3125 Tibbett Ave Unit 12C · New York, NY
Flood risk 10/10 · Severe
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.99%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $691 – $1,283
Heat risk 6/10 · Moderate
- Hot days now (above 99°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 15 days/yr
Wind risk 6/10 · Moderate
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 27.0%
Air-quality risk 3/10 · Minor
- Unhealthy air days now
- 3 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 4 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the D grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +7.6/30.0
- ARV discount +7.5/15.0
- 1% rule +5.8/10.0
- Rent growth +5.0/5.0
- Schools +5.0/10.0
- Condition / age +4.0/5.0
- Livability +3.8/5.0
- DSCR +1.7/10.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$234,500
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
Welcome to 3125 Tibbett Avenue, New York Teachers Housing Corp. Apt 12C is a bright and spacious top-floor one-bedroom with eastern exposure and excellent natural light throughout. Freshly painted with floors redone, move-in ready, this inviting home features generously sized rooms, huge closets, ceiling fans, and a comfortable layout ideal for everyday living. This well-maintained building offers a part-time doorman, live-in superintendent and porters. Pet friendly - one dog (20lbs max)and one cat permitted. Low monthly maintenance is $801 and includes gas, electric, and air conditioning. Ideally located in Kingsbridge, the building is convenient to multiple transportation options including the subway, express buses, local buses, and Metro-North Railroad at Marble Hill. Enjoy nearby shopping, excellent public and private schools, and beautiful green spaces including Van Cortlandt Park. Offered at $238,500 - this wonderful apartment will not last! Photos have been virtually staged.
Key facts
- Eastern exposure
- Huge closets
- Ceiling fans
Tags
Property features AI
Finance
- HOA & community: Association: New York Teachers Housing Corp.
Exterior
- Parking: On-street parking; Parking lot; Carport available; Waitlist for parking; Parking fee applies
- Security: Building security
- Utilities: Con Edison electric service; Natural gas connected; Public sewer; Public water; Trash collection
- Home design: Stock cooperative; Top-floor unit in a 12-story building; Entry level: 12
- Construction: Block and brick construction
- Exterior features: Bicycle room; Not waterfront
Interior
- Kitchen: Dishwasher; Gas range; Microwave; Range; Refrigerator
- Bedrooms: Top floor entry (Unit 12C)
- Flooring: Combination of tile and wood
- Bathrooms: One full bathroom
- Heating & cooling: Natural gas heating; Wall/window air conditioning units
- Interior features: Ceiling fans; Elevator; Entrance foyer; Galley-style kitchen; Walk-through kitchen; Oversized windows with screens; Basement with common finished storage and walk-out access
- Laundry & utility: Common-area laundry room
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 1-bed/1.0-bath condo listed at $234k. Condition is rated good.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $-350 ($-4k/yr) — negative.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($3k rent vs $234k).
- Recommended offer: $227k (3.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
- Cap rate 4.8% vs local median 2.6% in New York — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 75/100 on livability (#268 in NY, #4,188 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: amenities A+, commute A+, health & safety A; Watch: crime F, cost of living F.
- Zoned schools: Elm Tree Elementary School (math 27% / reading 52%, grade F, #1,444 of 2,108 statewide, top 71%, 806 students, 94% FRL); Jhs 383 Philippa Schuyler (math 32% / reading 67%, grade C, #280 of 729 statewide, top 40%, 822 students, 85% FRL); Midwood High School (math 94% / reading 96%, grade A+, #83 of 1,100 statewide, top 8%, 4,062 students, 73% FRL).
- Market conditions: Rents rising fast (+11.6%/yr); 345 active listings in the ZIP; 1 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; 6,929 units permitted in Bronx County in 2024 (6,829 in 5+ unit buildings).
- This rent runs 41% of the median local income ($75k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $2k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $7k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Bronx County population projected at +21% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 39 days — a 3% lower offer ($227k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 2 sale attempts with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: flood insurance adds $66/mo; HOA is 26% of rent.
- Climate carrying-cost: severe flood risk; major wind risk, 27% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→15/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
- It's been on market 39 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 3% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Built in 1961 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- What's the actual annual flood-insurance premium (NFIP or private), and is the property in a SFHA with mandatory coverage?
- What does the HOA fee cover, when was the last increase, and are there any pending special assessments or reserve-fund shortfalls?
