60 Sage Ave · Buffalo, NY
Flood risk 7/10 · Major
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.76%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $473 – $860
Fire risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $691 – $1,283
Heat risk 3/10 · Minor
- Hot days now (above 92°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 15 days/yr
Wind risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- —
Air-quality risk 3/10 · Minor
- Unhealthy air days now
- 2 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 3 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the B grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +23.0/30.0
- ARV discount +10.7/15.0
- Appreciation +10.0/10.0
- DSCR +7.4/10.0
- Rent growth +5.0/5.0
- 1% rule +4.8/10.0
- Livability +3.9/5.0
- Schools +3.3/10.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
$194,900
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks
Welcome to 60 Sage Ave — a beautifully maintained 4-bedroom, 1.5-bath, two-story home in the heart of South Buffalo. This charming property features a newly remodeled kitchen complete with custom cabinetry offering built-in storage solutions, solid-surface quartz countertops, and durable engineered flooring. The kitchen is both stylish and functional, making it a standout feature of the home. The first floor offers a spacious layout with a large dining room, a separate living room, and gleaming hardwood floors throughout. Two generously sized bedrooms are conveniently located on the main level. Upstairs, you’ll find two additional bedrooms, a half bathroom, and a versatile bonus
Key facts
- Custom cabinetry
- Large dining room
- Engineered flooring
Tags
Property features AI
Exterior
- Parking: No garage
- Utilities: High-speed internet available; Public water connected; Sewer connected; Circuit breaker electrical service
- Home design: Single-story residence; Existing (pre-owned) property; Aluminum siding
- Construction: Block foundation
- Exterior features: Blacktop driveway; Rectangular residential lot; City street frontage
Interior
- Kitchen: Quartz counters; Microwave
- Bedrooms: Two main-level bedrooms; One second-level bedroom
- Flooring: Carpet; Hardwood; Varies
- Bathrooms: One full bathroom; One half bathroom; One main-level bathroom
- Heating & cooling: Gas forced-air heating
- Interior features: Ceiling fan(s); Separate/formal dining room; Separate/formal living room; Quartz counters; Natural woodwork; Bedroom on main level; Has full basement
- Laundry & utility: Laundry in basement; Gas water heater
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 5-bed/1.5-bath single-family listed at $195k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $292 ($4k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $190k (2.4% below list).
- Recommended offer: $190k (2.4% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 77/100 on livability (#195 in NY, #3,011 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: commute A+, housing A+, health & safety A+; Watch: crime F, employment D-.
- Buffalo City School District (urban): math 41% / reading 40% proficiency, ranked #535 of 590 in NY (top 91%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases; 75% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
- Market conditions: Rents rising fast (+12.7%/yr); 94 active listings in the ZIP; 1,244 units permitted in Erie County in 2024 (563 in 5+ unit buildings).
- This rent runs 42% of the median local income ($54k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.
Forward outlook
- In year one you build about $21k of equity ($1k loan paydown + $19k appreciation (10.0% local appreciation)).
- At projected returns (10.0% appreciation + 8.0% rent growth), your $55k cash investment doubles in ~3 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
- By year 2, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$33k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.
Negotiation context
- Only 11 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: flood insurance adds $56/mo; built in 1930 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
- Climate carrying-cost: major flood risk — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- Built in 1930 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- What's the actual annual flood-insurance premium (NFIP or private), and is the property in a SFHA with mandatory coverage?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 0.98% ✗
- Cap rate
- 8.43%
- Cash-on-cash
- 7.64%
- DSCR
- 1.34
- GRM
- 8.5
CMA / ARV
- ARV (on-the-fly)
- $209,922
- Comps found
- 12
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 111 Sage Ave | 0.11mi | 4/1.5 (-1) | 1,676 (-6%) | 8mo | $165,000 | $98 | 74 |
| 97 Unger Ave | 0.22mi | 4/1.0 (-1) | 1,787 (+0%) | 13mo | $215,000 | $120 | 71 |
| 31 Pawnee Pkwy | 0.32mi | 5/2.0 | 1,782 (+0%) | 18mo | $184,500 | $104 | 67 |
| 56 Gorski St | 0.52mi | 6/2.0 (+1) | 1,747 (-2%) | 1mo | $235,000 | $135 | 65 |
| 1794 Seneca St | 0.10mi | 6/1.5 (+1) | 1,952 (+10%) | 18mo | $140,000 | $72 | 59 |
| 38 Mumford St | 0.50mi | 6/2.0 (+1) | 1,863 (+5%) | 4mo | $244,000 | $131 | 58 |
| 188 Cumberland Ave | 0.52mi | 4/2.0 (-1) | 1,723 (-3%) | 9mo | $143,000 | $83 | 56 |
| 55 Princeton Pl | 0.63mi | 5/1.0 | 1,617 (-9%) | 2mo | $190,000 | $118 | 52 |
| 19 Robins St | 0.56mi | 4/2.0 (-1) | 1,672 (-6%) | 10mo | $245,000 | $147 | 48 |
| 45 Clio Ave | 0.67mi | 4/1.5 (-1) | 1,627 (-8%) | 8mo | $175,000 | $108 | 43 |
