2619 Mablo Ridge Dr #1155 · Pflugerville, TX 78660

$94,995

3 bd · 2.0 ba · 1,140 sqft · Manufactured · 37 Days on market

Built 2026 Excellent condition

---

Why this score? — see what drove the B grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

• Cash flow +30.0/30.0
• 1% rule +10.0/10.0
• DSCR +10.0/10.0
• ARV discount +7.5/15.0
• Condition / age +5.0/5.0
• Livability +4.0/5.0
• Schools +3.4/10.0
• Rent growth +2.0/5.0
• Appreciation +0.0/10.0

Listing remarks

This brand-new 3 bedroom, 2 bathroom manufactured home is move-in ready and built for easy living. Enjoy a spacious open layout, brand new kitchen appliances, and hard-surface flooring throughout no carpet anywhere in the home. Come see it before it's gone contact us today to schedule a tour!

Key facts

• Open layout
• Built 2026
• Listed 36 days

Tags

• OPEN LAYOUT
• BRAND NEW KITCHEN APPLIANCES
• HARD SURFACE FLOORING

Property features AI

Finance

• Financial info: Listed for $94,995

Exterior

• Home design: Spec new construction; Single-level entry
• Construction: Built 2026; 1140 living area

Interior

• Bedrooms: 3 bedrooms
• Bathrooms: 2 bathrooms
• Interior features: Open living area

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

• This is a 3-bed/2.0-bath manufactured listed at $95k. Condition is rated excellent.

Deal economics

• At list price, monthly cash flow is $848 ($10k/yr) — positive.
• The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
• Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $95k).
• Recommended offer: $92k (3.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
• Cap rate 17.0% vs local median 2.7% in Pflugerville — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

• Location reads 81/100 on livability (#26 in TX, #1,492 nationally) — a professional / high-income tenant draw. Strengths: employment A+, housing A+, health & safety A+; Watch: commute F.
• Pflugerville ISD (suburban): math 33% / reading 42% proficiency, ranked #421 of 826 in TX (top 51%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
• Market conditions: Rents soft (-2.0%/yr); 1020 active listings in the ZIP; 30 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 19d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); high-income renter base; 17,121 units permitted in Travis County in 2024 (11,963 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

• Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $657 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $3k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
• Travis County population projected at +60% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
• At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 0.0% rent growth), your $27k cash investment doubles in ~4 years — after that, you're playing with house money.

Negotiation context

• It's been on market 37 days — a 3% lower offer ($92k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.

Risks & watch-outs

• Climate carrying-cost: severe wind risk, 80% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→24/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.

Recommended offer $92,145 (3.0% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

1. It's been on market 37 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 3% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
2. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
3. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
4. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
5. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

• 1% rule: 2.01% ✓
• Cap rate: 17.01%
• Cash-on-cash: 38.27%
• DSCR: 2.70
• GRM: 4.2

CMA / ARV

No comps found within radius.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 0.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold

• IRR: 30.9%
• Equity multiple: 2.24×
• Total profit: $33,076
• Equity at exit: $14,164

10-year hold

• IRR: 36.4%
• Equity multiple: 3.89×
• Total profit: $76,909
• Equity at exit: $8,213

Cash invested: $26,599 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

• Overall (STATE): 87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
• State Texas: 87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+5
• County: — inherits STATE
• City: — inherits STATE

3-day notice; statewide preemption; one of the fastest eviction climates; Travis County (Austin) slightly slower.

Methodology + full state rankings →

ZIP-level market 78660

• Home prices YoY: -34.0%
• Rents YoY: -2.0%
• Active inventory: 1020
• Price-to-rent: 4.2×

Monthly cashflow live

• Estimated rent: $1,905 high
• Mortgage (P&I): −$498
• Tax est. 1.5%: −$119 /mo · $1,425/yr
• Insurance: −$40
• HOA: −$0
• Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt: −$400
• Net cashflow: $848

Break-even live

Break-even rent $831

Max offer price $94,995

Occupancy floor 50%

Sensitivity live

Price	-10% $914	-5% $881	+0% $848	+5% $815	+10% $783
Rent	-10% $698	-5% $773	+0% $848	+5% $923	+10% $999
Rate	-1.0pp $896	-0.5pp $872	base $848	+0.5pp $824	+1.0pp $799

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

• Down payment: $23,749
• Closing costs: $2,850
• Reserves months: —
• Total cash needed: —

