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3223 Dearborn St
B- Composite 69.12
Why this score? — see what drove the B- grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +29.5/30.0
  • ARV discount +12.4/15.0
  • DSCR +10.0/10.0
  • 1% rule +7.1/10.0
  • Livability +3.0/5.0
  • Rent growth +2.5/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Schools +2.2/10.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$135,000

3223 Dearborn St · Shreveport, LA 71107
3 bd · 1.0 ba · 1,211 sqft · SingleFamily public records · 24 Days on market
Built 1969 0.46 ac lot $111/sqft · 11% below area Est $151k · 11% under

🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks MLS

Brick home in Shreveport offering space, privacy, and opportunity to make it your own. Located in the Oak Park area near North Market, this property provides a balance of convenience and room to spread out. The home features 3 bedrooms and 1 full bath with a functional layout and laminate flooring through the main living areas. The living room includes a ceiling fan and flows into an eat-in kitchen with a gas range and ample cabinet space. Outside, the property opens up to a large front yard with mature trees, a large backyard, and a storage building. Covered parking is available with a 2-car carport and additional driveway space. Central heating and air, city water and sewer, and single-story construction enhance the home's overall functionality. This property offers buyers space, investment potential, and the ability to update and personalize over time. The roof can be replaced prior to closing with an acceptable offer, with the cost added to the sales price. Convenient access to North Market, I-220, and nearby shopping, dining, and everyday amenities.

Key facts

  • 0.46 acre lot
  • 2 parking spots
  • Built 1969

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 3-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $135k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $483 ($6k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $135k).
  • Recommended offer: $133k (1.5% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
  • Cap rate 10.6% vs local median 5.6% in Shreveport — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 59/100 on livability (#270 in LA) — a working-class tenant base; expect higher turnover. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A; Watch: crime F, amenities F, commute F.
  • Caddo Parish (urban): math 21% / reading 32% proficiency, ranked #53 of 98 in LA (top 54%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 64% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
  • Zoned schools: North Highlands Elementary School (math 22% / reading 32%, grade F, #359 of 646 statewide, top 57%, 354 students, 75% FRL); Caddo Parish Middle Magnet School (math 79% / reading 93%, grade A+, #1 of 218 statewide, top 0%, 1,003 students, 23% FRL); Northwood High School (math 14% / reading 35%, grade F, #153 of 265 statewide, top 62%, 1,068 students, 53% FRL).
  • Zoned-school proficiency averages 46% at this address vs 26% district-wide (+19 pts) — the actual schools serving this property are materially stronger than the Caddo Parish average implies; a family-tenant draw the district grade alone would hide.
  • Market conditions: 261 active listings in the ZIP; 4 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals lingering (median 45d on market — plan ~5-8 weeks vacancy on turnover, expect pricing pressure); 50% of comp listings sitting > 30 days — soft ceiling on asking rent; 221 units permitted in Caddo Parish in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $933 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $4k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • Caddo County population projected at -15% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
  • At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $38k cash investment doubles in ~8 years — after that, you're playing with house money.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 24 days — a 2% lower offer ($133k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
  • 4 sale attempts; this cycle's ask is 8% above the opening price — seller raised mid-cycle; expect resistance to lowballs.
  • Current owner paid $99k; 37% above their basis — modest negotiation headroom, anchor on the comps not their cost.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Climate carrying-cost: major wind risk, 66% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→22/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Recommended offer $132,975 (1.5% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. Built in 1969 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  2. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  3. Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
  4. Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
  5. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  6. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  7. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
1.21%
Cap rate
10.58%
Cash-on-cash
15.32%
DSCR
1.68
GRM
6.9

CMA / ARV

ARV (median comp)
$151,320
List price
$135,000
Delta
-10.79%
Verdict
UNDERPRICED
Comps
20 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 5 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
3223 Dearborn St 0.00mi 3/1.0 1,211 (0%) 1mo $135,000 $111 100
3212 Dearborn St 0.07mi 3/1.0 1,267 (+5%) 7mo $140,000 $110 83
724 Dodd Dr 0.52mi 3/1.0 1,172 (-3%) 10mo $149,000 $127 62
3700 Cornell Dr 0.47mi 3/2.0 1,326 (+10%) 6mo $190,000 $143 53
3836 Cornell Dr 0.63mi 3/2.0 1,354 (+12%) 20mo $120,000 $89 30

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
6.0%
Equity multiple
1.23×
Total profit
$8,810
Equity at exit
$20,129
10-year hold
IRR
15.4%
Equity multiple
2.24×
Total profit
$47,040
Equity at exit
$11,672

Cash invested: $37,800 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
State Louisiana
90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+12
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
5-day notice; no state rent control; civil-law jurisdiction; landlord-favorable.

