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1511 S Cameron Ter
B- Composite 68.86
Why this score? — see what drove the B- grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +26.8/30.0
  • ARV discount +15.0/15.0
  • DSCR +9.2/10.0
  • 1% rule +6.8/10.0
  • Livability +4.2/5.0
  • Rent growth +3.6/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Schools +0.8/10.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$154,900

1511 S Cameron Ter · Harrisburg, PA 17104
5 bd · 1.0 ba · 1,952 sqft · SingleFamily public records · 7 Days on market
Built 1912 1,742 sqft lot $79/sqft · 29% below area Est $192k · 19% under

🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks MLS

HUD Owned. Case#441-330635. All bids & property availability go to the web www. goldenfeather.com. Sold as is. Noncash buyer must have written preapproval. Buyer pays 2% transfer tax. Uninsured cash/conv. Caution utilities are off buyer is responsible to activate to do inspections. Built before 1978 possible LBP. On web 9/19/03.

Key facts

  • Flexible space
  • Modernized kitchen
  • Easy access to i-83

Tags

UPDATED FLOORINGMODERNIZED KITCHENSTAINLESS STEEL APPLIANCESBRIGHT AND OPEN LAYOUTFLEXIBLE SPACEEASY ACCESS TO I-83

Property features AI

Exterior

  • Parking: On-street parking
  • Utilities: Public water; Public sewer; Natural gas service
  • Home design: Detached property; Above-grade finished living space
  • Construction: Brick construction; Slab foundation; Built (year per assessor)
  • Exterior features: Patio(s); Level entry to main floor

Interior

  • Kitchen: Upgraded countertops
  • Bedrooms: Three bedrooms on the first upper level; Two bedrooms on the second upper level
  • Flooring: Carpet
  • Bathrooms: One full bathroom
  • Heating & cooling: Forced air heating; Natural gas heating and hot water
  • Interior features: Attic; Tub with shower; Separate formal dining room; Dining area; Traditional floor plan; Upgraded countertops
  • Laundry & utility: Laundry on main floor; Utility room

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 5-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $155k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $423 ($5k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $155k).
  • Cap rate 9.6% vs local median 6.7% in Harrisburg — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 84/100 on livability (#107 in PA, #826 nationally) — a professional / high-income tenant draw. Strengths: amenities A+, commute A+, cost of living A+; Watch: employment D, crime F.
  • Harrisburg City SD (urban): math 6% / reading 13% proficiency, ranked #535 of 539 in PA (top 99%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 82% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
  • Zoned schools: Harrisburg Hs (math 24% / reading 10%, grade F, #399 of 437 statewide, top 92%, 1,230 students, 100% FRL) — zoned schools average 100% FRL vs 82% district-wide (18 pts higher); higher-poverty schools than district average — tighter screening recommended.
  • Market conditions: Rents rising fast (+4.4%/yr); 67 active listings in the ZIP; 2 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; 540 units permitted in Dauphin County in 2024 (194 in 5+ unit buildings).
  • At $1,831/mo this rent would consume 47% of the median local household income ($47k/yr) (locally 1166% of renters already pay >50% of income on rent) — very limited rent-growth headroom before tenants either downsize or default.

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $1k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $5k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 4.4% rent growth), your $43k cash investment doubles in ~9 years — after that, you're playing with house money.

Negotiation context

  • Only 7 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.
  • 2 sale attempts since 23y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
  • Current owner paid $21k; list at $155k implies a 625% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Watch-outs: built in 1912 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
  • Climate carrying-cost: major flood risk; extreme-heat days projected 7→15/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Recommended offer $154,900

Questions for the listing agent

  1. Built in 1912 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  2. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  3. Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
  4. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  5. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  6. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
1.18%
Cap rate
9.57%
Cash-on-cash
11.69%
DSCR
1.52
GRM
7.1

CMA / ARV

ARV (median comp)
$191,791
List price
$154,900
Delta
-19.23%
Verdict
UNDERPRICED
Comps
20 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 5 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
1400 S 13th St 0.20mi 5/2.0 2,113 (+8%) 16mo $185,000 $88 59
1509 Sycamore St 0.55mi 4/1.5 (-1) 1,895 (-3%) 10mo $208,000 $110 54
549 N 2nd St 0.70mi 4/1.5 (-1) 2,064 (+6%) 1mo $120,000 $58 50
643 N Front St 0.63mi 5/1.5 2,021 (+4%) 22mo $123,700 $61 44
546 N 2nd St 0.70mi 5/2.0 2,220 (+14%) 23mo $137,000 $62 21

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 4.43% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
2.6%
Equity multiple
1.10×
Total profit
$4,484
Equity at exit
$23,096
10-year hold
IRR
13.5%
Equity multiple
2.15×
Total profit
$49,844
Equity at exit
$13,393

Cash invested: $43,372 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
62 Landlord-Friendly
State Pennsylvania
62 Landlord-Friendly · EVEN
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
10-day notice; Philadelphia has eviction-court diversion + some protections; otherwise moderate.