- Any open or pending special assessments — roof, HVAC, plumbing, elevator, façade? What's the per-unit balance and payoff schedule, and is the seller paying it off at close or rolling it to the buyer?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are B-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
- Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
- The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new apartment / multifamily construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply (>2% of stock underway) typically softens rents 12–24 months out; light construction supports rent growth.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.08% ✓
- Cap rate
- 4.84%
- Cash-on-cash
- -5.18%
- DSCR
- 0.77
- GRM
- 7.7
CMA / ARV
No comps found within radius.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 8.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- -18.9%
- Equity multiple
- 0.29×
- Total profit
- $-46,391
- Equity at exit
- $34,965
- IRR
- -1.0%
- Equity multiple
- 0.91×
- Total profit
- $-6,153
- Equity at exit
- $20,275
Cash invested: $65,660 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (CITY)
- 0 Strongly Tenant-Friendly
- State New York
- 15 Strongly Tenant-Friendly · D+10
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City New York
- 0 Strongly Tenant-Friendly · D+34
ZIP-level market 10463
- Rents YoY
- 11.6%
- Active inventory
- 345
- Price-to-rent
- 7.7×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $2,533 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$1,230
- Tax est. 1.5%
- −$293 /mo · $3,518/yr
- Insurance
- −$98
- Flood insurance flood zone
- −$66 /mo · $798/yr
- HOA est. from 1 same-building comp
- −$664
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$532
- Net cashflow
- $-350
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $-188 | -5% $-269 | +0% $-350 | +5% $-431 | +10% $-512 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $-550 | -5% $-450 | +0% $-350 | +5% $-250 | +10% $-149 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $-232 | -0.5pp $-290 | base $-350 | +0.5pp $-410 | +1.0pp $-472 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $58,625
- Closing costs
- $7,035
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 1 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2600 Netherland Ave Bronx, NY | 1.0–3.0 | 1.0–2.5 | 1132 | $2,775 | $2.45 | 23d | 3 | 0.39mi |
HOA detail condo
- Monthly dues
- $0 · $0/yr
- Likely covers
- gaselectricdoorman
- Assessments
- None detected in remarks — confirm with the listing agent.
Listing history 16 events
-
2026-06-21days on market $234,500 Active 39 DOM
-
2026-06-18days on market $234,500 Active 36 DOM
-
2026-06-17days on market $234,500 Active 35 DOM
-
2026-06-16days on market $234,500 Active 34 DOM
-
2026-06-15days on market $234,500 Active 33 DOM
-
2026-06-13days on market $234,500 Active 31 DOM
-
2026-06-10days on market $234,500 Active 27 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $234,500 Active 26 DOM
-
2026-06-08pricedays on market $234,500 Active 25 DOM
-
2026-06-04days on market $238,500 Active 22 DOM
-
2026-06-03days on market $238,500 Active 21 DOM
-
2026-06-02days on market $238,500 Active 20 DOM
-
2026-06-01days on market $238,500 Active 19 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $238,500 Active 18 DOM
-
2026-05-13$238,500 Active
Show marketing remark (996 chars)
Welcome to 3125 Tibbett Avenue, New York Teachers Housing Corp. Apt 12C is a bright and spacious top-floor one-bedroom with eastern exposure and excellent natural light throughout. Freshly painted with floors redone, move-in ready, this inviting home features generously sized rooms, huge closets, ceiling fans, and a comfortable layout ideal for everyday living. This well-maintained building offers a part-time doorman, live-in superintendent and porters. Pet friendly - one dog (20lbs max)and one cat permitted. Low monthly maintenance is $801 and includes gas, electric, and air conditioning. Ideally located in Kingsbridge, the building is convenient to multiple transportation options including the subway, express buses, local buses, and Metro-North Railroad at Marble Hill. Enjoy nearby shopping, excellent public and private schools, and beautiful green spaces including Van Cortlandt Park. Offered at $238,500 - this wonderful apartment will not last! Photos have been virtually staged.
