11757 Eileen · Livonia, MI
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $473 – $860
Fire risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $784 – $1,456
Heat risk 3/10 · Minor
- Hot days now (above 98°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 15 days/yr
Wind risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- —
Air-quality risk 3/10 · Minor
- Unhealthy air days now
- 2 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 3 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the F grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +13.0/30.0
- DSCR +3.9/10.0
- Livability +3.9/5.0
- Rent growth +3.3/5.0
- 1% rule +2.5/10.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Schools +1.8/10.0
- ARV discount +0.0/15.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$225,000
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
Don't miss out on this gorgeous family home in a very appealing Redford neighborhood. Incredible wide-open floorplan with plenty of newer windows providing an abundance of natural light. Also features a large modern and bright kitchen. Home has several cosmetic updates including refinished hardwood floors, cabinets, fresh paint, new vanities, new window treatments, and much more. Property also features a large fenced in back yard with a large two car garage. This house is in move in condition and truly a must see. Priced aggressively to sell. Located close to shops, schools, and restaurants, this will not last.
Key facts
- Wide-open floorplan
- Large modern kitchen
- Newer windows
Tags
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 3-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $225k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $-13 ($-162/yr) — negative.
- To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $223k (1.1% below list).
- To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $170k (24.5% below list).
- Recommended offer: $170k (24.5% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
- Cap rate 6.2% vs local median 4.9% in Livonia — meaningfully above typical; check what's discounted (condition, days-on-market, listing class) to confirm the premium yield is real.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 77/100 on livability (#116 in MI, #2,784 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: employment A+, cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: amenities D, health & safety D, commute F.
- South Redford School District (suburban): math 11% / reading 29% proficiency, ranked #455 of 540 in MI (top 84%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover.
- Market conditions: Rents rising (+3.2%/yr); 188 active listings in the ZIP; 4 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 18d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 2,639 units permitted in Wayne County in 2024 (1,216 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $2k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $7k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Wayne County population projected at -17% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 16 days — a 2% lower offer ($222k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 4 sale attempts since 14y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
- Current owner paid $85k; list at $225k implies a 165% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: built in 1958 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Questions for the listing agent
- What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
- Built in 1958 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are B-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
- The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 0.75% ✗
- Cap rate
- 6.22%
- Cash-on-cash
- -0.26%
- DSCR
- 0.99
- GRM
- 11.0
CMA / ARV
- ARV (on-the-fly)
- $150,012
- Comps found
- 12
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11757 Eileen | 0.00mi | 3/1.0 | 1,040 (+12%) | 0mo | $220,000 | $212 | 79 |
| 11756 Berwyn | 0.38mi | 2/1.5 (-1) | 930 (+0%) | 2mo | $167,500 | $180 | 73 |
| 9960 Rockland | 0.45mi | 3/2.0 | 937 (+1%) | 2mo | $150,000 | $160 | 72 |
| 9648 Nathaline Ave | 0.48mi | 3/1.0 | 894 (-4%) | 4mo | $145,000 | $162 | 69 |
| 9640 Nathaline | 0.48mi | 3/1.0 | 894 (-4%) | 5mo | $125,000 | $140 | 68 |
| 9624 Nathaline | 0.50mi | 3/1.0 | 1,019 (+10%) | 3mo | $209,000 | $205 | 58 |
| 9983 Hemingway | 0.36mi | 3/1.0 | 1,059 (+14%) | 3mo | $149,000 | $141 | 57 |
| 12135 Leverne | 0.21mi | 2/1.5 (-1) | 1,050 (+13%) | 6mo | $167,000 | $159 | 56 |
| 12009 Arcola St | 0.49mi | 3/1.0 | 1,018 (+10%) | 8mo | $192,500 | $189 | 54 |
| 12770 Leverne | 0.56mi | 3/1.5 | 1,026 (+11%) | 0mo | $205,000 | $200 | 53 |
| 9964 Norborne | 0.56mi | 3/1.0 | 1,033 (+12%) | 5mo | $125,900 | $122 | 50 |
| 9636 Centralia | 0.68mi | 3/1.0 | 1,043 (+13%) | 4mo | $135,000 | $129 | 44 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 3.25% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- -16.5%
- Equity multiple
- 0.41×
- Total profit
- $-36,987
- Equity at exit
- $33,548
- IRR
- -8.0%
- Equity multiple
- 0.49×
- Total profit
- $-31,941
- Equity at exit
- $19,454
Cash invested: $63,000 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 62 Landlord-Friendly
