620 Saint Thomas Ave · Albert Lea, MN
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $888 – $1,650
Heat risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Hot days now (above 99°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 16 days/yr
Wind risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- —
Air-quality risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 0 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 0 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the C grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +25.7/30.0
- DSCR +8.5/10.0
- ARV discount +7.5/15.0
- 1% rule +6.1/10.0
- Livability +3.6/5.0
- Schools +3.0/10.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$82,500
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
Well kept two bedroom, one bath home on a corner lot. Nice size kitchen, hardwood floors and main floor laundry. Home also features a nice deck in the backyard.
Key facts
- Fenced yard
- Main floor laundry
- Deck
Tags
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 2-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $82k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $196 ($2k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($918 rent vs $82k).
- Cap rate 9.2% vs local median 4.0% in Albert Lea — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 72/100 on livability (#274 in MN) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+, health & safety A+; Watch: schools C-, employment D+, amenities F.
- Albert Lea Public School District (town): math 30% / reading 40% proficiency, ranked #258 of 301 in MN (top 86%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
- Market conditions: 150 active listings in the ZIP; 6 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals lingering (median 45d on market — plan ~5-8 weeks vacancy on turnover, expect pricing pressure); 100% of comp listings sitting > 30 days — soft ceiling on asking rent; 16 units permitted in Freeborn County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
- This rent is only 16% of the median local income ($69k/yr) — well below the 30% rent-burden line; pricing power to push rent on renewal without tenant pushback.
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $570 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $2k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Freeborn County population projected at -11% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
Negotiation context
- Only 4 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.
- 8 sale attempts since 20y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
- Current owner paid $56k; 47% above their basis — modest negotiation headroom, anchor on the comps not their cost.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: built in 1927 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Questions for the listing agent
- Built in 1927 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.11% ✓
- Cap rate
- 9.15%
- Cash-on-cash
- 10.20%
- DSCR
- 1.45
- GRM
- 7.5
CMA / ARV
No comps found within radius.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- -1.0%
- Equity multiple
- 0.96×
- Total profit
- $-869
- Equity at exit
- $12,301
- IRR
- 8.7%
- Equity multiple
- 1.66×
- Total profit
- $15,306
- Equity at exit
- $7,133
Cash invested: $23,100 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 46 Balanced
- State Minnesota
- 46 Balanced · D+2
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 56007
- Home prices YoY
- -22.3%
- Active inventory
- 150
- Price-to-rent
- 7.5×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $918 high interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$433
- Tax from tax record
- −$62 /mo · $740/yr
- Insurance
- −$34
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$193
- Net cashflow
- $196
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $243 | -5% $220 | +0% $196 | +5% $173 | +10% $150 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $124 | -5% $160 | +0% $196 | +5% $233 | +10% $269 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $238 | -0.5pp $217 | base $196 | +0.5pp $175 | +1.0pp $153 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $20,625
- Closing costs
- $2,475
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 6 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 139 E William St Albert Lea, MN | 2.0 | 1.0 | 894 | $885 | $0.99 | 44d | 1 | 0.84mi |
| 133 W William St Unit 105 Albert Lea, MN | 2.0 | 1.0 | 775 | $865 | $1.12 | 44d | 1 | 0.94mi |
| 821 Jefferson Ave Unit 2 Albert Lea, MN | 1.0 | 1.0 | 650 | $950 | $1.46 | 44d | 1 | 1.27mi |
| 821 Jefferson Ave Unit 3 Albert Lea, MN | 1.0 | 1.0 | 650 | $995 | $1.53 | 44d | 1 | 1.27mi |
| 1307 Saint Joseph Ave Albert Lea, MN | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1101 | $1,050 | $0.95 | 44d | 1 | 1.35mi |
| 220 E 7th St Albert Lea, MN | 1.0 | 1.0 | 600 | $795 | $1.32 | 44d | 1 | 1.42mi |
Listing history 24 events
-
2026-04-26status Pending
-
2026-04-20$82,500 Active
-
2018-12-14soldstatus $56,000 Sold 160-char remark
Show marketing remark (160 chars)
Well kept two bedroom, one bath home on a corner lot. Nice size kitchen, hardwood floors and main floor laundry. Home also features a nice deck in the backyard.
-
2018-12-14soldstatus $56,000
Show marketing remark (160 chars)
Well kept two bedroom, one bath home on a corner lot. Nice size kitchen, hardwood floors and main floor laundry. Home also features a nice deck in the backyard.
-
2018-12-11historical 133-char remark
Show marketing remark (133 chars)
Affordable 2 bedroom with main floor laundry and larger single stall garage, newer windows and furnace with central air conditioning.
-
2018-12-10historical
-
2018-12-10historical
-
2018-12-08historical 160-char remark
Show marketing remark (160 chars)
Well kept two bedroom, one bath home on a corner lot. Nice size kitchen, hardwood floors and main floor laundry. Home also features a nice deck in the backyard.
-
2018-09-07$54,999 160-char remark
Show marketing remark (160 chars)
Well kept two bedroom, one bath home on a corner lot. Nice size kitchen, hardwood floors and main floor laundry. Home also features a nice deck in the backyard.
