737 9th St · Port Arthur, TX 77640

$49,000

3 bd · 1.0 ba · 1,008 sqft · SingleFamily public records · 1 Days on market

Built 1962 6,970 sqft lot

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Why this score? — see what drove the B- grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

• Cash flow +30.0/30.0
• 1% rule +10.0/10.0
• DSCR +10.0/10.0
• ARV discount +7.5/15.0
• Livability +3.1/5.0
• Rent growth +2.5/5.0
• Condition / age +2.5/5.0
• Schools +1.5/10.0
• Appreciation +0.0/10.0

Listing remarks

Looking for a rental investment or your first starter home? This affordable property offers plenty of potential and opportunity! Featuring 3 bedrooms, 1 full bathroom, and a flexible layout, this home could be the perfect addition to your investment portfolio or a great place to call home. The covered front porch welcomes you into the living room, which flows into a spacious dining area. The kitchen features cabinet storage with pantry. Primary bedroom is large (13.5x13.1) with closet. 2nd bedroom (13.6x8.5) with closet. Down the hall is a full bathroom, 3rd bedroom (8.5x9.5) and office or flex space (9.2x5.4). There is also a large inside utility closet. Step outside to enjoy the fenced ba

Key facts

• Covered front porch
• Pantry
• Cabinet storage

Tags

• COVERED FRONT PORCH
• FENCED BACKYARD
• FLEXIBLE LAYOUT
• CABINET STORAGE
• PANTRY
• LARGE INSIDE UTILITY CLOSET

Property features AI

Exterior

• Utilities: Public water; Public sewer
• Home design: Single family residence (Residential property)
• Construction: Composition roof
• Exterior features: Chain link fencing

Interior

• Bathrooms: 1 full bathroom
• Interior features: Pantry

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

• This is a 3-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $49k.

Deal economics

• At list price, monthly cash flow is $444 ($5k/yr) — positive.
• The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
• Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $49k).
• Cap rate 18.8% vs local median 5.0% in Port Arthur — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

• Location reads 61/100 on livability (#1,014 in TX) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: schools D-, crime F, amenities F.
• Port Arthur ISD (urban): math 15% / reading 22% proficiency, ranked #796 of 826 in TX (top 96%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 80% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
• Market conditions: 148 active listings in the ZIP; 4 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals lingering (median 45d on market — plan ~5-8 weeks vacancy on turnover, expect pricing pressure); 50% of comp listings sitting > 30 days — soft ceiling on asking rent; 343 units permitted in Jefferson County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

• Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $339 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $1k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
• At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $14k cash investment doubles in ~4 years — after that, you're playing with house money.

Negotiation context

• Only 1 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.

Risks & watch-outs

• Watch-outs: property tax is 3.4% of price; flood insurance adds $66/mo.
• Climate carrying-cost: severe flood risk; severe wind risk, 99% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→23/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.

Recommended offer $49,000

Questions for the listing agent

1. Built in 1962 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
2. Property tax is high relative to price — has the assessment been appealed recently, and will the sale trigger a re-assessment?
3. What's the actual annual flood-insurance premium (NFIP or private), and is the property in a SFHA with mandatory coverage?
4. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
5. Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
6. Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
7. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
8. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
9. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

• 1% rule: 2.40% ✓
• Cap rate: 18.80%
• Cash-on-cash: 44.66%
• DSCR: 2.99
• GRM: 3.5

CMA / ARV

• ARV (on-the-fly): $100,800
• Comps found: 2

Show comp detail 2 sales within ~0.75 mi

Address	Dist	Beds/Ba	Sqft	Sold	Price	$/sf	Match
333 13th St	0.45mi	2/1.0 (-1)	1,056 (+5%)	2mo	$40,000	$38	64
1040 E 18th St	0.70mi	2/1.0 (-1)	900 (-11%)	5mo	$90,000	$100	40

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold

• IRR: 35.1%
• Equity multiple: 2.49×
• Total profit: $20,455
• Equity at exit: $7,306

10-year hold

• IRR: 42.0%
• Equity multiple: 4.98×
• Total profit: $54,674
• Equity at exit: $4,237

Cash invested: $13,720 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

• Overall (STATE): 87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
• State Texas: 87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+5
• County: — inherits STATE
• City: — inherits STATE

3-day notice; statewide preemption; one of the fastest eviction climates; Travis County (Austin) slightly slower.