| 5 Yale Pl | 0.58mi | 4/2.0 (-1) | 1,953 (+10%) | 18mo | $310,248 | $159 | 35 |
| 222 Weimar St | 0.70mi | 4/1.0 (-1) | 1,997 (+12%) | 17mo | $145,000 | $73 | 26 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
10.0% appreciation · 8.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 30.8%
- Equity multiple
- 3.47×
- Total profit
- $134,753
- Equity at exit
- $175,581
- IRR
- 28.2%
- Equity multiple
- 8.46×
- Total profit
- $407,005
- Equity at exit
- $378,648
Cash invested: $54,572 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 15 Strongly Tenant-Friendly
- State New York
- 15 Strongly Tenant-Friendly · D+10
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 14210
- Home prices YoY
- 13.8%
- Rents YoY
- 12.7%
- Active inventory
- 94
- Price-to-rent
- 8.5×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,903 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$1,022
- Tax from tax record
- −$53 /mo · $631/yr
- Insurance
- −$81
- Flood insurance flood zone
- −$56 /mo · $666/yr
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$400
- Net cashflow
- $292
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $402 | -5% $347 | +0% $292 | +5% $237 | +10% $182 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $142 | -5% $217 | +0% $292 | +5% $367 | +10% $442 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $390 | -0.5pp $342 | base $292 | +0.5pp $242 | +1.0pp $190 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $48,725
- Closing costs
- $5,847
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Listing history 6 events
-
2026-06-07statusdays on market $194,900 Pending 11 DOM
-
2026-06-03days on market $194,900 Active 8 DOM
-
2026-06-02days on market $194,900 Active 7 DOM
-
2026-06-01days on market $194,900 Active 6 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $194,900 Active 5 DOM
-
2026-05-26$194,900 Active
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast NY · Partial reset (capped growth)
- Current annual tax
- $631 · $53/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $1,962 · $164/mo
- Expected delta
- +$1,332/yr (+$111/mo · 211.1%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 7/10 Severe FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 76% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 1/10 Low
- Heat 3/10 Moderate 7 d/yr ≥92°F today · 15 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 1/10 Low
- Air quality 3/10 Moderate 2 unhealthy d/yr today · 3 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $22,837
- − Mortgage interest
- −$10,917
- − Property taxes
- −$631
- − Insurance
- −$1,641
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,827
- − Management
- −$1,827
- − Depreciation
- −$5,670
- Taxable income
- $324
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$78
- After-tax cash flow
- $3,427/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Buffalo City School District
- NCES district ID
- 3605850
- Math proficiency
- 41% ▲ 11.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 40% ▲ 7.00%
- Median HH income
- $31,665
- Composite
- 33.17/100
- National rank
- #5544
- State rank
- #535 of 590 in NY
Livability — Buffalo
- Score
- 77/100
- State rank
- #195
- US rank
- #3011
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Buffalo, NY
- County
- Erie County · 714,559 people
- City population
- 440,021
- Metro
- Buffalo-Cheektowaga, NY
- Population (ZIP)
- 15,563
- Household income
- $54,197
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 959.0
Population outlook (Erie County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 933,037 people
- By 2030
- 935,181 · +0.2%
- By 2040
- 928,531 · -0.5%
- By 2050
- 905,725 · -2.9%
- By 2075
- 834,037 · -10.6%
- By 2100
- 708,033 · -24.1%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (79%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 79% Two or more races 8% Black 8% Hispanic / Latino 7% Asian 1%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Puerto Rican 6%
- Common ancestry
- Romanian 21% Lithuanian 2% Serbian 1%
- Foreign-born
- 2% · Canada, China
- Languages at home
- 95% English-only · Spanish 2% Arabic 1% Other Indo-European 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Erie
- 2024 margin
- Lean D (+9.7) · D 54.8% · R 45.2%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -7.9pp toward R · 2008: 17.5pp · 2024: 9.7pp
- All cycles
- 2024: D+9.7 2020: D+14.7 2016: D+4.8 2012: D+15.6 2008: D+17.5
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▲ 52.34%
- Current HPI
- 431.7951
- Rent YoY
- ▲ 12.67%
- Metro
- Buffalo-Cheektowaga, NY
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 2.60%
- F500 in state
- 92
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in NY)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Financial Services | 10 | $950B |
|
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| Consumer Goods | 9 | $162B |
|
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| Insurance | 4 | $225B |
|
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| Telecommunications | 2 | $144B |
|
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| Pharmaceuticals | 2 | $112B |
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| Media / Entertainment | 2 | $69B |
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Price history
1 event — show timeline
- 2026-05-26 Listed $194,900 WNYREIS
Property tax history
+5.9%/yrLatest (2025): $631 · +19.7% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…