1272 Dry Bridge Rd · Chatham, VA
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 5/10 · Moderate
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $666 – $1,236
Heat risk 5/10 · Moderate
- Hot days now (above 101°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 18 days/yr
Wind risk 3/10 · Minor
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 5.0%
Air-quality risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 1 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 1 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the B grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +27.6/30.0
- ARV discount +15.0/15.0
- DSCR +9.7/10.0
- 1% rule +6.7/10.0
- Schools +6.0/10.0
- Livability +3.4/5.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$120,000
🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks
Investment Opportunity just outside Chatham, VA! Must see this charming two-story home sits on 1 acre along a quiet street and offers tons of potential. Featuring a spacious layout, tall ceilings, generously sized rooms, and beautiful fireplaces in five rooms, this property is full of character and ready for new vision. With a little imagination and updates, this could become a dream home, rental, or investment property. A great opportunity for buyers looking for space, charm, and potential in a peaceful setting.
Key facts
- 1 acre lot
- Listed 35 days
Property features AI
Exterior
- Utilities: Well (private) water source; Public sewer
- Home design: Residential property; 2-story
- Construction: Wood siding; Metal roof
- Exterior features: Porch; Outbuilding
Interior
- Bedrooms: One main-level bedroom
- Flooring: Hardwood floors; Laminate floors; Carpet
- Bathrooms: One full bathroom (main level)
- Heating & cooling: Natural gas heating; Window unit cooling
- Interior features: Entrance foyer; Wood-burning fireplaces (3 total); 9 total rooms
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 3-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $120k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $357 ($4k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $120k).
- Recommended offer: $116k (3.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
- Cap rate 9.9% vs local median 5.6% in Chatham — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 68/100 on livability (#268 in VA) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: crime A+, cost of living A+, housing A-; Watch: health & safety C-, amenities F, commute F.
- Pittsylvania County Public School District (rural): math 65% / reading 78% proficiency, ranked #22 of 131 in VA (top 17%) — strong family-tenant draw, lease renewals of 3-5y typical.
- Zoned schools: Chatham Elementary (math 67% / reading 72%, grade A-, #313 of 1,108 statewide, top 32%, 234 students, 80% FRL); Chatham Middle (math 52% / reading 77%, grade A-, #123 of 342 statewide, top 37%, 426 students, 81% FRL); Chatham High (math 77% / reading 87%, grade A, #40 of 319 statewide, top 15%, 659 students, 79% FRL) — zoned schools average 80% FRL vs 47% district-wide (33 pts higher); higher-poverty schools than district average — tighter screening recommended.
- Market conditions: 39 active listings in the ZIP; 72 units permitted in Pittsylvania County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $830 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $4k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Pittsylvania County population projected at -22% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
- At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $34k cash investment doubles in ~9 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 36 days — a 3% lower offer ($116k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Risks & watch-outs
- Climate carrying-cost: moderate wildfire risk; extreme-heat days projected 7→18/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 36 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 3% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are A-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.17% ✓
- Cap rate
- 9.86%
- Cash-on-cash
- 12.74%
- DSCR
- 1.57
- GRM
- 7.1
CMA / ARV
- ARV (median comp)
- $173,775
- List price
- $120,000
- Delta
- -30.95%
- Verdict
- UNDERPRICED
- Comps
- 11 within 2.0 mi
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 2.5%
- Equity multiple
- 1.10×
- Total profit
- $3,241
- Equity at exit
- $17,892
- IRR
- 12.1%
- Equity multiple
- 1.95×
- Total profit
- $31,957
- Equity at exit
- $10,375
Cash invested: $33,600 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 55 Moderately Landlord-Leaning
- State Virginia
- 55 Moderately Landlord-Leaning · D+2
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 24531
- Home prices YoY
- -20.7%
- Active inventory
- 39
- Price-to-rent
- 7.1×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,399 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$629
- Tax from tax record
- −$70 /mo · $834/yr
- Insurance
- −$50
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$294
- Net cashflow
- $357
Break-even live
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $30,000
- Closing costs
- $3,600
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Listing history 17 events
-
2026-06-19days on market $120,000 Active 36 DOM
-
2026-06-18days on market $120,000 Active 35 DOM
-
2026-06-17days on market $120,000 Active 34 DOM
-
2026-06-16days on market $120,000 Active 33 DOM
-
2026-06-15days on market $120,000 Active 32 DOM
-
2026-06-14days on market $120,000 Active 30 DOM
-
2026-06-13days on market $120,000 Active 29 DOM
-
2026-06-10days on market $120,000 Active 27 DOM
-
2026-06-09days on market $120,000 Active 26 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $120,000 Active 25 DOM
-
2026-06-07days on market $120,000 Active 24 DOM
-
2026-06-03days on market $120,000 Active 20 DOM
-
2026-06-02days on market $120,000 Active 19 DOM
-
2026-06-01days on market $120,000 Active 18 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $120,000 Active 17 DOM
-
2026-05-30days on market $120,000 Active 16 DOM
-
2026-05-15$120,000 Active 518-char remark
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast VA · Resets to sale price
- Current annual tax
- $834 · $70/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $984 · $82/mo
- Expected delta
- +$150/yr (+$13/mo · 18.0%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 5/10 Major
- Heat 5/10 Major 7 d/yr ≥101°F today · 18 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 3/10 Moderate 5% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 2/10 Low 1 unhealthy d/yr today · 1 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $16,791
- − Mortgage interest
- −$6,722
- − Property taxes
- −$834
- − Insurance
- −$600
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,343
- − Management
- −$1,343
- − Depreciation
- −$3,491
- Taxable income
- $2,458
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$590
- After-tax cash flow
- $3,690/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Pittsylvania County Public School District
- NCES district ID
- 5102940
- Math proficiency
- 65% ▼ -22.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 78% ▼ -4.00%
- Median HH income
- $41,672
- Composite
- 59.77/100
- National rank
- #900
- State rank
- #22 of 131 in VA
Livability — Chatham
- Score
- 68/100
- State rank
- #268
- US rank
- #9452
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Population (ZIP)
- 9,107
Population outlook (Pittsylvania County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 58,725 people
- By 2030
- 56,388 · -4.0%
- By 2040
- 51,088 · -13.0%
- By 2050
- 45,875 · -21.9%
- By 2075
- 36,555 · -37.8%
- By 2100
- 28,288 · -51.8%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (72%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 72% Black 22% Hispanic / Latino 3% Two or more races 3%
- Common ancestry
- Serbian 2% Slovak 2% Scotch-Irish 1%
- Foreign-born
- 2% · Canada
- Languages at home
- 98% English-only · Spanish 2%
Political lean MEDSL · Pittsylvania
- 2024 margin
- Solid R (+43.1) · D 28.1% · R 71.3%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -19.1pp toward R · 2008: -24.0pp · 2024: -43.1pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+43.1 2020: R+39.8 2016: R+39.6 2012: R+27.5 2008: R+24.0
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -44.86%
- Current HPI
- 172.2543
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- —
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 2.40%
- F500 in state
- 50
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in VA)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Aerospace / Defense | 4 | $236B |
|
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| Technology / Defense | 3 | $32B |
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| Financial Services | 2 | $176B |
|
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| Utilities | 2 | $27B |
|
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| Insurance | 2 | $25B |
|
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| Technology | 2 | $15B |
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Price history
1 event — show timeline
- 2026-05-15 Listed $120,000 DRRAR
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…