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1524 Canfield Ave
B- Composite 69.89
Why this score? — see what drove the B- grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +27.9/30.0
  • ARV discount +15.0/15.0
  • DSCR +9.9/10.0
  • 1% rule +6.8/10.0
  • Rent growth +3.3/5.0
  • Livability +3.2/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Schools +1.3/10.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$89,900

1524 Canfield Ave · Dayton, OH 45406
3 bd · 1.0 ba · 922 sqft · SingleFamily public records · 6 Days on market
Built 1944 6,952 sqft lot Est $108k · 17% under

🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks MLS

Just a touch here n' there will bring this 3 bedrooms, 1 bath, home back to it's former beauty. Copper plumbing, electric breakers, full unfinished basement ready for finishing, large rear yard. Basics are here it needs you to finish. Sq. ft. 922 per tax records. Dining room! Window unit! Partial fence back yard. One car attached garage with opener.

Key facts

  • 6,952 sq ft lot
  • Garage
  • Built 1944

Tags

WOOD FRAME AND SIDING EXTERIORFULL UNFINISHED BASEMENTCENTRAL FORCED AIR HEATINGCENTRAL COOLING SYSTEMWELL-ESTABLISHED NEIGHBORHOOD

Property features AI

Finance

  • Financial info: Offered for sale

Exterior

  • Parking: One-car garage
  • Home design: Single-family style; Main-level entry
  • Construction: Aluminum siding; Vinyl siding
  • Exterior features: 50 x 139 lot; Residential zoning

Interior

  • Kitchen: Range; Refrigerator
  • Bedrooms: Bedroom on main level (10 x 10)
  • Bathrooms: One full bathroom on main level
  • Heating & cooling: Forced air heating; Central air conditioning
  • Interior features: Full basement

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 3-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $90k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $277 ($3k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $90k).
  • Cap rate 10.0% vs local median 7.4% in Dayton — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 65/100 on livability (#716 in OH) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+, health & safety A; Watch: schools C-, amenities C-, crime F.
  • Dayton City (urban): math 12% / reading 21% proficiency, ranked #641 of 656 in OH (top 98%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 74% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
  • Market conditions: Rents rising (+3.0%/yr); 156 active listings in the ZIP; 40 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 24d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 48% of comp listings sitting > 30 days — soft ceiling on asking rent; lower-income renter base — watch delinquency; 907 units permitted in Montgomery County in 2024 (416 in 5+ unit buildings).
  • This rent runs 30% of the median local income ($42k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $622 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $3k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • Montgomery County population projected at -10% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
  • At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $25k cash investment doubles in ~9 years — after that, you're playing with house money.

Negotiation context

  • Only 6 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.
  • 2 sale attempts since 7y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
  • Current owner paid $30k; list at $90k implies a 200% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Watch-outs: built in 1944 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Recommended offer $89,900

Questions for the listing agent

  1. Built in 1944 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  2. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  3. Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
  4. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  5. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  6. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
1.18%
Cap rate
9.99%
Cash-on-cash
13.21%
DSCR
1.59
GRM
7.1

CMA / ARV

ARV (on-the-fly)
$107,874
Comps found
12
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
1335 Kingsley Ave 0.33mi 3/1.0 900 (-2%) 4mo $94,900 $105 78
1812 Haverhill Dr 0.50mi 3/1.0 933 (+1%) 1mo $108,900 $117 74
3250 Campus Dr 0.20mi 3/1.0 1,008 (+9%) 2mo $129,900 $129 74
1816 Wesleyan Rd 0.51mi 3/1.5 920 (-0%) 6mo $133,000 $145 69
3007 Cornell Dr 0.11mi 2/1.0 (-1) 827 (-10%) 9mo $29,019 $35 65
3816 Lori Sue Ave 0.68mi 3/1.0 925 (+0%) 3mo $152,000 $164 65
3908 Necco St 0.73mi 3/1.0 936 (+2%) 8mo $127,000 $136 57
1519 Vancouver Dr 0.61mi 3/1.0 981 (+6%) 5mo $134,999 $138 57
1215 Philadelphia Dr 0.44mi 3/1.0 1,056 (+14%) 1mo $108,000 $102 54
1906 Kensington Dr 0.60mi 3/1.0 1,034 (+12%) 5mo $82,000 $79 47
1958 Wesleyan Rd 0.73mi 3/1.0 832 (-10%) 9mo $65,000 $78 42
936 Walton Ave 0.75mi 2/1.0 (-1) 792 (-14%) 5mo $60,000 $76 32

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 3.03% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
3.2%
Equity multiple
1.12×
Total profit
$3,086
Equity at exit
$13,404
10-year hold
IRR
12.7%
Equity multiple
2.01×
Total profit
$25,453
Equity at exit
$7,773

Cash invested: $25,172 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
73 Landlord-Friendly
State Ohio
73 Landlord-Friendly · R+6
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
3-day notice; Cleveland / Columbus have some habitability code enforcement; otherwise landlord-leaning.

