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1713 W Highway 50 #73
B Composite 72.3
Why this score? — see what drove the B grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +30.0/30.0
  • ARV discount +15.0/15.0
  • 1% rule +10.0/10.0
  • DSCR +10.0/10.0
  • Rent growth +4.2/5.0
  • Appreciation +2.5/10.0
  • Livability +2.5/5.0
  • Schools +2.2/10.0
  • Condition / age +2.2/5.0
  • Manufactured-home adj. -6.3

$55,700

1713 W Highway 50 #73 · O'Fallon, IL 62269
3 bd · 2.0 ba · 1,056 sqft · Manufactured · 59 Days on market
Manufactured home Built 2026 Fair condition $53/sqft · 22% below area Est $71k · 22% under

🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks

* THIS IS A RESALE LISTING * This welcoming, well-maintained 3 bedroom, 2 bathroom home is a perfect place to raise your family. For your convenience, we have onsite community management to assist you when you need it. With our family-friendly community amenities such as a basketball court, a picnic area / pavilion / grill, and a playground, your family will be excited to live here. This home won't be on the market long, so call us today for more information or to schedule a tour. Deposits & Fees are subject to change.

Key facts

  • Picnic area
  • Basketball court
  • Playground

Tags

BASKETBALL COURTPICNIC AREAPLAYGROUND

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Costco Walmart Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 6.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 3-bed/2.0-bath manufactured listed at $56k. Condition is rated fair.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $641 ($8k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $56k).
  • Recommended offer: $54k (3.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
  • Cap rate 20.1% vs local median 3.5% in O'Fallon — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads: area grade B — affects rentability + tenant quality, not the cash-flow math above.
  • O Fallon Twp Hsd 203 (suburban): math 32% / reading 40% proficiency, ranked #145 of 620 in IL (top 23%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
  • Zoned schools: Central Elem School (math 12% / reading 22%, grade F, #1,141 of 2,056 statewide, top 59%, 366 students, 0% FRL); Joseph Arthur Middle School (math 8% / reading 17%, grade F, #550 of 665 statewide, top 84%, 234 students, 0% FRL); O Fallon High School (math 32% / reading 40%, grade F, #120 of 693 statewide, top 17%, 2,521 students, 0% FRL).
  • Zoned-school proficiency averages 22% at this address vs 36% district-wide (-14 pts) — the specific schools serving this property underperform the O Fallon Twp Hsd 203 average; the district grade overstates school quality for this exact location.
  • Market conditions: Rents rising fast (+6.6%/yr); 327 active listings in the ZIP; 7 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals lingering (median 70d on market — plan ~5-8 weeks vacancy on turnover, expect pricing pressure); 71% of comp listings sitting > 30 days — soft ceiling on asking rent; solid renter incomes; 783 units permitted in St. Clair County in 2024 (378 in 5+ unit buildings).
  • This rent is only 15% of the median local income ($104k/yr) — well below the 30% rent-burden line; pricing power to push rent on renewal without tenant pushback.

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $385 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $2k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • St. Clair County population projected at -23% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
  • At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 6.6% rent growth), your $16k cash investment doubles in ~3 years — after that, you're playing with house money.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 59 days — a 3% lower offer ($54k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Recommended offer $54,029 (3.0% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. It's been on market 59 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 3% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  2. Have any recent inspections been done? Can we get a copy of the seller's disclosures and any deferred-maintenance estimates?
  3. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  4. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  5. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  6. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
2.33%
Cap rate
20.09%
Cash-on-cash
49.29%
DSCR
3.19
GRM
3.6

