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408 E 07 St
B- Composite 68.24
Why this score? — see what drove the B- grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +27.8/30.0
  • ARV discount +15.0/15.0
  • DSCR +9.8/10.0
  • 1% rule +7.1/10.0
  • Livability +3.1/5.0
  • Rent growth +2.5/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Schools +0.4/10.0
  • Appreciation +0.2/10.0

$99,000

408 E 07 St · Okmulgee, OK 74447
2 bd · 1.0 ba · 3,792 sqft · SingleFamily public records · 136 Days on market
Built 1930 6,580 sqft lot Est $174k · 43% under ↓ 42% since listing

🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks

Versatile Two-Story Property with Large Work Room – 3,792 Sq. Ft. This 3,792 sq. (per CH) ft. two-story building offers excellent potential for conversion into a multiplex or live/work space. Previously used as a chiropractic clinic with upstairs living quarters, it also includes a spacious detached 40' x 65' work room that once served as a gym. The property is being sold as-is due to recent vandalism, making it a great opportunity for investors or those looking for a renovation project.

Key facts

  • Two-story property
  • Large work room
  • Detached work room

Tags

TWO-STORY PROPERTYLARGE WORK ROOMDETACHED WORK ROOMUPSTAIRS LIVING QUARTERSPREVIOUSLY USED AS GYM

Property features AI

Exterior

  • Parking: Rear-facing garage; 2-car garage
  • Security: No safety shelter
  • Utilities: Public water; Public sewer; Electricity available; Phone available
  • Home design: Two stories; Faces north; Basement (partial, unfinished) and slab foundation
  • Construction: Wood siding with wood frame construction; Asphalt/fiberglass roof
  • Exterior features: Covered porch; Deck; Porch; Partial fencing; Workshop; Mature trees on site

Interior

  • Kitchen: Country-style kitchen; Range / Stove
  • Bedrooms: Multiple bedrooms including first- and second-floor bedrooms; Two master bedrooms with private baths and walk-in closets; Bedrooms with Pullman baths
  • Flooring: Tile; Vinyl
  • Bathrooms: Three full bathrooms; One half bathroom; Hall bath and half bath on the first floor; Master baths with ventilation
  • Heating & cooling: Gas log fireplace (1); Gas range connection
  • Interior features: Laminate counters; Gas range connection; Aluminum and wood window frames; Tile and vinyl flooring
  • Laundry & utility: Electric dryer hookup; Inside utility room

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 2-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $99k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $301 ($4k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $99k).
  • Recommended offer: $87k (12.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
  • Cap rate 9.9% vs local median 7.6% in Okmulgee — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 61/100 on livability (#300 in OK) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+, health & safety A+; Watch: schools F, crime F, amenities F.
  • Okmulgee (town): math 3% / reading 7% proficiency, ranked #264 of 270 in OK (top 98%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 73% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
  • Market conditions: 147 active listings in the ZIP; 12 units permitted in Okmulgee County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $684 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $3k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • Okmulgee County population projected at -13% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
  • At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $28k cash investment doubles in ~9 years — after that, you're playing with house money.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 136 days — a 12% lower offer ($87k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
  • 3 sale attempts with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Watch-outs: built in 1930 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
  • Climate carrying-cost: major wildfire risk; extreme-heat days projected 7→20/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Recommended offer $87,120 (12.0% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. It's been on market 136 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 12% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  2. Built in 1930 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  3. Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
  4. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  5. Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
  6. Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
  7. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  8. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  9. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
1.21%
Cap rate
9.94%
Cash-on-cash
13.01%
DSCR
1.58
GRM
6.9

CMA / ARV

ARV (on-the-fly)
$174,432
Comps found
1
Show comp detail 1 sale within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
820 N Grand Ave 0.64mi 3/1.5 (+1) 3,781 (-0%) 7mo $175,000 $46 57

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
2.9%
Equity multiple
1.11×
Total profit
$3,099
Equity at exit
$14,761
10-year hold
IRR
12.5%
Equity multiple
1.99×
Total profit
$27,333
Equity at exit
$8,560

Cash invested: $27,720 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
83 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
State Oklahoma
83 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+20
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
5-day notice; strongly landlord-favorable.