- State Michigan
- 62 Landlord-Friendly · EVEN
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 48239
- Rents YoY
- 3.2%
- Active inventory
- 188
- Price-to-rent
- 11.0×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,699 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$1,180
- Tax from tax record
- −$82 /mo · $980/yr
- Insurance
- −$94
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$357
- Net cashflow
- $-13
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $114 | -5% $50 | +0% $-13 | +5% $-77 | +10% $-141 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $-148 | -5% $-81 | +0% $-13 | +5% $54 | +10% $121 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $100 | -0.5pp $44 | base $-13 | +0.5pp $-72 | +1.0pp $-131 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $56,250
- Closing costs
- $6,750
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 4 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12107 Centralia Redford, MI | 3.0 | 1.0 | 912 | $1,800 | $1.97 | 44d | 1 | 0.47mi |
| 12097 Cavell St Livonia, MI | 3.0 | 1.0 | 985 | $1,200 | $1.22 | 2d | 1 | 0.59mi |
| 13231 Hemingway Redford, MI | 3.0 | 1.5 | 1074 | $1,700 | $1.58 | 17d | 1 | 0.80mi |
| 27201 Canfield St W Dearborn Heights, MI | 1.0–2.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 852 | $1,499 | $1.76 | 2d | 22 | 1.38mi |
Listing history 11 events
-
2026-04-22status Pending 618-char remark
Show marketing remark (618 chars)
Don't miss out on this gorgeous family home in a very appealing Redford neighborhood. Incredible wide-open floorplan with plenty of newer windows providing an abundance of natural light. Also features a large modern and bright kitchen. Home has several cosmetic updates including refinished hardwood floors, cabinets, fresh paint, new vanities, new window treatments, and much more. Property also features a large fenced in back yard with a large two car garage. This house is in move in condition and truly a must see. Priced aggressively to sell. Located close to shops, schools, and restaurants, this will not last.
-
2026-04-22status Pending
Show marketing remark (618 chars)
Don't miss out on this gorgeous family home in a very appealing Redford neighborhood. Incredible wide-open floorplan with plenty of newer windows providing an abundance of natural light. Also features a large modern and bright kitchen. Home has several cosmetic updates including refinished hardwood floors, cabinets, fresh paint, new vanities, new window treatments, and much more. Property also features a large fenced in back yard with a large two car garage. This house is in move in condition and truly a must see. Priced aggressively to sell. Located close to shops, schools, and restaurants, this will not last.
-
2026-04-06$225,000 Active
Show marketing remark (618 chars)
Don't miss out on this gorgeous family home in a very appealing Redford neighborhood. Incredible wide-open floorplan with plenty of newer windows providing an abundance of natural light. Also features a large modern and bright kitchen. Home has several cosmetic updates including refinished hardwood floors, cabinets, fresh paint, new vanities, new window treatments, and much more. Property also features a large fenced in back yard with a large two car garage. This house is in move in condition and truly a must see. Priced aggressively to sell. Located close to shops, schools, and restaurants, this will not last.
-
2026-04-06$225,000 Active 618-char remark
Show marketing remark (618 chars)
Don't miss out on this gorgeous family home in a very appealing Redford neighborhood. Incredible wide-open floorplan with plenty of newer windows providing an abundance of natural light. Also features a large modern and bright kitchen. Home has several cosmetic updates including refinished hardwood floors, cabinets, fresh paint, new vanities, new window treatments, and much more. Property also features a large fenced in back yard with a large two car garage. This house is in move in condition and truly a must see. Priced aggressively to sell. Located close to shops, schools, and restaurants, this will not last.
-
2025-12-01soldstatus $85,000
-
2012-06-22soldstatus $28,153 303-char remark
Show marketing remark (303 chars)
3 Bdrm brick ranch on large fenced lot w/ 2-car detached garage. Roomy kitchen, nice sized bedrooms, basement. Property sold AS-IS. This is a Fannie Mae HomePath property. Purchase this property for as little as 3% down!! This property is approved for HomePath Renovation Mort Financing. $150 Rekey Fee.
-
2012-06-22soldstatus $28,153
Show marketing remark (303 chars)
3 Bdrm brick ranch on large fenced lot w/ 2-car detached garage. Roomy kitchen, nice sized bedrooms, basement. Property sold AS-IS. This is a Fannie Mae HomePath property. Purchase this property for as little as 3% down!! This property is approved for HomePath Renovation Mort Financing. $150 Rekey Fee.
-
2012-05-29historical 303-char remark
Show marketing remark (303 chars)
3 Bdrm brick ranch on large fenced lot w/ 2-car detached garage. Roomy kitchen, nice sized bedrooms, basement. Property sold AS-IS. This is a Fannie Mae HomePath property. Purchase this property for as little as 3% down!! This property is approved for HomePath Renovation Mort Financing. $150 Rekey Fee.