-
2017-09-20soldstatus $28,500
-
2017-09-20soldstatus $28,500
-
2017-07-18$39,900
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2016-10-14soldstatus $32,000 133-char remark
Show marketing remark (133 chars)
Affordable 2 bedroom with main floor laundry and larger single stall garage, newer windows and furnace with central air conditioning.
-
2016-10-14soldstatus $32,000
Show marketing remark (133 chars)
Affordable 2 bedroom with main floor laundry and larger single stall garage, newer windows and furnace with central air conditioning.
-
2016-05-17$39,900 133-char remark
Show marketing remark (133 chars)
Affordable 2 bedroom with main floor laundry and larger single stall garage, newer windows and furnace with central air conditioning.
-
2013-04-30$35,000
-
2013-04-30$35,000
-
2006-07-20soldstatus $45,000
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2006-07-19soldstatus $45,000
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2006-06-23historical
-
2006-05-23$39,900
-
2006-05-13historical
-
2006-02-13$43,900
-
1997-05-16soldstatus $18,800
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast MN · Partial reset (capped growth)
- Current annual tax
- $740 · $62/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $832 · $69/mo
- Expected delta
- +$92/yr (+$8/mo · 12.4%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 1/10 Low
- Heat 1/10 Low 7 d/yr ≥99°F today · 16 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 2/10 Low
- Air quality 1/10 Low 0 unhealthy d/yr today · 0 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $11,014
- − Mortgage interest
- −$4,621
- − Property taxes
- −$740
- − Insurance
- −$412
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$881
- − Management
- −$881
- − Depreciation
- −$2,400
- Taxable income
- $1,078
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$259
- After-tax cash flow
- $2,098/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Albert Lea Public School District
- NCES district ID
- 2702970
- Math proficiency
- 30% ▼ -14.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 40% ▼ -8.00%
- Median HH income
- $42,776
- Composite
- 29.62/100
- National rank
- #6472
- State rank
- #258 of 301 in MN
Livability — Albert Lea
- Score
- 72/100
- State rank
- #274
- US rank
- #5963
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Albert Lea, MN
- County
- Freeborn County · 21,377 people
- City population
- 21,377
- Metro
- Albert Lea, MN
- Population (ZIP)
- 21,377
- Household income
- $68,846
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 483.0
Population outlook (Freeborn County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 29,680 people
- By 2030
- 29,038 · -2.2%
- By 2040
- 27,650 · -6.8%
- By 2050
- 26,387 · -11.1%
- By 2075
- 25,224 · -15.0%
- By 2100
- 23,842 · -19.7%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (79%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 79% Hispanic / Latino 14% Two or more races 8% Asian 4% Black 2%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 11%
- Common ancestry
- Portuguese 23% Iranian 3% Romanian 2%
- Foreign-born
- 4% · Canada, Philippines
- Languages at home
- 90% English-only · Spanish 7% Other Asian/Pacific 3%
Political lean MEDSL · Freeborn
- 2024 margin
- Strong R (+21.3) · D 38.7% · R 60.0% · Other 1.3%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -38.5pp toward R · 2008: 17.1pp · 2024: -21.3pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+21.3 2020: R+16.0 2016: R+17.4 2012: D+14.2 2008: D+17.1
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -63.40%
- Current HPI
- 220.7963
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- Albert Lea, MN
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 2.41%
- F500 in state
- 34
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in MN)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Healthcare | 2 | $407B |
|
||
| Retail | 2 | $150B |
|
||
| Consumer Goods | 2 | $32B |
|
||
| Industrial Machinery | 2 | $6B |
|
||
| Agriculture | 1 | $40B |
|
||
| Healthcare / Medical Devices | 1 | $32B |
|
||
Price history
+338.8% since first listed24 events — show timeline
- 2026-04-26 Pending — NORTHSTARMLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2026-04-20 Listed $82,500 NORTHSTARMLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2018-12-14 Sold (Public Records) $56,000 Public Records
- 2018-12-14 Sold (MLS) $56,000 NORTHSTARMLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2018-12-11 Listing Removed — NORTHSTARMLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2018-12-10 Listing Removed — NORTHSTARMLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2018-12-10 Listing Removed — NORTHSTARMLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2018-12-08 Listing Removed — NORTHSTARMLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2018-09-07 Listed $54,999 NORTHSTARMLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2017-09-20 Sold (Public Records) $28,500 Public Records
- 2017-09-20 Sold (MLS) $28,500 NORTHSTARMLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2017-07-18 Listed $39,900 NORTHSTARMLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2016-10-14 Sold (Public Records) $32,000 Public Records
- 2016-10-14 Sold (MLS) $32,000 NORTHSTARMLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2016-05-17 Listed $39,900 NORTHSTARMLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2013-04-30 Listed $35,000 NORTHSTARMLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2013-04-30 Listed $35,000 NORTHSTARMLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2006-07-20 Sold (MLS) $45,000 NORTHSTARMLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2006-07-19 Sold (Public Records) $45,000 Public Records
- 2006-06-23 Listing Removed — NORTHSTARMLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2006-05-23 Listed $39,900 NORTHSTARMLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2006-05-13 Listing Removed — NORTHSTARMLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2006-02-13 Listed $43,900 NORTHSTARMLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 1997-05-16 Sold (Public Records) $18,800 Public Records
Property tax history
+8.8%/yrLatest (2025): $740 · +1.6% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…