CMA / ARV

ARV (median comp)
$71,266
List price
$55,700
Delta
-21.84%
Verdict
UNDERPRICED
Comps
2 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
14 Stacy Dr 0.80mi 2/1.5 (-1) 1,053 (-0%) 1mo $195,000 $185 57
108 Alice Dr 0.24mi 2/2.0 (-1) 1,300 (+23%) 3mo $165,000 $127 56
329 Veach Dr 1.16mi 3/2.0 1,123 (+6%) 3mo $185,000 $165 52
4 Monticello Pl 0.71mi 3/2.0 950 (-10%) 4mo $99,000 $104 47
1 Hyde Park Rd 0.90mi 2/1.0 (-1) 1,113 (+5%) 1mo $165,000 $148 46
9 Debra Dr 0.96mi 2/1.0 (-1) 1,117 (+6%) 2mo $169,900 $152 44
958 Holyoke Dr 0.95mi 3/2.0 1,185 (+12%) 0mo $246,000 $208 44
40 Joseph Dr 0.99mi 2/1.0 (-1) 1,134 (+7%) 3mo $184,900 $163 41
806 Emerald Green Dr 1.04mi 3/2.0 1,244 (+18%) 2mo $249,900 $201 38
14 Kadlec Dr 1.44mi 3/2.0 1,240 (+17%) 4mo $149,000 $120 37
931 Saint Clair St 1.20mi 2/1.0 (-1) 864 (-18%) 1mo $75,000 $87 30
504 Joseph Dr 1.19mi 2/1.5 (-1) 1,296 (+23%) 4mo $149,900 $116 30

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 6.64% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
51.0%
Equity multiple
3.35×
Total profit
$36,722
Equity at exit
$8,305
10-year hold
IRR
57.9%
Equity multiple
7.82×
Total profit
$106,390
Equity at exit
$4,816

Cash invested: $15,596 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
43 Moderately Tenant-Leaning
State Illinois
43 Moderately Tenant-Leaning · D+7
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
Chicago RTLO is among the strongest tenant ordinances in the Midwest; downstate is more landlord-friendly.

Active competition Active MLS

For sale now
8 active
Median asking
$30,500 ($25/sqft)
Median days on market
32 d
This list price
62% of active listings are priced below it
ARV vs active asking
+170.9% above current asking $/sqft

Closed sales set the value; these active listings set current market conditions and a practical price ceiling.

ZIP-level market 62269

Home prices YoY
-29.5%
Rents YoY
6.6%
Active inventory
327
Price-to-rent
3.6×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$1,298 high interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$292
Tax est. 1.5%
$70 /mo · $836/yr
Insurance
$23
HOA
$0
Lot rent leased land?
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$273
Net cashflow
$641

Break-even live

Break-even rent $487
Max offer price $55,700
Occupancy floor 46%

Sensitivity live

Price -10% $679 -5% $660 +0% $641 +5% $621 +10% $602
Rent -10% $538 -5% $589 +0% $641 +5% $692 +10% $743
Rate -1.0pp $669 -0.5pp $655 base $641 +0.5pp $626 +1.0pp $611

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$13,925
Closing costs
$1,671
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Cash invested
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Cash invested
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Cash invested
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 7 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
120 Dean Ave O'Fallon, IL 2.0 1.0 1056 $1,195 $1.13 62d 1 0.21mi
103 Brookside Dr O Fallon, IL 3.0 1.0 1014 $1,800 $1.78 0d 1 0.34mi
106 Autumn Pine Dr Apt 3 Fairview Heights, IL 2.0 1.0 1100 $1,095 $1.00 110d 1 0.47mi
1311 West Highway 50 O'Fallon, IL 2.0 1.0 945 $1,300 $1.38 97d 1 0.49mi
753 Forest Green Dr O Fallon, IL 3.0 2.0 1254 $2,500 $1.99 97d 1 1.05mi
812 Emerald Green Dr O Fallon, IL 3.0 1.5 1500 $2,500 $1.67 69d 1 1.06mi
25 Belle Dr Fairview Heights, IL 3.0 2.0 1260 $1,350 $1.07 9d 1 1.36mi

Property features AI

Finance

Financial info
List price $55,200

Exterior

Utilities
Natural gas heatingCentral air conditioning
Home design
Spec home (plan 90457)Active listing
Exterior features
Living area of 1,056 (listed)

Interior

Bedrooms
3 bedrooms
Heating & cooling
Natural gas heatingCentral air conditioning
Interior features
2 total bathrooms

