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60 Sage Ave
B Composite 70.6
Why this score? — see what drove the B grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +23.0/30.0
  • ARV discount +10.7/15.0
  • Appreciation +10.0/10.0
  • DSCR +7.4/10.0
  • Rent growth +5.0/5.0
  • 1% rule +4.8/10.0
  • Livability +3.9/5.0
  • Schools +3.3/10.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0

$194,900

60 Sage Ave · Buffalo, NY 14210
5 bd · 1.5 ba · 1,779 sqft · SingleFamily public records · 11 Days on market
Built 1930 5,075 sqft lot Est $210k · 7% under

🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks

Welcome to 60 Sage Ave — a beautifully maintained 4-bedroom, 1.5-bath, two-story home in the heart of South Buffalo. This charming property features a newly remodeled kitchen complete with custom cabinetry offering built-in storage solutions, solid-surface quartz countertops, and durable engineered flooring. The kitchen is both stylish and functional, making it a standout feature of the home. The first floor offers a spacious layout with a large dining room, a separate living room, and gleaming hardwood floors throughout. Two generously sized bedrooms are conveniently located on the main level. Upstairs, you’ll find two additional bedrooms, a half bathroom, and a versatile bonus

Key facts

  • Custom cabinetry
  • Large dining room
  • Engineered flooring

Tags

NEWLY REMODELED KITCHENCUSTOM CABINETRYENGINEERED FLOORINGLARGE DINING ROOMSEPARATE LIVING ROOMGLEAMING HARDWOOD FLOORS

Property features AI

Exterior

  • Parking: No garage
  • Utilities: High-speed internet available; Public water connected; Sewer connected; Circuit breaker electrical service
  • Home design: Single-story residence; Existing (pre-owned) property; Aluminum siding
  • Construction: Block foundation
  • Exterior features: Blacktop driveway; Rectangular residential lot; City street frontage

Interior

  • Kitchen: Quartz counters; Microwave
  • Bedrooms: Two main-level bedrooms; One second-level bedroom
  • Flooring: Carpet; Hardwood; Varies
  • Bathrooms: One full bathroom; One half bathroom; One main-level bathroom
  • Heating & cooling: Gas forced-air heating
  • Interior features: Ceiling fan(s); Separate/formal dining room; Separate/formal living room; Quartz counters; Natural woodwork; Bedroom on main level; Has full basement
  • Laundry & utility: Laundry in basement; Gas water heater

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 5-bed/1.5-bath single-family listed at $195k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $292 ($4k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $190k (2.4% below list).
  • Recommended offer: $190k (2.4% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 77/100 on livability (#195 in NY, #3,011 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: commute A+, housing A+, health & safety A+; Watch: crime F, employment D-.
  • Buffalo City School District (urban): math 41% / reading 40% proficiency, ranked #535 of 590 in NY (top 91%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases; 75% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
  • Market conditions: Rents rising fast (+12.7%/yr); 94 active listings in the ZIP; 1,244 units permitted in Erie County in 2024 (563 in 5+ unit buildings).
  • This rent runs 42% of the median local income ($54k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.

Forward outlook

  • In year one you build about $21k of equity ($1k loan paydown + $19k appreciation (10.0% local appreciation)).
  • At projected returns (10.0% appreciation + 8.0% rent growth), your $55k cash investment doubles in ~3 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
  • By year 2, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$33k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.

Negotiation context

  • Only 11 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Watch-outs: flood insurance adds $56/mo; built in 1930 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
  • Climate carrying-cost: major flood risk — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Recommended offer $190,312 (2.4% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. Built in 1930 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  2. What's the actual annual flood-insurance premium (NFIP or private), and is the property in a SFHA with mandatory coverage?
  3. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  4. Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
  5. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  6. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  7. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
0.98%
Cap rate
8.43%
Cash-on-cash
7.64%
DSCR
1.34
GRM
8.5

CMA / ARV

ARV (on-the-fly)
$209,922
Comps found
12
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
111 Sage Ave 0.11mi 4/1.5 (-1) 1,676 (-6%) 8mo $165,000 $98 74
97 Unger Ave 0.22mi 4/1.0 (-1) 1,787 (+0%) 13mo $215,000 $120 71
31 Pawnee Pkwy 0.32mi 5/2.0 1,782 (+0%) 18mo $184,500 $104 67
56 Gorski St 0.52mi 6/2.0 (+1) 1,747 (-2%) 1mo $235,000 $135 65
1794 Seneca St 0.10mi 6/1.5 (+1) 1,952 (+10%) 18mo $140,000 $72 59
38 Mumford St 0.50mi 6/2.0 (+1) 1,863 (+5%) 4mo $244,000 $131 58
188 Cumberland Ave 0.52mi 4/2.0 (-1) 1,723 (-3%) 9mo $143,000 $83 56
55 Princeton Pl 0.63mi 5/1.0 1,617 (-9%) 2mo $190,000 $118 52
19 Robins St 0.56mi 4/2.0 (-1) 1,672 (-6%) 10mo $245,000 $147 48
45 Clio Ave 0.67mi 4/1.5 (-1) 1,627 (-8%) 8mo $175,000 $108 43
5 Yale Pl 0.58mi 4/2.0 (-1) 1,953 (+10%) 18mo $310,248 $159 35
222 Weimar St 0.70mi 4/1.0 (-1) 1,997 (+12%) 17mo $145,000 $73 26