ZIP-level market 74447

Home prices YoY
-3.6%
Active inventory
147
Price-to-rent
6.9×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$1,200 medium interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$519
Tax from tax record
$87 /mo · $1,046/yr
Insurance
$41
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$252
Net cashflow
$301

Break-even live

Break-even rent $820
Max offer price $99,000
Occupancy floor 70%

Sensitivity live

Price -10% $357 -5% $329 +0% $301 +5% $273 +10% $245
Rent -10% $206 -5% $253 +0% $301 +5% $348 +10% $395
Rate -1.0pp $350 -0.5pp $326 base $301 +0.5pp $275 +1.0pp $249

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$24,750
Closing costs
$2,970
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Listing history 22 events

  1. 2026-06-21
    days on market $99,000 Active 136 DOM
  2. 2026-06-18
    days on market $99,000 Active 134 DOM
  3. 2026-06-17
    days on market $99,000 Active 133 DOM
  4. 2026-06-16
    days on market $99,000 Active 132 DOM
  5. 2026-06-15
    days on market $99,000 Active 131 DOM
  6. 2026-06-13
    days on market $99,000 Active 129 DOM
  7. 2026-06-12
    days on market $99,000 Active 128 DOM
  8. 2026-06-09
    days on market $99,000 Active 125 DOM
  9. 2026-06-08
    days on market $99,000 Active 124 DOM
  10. 2026-06-08
    days on market $99,000 Active 123 DOM
  11. 2026-06-07
    days on market $99,000 Active 122 DOM
  12. 2026-06-04
    days on market $99,000 Active 119 DOM
  13. 2026-06-02
    days on market $99,000 Active 118 DOM
  14. 2026-06-01
    days on market $99,000 Active 117 DOM
  15. 2026-05-31
    days on market $99,000 Active 116 DOM
  16. 2026-02-11
    historical
  17. 2026-02-04
    listed $99,000 Active
  18. 2026-02-04
    listed $99,000 Active
  19. 2025-11-12
    historical
  20. 2025-08-14
    price $99,000
  21. 2025-07-28
    price $150,000
  22. 2025-05-19
    listed $170,000 Active

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast OK · Resets to sale price

Current annual tax
$1,046 · $87/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$1,046 · $87/mo
Expected delta
$0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 7/10 Severe
  • 🌡 Heat 7/10 Severe 7 d/yr ≥111°F today · 20 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 3/10 Moderate 6% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
  • 🫁 Air quality 2/10 Low 1 unhealthy d/yr today · 2 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

Loading nearby amenities…

Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$14,403
− Mortgage interest
−$5,546
− Property taxes
−$1,046
− Insurance
−$495
− Repairs & maintenance
−$1,152
− Management
−$1,152
− Depreciation
−$2,880
Taxable income
$2,132
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
−$512
After-tax cash flow
$3,096/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Okmulgee
NCES district ID
4022800
Math proficiency
3% ▼ -5.00%
Reading proficiency
7% ▼ -8.00%
Median HH income
$31,078
Composite
3.66/100
National rank
#10069
State rank
#264 of 270 in OK

Livability — Okmulgee

Score
61/100
State rank
#300
US rank
#17773

Category grades

Amenities F Commute F Cost of living A+ Crime F Employment F Housing A+ Health & safety A+ User ratings F

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Okmulgee, OK
Population (ZIP)
15,500

Population outlook (Okmulgee County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
37,543 people
By 2030
36,528 · -2.7%
By 2040
34,430 · -8.3%
By 2050
32,498 · -13.4%
By 2075
28,814 · -23.3%
By 2100
25,193 · -32.9%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.69)
Race & ethnicity
White 54% Native American 15% Two or more races 15% Black 13% Hispanic / Latino 4%
Common ancestry
Slovak 2% Italian 1% Romanian 1%
Foreign-born
1%
Languages at home
97% English-only · Spanish 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Okmulgee

2024 margin
Solid R (+42.7) · D 27.7% · R 70.4% · Other 1.9%
2008→2024 swing
-25.7pp toward R · 2008: -17.0pp · 2024: -42.7pp
All cycles
2024: R+42.7 2020: R+37.1 2016: R+32.7 2012: R+17.5 2008: R+17.0

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -9.69%
Current HPI
257.2856
Rent YoY
Metro
State GDP YoY
▲ 1.55%
F500 in state
6

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in OK)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

-41.8% since first listed
7 events — show timeline
  • 2026-02-11 Listing Removed MLS Technology, Inc.
  • 2026-02-04 Listed $99,000 MLS Technology, Inc.
  • 2026-02-04 Listed $99,000 MLS Technology, Inc.
  • 2025-11-12 Listing Removed MLS Technology, Inc.
  • 2025-08-14 Price Changed $99,000 MLS Technology, Inc.
  • 2025-07-28 Price Changed $150,000 MLS Technology, Inc.
  • 2025-05-19 Listed $170,000 MLS Technology, Inc.

Property tax history

-2.3%/yr

Latest (2025): $1,046 · +6.3% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

Loading sold comps…