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18959 Rockcastle St
B- Composite 66.19
Why this score? — see what drove the B- grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +30.0/30.0
  • DSCR +10.0/10.0
  • 1% rule +8.7/10.0
  • ARV discount +7.5/15.0
  • Livability +3.7/5.0
  • Rent growth +2.5/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Schools +1.3/10.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$90,000

18959 Rockcastle St · Detroit, MI 48236
2 bd · 1.0 ba · 899 sqft · SingleFamily public records · 8 Days on market
Built 1952 5,663 sqft lot

🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks MLS

2bd 1bath Detroit Ranch home with Grosse Pointe Zip Code and minutes away from hospital and tons of shopping and restaurants. Tenant occupied paying $1000 a month on month on month at this time willing to stay and property management ran as well. Great for all types of buyers looking to downsize or start out on their own. BATVAI

Key facts

  • 5,663 sq ft lot
  • 2 garage spots
  • Built 1952

Property features AI

Exterior

  • Parking: Detached 2-car garage
  • Utilities: Public water; Public sewer; Water and sewer available
  • Home design: Single-family residence; One story; Ground-level entry with steps
  • Construction: Brick construction
  • Exterior features: Asphalt roof; Paved road access; Cats and dogs permitted

Interior

  • Bedrooms: 5 total rooms (includes bedrooms and living areas)
  • Bathrooms: 1 full bathroom
  • Heating & cooling: Central air; Ceiling fan(s); Forced air heating (natural gas)
  • Interior features: Full unfinished basement

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 2-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $90k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $367 ($4k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $90k).

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 73/100 on livability (#218 in MI) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: amenities A+, commute A+, cost of living A+; Watch: schools F, crime F, employment F.
  • Detroit Public Schools Community District (urban): math 10% / reading 24% proficiency, ranked #499 of 540 in MI (top 92%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 90% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
  • Market conditions: 159 active listings in the ZIP; 40 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 18d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 2,639 units permitted in Wayne County in 2024 (1,216 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $622 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $3k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • Wayne County population projected at -17% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
  • At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $25k cash investment doubles in ~7 years — after that, you're playing with house money.

Negotiation context

  • Only 8 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.
  • 8 sale attempts since 8y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
  • Current owner paid $36k; list at $90k implies a 150% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Watch-outs: built in 1952 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Recommended offer $90,000

Questions for the listing agent

  1. Built in 1952 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  2. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  3. Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
  4. Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
  5. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  6. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  7. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
1.37%
Cap rate
11.18%
Cash-on-cash
17.46%
DSCR
1.78
GRM
6.1

CMA / ARV

ARV (on-the-fly)
$59,334
Comps found
12
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
6156 Lodewyck St 0.33mi 3/1.0 (+1) 900 (+0%) 1mo $51,000 $57 79
20300 Mccormick St 0.40mi 3/1.0 (+1) 940 (+5%) 1mo $60,000 $64 68
6135 Marseilles St 0.38mi 3/1.0 (+1) 988 (+10%) 0mo $55,000 $56 61
5981 University Pl 0.48mi 3/1.0 (+1) 964 (+7%) 3mo $64,000 $66 58
10945 Peerless St 0.52mi 3/1.0 (+1) 964 (+7%) 2mo $54,000 $56 58
11017 Worden St 0.58mi 3/1.0 (+1) 961 (+7%) 0mo $47,500 $49 56
20244 Mccormick St 0.45mi 3/1.0 (+1) 1,000 (+11%) 1mo $75,000 $75 54
11035 Worden St 0.58mi 3/1.0 (+1) 834 (-7%) 3mo $55,000 $66 54
19134 Mallina St 0.33mi 3/1.0 (+1) 1,032 (+15%) 2mo $179,000 $173 54
6106 Oldtown St 0.67mi 3/1.5 (+1) 961 (+7%) 1mo $132,000 $137 49
19974 Mccormick St 0.60mi 3/1.0 (+1) 1,000 (+11%) 4mo $74,000 $74 45
11640 Somerset Ave 0.71mi 3/2.0 (+1) 1,028 (+14%) 0mo $70,000 $68 34

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
8.9%
Equity multiple
1.35×
Total profit
$8,784
Equity at exit
$13,419
10-year hold
IRR
18.1%
Equity multiple
2.50×
Total profit
$37,770
Equity at exit
$7,782

Cash invested: $25,200 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
62 Landlord-Friendly
State Michigan
62 Landlord-Friendly · EVEN
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
7-day pay-or-quit; mixed climate; Detroit/AA have some protections.

