408 E 07 St · Okmulgee, OK
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 7/10 · Major
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $2,463 – $4,575
Heat risk 7/10 · Major
- Hot days now (above 111°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 20 days/yr
Wind risk 3/10 · Minor
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 6.0%
Air-quality risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 1 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 2 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the B- grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +27.8/30.0
- ARV discount +15.0/15.0
- DSCR +9.8/10.0
- 1% rule +7.1/10.0
- Livability +3.1/5.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Schools +0.4/10.0
- Appreciation +0.2/10.0
$99,000
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks
Versatile Two-Story Property with Large Work Room – 3,792 Sq. Ft. This 3,792 sq. (per CH) ft. two-story building offers excellent potential for conversion into a multiplex or live/work space. Previously used as a chiropractic clinic with upstairs living quarters, it also includes a spacious detached 40' x 65' work room that once served as a gym. The property is being sold as-is due to recent vandalism, making it a great opportunity for investors or those looking for a renovation project.
Key facts
- Two-story property
- Large work room
- Detached work room
Tags
Property features AI
Exterior
- Parking: Rear-facing garage; 2-car garage
- Security: No safety shelter
- Utilities: Public water; Public sewer; Electricity available; Phone available
- Home design: Two stories; Faces north; Basement (partial, unfinished) and slab foundation
- Construction: Wood siding with wood frame construction; Asphalt/fiberglass roof
- Exterior features: Covered porch; Deck; Porch; Partial fencing; Workshop; Mature trees on site
Interior
- Kitchen: Country-style kitchen; Range / Stove
- Bedrooms: Multiple bedrooms including first- and second-floor bedrooms; Two master bedrooms with private baths and walk-in closets; Bedrooms with Pullman baths
- Flooring: Tile; Vinyl
- Bathrooms: Three full bathrooms; One half bathroom; Hall bath and half bath on the first floor; Master baths with ventilation
- Heating & cooling: Gas log fireplace (1); Gas range connection
- Interior features: Laminate counters; Gas range connection; Aluminum and wood window frames; Tile and vinyl flooring
- Laundry & utility: Electric dryer hookup; Inside utility room
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 2-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $99k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $301 ($4k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $99k).
- Recommended offer: $87k (12.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
- Cap rate 9.9% vs local median 7.6% in Okmulgee — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 61/100 on livability (#300 in OK) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+, health & safety A+; Watch: schools F, crime F, amenities F.
- Okmulgee (town): math 3% / reading 7% proficiency, ranked #264 of 270 in OK (top 98%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 73% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
- Market conditions: 147 active listings in the ZIP; 12 units permitted in Okmulgee County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $684 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $3k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Okmulgee County population projected at -13% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
- At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $28k cash investment doubles in ~9 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 136 days — a 12% lower offer ($87k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 3 sale attempts with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: built in 1930 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
- Climate carrying-cost: major wildfire risk; extreme-heat days projected 7→20/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 136 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 12% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Built in 1930 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
- Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.21% ✓
- Cap rate
- 9.94%
- Cash-on-cash
- 13.01%
- DSCR
- 1.58
- GRM
- 6.9
CMA / ARV
- ARV (on-the-fly)
- $174,432
- Comps found
- 1
Show comp detail 1 sale within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 820 N Grand Ave | 0.64mi | 3/1.5 (+1) | 3,781 (-0%) | 7mo | $175,000 | $46 | 57 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 2.9%
- Equity multiple
- 1.11×
- Total profit
- $3,099
- Equity at exit
- $14,761
- IRR
- 12.5%
- Equity multiple
- 1.99×
- Total profit
- $27,333
- Equity at exit
- $8,560
Cash invested: $27,720 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 83 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State Oklahoma