ZIP-level market 45406

Rents YoY
3.0%
Active inventory
156
Price-to-rent
7.1×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$1,062 high interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$471
Tax from tax record
$53 /mo · $636/yr
Insurance
$37
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$223
Net cashflow
$277

Break-even live

Break-even rent $711
Max offer price $89,900
Occupancy floor 69%

Sensitivity live

Price -10% $328 -5% $302 +0% $277 +5% $252 +10% $226
Rent -10% $193 -5% $235 +0% $277 +5% $319 +10% $361
Rate -1.0pp $322 -0.5pp $300 base $277 +0.5pp $254 +1.0pp $230

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$22,475
Closing costs
$2,697
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 40 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
3007 Cornell Dr Dayton, OH 2.0 1.0 827 $1,000 $1.21 4d 1 0.11mi
3220 Princeton Dr Dayton, OH 3.0 1.0 900 $1,000 $1.11 44d 1 0.21mi
3222 Athens Ave Unit C Dayton, OH 2.0 1.0 700 $700 $1.00 44d 1 0.34mi
3552 Stanford Pl Dayton, OH 2.0 1.0 800 $800 $1.00 24d 1 0.36mi
3552 Stanford Pl Unit 3552 Dayton, OH 2.0 1.0 800 $800 $1.00 44d 1 0.36mi
3311 Otterbein Ave Dayton, OH 3.0 1.5 1004 $1,300 $1.29 12d 1 0.47mi
3652 Otterbein Ave Unit 3652 Dayton, OH 2.0 1.0 700 $800 $1.14 3d 1 0.50mi
3650 Otterbein Ave Unit 3650 Dayton, OH 2.0 1.0 900 $800 $0.89 3d 1 0.50mi
1816 N James H McGee Blvd Apt A Dayton, OH 3.0 1.0 950 $1,200 $1.26 3d 1 0.52mi
1816 N James H McGee Blvd Unit C Dayton, OH 3.0 1.0 950 $1,150 $1.21 3d 1 0.52mi
1816 N James H McGee Blvd Apt B Dayton, OH 3.0 1.0 950 $1,150 $1.21 44d 1 0.52mi
3537 Otterbein Ave Unit d Dayton, OH 2.0 1.0 900 $925 $1.03 44d 1 0.53mi
1732 Harold Dr Dayton, OH 2.0 1.0 805 $925 $1.15 44d 1 0.56mi
1720 Kings Mill Ct Dayton, OH 2.0 1.5 975 $925 $0.95 24d 1 0.61mi
920 Huron Ave Dayton, OH 2.0 1.0 950 $995 $1.05 4d 1 0.64mi
635 Anna St Dayton, OH 3.0 1.0 960 $1,300 $1.35 15d 1 0.71mi
1903 W Grand Ave Unit 4 Dayton, OH 2.0 1.0 600 $850 $1.42 44d 1 0.80mi
2109 Victoria Ave Dayton, OH 2.0 1.0 714 $950 $1.33 4d 1 0.82mi
828 Walton Ave Unit 832 Walton Dayton, OH 2.0 1.0 750 $795 $1.06 24d 1 0.83mi
725 Maplehurst Ave Dayton, OH 2.0 1.0 1104 $895 $0.81 44d 1 0.92mi
863 N Upland Ave Dayton, OH 3.0 1.0 1042 $1,200 $1.15 44d 1 0.92mi
1207 W Fairview Ave Dayton, OH 2.0 1.0 1023 $825 $0.81 44d 1 1.00mi
1207 W Fairview Ave Dayton, OH 2.0 1.0 1023 $825 $0.81 4d 1 1.00mi
628 W Norman Ave Unit 628 Dayton, OH 2.0 1.0 918 $795 $0.87 44d 1 1.05mi
1004 W Fairview Ave Dayton, OH 2.0 1.0 1053 $950 $0.90 24d 1 1.05mi
3925 Hoover Ave Dayton, OH 2.0 1.0 936 $1,100 $1.18 3d 1 1.13mi
1019 Cherry Dr Dayton, OH 4.0 1.0 1057 $1,125 $1.06 44d 1 1.17mi
829 Uhrig Ave Unit 3 Dayton, OH 2.0 1.0 760 $875 $1.15 15d 1 1.20mi
1067 Salem Ave Dayton, OH 2.0 1.0 1100 $900 $0.82 44d 1 1.21mi
1067 Salem Ave Unit 3 Dayton, OH 2.0 1.5 1100 $900 $0.82 44d 1 1.21mi
1067 Salem Ave Unit 2 Dayton, OH 2.0 1.5 1100 $900 $0.82 44d 1 1.21mi
4446 Waymire Ave Dayton, OH 3.0 1.0 1100 $1,100 $1.00 22d 1 1.26mi
2408 Falmouth Ave Dayton, OH 2.0 1.0 806 $950 $1.18 24d 1 1.30mi
412 W Parkwood Dr Unit 1 Dayton, OH 2.0 1.0 900 $875 $0.97 24d 1 1.30mi
2501 Fairport Ave Dayton, OH 2.0 1.0 605 $850 $1.40 44d 1 1.31mi
4629 Queens Ave Dayton, OH 2.0 1.0 900 $1,100 $1.22 44d 1 1.31mi
2609 Fairport Ave Dayton, OH 3.0 1.0 1000 $1,025 $1.02 3d 1 1.33mi
2333 Rustic Rd Dayton, OH 2.0 1.0 1000 $840 $0.84 44d 1 1.33mi
2333 Rustic Rd Unit 4 Dayton, OH 2.0 1.0 1000 $840 $0.84 3d 1 1.33mi
4576 Live Oak Dr Dayton, OH 3.0 1.0 864 $1,400 $1.62 44d 1 1.38mi