ZIP-level market 48236

Active inventory
159
Price-to-rent
6.1×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$1,236 high interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$472
Tax from tax record
$100 /mo · $1,200/yr
Insurance
$38
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$259
Net cashflow
$367

Break-even live

Break-even rent $771
Max offer price $90,000
Occupancy floor 65%

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$22,500
Closing costs
$2,700
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 40 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
17720 Chester St Detroit, MI 2.0 1.0 986 $1,250 $1.27 43d 1 0.22mi
19203 Edgefield St Harper Woods, MI 2.0 1.0 1100 $1,100 $1.00 24d 1 0.22mi
17710 Chester St Detroit, MI 2.0 1.0 984 $1,250 $1.27 43d 1 0.22mi
6301 Lodewyck St Detroit, MI 3.0 1.0 1084 $1,300 $1.20 12d 1 0.25mi
21301 Kingsville St Apt 108 Harper Woods, MI 1.0 1.0 700 $900 $1.29 3d 1 0.30mi
10542 Lanark St Detroit, MI 3.0 1.0 1023 $1,250 $1.22 43d 1 0.32mi
6175 Marseilles St Detroit, MI 3.0 1.0 1100 $1,100 $1.00 43d 1 0.32mi
21401 Kingsville St Harper Woods, MI 2.0 1.0 944 $1,200 $1.27 24d 1 0.35mi
6325 Neff Ave Detroit, MI 3.0 1.0 1000 $1,500 $1.50 2d 1 0.40mi
6181 Neff Ave Detroit, MI 3.0 1.0 1102 $1,299 $1.18 17d 1 0.45mi
5915 Farmbrook St Detroit, MI 3.0 1.5 1000 $1,250 $1.25 24d 1 0.48mi
10985 Peerless St Detroit, MI 3.0 1.0 1000 $1,364 $1.36 5d 1 0.50mi
6304 Bluehill St Detroit, MI 3.0 1.0 1088 $1,500 $1.38 43d 1 0.54mi
19982 McCormick St Detroit, MI 3.0 1.0 866 $1,200 $1.39 3d 1 0.59mi
5786 Neff Ave Detroit, MI 3.0 1.5 1100 $1,225 $1.11 16d 1 0.62mi
5955 Guilford St Detroit, MI 3.0 1.0 802 $1,400 $1.75 17d 1 0.63mi
10692 Meuse St Detroit, MI 3.0 1.0 955 $1,250 $1.31 12d 1 0.67mi
10370 Britain St Detroit, MI 3.0 1.0 1100 $1,100 $1.00 43d 1 0.73mi
10400 Britain St Detroit, MI 3.0 1.0 890 $1,100 $1.24 43d 1 0.75mi
22144 Moross Rd Grosse Pointe, MI 2.0 1.0 819 $1,350 $1.65 17d 1 0.77mi
22144 Moross Rd Grosse Pointe, MI 2.0 1.0 819 $1,350 $1.65 2d 1 0.77mi
22148 Moross Rd Grosse Pointe, MI 2.0 1.0 819 $1,250 $1.53 2d 1 0.78mi
22148 Moross Rd Grosse Pointe, MI 2.0 1.0 819 $1,250 $1.53 17d 1 0.78mi
19639 Moross Rd Unit 1 Detroit, MI 2.0 1.0 900 $1,100 $1.22 43d 1 0.80mi
19661 Kenosha St Harper Woods, MI 3.0 2.0 1000 $1,400 $1.40 24d 1 0.83mi
10177 Boleyn St Detroit, MI 3.0 1.0 767 $1,250 $1.63 43d 1 0.84mi
10037 Grayton St Detroit, MI 3.0 1.0 1000 $1,400 $1.40 3d 1 0.87mi
19442 Kingsville St Harper Woods, MI 3.0 1.0 1000 $1,500 $1.50 17d 1 0.90mi
16927 Chandler Park Dr Unit 3_ Detroit, MI 1.0 1.0 600 $900 $1.50 15d 1 0.92mi
11529 Roxbury St Detroit, MI 2.0 1.0 720 $1,200 $1.67 12d 1 0.97mi
5783 Yorkshire Rd Detroit, MI 2.0 1.0 1040 $1,200 $1.15 43d 1 1.01mi
12075 Rossiter St Detroit, MI 3.0 1.0 1100 $1,245 $1.13 43d 1 1.03mi
12075 Rossiter St Detroit, MI 3.0 1.0 1100 $1,245 $1.13 15d 1 1.04mi
11776 Rossiter St Detroit, MI 3.0 1.0 964 $1,150 $1.19 11d 1 1.05mi
9140 Whittier Ave Unit 1 Detroit, MI 1.0 1.0 550 $700 $1.27 43d 1 1.05mi
11611 Morang Ave Detroit, MI 1.0–2.0 1.0 709 $1,040 $1.47 43d 1 1.06mi
11235 Roxbury St Detroit, MI 3.0 1.0 1062 $1,325 $1.25 17d 1 1.08mi
19144 Moross Rd Detroit, MI 2.0 1.0 900 $1,050 $1.17 43d 1 1.10mi
10404 Somerset Ave Detroit, MI 3.0 1.0 1108 $1,475 $1.33 3d 1 1.13mi
19152 Woodside St Harper Woods, MI 3.0 1.0 916 $1,500 $1.64 17d 1 1.18mi

