4940 N Landmark Cir #3233 · Egg Harbor, WI
Flood risk No data
- FEMA flood zone
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- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
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- Est. flood insurance / yr
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Fire risk No data
- Est. fire insurance / yr
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Heat risk No data
- Hot days now (above threshold)
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- Hot days in 30 yrs
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Wind risk No data
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
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Air-quality risk No data
- Unhealthy air days now
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- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
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Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the D- grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Appreciation +7.3/10.0
- Cash flow +7.2/30.0
- Schools +4.6/10.0
- 1% rule +4.3/10.0
- Livability +3.3/5.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- ARV discount +2.1/15.0
- DSCR +1.3/10.0
$165,000
🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
Enjoy beautiful bay glimpses from this partial Waterview 1-bedroom, 1-bath unit in the desirable Navigator Building at The Landmark Resort. Perched high on the bluff, this lower-level end unit offers an ideal blend of privacy, scenery, and comfort, featuring updated cabinetry and sleek countertops throughout. Resort-style amenities include indoor and outdoor pools, whirlpool, tennis courts, walking trails, spacious patios, sauna, fitness room, and an on-site restaurant?just minutes from downtown Egg Harbor. With The Landmark?s strong rental history and no restrictions on owner occupancy, this unit offers excellent flexibility as a vacation getaway, investment opportunity, or both. Unit is in the rental program.
Key facts
- Whirlpool
- Tennis courts
- Updated cabinetry
Tags
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 1-bed/1.0-bath condo listed at $165k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $-230 ($-3k/yr) — negative.
- To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $124k (24.7% below list).
- To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $153k (7.1% below list).
- Recommended offer: $124k (24.7% below list) — sets the bar for cash-flow.
- Cap rate 4.6% vs local median 1.0% in Egg Harbor — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 66/100 on livability (#455 in WI) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: crime A+, employment A-; Watch: amenities F, commute F, health & safety D-.
- Gibraltar Area School District (rural): math 52% / reading 54% proficiency, ranked #45 of 342 in WI (top 13%) — acceptable for families but not a draw, mixed tenant base, ~2y average lease.
- Market conditions: 103 active listings in the ZIP; 306 units permitted in Door County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- In year one you build about $9k of equity ($1k loan paydown + $8k appreciation (4.6% local appreciation)).
- Door County population projected at -15% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
- By year 5, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$38k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 175 days — a 12% lower offer ($145k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 2 sale attempts since 13y ago; this cycle's ask is 6% above the opening price — seller raised mid-cycle; expect resistance to lowballs.
- Current owner paid $38k; list at $165k implies a 334% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: HOA is 30% of rent.
Questions for the listing agent
- What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
- It's been on market 175 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 25% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- What does the HOA fee cover, when was the last increase, and are there any pending special assessments or reserve-fund shortfalls?
- Any open or pending special assessments — roof, HVAC, plumbing, elevator, façade? What's the per-unit balance and payoff schedule, and is the seller paying it off at close or rolling it to the buyer?
- Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new apartment / multifamily construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply (>2% of stock underway) typically softens rents 12–24 months out; light construction supports rent growth.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 0.93% ✗
- Cap rate
- 4.62%
- Cash-on-cash
- -5.98%
- DSCR
- 0.73
- GRM
- 9.0
CMA / ARV
- ARV (median comp)
- $147,362
- List price
- $165,000
- Delta
- 11.97%
- Verdict
- OVERPRICED
- Comps
- 20 within 1.0 mi
Projected returns pro-forma
4.61% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 6.8%
- Equity multiple
- 1.43×
- Total profit
- $19,929
- Equity at exit
- $89,625
- IRR
- 9.1%
- Equity multiple
- 2.63×
- Total profit
- $75,154
- Equity at exit
- $151,566
Cash invested: $46,200 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 73 Landlord-Friendly
- State Wisconsin
- 73 Landlord-Friendly · R+2
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 54209
- Home prices YoY
- 2.0%
- Active inventory
- 103
- Price-to-rent
- 9.0×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,533 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$865
- Tax from tax record
- −$43 /mo · $520/yr
- Insurance
- −$69
- HOA
- −$464
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$322
- Net cashflow
- $-230
Break-even live
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $41,250
- Closing costs
- $4,950
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
HOA detail condo
- Monthly dues
- $464 · $5,568/yr
- Likely covers
- waterpool
- Assessments
- None detected in remarks — confirm with the listing agent.
