/10 Moderate 7 d/yr ≥94°F today · 17 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 3/10 Moderate 4% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
  • 🫁 Air quality 1/10 Low 0 unhealthy d/yr today · 0 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$16,893
− Mortgage interest
−$11,091
− Property taxes
−$2,256
− Insurance
−$1,656
− Repairs & maintenance
−$1,351
− Management
−$1,351
− Depreciation
−$5,760
Taxable loss
−$6,573
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
+$1,578
After-tax cash flow
$-1,449/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Amsterdam City School District
NCES district ID
3602970
Math proficiency
35% ▲ 5.00%
Reading proficiency
41% ▲ 10.00%
Median HH income
$41,735
Composite
32.03/100
National rank
#5824
State rank
#546 of 590 in NY

Livability — Amsterdam

Score
75/100
State rank
#247
US rank
#3884

Category grades

Amenities B- Commute B+ Cost of living A+ Crime F Employment F Housing A+ Health & safety A+ User ratings B-

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Amsterdam, NY
City population
27,339
Population (ZIP)
27,339

Population outlook (Montgomery County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
48,683 people
By 2030
47,785 · -1.8%
By 2040
45,492 · -6.6%
By 2050
43,161 · -11.3%
By 2075
38,134 · -21.7%
By 2100
32,337 · -33.6%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly White (68%)
Race & ethnicity
White 68% Hispanic / Latino 23% Two or more races 9% Black 4% Asian 1%
Hispanic origin (detail)
Mexican 2% Puerto Rican 18%
Common ancestry
Romanian 12% Lithuanian 2% Iranian 2%
Foreign-born
5% · Canada
Languages at home
86% English-only · Spanish 11% Russian/Polish/Slavic 1% Other Indo-European 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Montgomery

2024 margin
Strong R (+28.7) · D 35.6% · R 64.4%
2008→2024 swing
-20.6pp toward R · 2008: -8.1pp · 2024: -28.7pp
All cycles
2024: R+28.7 2020: R+22.6 2016: R+26.5 2012: R+4.4 2008: R+8.1

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▲ 12.12%
Current HPI
312.4966
Rent YoY
Metro
State GDP YoY
▲ 2.60%
F500 in state
92

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in NY)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

2 events — show timeline
  • 2026-05-06 Pending Global MLS
  • 2026-05-04 Listed $198,000 Global MLS

Property tax history

+2.2%/yr

Latest (2025): $2,256 · +2.6% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

Loading sold comps…