Listing history 23 events

  1. 2026-04-30
    status Pending 330-char remark
    Show marketing remark (330 chars)

    2bd 1bath Detroit Ranch home with Grosse Pointe Zip Code and minutes away from hospital and tons of shopping and restaurants. Tenant occupied paying $1000 a month on month on month at this time willing to stay and property management ran as well. Great for all types of buyers looking to downsize or start out on their own. BATVAI

  2. 2026-04-30
    status Pending
    Show marketing remark (330 chars)

    2bd 1bath Detroit Ranch home with Grosse Pointe Zip Code and minutes away from hospital and tons of shopping and restaurants. Tenant occupied paying $1000 a month on month on month at this time willing to stay and property management ran as well. Great for all types of buyers looking to downsize or start out on their own. BATVAI

  3. 2026-04-21
    listed $90,000 Active 330-char remark
    Show marketing remark (330 chars)

    2bd 1bath Detroit Ranch home with Grosse Pointe Zip Code and minutes away from hospital and tons of shopping and restaurants. Tenant occupied paying $1000 a month on month on month at this time willing to stay and property management ran as well. Great for all types of buyers looking to downsize or start out on their own. BATVAI

  4. 2026-04-21
    listed $90,000 Active
    Show marketing remark (330 chars)

    2bd 1bath Detroit Ranch home with Grosse Pointe Zip Code and minutes away from hospital and tons of shopping and restaurants. Tenant occupied paying $1000 a month on month on month at this time willing to stay and property management ran as well. Great for all types of buyers looking to downsize or start out on their own. BATVAI

  5. 2026-04-21
    historical
    Show marketing remark (330 chars)

    2bd 1bath Detroit Ranch home with Grosse Pointe Zip Code and minutes away from hospital and tons of shopping and restaurants. Tenant occupied paying $1000 a month on month on month at this time willing to stay and property management ran as well. Great for all types of buyers looking to downsize or start out on their own. BATVAI

  6. 2026-02-09
    price $95,000
  7. 2026-02-08
    price $95,000
  8. 2026-02-07
    status Active
  9. 2026-02-07
    status Active
  10. 2026-01-19
    historical
  11. 2026-01-19
    status Pending
  12. 2026-01-19
    status Pending
  13. 2025-11-07
    price $100,000
  14. 2025-11-07
    price $100,000
  15. 2025-10-10
    listed $125,000 Active
  16. 2025-10-09
    listed $125,000 Active
  17. 2018-12-31
    soldstatus $36,000
  18. 2018-12-31
    soldstatus $36,000 Closed
  19. 2018-12-07
    status Pending
  20. 2018-11-18
    price $40,000
  21. 2018-11-09
    price $45,000
  22. 2018-11-05
    listed $40,000
  23. 2018-11-05
    listed $55,000 Active