Listing history 11 events
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2026-06-18days on market $165,000 Active 175 DOM
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2026-06-17days on market $165,000 Active 174 DOM
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2026-06-17pricedays on market $165,000 Active 173 DOM
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2025-12-04$155,000 Active 720-char remark
Show marketing remark (720 chars)
Enjoy beautiful bay glimpses from this partial Waterview 1-bedroom, 1-bath unit in the desirable Navigator Building at The Landmark Resort. Perched high on the bluff, this lower-level end unit offers an ideal blend of privacy, scenery, and comfort, featuring updated cabinetry and sleek countertops throughout. Resort-style amenities include indoor and outdoor pools, whirlpool, tennis courts, walking trails, spacious patios, sauna, fitness room, and an on-site restaurant?just minutes from downtown Egg Harbor. With The Landmark?s strong rental history and no restrictions on owner occupancy, this unit offers excellent flexibility as a vacation getaway, investment opportunity, or both. Unit is in the rental program.
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2016-01-28soldstatus $38,000 41-char remark
Show marketing remark (41 chars)
One party listing with an accepted offer.
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2013-09-18$35,000
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2013-09-18historical
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2009-09-18soldstatus $35,000
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2009-09-17soldstatus $35,000
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2002-07-03soldstatus $63,000
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2000-08-30soldstatus $58,500
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast WI · Partial reset (capped growth)
- Current annual tax
- $520 · $43/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $1,786 · $149/mo
- Expected delta
- +$1,266/yr (+$106/mo · 243.5%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $18,397
- − Mortgage interest
- −$9,243
- − Property taxes
- −$520
- − Insurance
- −$825
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,472
- − Management
- −$1,472
- − HOA
- −$5,568
- − Depreciation
- −$4,800
- Taxable loss
- −$5,502
- Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
- +$1,321
- After-tax cash flow
- $-1,442/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Gibraltar Area School District
- NCES district ID
- 5505220
- Math proficiency
- 52% ▼ -1.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 54% ▼ -4.00%
- Median HH income
- $53,154
- Composite
- 45.57/100
- National rank
- #2598
- State rank
- #45 of 342 in WI
Livability — Egg Harbor
- Score
- 66/100
- State rank
- #455
- US rank
- #11512
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Population (ZIP)
- 1,529
Population outlook (Door County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 27,220 people
- By 2030
- 26,785 · -1.6%
- By 2040
- 25,167 · -7.5%
- By 2050
- 23,052 · -15.3%
- By 2075
- 18,981 · -30.3%
- By 2100
- 14,801 · -45.6%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (97%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 97% Two or more races 2% Hispanic / Latino 1% Native American 1%
- Common ancestry
- Portuguese 8% Romanian 8% English 7%
- Foreign-born
- 3% · Canada
- Languages at home
- 96% English-only · Spanish 3% Russian/Polish/Slavic 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Door
- 2024 margin
- Toss-up / Even · D 50.6% · R 48.3% · Other 1.1%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -15.1pp toward R · 2008: 17.3pp · 2024: 2.2pp
- All cycles
- 2024: D+2.2 2020: D+1.4 2016: R+3.2 2012: D+7.0 2008: D+17.3
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▲ 4.61%
- Current HPI
- 235.2831
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- —
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 2.10%
- F500 in state
- 20
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in WI)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Industrial Machinery | 4 | $23B |
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| Industrial Technology | 2 | $36B |
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| Insurance | 1 | $36B |
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| Professional Services | 1 | $19B |
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| Utilities | 1 | $9B |
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| Consumer Goods | 1 | $3B |
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Price history
+165.0% since first listed8 events — show timeline
- 2025-12-04 Listed $155,000 RANW
- 2016-01-28 Sold (MLS) $38,000 METROMLS
- 2013-09-18 Delisted — DCBR
- 2013-09-18 Listed $35,000 DCBR
- 2009-09-18 Sold (Public Records) $35,000 Public Records
- 2009-09-17 Sold (MLS) $35,000 DCBR
- 2002-07-03 Sold (Public Records) $63,000 Public Records
- 2000-08-30 Sold (Public Records) $58,500 Public Records
Property tax history
+4.0%/yrLatest (2025): $520 · +94.4% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…