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2008 Bear Creek Rd
B- Composite 67.32
Why this score? — see what drove the B- grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +30.0/30.0
  • 1% rule +10.0/10.0
  • DSCR +10.0/10.0
  • ARV discount +7.5/15.0
  • Livability +2.7/5.0
  • Rent growth +2.5/5.0
  • Schools +1.8/10.0
  • Condition / age +1.5/5.0
  • Appreciation +1.3/10.0

$64,500

2008 Bear Creek Rd · Salt Rock, WV 25571
3 bd · 1.0 ba · 1,500 sqft · SingleFamily · 73 Days on market
Built 1905 Poor condition 1.50 ac lot ↓ 19% since listing

🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks MLS

Numerous possibilities await! This approximately 1.5 acre property offers incredible potential. It features an older 3 bedroom home with a 2 car attached garage that would be customized to your needs with a full renovation or as a starting point to build your dream home from the ground up. Public water is available. The home is being sold "as is" with no repairs to be made by the seller. Priced to sell and ready for your vision. Don't miss this opportunity!

Key facts

  • 1.5 acre lot
  • 2 garage spots
  • Built 1905

Property features AI

Exterior

  • Parking: Attached 2-car garage
  • Utilities: Public water
  • Home design: Single-family residence; One story
  • Construction: Aluminum siding; Composition shingle roof
  • Exterior features: Porch

Interior

  • Bathrooms: 1 full bathroom
  • Heating & cooling: Forced air heating
  • Interior features: 7 total rooms; No basement

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 3-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $64k. Condition is rated poor.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $364 ($4k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $64k).
  • Recommended offer: $61k (6.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 53/100 on livability (#304 in WV) — a working-class tenant base; expect higher turnover. Strengths: cost of living A+, crime A; Watch: employment D+, amenities F, commute F.
  • Lincoln County Schools (rural): math 17% / reading 28% proficiency, ranked #54 of 55 in WV (top 98%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover.
  • Zoned schools: West Hamlin Elementary (math 12% / reading 17%, grade F, #370 of 377 statewide, top 99%, 435 students, 0% FRL); Guyan Valley Middle (math 9% / reading 28%, grade F, #107 of 109 statewide, top 98%, 235 students, 0% FRL); Lincoln County High School (math 12% / reading 42%, grade F, #79 of 110 statewide, top 78%, 852 students, 0% FRL) — zoned schools average 0% FRL vs 55% district-wide (55 pts lower); this property's tenant base skews higher-income than the district average.
  • Market conditions: 7 active listings in the ZIP; 12 units permitted in Lincoln County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $446 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $2k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • Lincoln County population projected at -23% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
  • At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $18k cash investment doubles in ~6 years — after that, you're playing with house money.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 73 days — a 6% lower offer ($61k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
  • 4 sale attempts with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Watch-outs: flood insurance adds $66/mo; built in 1905 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
  • Climate carrying-cost: severe flood risk; major wildfire risk; extreme-heat days projected 7→20/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Recommended offer $60,630 (6.0% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. It's been on market 73 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 6% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  2. Have any recent inspections been done? Can we get a copy of the seller's disclosures and any deferred-maintenance estimates?
  3. Built in 1905 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  4. What's the actual annual flood-insurance premium (NFIP or private), and is the property in a SFHA with mandatory coverage?
  5. Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
  6. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  7. Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
  8. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  9. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  10. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
1.72%
Cap rate
14.30%
Cash-on-cash
28.59%
DSCR
2.27
GRM
4.8

CMA / ARV

No comps found within radius.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
17.5%
Equity multiple
1.71×
Total profit
$12,781
Equity at exit
$9,617
10-year hold
IRR
26.0%
Equity multiple
3.28×
Total profit
$41,206
Equity at exit
$5,577

Cash invested: $18,060 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
83 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
State West Virginia
83 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+22
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
Landlord-favorable; preempted; minimal protections.

ZIP-level market 25571

Home prices YoY
-6.4%
Active inventory
7
Price-to-rent
4.8×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$1,109 medium interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$338
Tax est. 1.5%
$81 /mo · $968/yr
Insurance
$27
Flood insurance flood zone
−$66 /mo · $798/yr
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$233
Net cashflow
$364

Break-even live

Break-even rent $648
Max offer price $64,500
Occupancy floor 62%

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$16,125
Closing costs
$1,935
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Listing history 21 events

  1. 2026-06-19
    days on market $64,500 Active 73 DOM
  2. 2026-06-18
    days on market $64,500 Active 72 DOM
  3. 2026-06-17
    days on market $64,500 Active 71 DOM
  4. 2026-06-16
    days on market $64,500 Active 70 DOM
  5. 2026-06-15
    days on market $64,500 Active 69 DOM
  6. 2026-06-14
    days on market $64,500 Active 67 DOM
  7. 2026-06-12
    days on market $64,500 Active 66 DOM
  8. 2026-06-09
    days on market $64,500 Active 63 DOM
  9. 2026-06-08
    days on market $64,500 Active 62 DOM
  10. 2026-06-07
    days on market $64,500 Active 61 DOM
  11. 2026-06-02
    days on market $64,500 Active 56 DOM
  12. 2026-06-01
    days on market $64,500 Active 55 DOM
  13. 2026-05-31
    days on market $64,500 Active 54 DOM
  14. 2026-05-30
    days on market $64,500 Active 53 DOM
  15. 2026-04-07
    listed $64,500 Active
  16. 2026-04-02
    listed $64,500 Active 472-char remark
    Show marketing remark (472 chars)

    Numerous possibilities await! This approximately 1.5 acre property offers incredible potential. It features an older 3 bedroom home with a 2 car attached garage that would be customized to your needs with a full renovation or as a starting point to build your dream home from the ground up. Public water is available. The home is being sold "as is" with no repairs to be made by the seller. Priced to sell and ready for your vision. Don't miss this opportunity!