ZIP-level market 71107

Home prices YoY
-34.5%
Active inventory
261
Price-to-rent
6.9×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$1,633 medium interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$708
Tax from tax record
$44 /mo · $524/yr
Insurance
$56
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$343
Net cashflow
$483

Break-even live

Break-even rent $1,023
Max offer price $135,000
Occupancy floor 65%

Sensitivity live

Price -10% $559 -5% $521 +0% $483 +5% $444 +10% $406
Rent -10% $354 -5% $418 +0% $483 +5% $547 +10% $612
Rate -1.0pp $551 -0.5pp $517 base $483 +0.5pp $448 +1.0pp $412

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$33,750
Closing costs
$4,050
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 4 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
908 Deer Park Rd Shreveport, LA 3.0 2.0 1470 $1,825 $1.24 45d 1 0.13mi
775 Highland Square Dr Shreveport, LA 2.0 1.5 1248 $1,225 $0.98 45d 1 0.73mi
1250 Hawkins St Shreveport, LA 4.0 2.0 1290 $1,100 $0.85 15d 1 0.94mi
4074 Jayce Michael Dr Shreveport, LA 3.0 2.0 1478 $1,950 $1.32 15d 1 1.47mi

Listing history 13 events

  1. 2026-05-04
    status Pending 1088-char remark
    Show marketing remark (1088 chars)

    Brick home in Shreveport offering space, privacy, and opportunity to make it your own. Located in the Oak Park area near North Market, this property provides a balance of convenience and room to spread out. The home features 3 bedrooms and 1 full bath with a functional layout and laminate flooring through the main living areas. The living room includes a ceiling fan and flows into an eat-in kitchen with a gas range and ample cabinet space. Outside, the property opens up to a large front yard with mature trees, a large backyard, and a storage building. Covered parking is available with a 2-car carport and additional driveway space. Central heating and air, city water and sewer, and single-story construction enhance the home's overall functionality. This property offers buyers space, investment potential, and the ability to update and personalize over time. The roof can be replaced prior to closing with an acceptable offer, with the cost added to the sales price. Convenient access to North Market, I-220, and nearby shopping, dining, and everyday amenities.

  2. 2026-05-02
    price $135,000 1088-char remark
    Show marketing remark (1088 chars)

    Brick home in Shreveport offering space, privacy, and opportunity to make it your own. Located in the Oak Park area near North Market, this property provides a balance of convenience and room to spread out. The home features 3 bedrooms and 1 full bath with a functional layout and laminate flooring through the main living areas. The living room includes a ceiling fan and flows into an eat-in kitchen with a gas range and ample cabinet space. Outside, the property opens up to a large front yard with mature trees, a large backyard, and a storage building. Covered parking is available with a 2-car carport and additional driveway space. Central heating and air, city water and sewer, and single-story construction enhance the home's overall functionality. This property offers buyers space, investment potential, and the ability to update and personalize over time. The roof can be replaced prior to closing with an acceptable offer, with the cost added to the sales price. Convenient access to North Market, I-220, and nearby shopping, dining, and everyday amenities.

  3. 2026-04-09
    listed $124,900 Active 1088-char remark
    Show marketing remark (1088 chars)

    Brick home in Shreveport offering space, privacy, and opportunity to make it your own. Located in the Oak Park area near North Market, this property provides a balance of convenience and room to spread out. The home features 3 bedrooms and 1 full bath with a functional layout and laminate flooring through the main living areas. The living room includes a ceiling fan and flows into an eat-in kitchen with a gas range and ample cabinet space. Outside, the property opens up to a large front yard with mature trees, a large backyard, and a storage building. Covered parking is available with a 2-car carport and additional driveway space. Central heating and air, city water and sewer, and single-story construction enhance the home's overall functionality. This property offers buyers space, investment potential, and the ability to update and personalize over time. The roof can be replaced prior to closing with an acceptable offer, with the cost added to the sales price. Convenient access to North Market, I-220, and nearby shopping, dining, and everyday amenities.