Methodology + full state rankings →

ZIP-level market 77640

• Home prices YoY: -22.2%
• Active inventory: 148
• Price-to-rent: 3.5×

Monthly cashflow live

• Estimated rent: $1,176 medium
• Mortgage (P&I): −$257
• Tax from tax record: −$141 /mo · $1,690/yr
• Insurance: −$20
• Flood insurance flood zone: −$66 /mo · $798/yr
• HOA: −$0
• Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt: −$247
• Net cashflow: $444

Break-even live

Break-even rent $614

Max offer price $49,000

Occupancy floor 57%

Sensitivity live

Price	-10% $472	-5% $458	+0% $444	+5% $430	+10% $416
Rent	-10% $351	-5% $398	+0% $444	+5% $491	+10% $537
Rate	-1.0pp $469	-0.5pp $457	base $444	+0.5pp $431	+1.0pp $419

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

• Down payment: $12,250
• Closing costs: $1,470
• Reserves months: —
• Total cash needed: —

Rent comps 4 comps

Address	Beds	Baths	Sqft	Rent	$/sqft	DOM	Units	Dist
311 12th St Port Arthur, TX	2.0	1.0	894	$1,200	$1.34	14d	1	0.39mi
1409 10th St Port Arthur, TX	2.0	1.0	1000	$925	$0.93	44d	1	0.47mi
1409 10th St Unit A Port Arthur, TX	3.0	1.0	1278	$1,275	$1.00	22d	1	0.47mi
1300 18th St Port Arthur, TX	3.0	1.0	1400	$1,495	$1.07	44d	1	0.76mi

Listing history 2 events

1. 2026-06-18
   remarks 699-char remark
2. 2026-06-18
   listed $49,000 Active 1 DOM

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast TX · Resets to sale price

• Current annual tax: $1,690 · $141/mo
• Projected year-2 tax: $1,690 · $141/mo
• Expected delta: $0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

• 🌊 Flood 8/10 Severe FEMA zone X (shaded) · 77% chance over 30 yrs
• 🔥 Wildfire 1/10 Low
• 🌡 Heat 9/10 Extreme 7 d/yr ≥109°F today · 23 d/yr by 30 yrs out
• 💨 Wind 9/10 Extreme 99% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
• 🫁 Air quality 2/10 Low 1 unhealthy d/yr today · 1 by 30 yrs out

Taxation est. · year 1

• Rental income: $14,109
• − Mortgage interest: −$2,745
• − Property taxes: −$1,690
• − Insurance: −$1,042
• − Repairs & maintenance: −$1,129
• − Management: −$1,129
• − Depreciation: −$1,425
• Taxable income: $4,948
• Est. tax owed @ 24.0%: −$1,188
• After-tax cash flow: $4,142/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

• District: Port Arthur ISD
• NCES district ID: 4835400
• Math proficiency: 15% ▼ -22.00%
• Reading proficiency: 22% ▼ -10.00%
• Median HH income: $31,795
• Composite: 14.9/100
• National rank: #9373
• State rank: #796 of 826 in TX

Livability — Port Arthur

• Score: 61/100
• State rank: #1014
• US rank: #18061

Category grades

Amenities F Commute F Cost of living A+ Crime F Employment F Housing A+ Health & safety F User ratings B+

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

• Census place: Port Arthur, TX
• City population: 38,358
• Population (ZIP): 17,480

Population outlook (Jefferson County) Hauer SSP2

• Today (2025): 259,015 people
• By 2030: 260,685 · +0.6%
• By 2040: 263,309 · +1.7%
• By 2050: 265,237 · +2.4%
• By 2075: 270,193 · +4.3%
• By 2100: 255,628 · -1.3%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

• Neighborhood character: Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.62)
• Race & ethnicity: Black 54% White 22% Hispanic / Latino 21% Two or more races 8% Asian 2%
• Hispanic origin (detail): Mexican 16% Dominican 1%
• Common ancestry: Lithuanian 3%
• Foreign-born: 11% · Canada
• Languages at home: 79% English-only · Spanish 17% Other Indo-European 2% German/W. Germanic 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Jefferson

• 2024 margin: Lean R (+8.9) · D 45.1% · R 54.0%
• 2008→2024 swing: -11.1pp toward R · 2008: 2.2pp · 2024: -8.9pp
• All cycles: 2024: R+8.9 2020: R+1.6 2016: R+0.5 2012: D+1.6 2008: D+2.2

Not yet ingested

• Civics: —

Market trends

• HPI YoY: ▼ -47.78%
• Current HPI: 167.6359
• Rent YoY: —
• Metro: —
• State GDP YoY: ▲ 3.95%
• F500 in state: 110

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in TX)

Industry	F500 HQs	Revenue
▸Energy	16	$1,198B
▸Technology	5	$198B
▸Engineering / Construction	4	$72B
▸Energy Services	3	$60B
▸Utilities	3	$41B
▸Healthcare	2	$330B

Price history

4 events — show timeline

• 2026-06-14 Listed $49,000 BBOR
• 2012-02-24 Sold (Public Records) — Public Records
• 2012-02-21 Sold (Public Records) — Public Records
• 2006-06-27 Sold (Public Records) — Public Records

Property tax history

+10.2%/yr

Latest (2025): $1,690 · -2.2% YoY. Source: county tax records.