90 N Mahoning Ave · Alliance, OH
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $473 – $860
Fire risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $713 – $1,323
Heat risk 3/10 · Minor
- Hot days now (above 97°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 17 days/yr
Wind risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- —
Air-quality risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 1 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 2 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the B- grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +30.0/30.0
- 1% rule +10.0/10.0
- DSCR +10.0/10.0
- ARV discount +7.5/15.0
- Livability +3.9/5.0
- Schools +3.5/10.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$42,000
🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
Spring Investment opportunity! This 3 bedroom, 1.5 bathroom with full waterproofed basement, 2 car detached garage, large front porch, rear mud room and fenced in back yard is waiting for a makeover! The first floor features a generous living room, formal dining room, eat in kitchen and half bath with newer shower. Upstairs you will find 3 nicely sized bedrooms with plenty of storage space and a full bathroom. New water tank installed 2025. This home needs lots of TLC and is Cash only.
Key facts
- Formal dining room
- Large front porch
- Rear mud room
Tags
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 3-bed/1.5-bath single-family listed at $42k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $592 ($7k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $42k).
- Recommended offer: $39k (6.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
- Cap rate 23.2% vs local median 4.8% in Alliance — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 78/100 on livability (#175 in OH, #2,737 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: commute A+, cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: amenities F, employment F.
- Alliance City (town): math 39% / reading 45% proficiency, ranked #536 of 656 in OH (top 82%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases; 71% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
- Market conditions: 166 active listings in the ZIP; 3 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals leasing fast (median 14d on market — plan ~1-2 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 528 units permitted in Stark County in 2024 (84 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $290 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $1k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Stark County population projected to shrink 8% by 2050 — rents likely to lag national; underwrite the cash flow, not the appreciation.
- At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $12k cash investment doubles in ~2 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 83 days — a 6% lower offer ($39k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 3 sale attempts since 25y ago; this cycle's ask has dropped $10k (20%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: built in 1915 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 83 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 6% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Built in 1915 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are B-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 2.58% ✓
- Cap rate
- 23.20%
- Cash-on-cash
- 60.38%
- DSCR
- 3.69
- GRM
- 3.2
CMA / ARV
- ARV (median comp)
- $124,390
- List price
- $42,000
- Delta
- -66.24%
- Verdict
- UNDERPRICED
- Comps
- 20 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1059 Pike St | 0.31mi | 3/1.0 | 1,400 (-1%) | 14mo | $130,000 | $93 | 71 |
| 1015 Reed | 0.38mi | 3/1.5 | 1,248 (-12%) | 1mo | $137,000 | $110 | 61 |
| 1025 Reed St | 0.37mi | 3/2.0 | 1,248 (-12%) | 3mo | $122,600 | $98 | 59 |
| 22862 Norman Ave | 0.59mi | 4/1.5 (+1) | 1,502 (+6%) | 0mo | $85,000 | $57 | 57 |
| 407 N Liberty Ave | 0.54mi | 3/1.5 | 1,316 (-7%) | 9mo | $124,000 | $94 | 56 |
| 263 Franklin Ave | 0.36mi | 2/1.5 (-1) | 1,252 (-12%) | 8mo | $26,000 | $21 | 52 |
| 747 Woodland Ave | 0.59mi | 4/2.0 (+1) | 1,440 (+2%) | 13mo | $134,500 | $93 | 52 |
| 822 E Summit St | 0.60mi | 3/1.5 | 1,332 (-6%) | 14mo | $37,175 | $28 | 51 |
| 1041 Pike St | 0.31mi | 3/2.0 | 1,612 (+14%) | 13mo | $152,500 | $95 | 50 |
| 825 Wade Ave | 0.66mi | 3/1.0 | 1,311 (-7%) | 9mo | $68,500 | $52 | 47 |
| 1006 E Grant St | 0.62mi | 3/1.0 | 1,344 (-5%) | 20mo | $31,000 | $23 | 44 |
| 755 E Summit St | 0.65mi | 4/2.0 (+1) | 1,604 (+13%) | 12mo | $137,000 | $85 | 31 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 59.1%
- Equity multiple
- 3.63×
- Total profit
- $30,880
- Equity at exit
- $6,262
- IRR
- 63.9%
- Equity multiple
- 7.41×
- Total profit
- $75,418
- Equity at exit
- $3,631
Cash invested: $11,760 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 73 Landlord-Friendly
- State Ohio
- 73 Landlord-Friendly · R+6
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 44601
- Active inventory
- 166
- Price-to-rent
- 3.2×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,084 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$220
- Tax from tax record
- −$27 /mo · $318/yr
- Insurance
- −$18
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$228
- Net cashflow
- $592
Break-even live
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $10,500
- Closing costs
- $1,260
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 3 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1329 Auld St Unit 1329 Alliance, OH | 2.0 | 2.0 | 900 | $925 | $1.03 | 13d | 1 | 0.80mi |
| 1329 Auld St Alliance, OH | 2.0 | 2.0 | 900 | $895 | $0.99 | 13d | 1 | 0.80mi |
| 109 W Ely St Alliance, OH | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1344 | $1,300 | $0.97 | 13d | 1 | 1.09mi |
Listing history 22 events
-
2026-06-18days on market $42,000 Active 83 DOM
-
2026-06-17days on market $42,000 Active 82 DOM
-
2026-06-16days on market $42,000 Active 81 DOM
-
2026-06-15price $42,000 Active 80 DOM
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2026-06-15days on market $47,000 Active 80 DOM
-
2026-06-14days on market $47,000 Active 78 DOM
-
2026-06-13days on market $47,000 Active 77 DOM
-
2026-06-10days on market $47,000 Active 75 DOM
-
2026-06-09days on market $47,000 Active 74 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $47,000 Active 73 DOM
-
2026-06-07days on market $47,000 Active 72 DOM
-
2026-06-02days on market $47,000 Active 67 DOM
-
2026-06-01days on market $47,000 Active 66 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $47,000 Active 65 DOM
-
2026-05-30days on market $47,000 Active 64 DOM
-
2026-04-27price $47,000 490-char remark
Show marketing remark (490 chars)
Spring Investment opportunity! This 3 bedroom, 1.5 bathroom with full waterproofed basement, 2 car detached garage, large front porch, rear mud room and fenced in back yard is waiting for a makeover! The first floor features a generous living room, formal dining room, eat in kitchen and half bath with newer shower. Upstairs you will find 3 nicely sized bedrooms with plenty of storage space and a full bathroom. New water tank installed 2025. This home needs lots of TLC and is Cash only.