-
2026-05-13$238,500 Active 996-char remark
Show marketing remark (996 chars)
Welcome to 3125 Tibbett Avenue, New York Teachers Housing Corp. Apt 12C is a bright and spacious top-floor one-bedroom with eastern exposure and excellent natural light throughout. Freshly painted with floors redone, move-in ready, this inviting home features generously sized rooms, huge closets, ceiling fans, and a comfortable layout ideal for everyday living. This well-maintained building offers a part-time doorman, live-in superintendent and porters. Pet friendly - one dog (20lbs max)and one cat permitted. Low monthly maintenance is $801 and includes gas, electric, and air conditioning. Ideally located in Kingsbridge, the building is convenient to multiple transportation options including the subway, express buses, local buses, and Metro-North Railroad at Marble Hill. Enjoy nearby shopping, excellent public and private schools, and beautiful green spaces including Van Cortlandt Park. Offered at $238,500 - this wonderful apartment will not last! Photos have been virtually staged.
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 10/10 Extreme FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 99% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 1/10 Low
- Heat 6/10 Major 7 d/yr ≥99°F today · 15 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 6/10 Major 27% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 3/10 Moderate 3 unhealthy d/yr today · 4 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $30,401
- − Mortgage interest
- −$13,136
- − Property taxes
- −$3,518
- − Insurance
- −$1,970
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$2,432
- − Management
- −$2,432
- − HOA
- −$7,968
- − Depreciation
- −$6,822
- Taxable loss
- −$7,876
- Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
- +$1,890
- After-tax cash flow
- $-2,305/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Condition & rehab AI · 18 photos
This move-in ready apartment is in good condition with fresh paint and hardwood floors. It offers a good ROI with updates like painting and landscaping.
Value-add opportunities
- Resale Painting the kitchen cabinets — Fresh paint can enhance the appearance and value of the kitchen
- Resale Upgrading the kitchen appliances — Modern appliances can attract more buyers
- Both Landscaping the entrance — A well-maintained entrance can improve curb appeal and attract more tenants
Renovation cost estimate screening
Value-add ROI direction
- Resale Painting the kitchen cabinets — Fresh paint can enhance the appearance and value of the kitchen ↑
- Resale Upgrading the kitchen appliances — Modern appliances can attract more buyers ↑
- Both Landscaping the entrance — A well-maintained entrance can improve curb appeal and attract more tenants ↑
ⓘ Cost ranges are severity-bucket heuristics (US national rule-of-thumb). Get contractor quotes + a written scope before underwriting a rehab budget.
Schools (NCES district)
No district data.
Livability — New York
- Score
- 75/100
- State rank
- #268
- US rank
- #4188
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- New York, NY
- County
- Bronx County · 1,197,324 people
- City population
- 7,731,280
- Metro
- New York-Newark-Jersey City, NY-NJ-PA
- Population (ZIP)
- 69,470
- Household income
- $74,974
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 5586.0
Population outlook (Bronx County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 1,607,353 people
- By 2030
- 1,681,852 · +4.6%
- By 2040
- 1,824,421 · +13.5%
- By 2050
- 1,945,470 · +21.0%
- By 2075
- 2,187,887 · +36.1%
- By 2100
- 2,244,136 · +39.6%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.65)
- Race & ethnicity
- Hispanic / Latino 50% White 30% Two or more races 17% Black 12% Asian 4% Native American 2%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 3% Puerto Rican 12% Cuban 1% Dominican 25%
- Common ancestry
- Scotch-Irish 3% Romanian 2% Lithuanian 1%
- Foreign-born
- 30% · Canada, Jamaica, China
- Languages at home
- 50% English-only · Spanish 40% Other Indo-European 3% Russian/Polish/Slavic 2%
Political lean MEDSL · Bronx
- 2024 margin
- Solid D (+45.4) · D 72.7% · R 27.3%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -32.3pp toward R · 2008: 77.8pp · 2024: 45.4pp
- All cycles
- 2024: D+45.4 2020: D+67.6 2016: D+79.1 2012: D+82.9 2008: D+77.8
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -294.75%
- Current HPI
- 168.0211
- Rent YoY
- ▲ 11.60%
- Metro
- New York-Newark-Jersey City, NY-NJ-PA
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 2.60%
- F500 in state
- 92
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in NY)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Financial Services | 10 | $950B |
|
||
| Consumer Goods | 9 | $162B |
|
||
| Insurance | 4 | $225B |
|
||
| Telecommunications | 2 | $144B |
|
||
| Pharmaceuticals | 2 | $112B |
|
||
| Media / Entertainment | 2 | $69B |
|
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Price history
+0.0% since first listed2 events — show timeline
- 2026-05-13 Listed $238,500 OneKey® MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2026-05-13 Listed $238,500 RLS at REBNY
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…