🏷️ Likely Rental
150 Indian Oak Ct #6 · Molalla, OR
Flood risk 4/10 · Minor
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.22%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 6/10 · Moderate
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $498 – $926
Heat risk 3/10 · Minor
- Hot days now (above 90°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 15 days/yr
Wind risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- —
Air-quality risk 10/10 · Severe
- Unhealthy air days now
- 13 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 15 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the D grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +15.0/30.0
- ARV discount +7.5/15.0
- 1% rule +5.0/10.0
- DSCR +5.0/10.0
- Livability +4.0/5.0
- Schools +2.8/10.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$43,000
🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
Accepted Offer with Contingencies. The price is right in Indian Oak Community for all ages! Indoor utility room & large fully fenced backyard with storage shed offer both convenience & extra storage. Situated on quiet no-through street, providing a peaceful setting with minimal traffic. Spacious kitchen opens seamlessly to the dining and living areas, creating an ideal layout for everyday living & possible RV parking adds additional flexibility & value. AS-IS, seller will not do repairs. $560/month park rent covers water, sewer & garbage.
Key facts
- Possible rv parking
- Spacious kitchen
- Indoor utility room
Tags
Property features AI
Finance
- Other: Property located in a park (manufactured home in park); Parcel number 01489963
- HOA & community: Monthly lot rent ($560)
Exterior
- Parking: RV parking available
- Utilities: Electric fuel; Public water; Public sewer
- Home design: Manufactured home in a park; Residential property; Single-story living; Territorial view
- Construction: Built in 1991; Composition roof
- Exterior features: Tool shed; T-111 siding; Paved road access
Interior
- Kitchen: Kitchen (appliances: electric hot water)
- Bedrooms: Primary bedroom (main level); 2nd bedroom (main level); 3rd bedroom (main level)
- Flooring: Vinyl; Carpet
- Bathrooms: Two full bathrooms (both on main level)
- Heating & cooling: Baseboard heating; No cooling system listed
- Interior features: One-level accessibility; Vinyl flooring; Wall-to-wall carpet
- Laundry & utility: Utility room (main level)
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 3-bed/2.0-bath condo listed at $43k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $1k ($14k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $43k).
- Cap rate 38.2% vs local median 2.8% in Molalla — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 79/100 on livability (#62 in OR, #2,293 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: crime A+, housing A+, health & safety A+; Watch: cost of living C-, amenities F.
- Molalla River SD 35 (town): math 21% / reading 43% proficiency, ranked #32 of 58 in OR (top 55%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
- Zoned schools: Molalla River Academy (math 34% / reading 54%, grade F, #143 of 412 statewide, top 38%, 202 students, 18% FRL, charter); Molalla River Middle School (math 15% / reading 41%, grade F, #95 of 128 statewide, top 74%, 532 students, 33% FRL); Molalla High School (math 27% / reading 52%, grade F, #78 of 143 statewide, top 58%, 763 students, 32% FRL).
- Market conditions: 108 active listings in the ZIP; 5 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals leasing fast (median 2d on market — plan ~1-2 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); solid renter incomes; 946 units permitted in Clackamas County in 2024 (188 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $297 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $1k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Clackamas County population projected at +25% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
- At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $12k cash investment doubles in ~1 year — after that, you're playing with house money.
Negotiation context
- Only 5 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.
- 2 sale attempts with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
Risks & watch-outs
- Climate carrying-cost: major wildfire risk — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- Any open or pending special assessments — roof, HVAC, plumbing, elevator, façade? What's the per-unit balance and payoff schedule, and is the seller paying it off at close or rolling it to the buyer?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
- The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new apartment / multifamily construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply (>2% of stock underway) typically softens rents 12–24 months out; light construction supports rent growth.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 4.24% ✓
- Cap rate
- 38.20%
- Cash-on-cash
- 113.94%
- DSCR
- 6.07
- GRM
- 2.0
CMA / ARV
- ARV (median comp)
- $355,482
- List price
- $43,000
- Delta
- -87.90%
- Verdict
- UNDERPRICED
- Comps
- 4 within 1.0 mi
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- —
- Equity multiple
- 6.47×
- Total profit
- $65,872
- Equity at exit
- $6,411
- IRR
- —
- Equity multiple
- 13.56×
- Total profit
- $151,229
- Equity at exit
- $3,718
Cash invested: $12,040 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 28 Tenant-Leaning
- State Oregon
- 28 Tenant-Leaning · D+6
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 97038
- Active inventory
- 108
- Price-to-rent
- 2.0×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,824 high interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$225
- Tax from tax record
- −$54 /mo · $651/yr
- Insurance
- −$18
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$383
- Net cashflow
- $1,143
Break-even live
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $10,750
- Closing costs
- $1,290
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 5 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 899 E Main St Molalla, OR | 2.0 | 1.0 | 828 | $1,215 | $1.47 | 2d | 1 | 0.37mi |
| 201 S Leroy Ave Molalla, OR | 1.0–3.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 966 | $2,242 | $2.32 | 2d | 11 | 0.90mi |
| 872 W Main St Molalla, OR | 3.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 876 | $2,090 | $2.38 | 2d | 23 | 1.15mi |
| 1000 W Main St Molalla, OR | 2.0 | 1.0 | 945 | $1,419 | $1.50 | 2d | 1 | 1.23mi |
| 1111 Meadow Dr Molalla, OR | 2.0 | 1.0 | 855 | $1,525 | $1.78 | 2d | 2 | 1.45mi |
HOA detail condo
- Monthly dues
- $0 · $0/yr
- Likely covers
- watersewertrash
- Assessments
- None detected in remarks — confirm with the listing agent.