-
2026-03-26$52,500 Active 490-char remark
Show marketing remark (490 chars)
Spring Investment opportunity! This 3 bedroom, 1.5 bathroom with full waterproofed basement, 2 car detached garage, large front porch, rear mud room and fenced in back yard is waiting for a makeover! The first floor features a generous living room, formal dining room, eat in kitchen and half bath with newer shower. Upstairs you will find 3 nicely sized bedrooms with plenty of storage space and a full bathroom. New water tank installed 2025. This home needs lots of TLC and is Cash only.
-
2025-04-12historical
-
2025-03-13$65,000 Active
-
2001-10-31soldstatus $45,000
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2001-09-30historical
-
2001-03-31$49,900
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast OH · Partial reset (capped growth)
- Current annual tax
- $318 · $27/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $487 · $41/mo
- Expected delta
- +$168/yr (+$14/mo · 52.9%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 1/10 Low
- Heat 3/10 Moderate 7 d/yr ≥97°F today · 17 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 1/10 Low
- Air quality 2/10 Low 1 unhealthy d/yr today · 2 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $13,002
- − Mortgage interest
- −$2,353
- − Property taxes
- −$318
- − Insurance
- −$210
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,040
- − Management
- −$1,040
- − Depreciation
- −$1,222
- Taxable income
- $6,819
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$1,637
- After-tax cash flow
- $5,464/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Alliance City
- NCES district ID
- 3904349
- Math proficiency
- 39% ▼ -9.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 45% ▼ -5.00%
- Median HH income
- $33,326
- Composite
- 34.54/100
- National rank
- #5176
- State rank
- #536 of 656 in OH
Livability — Alliance
- Score
- 78/100
- State rank
- #175
- US rank
- #2737
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Alliance, OH
- County
- Stark County · 272,865 people
- City population
- 32,696
- Metro
- Canton-Massillon, OH
- Population (ZIP)
- 32,696
- Household income
- $61,965
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 780.0
Population outlook (Stark County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 373,708 people
- By 2030
- 371,245 · -0.7%
- By 2040
- 361,331 · -3.3%
- By 2050
- 345,290 · -7.6%
- By 2075
- 302,669 · -19.0%
- By 2100
- 238,870 · -36.1%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (87%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 87% Black 6% Two or more races 5% Hispanic / Latino 1%
- Common ancestry
- Italian 3% Lithuanian 2% Slovak 2%
- Foreign-born
- 1%
- Languages at home
- 98% English-only · Spanish 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Stark
- 2024 margin
- Strong R (+21.9) · D 38.6% · R 60.5%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -27.4pp toward R · 2008: 5.5pp · 2024: -21.9pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+21.9 2020: R+18.5 2016: R+17.4 2012: R+0.4 2008: D+5.5
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -174.62%
- Current HPI
- 224.9507
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- Canton-Massillon, OH
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 1.98%
- F500 in state
- 48
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in OH)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Insurance | 3 | $145B |
|
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| Industrial Machinery | 3 | $49B |
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| Financial Services | 3 | $24B |
|
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| Consumer Goods | 2 | $93B |
|
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| Aerospace / Defense | 2 | $47B |
|
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| Utilities | 2 | $33B |
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Price history
-5.8% since first listed7 events — show timeline
- 2026-04-27 Price Changed $47,000 MLSNOW
- 2026-03-26 Listed $52,500 MLSNOW
- 2025-04-12 Listing Removed — MLSNOW
- 2025-03-13 Listed $65,000 MLSNOW
- 2001-10-31 Sold (Public Records) $45,000 Public Records
- 2001-09-30 Listing Removed — MLSNOW
- 2001-03-31 Listed $49,900 MLSNOW
Property tax history
+4.4%/yrLatest (2024): $318 · +28.3% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…