- 83 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+20
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 74447
- Home prices YoY
- -3.6%
- Active inventory
- 147
- Price-to-rent
- 6.9×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,200 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$519
- Tax from tax record
- −$87 /mo · $1,046/yr
- Insurance
- −$41
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$252
- Net cashflow
- $301
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $357 | -5% $329 | +0% $301 | +5% $273 | +10% $245 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $206 | -5% $253 | +0% $301 | +5% $348 | +10% $395 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $350 | -0.5pp $326 | base $301 | +0.5pp $275 | +1.0pp $249 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $24,750
- Closing costs
- $2,970
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Listing history 22 events
-
2026-06-21days on market $99,000 Active 136 DOM
-
2026-06-18days on market $99,000 Active 134 DOM
-
2026-06-17days on market $99,000 Active 133 DOM
-
2026-06-16days on market $99,000 Active 132 DOM
-
2026-06-15days on market $99,000 Active 131 DOM
-
2026-06-13days on market $99,000 Active 129 DOM
-
2026-06-12days on market $99,000 Active 128 DOM
-
2026-06-09days on market $99,000 Active 125 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $99,000 Active 124 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $99,000 Active 123 DOM
-
2026-06-07days on market $99,000 Active 122 DOM
-
2026-06-04days on market $99,000 Active 119 DOM
-
2026-06-02days on market $99,000 Active 118 DOM
-
2026-06-01days on market $99,000 Active 117 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $99,000 Active 116 DOM
-
2026-02-11historical
-
2026-02-04$99,000 Active
-
2026-02-04$99,000 Active
-
2025-11-12historical
-
2025-08-14price $99,000
-
2025-07-28price $150,000
-
2025-05-19$170,000 Active
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast OK · Resets to sale price
- Current annual tax
- $1,046 · $87/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $1,046 · $87/mo
- Expected delta
- $0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 7/10 Severe
- Heat 7/10 Severe 7 d/yr ≥111°F today · 20 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 3/10 Moderate 6% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 2/10 Low 1 unhealthy d/yr today · 2 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $14,403
- − Mortgage interest
- −$5,546
- − Property taxes
- −$1,046
- − Insurance
- −$495
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,152
- − Management
- −$1,152
- − Depreciation
- −$2,880
- Taxable income
- $2,132
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$512
- After-tax cash flow
- $3,096/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Okmulgee
- NCES district ID
- 4022800
- Math proficiency
- 3% ▼ -5.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 7% ▼ -8.00%
- Median HH income
- $31,078
- Composite
- 3.66/100
- National rank
- #10069
- State rank
- #264 of 270 in OK
Livability — Okmulgee
- Score
- 61/100
- State rank
- #300
- US rank
- #17773
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Okmulgee, OK
- Population (ZIP)
- 15,500
Population outlook (Okmulgee County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 37,543 people
- By 2030
- 36,528 · -2.7%
- By 2040
- 34,430 · -8.3%
- By 2050
- 32,498 · -13.4%
- By 2075
- 28,814 · -23.3%
- By 2100
- 25,193 · -32.9%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.69)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 54% Native American 15% Two or more races 15% Black 13% Hispanic / Latino 4%
- Common ancestry
- Slovak 2% Italian 1% Romanian 1%
- Foreign-born
- 1%
- Languages at home
- 97% English-only · Spanish 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Okmulgee
- 2024 margin
- Solid R (+42.7) · D 27.7% · R 70.4% · Other 1.9%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -25.7pp toward R · 2008: -17.0pp · 2024: -42.7pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+42.7 2020: R+37.1 2016: R+32.7 2012: R+17.5 2008: R+17.0
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -9.69%
- Current HPI
- 257.2856
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- —
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 1.55%
- F500 in state
- 6
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in OK)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Energy | 3 | $48B |
|
||
Price history
-41.8% since first listed7 events — show timeline
- 2026-02-11 Listing Removed — MLS Technology, Inc.
- 2026-02-04 Listed $99,000 MLS Technology, Inc.
- 2026-02-04 Listed $99,000 MLS Technology, Inc.
- 2025-11-12 Listing Removed — MLS Technology, Inc.
- 2025-08-14 Price Changed $99,000 MLS Technology, Inc.
- 2025-07-28 Price Changed $150,000 MLS Technology, Inc.
- 2025-05-19 Listed $170,000 MLS Technology, Inc.
Property tax history
-2.3%/yrLatest (2025): $1,046 · +6.3% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…