Listing history 2 events
-
2026-05-15$43,000 Active 529-char remark
Show marketing remark (564 chars)
Accepted Offer with Contingencies. The price is right in Indian Oak Community for all ages! Indoor utility room & large fully fenced backyard with storage shed offer both convenience & extra storage. Situated on quiet no-through street, providing a peaceful setting with minimal traffic. Spacious kitchen opens seamlessly to the dining and living areas, creating an ideal layout for everyday living & possible RV parking adds additional flexibility & value. AS-IS, seller will not do repairs. $560/month park rent covers water, sewer & garbage.
-
2026-05-15$43,000 Active 529-char remark
Show marketing remark (564 chars)
Accepted Offer with Contingencies. The price is right in Indian Oak Community for all ages! Indoor utility room & large fully fenced backyard with storage shed offer both convenience & extra storage. Situated on quiet no-through street, providing a peaceful setting with minimal traffic. Spacious kitchen opens seamlessly to the dining and living areas, creating an ideal layout for everyday living & possible RV parking adds additional flexibility & value. AS-IS, seller will not do repairs. $560/month park rent covers water, sewer & garbage.
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast OR · Resets to sale price
- Current annual tax
- $651 · $54/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $651 · $54/mo
- Expected delta
- $0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 4/10 Moderate FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 22% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 6/10 Major
- Heat 3/10 Moderate 7 d/yr ≥90°F today · 15 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 1/10 Low
- Air quality 10/10 Extreme 13 unhealthy d/yr today · 15 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $21,886
- − Mortgage interest
- −$2,409
- − Property taxes
- −$651
- − Insurance
- −$215
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,751
- − Management
- −$1,751
- − Depreciation
- −$1,251
- Taxable income
- $13,859
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$3,326
- After-tax cash flow
- $10,392/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Molalla River SD 35
- NCES district ID
- 4108310
- Math proficiency
- 21% ▼ -13.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 43% ▼ -7.00%
- Median HH income
- $57,194
- Composite
- 28.46/100
- National rank
- #6748
- State rank
- #32 of 58 in OR
Livability — Molalla
- Score
- 79/100
- State rank
- #62
- US rank
- #2293
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Molalla, OR
- County
- Clackamas County · 361,406 people
- City population
- 16,440
- Metro
- Portland-Vancouver-Hillsboro, OR-WA
- Population (ZIP)
- 16,440
- Household income
- $89,564
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 439.0
Population outlook (Clackamas County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 458,456 people
- By 2030
- 485,185 · +5.8%
- By 2040
- 532,932 · +16.2%
- By 2050
- 574,445 · +25.3%
- By 2075
- 665,497 · +45.2%
- By 2100
- 697,488 · +52.1%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (86%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 86% Hispanic / Latino 11% Two or more races 4%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 9%
- Common ancestry
- Slovak 4% Portuguese 4% Italian 3%
- Foreign-born
- 4% · Canada
- Languages at home
- 92% English-only · Spanish 6% Russian/Polish/Slavic 1% German/W. Germanic 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Clackamas
- 2024 margin
- Lean D (+9.7) · D 53.4% · R 43.6% · Other 3.0%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -0.6pp no change · 2008: 10.4pp · 2024: 9.7pp
- All cycles
- 2024: D+9.7 2020: D+11.1 2016: D+6.1 2012: D+3.5 2008: D+10.4
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -185.07%
- Current HPI
- 287.6491
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- Portland-Vancouver-Hillsboro, OR-WA
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 2.05%
- F500 in state
- 2
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in OR)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Consumer Goods | 1 | $51B |
|
||
Price history
+0.0% since first listed4 events — show timeline
- 2026-05-21 Pending — RMLS
- 2026-05-21 Contingent — WVMLS
- 2026-05-15 Listed $43,000 WVMLS
- 2026-05-15 Listed $43,000 RMLS
Property tax history
+4.7%/yrLatest (2025): $651 · +3.4% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…