Rent comps 30 comps

Address	Beds	Baths	Sqft	Rent	$/sqft	DOM	Units	Dist
2800 Halite Bnd #1105 Pflugerville, TX	3.0	2.0	1250	$1,700	$1.36	18d	1	0.06mi
3300 Golden Aspen Loop Pflugerville, TX	3.0	2.0	1140	$1,449	$1.27	13d	1	0.28mi
14417 Koti Way Pflugerville, TX	3.0	2.0	1474	$1,999	$1.36	44d	1	0.39mi
2808 Schwartz Ln Pflugerville, TX	3.0	2.0	1479	$1,900	$1.28	18d	1	0.40mi
2920 Tweedy Trl Pflugerville, TX	3.0	2.0	1481	$5,000	$3.38	12d	1	0.57mi
1608 Purple Martin Dr Pflugerville, TX	3.0	2.0	1470	$2,200	$1.50	25d	1	0.66mi
2537 Forgetmenot Ln Pflugerville, TX	3.0	2.0	1276	$1,850	$1.45	17d	1	0.80mi
14708 Immanuel Rd Pflugerville, TX	1.0–2.0	1.0–2.0	867	$1,654	$1.91	3d	12	0.88mi
2601 Crystal Bend Dr Pflugerville, TX	3.0–4.0	2.0–2.5	1761	$2,372	$1.35	2d	1	0.95mi
705 E Olympic Dr Pflugerville, TX	1.0–3.0	1.0–2.0	1000	$2,002	$2.00	2d	34	1.24mi
14815 Dessau Rd Unit 1 Pflugerville, TX	2.0	2.0	1275	$1,934	$1.52	25d	1	1.24mi
14815 Dessau Rd Pflugerville, TX	2.0	2.0	1275	$1,934	$1.52	4d	1	1.24mi
2615 Derwent Dr Pflugerville, TX	4.0	2.0	1468	$2,195	$1.50	3d	1	1.25mi
2714 Towy Rd Pflugerville, TX	3.0	2.0	1450	$2,000	$1.38	25d	1	1.26mi
1901 Golden Sunrise Ln Pflugerville, TX	3.0	2.0	1346	$1,850	$1.37	44d	1	1.29mi
16021 Biltmore Ave Pflugerville, TX	1.0–2.0	1.0–2.0	896	$1,759	$1.96	3d	26	1.31mi
509 Greenway Dr Pflugerville, TX	3.0	2.0	1317	$1,999	$1.52	25d	1	1.32mi
2702 Paragon Fox Dr Pflugerville, TX	2.0	2.0	1320	$1,900	$1.44	44d	1	1.32mi
2500 E Howard Ln Manor, TX	3.0	1.0–3.5	1245	$3,166	$2.54	3d	50	1.34mi
2700 E Howard Ln Manor, TX	2.0	1.0–2.0	890	$1,819	$2.04	3d	52	1.34mi
509 Oat Meadow Dr Pflugerville, TX	3.0	2.0	1340	$1,950	$1.46	25d	1	1.36mi
14222 Handel Dr Unit 7B Pflugerville, TX	3.0	2.0	1441	$1,895	$1.32	44d	1	1.40mi
14201 Handel Dr Unit 1A Pflugerville, TX	3.0	2.0	1443	$1,899	$1.32	44d	1	1.40mi
433 Sweet Leaf Ln Pflugerville, TX	4.0	2.5	1439	$1,990	$1.38	25d	1	1.41mi
13309 Riding Dr Pflugerville, TX	4.0	2.0	1468	$2,195	$1.50	18d	1	1.41mi
14204 Handel Dr Unit 11A Pflugerville, TX	3.0	3.0	1412	$1,945	$1.38	5d	1	1.43mi
2606 Totley Rd Pflugerville, TX	3.0	2.0	1234	$2,190	$1.77	3d	1	1.44mi
2805 Totley Rd Pflugerville, TX	3.0	2.0	1450	$2,099	$1.45	44d	1	1.44mi
13510 Lazyridge Dr Unit 1 Pflugerville, TX	2.0	2.0	1046	$1,810	$1.73	25d	1	1.48mi
13510 Lazyridge Dr Pflugerville, TX	2.0	2.0	1046	$1,810	$1.73	44d	1	1.48mi

Listing history 15 events

1. 2026-06-21
   days on market $94,995 Active 37 DOM
2. 2026-06-18
   days on market $94,995 Active 34 DOM
3. 2026-06-17
   days on market $94,995 Active 33 DOM
4. 2026-06-16
   days on market $94,995 Active 32 DOM
5. 2026-06-15
   days on market $94,995 Active 31 DOM
6. 2026-06-13
   days on market $94,995 Active 29 DOM
7. 2026-06-09
   days on market $94,995 Active 25 DOM
8. 2026-06-08
   days on market $94,995 Active 24 DOM
9. 2026-06-07
   days on market $94,995 Active 23 DOM
10. 2026-06-05
    days on market $94,995 Active 20 DOM
11. 2026-06-03
    days on market $94,995 Active 19 DOM
12. 2026-06-02
    days on market $94,995 Active 18 DOM
13. 2026-06-01
    days on market $94,995 Active 17 DOM
14. 2026-05-31
    days on market $94,995 Active 16 DOM
15. 2026-05-15
    listed $94,995 Active 293-char remark