Listing history 6 events

  1. 2026-06-18
    days on market $89,900 Active 6 DOM
  2. 2026-06-17
    days on market $89,900 Active 5 DOM
  3. 2026-06-16
    days on market $89,900 Active 4 DOM
  4. 2026-06-15
    days on market $89,900 Active 3 DOM
  5. 2026-06-13
    remarks 579-char remark
  6. 2026-06-13
    listed $89,900 Active 1 DOM

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast OH · Partial reset (capped growth)

Current annual tax
$636 · $53/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$1,019 · $85/mo
Expected delta
+$383/yr (+$32/mo · 60.3%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 1/10 Low
  • 🌡 Heat 3/10 Moderate 7 d/yr ≥103°F today · 19 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 2/10 Low 0% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
  • 🫁 Air quality 3/10 Moderate 2 unhealthy d/yr today · 4 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

Loading sold comps map…

Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

Loading nearby amenities…

Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$12,743
− Mortgage interest
−$5,036
− Property taxes
−$636
− Insurance
−$450
− Repairs & maintenance
−$1,019
− Management
−$1,019
− Depreciation
−$2,615
Taxable income
$1,967
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
−$472
After-tax cash flow
$2,852/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Dayton City
NCES district ID
3904384
Math proficiency
12% ▼ -12.00%
Reading proficiency
21% ▼ -11.00%
Median HH income
$28,688
Composite
12.94/100
National rank
#9579
State rank
#641 of 656 in OH

Livability — Dayton

Score
65/100
State rank
#716
US rank
#12895

Category grades

Amenities C- Commute F Cost of living A+ Crime F Employment F Housing A+ Health & safety A User ratings F

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Dayton, OH
County
Montgomery County · 459,541 people
City population
164,387
Metro
Dayton-Kettering, OH
Population (ZIP)
19,991
Household income
$41,796
Rent vs Own
52.9% rent · 47.1% own
Severe rent burden
1504.0

Population outlook (Montgomery County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
523,241 people
By 2030
514,948 · -1.6%
By 2040
493,378 · -5.7%
By 2050
469,639 · -10.2%
By 2075
418,360 · -20.0%
By 2100
353,315 · -32.5%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly Black (75%)
Race & ethnicity
Black 75% White 16% Two or more races 7% Hispanic / Latino 3%
Common ancestry
Italian 2% Lithuanian 1% Slovak 1%
Foreign-born
2% · Canada
Languages at home
97% English-only · Spanish 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Montgomery

2024 margin
Toss-up / Even · D 49.8% · R 49.3%
2008→2024 swing
-5.8pp toward R · 2008: 6.2pp · 2024: 0.5pp
All cycles
2024: D+0.5 2020: D+2.2 2016: R+1.2 2012: D+3.1 2008: D+6.2

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -113.75%
Current HPI
197.1302
Rent YoY
▲ 3.03%
Metro
Dayton-Kettering, OH
State GDP YoY
▲ 1.98%
F500 in state
48

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in OH)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

+129.3% since first listed
4 events — show timeline
  • 2026-06-12 Listed $89,900 Dayton MLS
  • 2019-06-27 Sold (MLS) $30,000 Dayton MLS
  • 2019-06-27 Sold (MLS) $30,000 Dayton MLS
  • 2019-06-09 Listed $39,200 Dayton MLS

Property tax history

-0.6%/yr

Latest (2025): $636 · -0.2% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

Loading sold comps…