-
2012-05-29historical
Show marketing remark (303 chars)
3 Bdrm brick ranch on large fenced lot w/ 2-car detached garage. Roomy kitchen, nice sized bedrooms, basement. Property sold AS-IS. This is a Fannie Mae HomePath property. Purchase this property for as little as 3% down!! This property is approved for HomePath Renovation Mort Financing. $150 Rekey Fee.
-
2012-04-12$29,900 303-char remark
Show marketing remark (303 chars)
3 Bdrm brick ranch on large fenced lot w/ 2-car detached garage. Roomy kitchen, nice sized bedrooms, basement. Property sold AS-IS. This is a Fannie Mae HomePath property. Purchase this property for as little as 3% down!! This property is approved for HomePath Renovation Mort Financing. $150 Rekey Fee.
-
2012-04-12$29,900
Show marketing remark (303 chars)
3 Bdrm brick ranch on large fenced lot w/ 2-car detached garage. Roomy kitchen, nice sized bedrooms, basement. Property sold AS-IS. This is a Fannie Mae HomePath property. Purchase this property for as little as 3% down!! This property is approved for HomePath Renovation Mort Financing. $150 Rekey Fee.
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast MI · Partial reset (capped growth)
- Current annual tax
- $980 · $82/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $2,222 · $185/mo
- Expected delta
- +$1,243/yr (+$104/mo · 126.8%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 1/10 Low
- Heat 3/10 Moderate 7 d/yr ≥98°F today · 15 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 2/10 Low
- Air quality 3/10 Moderate 2 unhealthy d/yr today · 3 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $20,382
- − Mortgage interest
- −$12,603
- − Property taxes
- −$980
- − Insurance
- −$1,125
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,631
- − Management
- −$1,631
- − Depreciation
- −$6,545
- Taxable loss
- −$4,133
- Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
- +$992
- After-tax cash flow
- $830/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- South Redford School District
- NCES district ID
- 2632280
- Math proficiency
- 11% ▼ -9.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 29% ▼ -7.00%
- Median HH income
- $52,775
- Composite
- 18.1/100
- National rank
- #8972
- State rank
- #455 of 540 in MI
Livability — Livonia
- Score
- 77/100
- State rank
- #116
- US rank
- #2784
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- County
- Wayne County · 1,562,939 people
- City population
- 61,771
- Metro
- Detroit-Warren-Dearborn, MI
- Population (ZIP)
- 36,976
- Household income
- $71,151
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 1052.0
Population outlook (Wayne County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 1,675,273 people
- By 2030
- 1,620,300 · -3.3%
- By 2040
- 1,502,341 · -10.3%
- By 2050
- 1,384,039 · -17.4%
- By 2075
- 1,124,592 · -32.9%
- By 2100
- 881,193 · -47.4%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Majority Black (58%)
- Race & ethnicity
- Black 58% White 34% Hispanic / Latino 4% Two or more races 4%
- Common ancestry
- Romanian 7% Slovak 2% Lithuanian 2%
- Foreign-born
- 2% · Canada
- Languages at home
- 96% English-only · Spanish 1% Other Indo-European 1% Arabic 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Wayne
- 2024 margin
- Strong D (+29.0) · D 62.7% · R 33.7% · Other 3.6%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -20.5pp toward R · 2008: 49.5pp · 2024: 29.0pp
- All cycles
- 2024: D+29.0 2020: D+38.1 2016: D+37.3 2012: D+46.9 2008: D+49.5
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -202.97%
- Current HPI
- 236.1136
- Rent YoY
- ▲ 3.25%
- Metro
- Detroit-Warren-Dearborn, MI
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 1.37%
- F500 in state
- 28
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in MI)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Automotive Parts | 3 | $48B |
|
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| Automotive | 2 | $372B |
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| Chemicals | 1 | $45B |
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| Automotive Retail | 1 | $29B |
|
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| Healthcare / Medical Devices | 1 | $23B |
|
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| Automotive Technology | 1 | $20B |
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Price history
+652.5% since first listed11 events — show timeline
- 2026-04-22 Pending — MiRealSource-MiMLS
- 2026-04-22 Pending — REALCOMP
- 2026-04-06 Listed $225,000 REALCOMP
- 2026-04-06 Listed $225,000 MiRealSource-MiMLS
- 2025-12-01 Sold (Public Records) $85,000 Public Records
- 2012-06-22 Sold (MLS) $28,153 MiRealSource-MiMLS
- 2012-06-22 Sold (MLS) $28,153 REALCOMP
- 2012-05-29 Listing Removed — MiRealSource-MiMLS
- 2012-05-29 Listing Removed — REALCOMP
- 2012-04-12 Listed $29,900 MiRealSource-MiMLS
- 2012-04-12 Listed $29,900 REALCOMP
Property tax history
-5.9%/yrLatest (2025): $980 · -62.7% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…