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast MI · Partial reset (capped growth)

Current annual tax
$1,200 · $100/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$1,293 · $108/mo
Expected delta
+$93/yr (+$8/mo · 7.8%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 1/10 Low
  • 🌡 Heat 3/10 Moderate 7 d/yr ≥96°F today · 15 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 2/10 Low
  • 🫁 Air quality 3/10 Moderate 3 unhealthy d/yr today · 4 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

Loading sold comps map…

Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

Loading nearby amenities…

Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$14,828
− Mortgage interest
−$5,041
− Property taxes
−$1,200
− Insurance
−$450
− Repairs & maintenance
−$1,186
− Management
−$1,186
− Depreciation
−$2,618
Taxable income
$3,146
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
−$755
After-tax cash flow
$3,646/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Detroit Public Schools Community District
NCES district ID
2601103
Math proficiency
10% ▼ -2.00%
Reading proficiency
24% ▲ 6.00%
Median HH income
$25,815
Composite
13.06/100
National rank
#9564
State rank
#499 of 540 in MI

Livability — Detroit

Score
73/100
State rank
#218
US rank
#5427

Category grades

Amenities A+ Commute A+ Cost of living A+ Crime F Employment F Housing A+ Health & safety B- User ratings F

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Detroit, MI
City population
572,865
Population (ZIP)
31,383

Population outlook (Wayne County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
1,675,273 people
By 2030
1,620,300 · -3.3%
By 2040
1,502,341 · -10.3%
By 2050
1,384,039 · -17.4%
By 2075
1,124,592 · -32.9%
By 2100
881,193 · -47.4%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly White (82%)
Race & ethnicity
White 82% Black 11% Two or more races 5% Asian 2% Hispanic / Latino 1%
Common ancestry
Romanian 10% Lithuanian 5% Italian 4%
Foreign-born
7% · Canada
Languages at home
93% English-only · Other Indo-European 2% Arabic 2% Spanish 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Wayne

2024 margin
Strong D (+29.0) · D 62.7% · R 33.7% · Other 3.6%
2008→2024 swing
-20.5pp toward R · 2008: 49.5pp · 2024: 29.0pp
All cycles
2024: D+29.0 2020: D+38.1 2016: D+37.3 2012: D+46.9 2008: D+49.5

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -285.11%
Current HPI
181.0475
Rent YoY
Metro
State GDP YoY
▲ 1.37%
F500 in state
28

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in MI)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

+125.0% since first listed
23 events — show timeline
  • 2026-04-30 Pending MiRealSource-MiMLS
  • 2026-04-30 Pending REALCOMP
  • 2026-04-21 Listing Removed MiRealSource-MiMLS
  • 2026-04-21 Listed $90,000 REALCOMP
  • 2026-04-21 Listed $90,000 MiRealSource-MiMLS
  • 2026-02-09 Price Changed $95,000 MiRealSource-MiMLS
  • 2026-02-08 Price Changed $95,000 REALCOMP
  • 2026-02-07 Relisted MiRealSource-MiMLS
  • 2026-02-07 Relisted REALCOMP
  • 2026-01-19 Listing Removed REALCOMP
  • 2026-01-19 Pending MiRealSource-MiMLS
  • 2026-01-19 Pending REALCOMP
  • 2025-11-07 Price Changed $100,000 MiRealSource-MiMLS
  • 2025-11-07 Price Changed $100,000 REALCOMP
  • 2025-10-10 Listed $125,000 REALCOMP
  • 2025-10-09 Listed $125,000 MiRealSource-MiMLS
  • 2018-12-31 Sold (MLS) $36,000 MiRealSource-MiMLS
  • 2018-12-31 Sold (MLS) $36,000 REALCOMP
  • 2018-12-07 Pending MiRealSource-MiMLS
  • 2018-11-18 Price Changed $40,000 MiRealSource-MiMLS
  • 2018-11-09 Price Changed $45,000 MiRealSource-MiMLS
  • 2018-11-05 Listed $55,000 MiRealSource-MiMLS
  • 2018-11-05 Listed $40,000 REALCOMP

Property tax history

+25.6%/yr

Latest (2025): $1,200 · -24.8% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

Loading sold comps…