  4. 2025-10-27
    price $124,000
  5. 2025-09-27
    listed $126,500 Active
  6. 2025-09-26
    historical
  7. 2025-09-05
    price $124,000
  8. 2025-08-19
    status Active
  9. 2025-06-10
    status Pending
  10. 2025-05-16
    price $129,000
  11. 2025-04-24
    price $134,000
  12. 2025-03-26
    listed $139,000 Active
  13. 2024-03-15
    soldstatus $98,900

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast LA · Resets to sale price

Current annual tax
$524 · $44/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$742 · $62/mo
Expected delta
+$219/yr (+$18/mo · 41.8%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 2/10 Low
  • 🌡 Heat 7/10 Severe 7 d/yr ≥110°F today · 22 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 6/10 Major 66% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
  • 🫁 Air quality 1/10 Low 0 unhealthy d/yr today · 0 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$19,602
− Mortgage interest
−$7,562
− Property taxes
−$524
− Insurance
−$675
− Repairs & maintenance
−$1,568
− Management
−$1,568
− Depreciation
−$3,927
Taxable income
$3,778
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
−$907
After-tax cash flow
$4,885/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Caddo Parish
NCES district ID
2200300
Math proficiency
21% ▼ -33.00%
Reading proficiency
32% ▼ -30.00%
Median HH income
$39,227
Composite
22.23/100
National rank
#8148
State rank
#53 of 98 in LA

Livability — Shreveport

Score
59/100
State rank
#270
US rank
#19730

Category grades

Amenities F Commute F Cost of living A+ Crime F Employment F Housing A Health & safety F User ratings A-

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Shreveport, LA
County
Caddo Parish · 178,536 people
City population
164,123
Metro
Shreveport-Bossier City, LA
Population (ZIP)
31,734
Household income
$48,365
Rent vs Own
36.4% rent · 63.6% own
Severe rent burden
1346.0

Population outlook (Caddo County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
243,190 people
By 2030
237,231 · -2.5%
By 2040
222,502 · -8.5%
By 2050
206,516 · -15.1%
By 2075
165,706 · -31.9%
By 2100
122,262 · -49.7%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.55)
Race & ethnicity
Black 51% White 43% Two or more races 4% Hispanic / Latino 2%
Common ancestry
Slovak 3% Lithuanian 1%
Foreign-born
1% · Canada
Languages at home
98% English-only · Spanish 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Caddo

2024 margin
Toss-up / Even · D 51.6% · R 47.0% · Other 1.4%
2008→2024 swing
+1.6pp toward D · 2008: 3.0pp · 2024: 4.6pp
All cycles
2024: D+4.6 2020: D+6.8 2016: D+4.2 2012: D+4.9 2008: D+3.0

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -62.11%
Current HPI
117.801
Rent YoY
Metro
Shreveport-Bossier City, LA
State GDP YoY
▲ 3.29%
F500 in state
10

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in LA)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

+36.5% since first listed
13 events — show timeline
  • 2026-05-04 Pending NTREIS
  • 2026-05-02 Price Changed $135,000 NTREIS
  • 2026-04-09 Listed $124,900 NTREIS
  • 2025-10-27 Price Changed $124,000 NTREIS
  • 2025-09-27 Listed $126,500 NTREIS
  • 2025-09-26 Listing Removed NTREIS
  • 2025-09-05 Price Changed $124,000 NTREIS
  • 2025-08-19 Relisted NTREIS
  • 2025-06-10 Pending NTREIS
  • 2025-05-16 Price Changed $129,000 NTREIS
  • 2025-04-24 Price Changed $134,000 NTREIS
  • 2025-03-26 Listed $139,000 NTREIS
  • 2024-03-15 Sold (Public Records) $98,900 Public Records

Property tax history

-1.0%/yr

Latest (2025): $524 · +0.4% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

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