  17. 2025-12-15
    price $69,900
  18. 2025-10-16
    price $72,500
  19. 2025-06-09
    status Active
  20. 2025-05-08
    status Pending
  21. 2025-04-09
    listed $79,900 Active

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 10/10 Extreme FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 99% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 6/10 Major
  • 🌡 Heat 5/10 Major 7 d/yr ≥101°F today · 20 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 2/10 Low 100% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
  • 🫁 Air quality 1/10 Low 0 unhealthy d/yr today · 0 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$13,308
− Mortgage interest
−$3,613
− Property taxes
−$968
− Insurance
−$1,120
− Repairs & maintenance
−$1,065
− Management
−$1,065
− Depreciation
−$1,876
Taxable income
$3,601
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
−$864
After-tax cash flow
$3,502/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Condition & rehab AI · 12 photos

Poor 30/100 Extensive rehab

This property requires extensive renovation to improve its condition and increase its value. A full renovation of the kitchen and bathroom, along with updates to the exterior and HVAC system, would significantly enhance its resale and rental value.

Repairs flagged

  • Major kitchen cabinets — severely dated and worn
  • Major bathroom fixtures — outdated and worn
  • Major roof — visible wear and tear
  • Major exterior siding — peeling paint and damage
  • Major flooring — dated and worn carpet
  • Major interior walls — dated paneling and peeling paint
  • Major windows — old, possibly single-pane windows
  • Major HVAC system — old, possibly inefficient system

Value-add opportunities

  • Resale kitchen renovation — modern kitchen increases appeal
  • Resale bathroom renovation — modern bathroom enhances appeal
  • Resale exterior siding and paint — new siding and paint improves curb appeal
  • Both HVAC system — modern HVAC system improves comfort and energy efficiency
  • Both landscaping — landscaping enhances curb appeal and property value

Renovation cost estimate screening

Repair itemSeverityEst. cost
kitchen cabinets · severely dated and worn Major $15,000–50,000
bathroom fixtures · outdated and worn Major $15,000–50,000
roof · visible wear and tear Major $15,000–50,000
exterior siding · peeling paint and damage Major $15,000–50,000
flooring · dated and worn carpet Major $15,000–50,000
interior walls · dated paneling and peeling paint Major $15,000–50,000
windows · old, possibly single-pane windows Major $15,000–50,000
HVAC system · old, possibly inefficient system Major $15,000–50,000
Total estimated repair cost · 8 items $120,000–400,000

Value-add ROI direction

  • Resale kitchen renovation — modern kitchen increases appeal
  • Resale bathroom renovation — modern bathroom enhances appeal
  • Resale exterior siding and paint — new siding and paint improves curb appeal
  • Both HVAC system — modern HVAC system improves comfort and energy efficiency
  • Both landscaping — landscaping enhances curb appeal and property value

ⓘ Cost ranges are severity-bucket heuristics (US national rule-of-thumb). Get contractor quotes + a written scope before underwriting a rehab budget.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Lincoln County Schools
NCES district ID
5400660
Math proficiency
17% ▼ -10.00%
Reading proficiency
28% ▼ -10.00%
Median HH income
$34,693
Composite
18.48/100
National rank
#8925
State rank
#54 of 55 in WV

Livability — Salt Rock

Score
53/100
State rank
#304
US rank
#24515

Category grades

Amenities F Commute F Cost of living A+ Crime A Employment D+ Housing F Health & safety F User ratings A

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

City population
1,501
Population (ZIP)
1,874

Population outlook (Lincoln County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
20,193 people
By 2030
19,294 · -4.5%
By 2040
17,358 · -14.0%
By 2050
15,464 · -23.4%
By 2075
11,491 · -43.1%
By 2100
8,039 · -60.2%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly White (98%)
Race & ethnicity
White 98% Two or more races 1%
Common ancestry
Slovak 5% Serbian 2% Italian 1%
Foreign-born
0%

Political lean MEDSL · Lincoln

2024 margin
Solid R (+62.5) · D 17.8% · R 80.3% · Other 1.9%
2008→2024 swing
-53.6pp toward R · 2008: -8.9pp · 2024: -62.5pp
All cycles
2024: R+62.5 2020: R+54.9 2016: R+54.7 2012: R+31.6 2008: R+8.9

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -7.35%
Current HPI
107.2878
Rent YoY
Metro
State GDP YoY
F500 in state
0

Price history

-19.3% since first listed
7 events — show timeline
  • 2026-04-07 Listed $64,500 KVBOR
  • 2026-04-02 Listed $64,500 HBRMLS
  • 2025-12-15 Price Changed $69,900 KVBOR
  • 2025-10-16 Price Changed $72,500 KVBOR
  • 2025-06-09 Relisted KVBOR
  • 2025-05-08 Pending KVBOR
  • 2025-04-09 Listed $79,900 KVBOR

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

Loading sold comps…