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Climate risk First Street

• 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
• 🔥 Wildfire 4/10 Moderate
• 🌡 Heat 8/10 Severe 7 d/yr ≥108°F today · 24 d/yr by 30 yrs out
• 💨 Wind 8/10 Severe 80% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
• 🫁 Air quality 2/10 Low 1 unhealthy d/yr today · 1 by 30 yrs out

Taxation est. · year 1

• Rental income: $22,856
• − Mortgage interest: −$5,321
• − Property taxes: −$1,425
• − Insurance: −$475
• − Repairs & maintenance: −$1,828
• − Management: −$1,828
• − Depreciation: −$2,763
• Taxable income: $9,214
• Est. tax owed @ 24.0%: −$2,211
• After-tax cash flow: $7,967/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Condition & rehab AI · 9 photos

Excellent 100/100 None rehab

This brand-new 3-bedroom, 2-bathroom manufactured home is move-in ready and built for easy living. It features a spacious open layout, brand new kitchen appliances, and hardwood floors throughout. The home is in excellent condition with no visible repairs or maintenance needed.

Value-add opportunities

• Both Painting exterior and interior walls — Enhances curb appeal and interior aesthetics
• Both Replace ceiling fans with energy-efficient models — Improves energy efficiency and reduces maintenance costs
• Both Install smart home devices for energy management and security — Enhances home automation and adds value for potential buyers

Renovation cost estimate screening

Value-add ROI direction

• Both Painting exterior and interior walls — Enhances curb appeal and interior aesthetics ↑
• Both Replace ceiling fans with energy-efficient models — Improves energy efficiency and reduces maintenance costs ↑
• Both Install smart home devices for energy management and security — Enhances home automation and adds value for potential buyers ↑

ⓘ Cost ranges are severity-bucket heuristics (US national rule-of-thumb). Get contractor quotes + a written scope before underwriting a rehab budget.

Schools (NCES district)

• District: Pflugerville ISD
• NCES district ID: 4834830
• Math proficiency: 33% ▼ -16.00%
• Reading proficiency: 42% ▼ -7.00%
• Median HH income: $66,723
• Composite: 33.99/100
• National rank: #5321
• State rank: #421 of 826 in TX

Livability — Pflugerville

• Score: 81/100
• State rank: #26
• US rank: #1492

Category grades

Amenities C+ Commute F Cost of living B+ Crime B Employment A+ Housing A+ Health & safety A+ User ratings B+

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

• County: Travis County · 1,299,254 people
• City population: 124,834
• Metro: Austin-Round Rock-Georgetown, TX
• Population (ZIP): 124,834
• Household income: $113,205
• Rent vs Own: 33.9% rent · 66.1% own
• Severe rent burden: 3347.0

Population outlook (Travis County) Hauer SSP2

• Today (2025): 1,545,133 people
• By 2030: 1,729,269 · +11.9%
• By 2040: 2,097,596 · +35.8%
• By 2050: 2,463,890 · +59.5%
• By 2075: 3,249,374 · +110.3%
• By 2100: 3,801,868 · +146.1%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

• Neighborhood character: Highly diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.72)
• Race & ethnicity: Hispanic / Latino 35% White 34% Two or more races 19% Black 16% Asian 10%
• Hispanic origin (detail): Mexican 25% Puerto Rican 2% Cuban 2%
• Common ancestry: Lithuanian 4% Slovak 3% Italian 1%
• Foreign-born: 18% · Canada, Vietnam, China
• Languages at home: 69% English-only · Spanish 19% Other Indo-European 3% Vietnamese 3%

Political lean MEDSL · Travis

• 2024 margin: Solid D (+39.3) · D 68.8% · R 29.4% · Other 1.8%
• 2008→2024 swing: +9.9pp toward D · 2008: 29.4pp · 2024: 39.3pp
• All cycles: 2024: D+39.3 2020: D+45.0 2016: D+38.9 2012: D+23.9 2008: D+29.4

Not yet ingested

• Civics: —

Market trends

• HPI YoY: ▼ -116.36%
• Current HPI: 225.8781
• Rent YoY: ▼ -2.03%
• Metro: Austin-Round Rock-Georgetown, TX
• State GDP YoY: ▲ 3.95%
• F500 in state: 110

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in TX)

Industry	F500 HQs	Revenue
▸Energy	16	$1,198B
▸Technology	5	$198B
▸Engineering / Construction	4	$72B
▸Energy Services	3	$60B
▸Utilities	3	$41B
▸Healthcare	2	$330B