Listing history 23 events

  1. 2026-07-16
    days on market $55,700 Active 59 DOM
  2. 2026-06-30
    days on market $55,700 Active 58 DOM
  3. 2026-06-29
    days on market $55,700 Active 57 DOM
  4. 2026-06-28
    days on market $55,700 Active 56 DOM
  5. 2026-06-27
    days on market $55,700 Active 55 DOM
  6. 2026-06-26
    days on market $55,700 Active 54 DOM
  7. 2026-06-24
    days on market $55,700 Active 52 DOM
  8. 2026-06-22
    days on market $55,700 Active 50 DOM
  9. 2026-06-21
    days on market $55,700 Active 49 DOM
  10. 2026-06-18
    days on market $55,700 Active 46 DOM
  11. 2026-06-17
    days on market $55,700 Active 45 DOM
  12. 2026-06-16
    days on market $55,700 Active 44 DOM
  13. 2026-06-15
    days on market $55,700 Active 43 DOM
  14. 2026-06-13
    days on market $55,700 Active 41 DOM
  15. 2026-06-13
    days on market $55,700 Active 40 DOM
  16. 2026-06-09
    days on market $55,700 Active 37 DOM
  17. 2026-06-08
    days on market $55,700 Active 36 DOM
  18. 2026-06-07
    days on market $55,700 Active 35 DOM
  19. 2026-06-03
    days on market $55,700 Active 31 DOM
  20. 2026-06-02
    days on market $55,700 Active 30 DOM
  21. 2026-06-01
    pricedays on market $55,700 Active 29 DOM
  22. 2026-05-31
    days on market $55,200 Active 28 DOM
  23. 2026-05-04
    listed $55,200 Active 533-char remark

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$15,578
− Mortgage interest
−$3,120
− Property taxes
−$836
− Insurance
−$278
− Repairs & maintenance
−$1,246
− Management
−$1,246
− Depreciation
−$1,620
Taxable income
$7,231
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
−$1,735
After-tax cash flow
$5,952/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Condition & rehab AI · 2 photos

Fair 45/100 Cosmetic rehab Est. rehab $5,280–$15,840 screening

This manufactured home is in fair condition with some cosmetic updates needed. Landscaping and exterior painting would significantly enhance its curb appeal and resale value.

Repairs flagged

  • Minor Landscaping — Overgrown grass needs trimming
  • Minor Exterior paint — White siding shows some discoloration

Value-add opportunities

  • Both Landscaping and exterior painting — Improves curb appeal and resale value
  • Rental HVAC maintenance — Ensures comfort and energy efficiency

ⓘ Rehab cost is a screening estimate — Cosmetic scope × the home's square footage at US $/sqft rules of thumb (the same model as the Flip Finder). Get contractor quotes + a written scope before underwriting.

F Composite school gradezoned avg 22/100

Zoned Schools

Elementary Central Elem School F IL #1,141/2,056 Nat'l #35,191/41,679 Middle Joseph Arthur Middle School F IL #550/665 Nat'l #13,057/14,009 High O Fallon High School F IL #120/693 Nat'l #9,405/17,239

Schools (NCES district)

District
O Fallon Twp Hsd 203
NCES district ID
1729790
Math proficiency
32% ▼ -22.00%
Reading proficiency
40% ▼ -13.00%
Median HH income
$82,945
Composite
34.3/100
National rank
#5240
State rank
#145 of 620 in IL

Livability — O'Fallon

No livability data for this city. (Only ~50 U.S. cities are tracked.)

Census & demographics

Census place
O'Fallon, IL
County
Saint Clair County · 250,366 people
City population
35,536
Metro
St. Louis, MO-IL
Population (ZIP)
35,923
Household income
$103,818
Rent vs Own
28.7% rent · 71.3% own
Severe rent burden
10% of renters

Population outlook (St. Clair County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
250,366 people
By 2030
240,511 · -3.9%
By 2040
217,391 · -13.2%
By 2050
192,699 · -23.0%
By 2075
140,637 · -43.8%
By 2100
100,499 · -59.9%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly White (71%)
Race & ethnicity
White 71% Black 13% Two or more races 10% Hispanic / Latino 6% Asian 3%
Hispanic origin (detail)
Mexican 4%
Common ancestry
Romanian 4% Lithuanian 3% Slovak 2%
Foreign-born
4% · Canada, South Korea
Languages at home
93% English-only · Spanish 4% Arabic 1% Other Indo-European 1%

Political lean MEDSL · St. Clair

2024 margin
Lean D (+7.9) · D 53.0% · R 45.1% · Other 1.8%
2008→2024 swing
-14.6pp toward R · 2008: 22.4pp · 2024: 7.9pp
All cycles
2024: D+7.9 2020: D+8.7 2016: D+5.6 2012: D+14.5 2008: D+22.4

Not yet ingested

Civics

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

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