ZIP-level market 17104

Home prices YoY
-6.3%
Rents YoY
4.4%
Active inventory
67
Price-to-rent
7.1×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$1,831 medium interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$812
Tax from tax record
$147 /mo · $1,763/yr
Insurance
$65
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$384
Net cashflow
$423

Break-even live

Break-even rent $1,296
Max offer price $154,900
Occupancy floor 72%

Sensitivity live

Price -10% $510 -5% $466 +0% $423 +5% $379 +10% $335
Rent -10% $278 -5% $350 +0% $423 +5% $495 +10% $567
Rate -1.0pp $501 -0.5pp $462 base $423 +0.5pp $382 +1.0pp $342

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$38,725
Closing costs
$4,647
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 2 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
1414 Berryhill St Harrisburg, PA 5.0 2.0 1786 $1,700 $0.95 24d 1 1.13mi
1610 Hunter St Harrisburg, PA 4.0 1.0 1776 $1,450 $0.82 24d 1 1.19mi

Listing history 6 events

  1. 2026-05-14
    listed $154,900 Active 685-char remark
  2. 2004-03-30
    soldstatus $21,375
  3. 2004-03-15
    soldstatus $21,375 336-char remark
    Show marketing remark (336 chars)

    HUD Owned. Case#441-330635. All bids & property availability go to the web www. goldenfeather.com. Sold as is. Noncash buyer must have written preapproval. Buyer pays 2% transfer tax. Uninsured cash/conv. Caution utilities are off buyer is responsible to activate to do inspections. Built before 1978 possible LBP. On web 9/19/03.

  4. 2003-09-19
    listed $22,500 336-char remark
    Show marketing remark (336 chars)

    HUD Owned. Case#441-330635. All bids & property availability go to the web www. goldenfeather.com. Sold as is. Noncash buyer must have written preapproval. Buyer pays 2% transfer tax. Uninsured cash/conv. Caution utilities are off buyer is responsible to activate to do inspections. Built before 1978 possible LBP. On web 9/19/03.

  5. 2003-09-19
    historical 336-char remark
    Show marketing remark (336 chars)

    HUD Owned. Case#441-330635. All bids & property availability go to the web www. goldenfeather.com. Sold as is. Noncash buyer must have written preapproval. Buyer pays 2% transfer tax. Uninsured cash/conv. Caution utilities are off buyer is responsible to activate to do inspections. Built before 1978 possible LBP. On web 9/19/03.

  6. 1985-12-09
    soldstatus $32,900

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast PA · Partial reset (capped growth)

Current annual tax
$1,763 · $147/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$2,105 · $175/mo
Expected delta
+$342/yr (+$29/mo · 19.4%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 6/10 Major FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 67% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 1/10 Low
  • 🌡 Heat 5/10 Major 7 d/yr ≥100°F today · 15 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 3/10 Moderate 5% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
  • 🫁 Air quality 3/10 Moderate 2 unhealthy d/yr today · 4 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$21,970
− Mortgage interest
−$8,677
− Property taxes
−$1,763
− Insurance
−$774
− Repairs & maintenance
−$1,758
− Management
−$1,758
− Depreciation
−$4,506
Taxable income
$2,734
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
−$656
After-tax cash flow
$4,415/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Harrisburg City SD
NCES district ID
4211580
Math proficiency
6% ▼ -6.00%
Reading proficiency
13% ▼ -10.00%
Median HH income
$33,432
Composite
7.6/100
National rank
#9945
State rank
#535 of 539 in PA

Livability — Harrisburg

Score
84/100
State rank
#107
US rank
#826

Category grades

Amenities A+ Commute A+ Cost of living A+ Crime F Employment D Housing A+ Health & safety A+ User ratings B-

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Harrisburg, PA
County
Dauphin County · 247,857 people
City population
184,296
Metro
Harrisburg-Carlisle, PA
Population (ZIP)
18,541
Household income
$46,510
Rent vs Own
54.4% rent · 45.6% own
Severe rent burden
1166.0

Population outlook (Dauphin County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
281,628 people
By 2030
283,549 · +0.7%
By 2040
285,385 · +1.3%
By 2050
286,188 · +1.6%
By 2075
291,053 · +3.3%
By 2100
282,374 · +0.3%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.69)
Race & ethnicity
Black 44% Hispanic / Latino 29% White 19% Two or more races 12% Asian 3% Native American 1%
Hispanic origin (detail)
Puerto Rican 21% Dominican 6%
Common ancestry
Polish 1% Romanian 1% Slovak 1%
Foreign-born
10% · Canada, China, Vietnam
Languages at home
73% English-only · Spanish 21% Other Indo-European 1% Chinese 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Dauphin

2024 margin
Lean D (+5.9) · D 52.4% · R 46.5% · Other 1.1%
2008→2024 swing
-3.1pp toward R · 2008: 9.1pp · 2024: 5.9pp
All cycles
2024: D+5.9 2020: D+8.5 2016: D+2.8 2012: D+6.0 2008: D+9.1

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -22.83%
Current HPI
340.2808
Rent YoY
▲ 4.43%
Metro
Harrisburg-Carlisle, PA
State GDP YoY
▲ 1.68%
F500 in state
34

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in PA)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

+370.8% since first listed
7 events — show timeline
  • 2026-05-21 Pending BRIGHT MLS
  • 2026-05-14 Listed $154,900 BRIGHT MLS
  • 2004-03-30 Sold (Public Records) $21,375 Public Records
  • 2004-03-15 Sold (MLS) $21,375 BRIGHT MLS
  • 2003-09-19 Listing Removed BRIGHT MLS
  • 2003-09-19 Listed $22,500 BRIGHT MLS
  • 1985-12-09 Sold (Public Records) $32,900 Public Records

Property tax history

+1.0%/yr

Latest (2026): $1,763 · +1.6% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

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