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

10.0% appreciation · 8.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
30.8%
Equity multiple
3.47×
Total profit
$134,753
Equity at exit
$175,581
10-year hold
IRR
28.2%
Equity multiple
8.46×
Total profit
$407,005
Equity at exit
$378,648

Cash invested: $54,572 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
15 Strongly Tenant-Friendly
State New York
15 Strongly Tenant-Friendly · D+10
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
NYC rent stabilization (~1M units); 2019 HSTPA strengthened tenant rights; courts deeply backlogged.

ZIP-level market 14210

Home prices YoY
13.8%
Rents YoY
12.7%
Active inventory
94
Price-to-rent
8.5×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$1,903 medium interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$1,022
Tax from tax record
$53 /mo · $631/yr
Insurance
$81
Flood insurance flood zone
−$56 /mo · $666/yr
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$400
Net cashflow
$292

Break-even live

Break-even rent $1,533
Max offer price $194,900
Occupancy floor 80%

Sensitivity live

Price -10% $402 -5% $347 +0% $292 +5% $237 +10% $182
Rent -10% $142 -5% $217 +0% $292 +5% $367 +10% $442
Rate -1.0pp $390 -0.5pp $342 base $292 +0.5pp $242 +1.0pp $190

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$48,725
Closing costs
$5,847
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Listing history 6 events

  1. 2026-06-07
    statusdays on market $194,900 Pending 11 DOM
  2. 2026-06-03
    days on market $194,900 Active 8 DOM
  3. 2026-06-02
    days on market $194,900 Active 7 DOM
  4. 2026-06-01
    days on market $194,900 Active 6 DOM
  5. 2026-05-31
    days on market $194,900 Active 5 DOM
  6. 2026-05-26
    listed $194,900 Active

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast NY · Partial reset (capped growth)

Current annual tax
$631 · $53/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$1,962 · $164/mo
Expected delta
+$1,332/yr (+$111/mo · 211.1%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 7/10 Severe FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 76% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 1/10 Low
  • 🌡 Heat 3/10 Moderate 7 d/yr ≥92°F today · 15 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 1/10 Low
  • 🫁 Air quality 3/10 Moderate 2 unhealthy d/yr today · 3 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$22,837
− Mortgage interest
−$10,917
− Property taxes
−$631
− Insurance
−$1,641
− Repairs & maintenance
−$1,827
− Management
−$1,827
− Depreciation
−$5,670
Taxable income
$324
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
−$78
After-tax cash flow
$3,427/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Buffalo City School District
NCES district ID
3605850
Math proficiency
41% ▲ 11.00%
Reading proficiency
40% ▲ 7.00%
Median HH income
$31,665
Composite
33.17/100
National rank
#5544
State rank
#535 of 590 in NY

Livability — Buffalo

Score
77/100
State rank
#195
US rank
#3011

Category grades

Amenities A Commute A+ Cost of living A Crime F Employment D- Housing A+ Health & safety A+ User ratings F

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Buffalo, NY
County
Erie County · 714,559 people
City population
440,021
Metro
Buffalo-Cheektowaga, NY
Population (ZIP)
15,563
Household income
$54,197
Rent vs Own
53.9% rent · 46.1% own
Severe rent burden
959.0

Population outlook (Erie County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
933,037 people
By 2030
935,181 · +0.2%
By 2040
928,531 · -0.5%
By 2050
905,725 · -2.9%
By 2075
834,037 · -10.6%
By 2100
708,033 · -24.1%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly White (79%)
Race & ethnicity
White 79% Two or more races 8% Black 8% Hispanic / Latino 7% Asian 1%
Hispanic origin (detail)
Puerto Rican 6%
Common ancestry
Romanian 21% Lithuanian 2% Serbian 1%
Foreign-born
2% · Canada, China
Languages at home
95% English-only · Spanish 2% Arabic 1% Other Indo-European 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Erie

2024 margin
Lean D (+9.7) · D 54.8% · R 45.2%
2008→2024 swing
-7.9pp toward R · 2008: 17.5pp · 2024: 9.7pp
All cycles
2024: D+9.7 2020: D+14.7 2016: D+4.8 2012: D+15.6 2008: D+17.5

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▲ 52.34%
Current HPI
431.7951
Rent YoY
▲ 12.67%
Metro
Buffalo-Cheektowaga, NY
State GDP YoY
▲ 2.60%
F500 in state
92

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in NY)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

1 event — show timeline
  • 2026-05-26 Listed $194,900 WNYREIS

Property tax history

+5.9%/yr

Latest (2025): $631 · +19.7% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

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