801 W Covina #16 · San Dimas, CA
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 7/10 · Major
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $659 – $1,223
Heat risk 7/10 · Major
- Hot days now (above 99°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 20 days/yr
Wind risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- —
Air-quality risk 8/10 · Major
- Unhealthy air days now
- 17 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 21 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the B+ grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +30.0/30.0
- 1% rule +10.0/10.0
- DSCR +10.0/10.0
- ARV discount +7.5/15.0
- Schools +5.9/10.0
- Appreciation +5.0/10.0
- Condition / age +3.8/5.0
- Livability +3.6/5.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
$129,900
🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
Welcome to this well-cared-for 2-bedroom, 2-bath home located in a peaceful, clean, and pet-friendly 55+ community, conveniently close to shopping, dining, and easy freeway access. This home offers a comfortable and functional layout with a large living room, a separate dining area, and a spacious kitchen with plenty of cabinet space. The primary bedroom features its own private bathroom, and the second bedroom is ideal for guests, hobbies, or a home office. Enjoy relaxing outdoors under the covered patio and the convenience of a 2-car carport. The community offers wonderful amenities including a swimming pool, jacuzzi, clubhouse, and gym, perfect for those looking to enjoy an active and social lifestyle.
Key facts
- Clubhouse
- Swimming pool
- Covered patio
Tags
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 2-bed/2.0-bath manufactured listed at $130k. Condition is rated good.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $1k ($18k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($3k rent vs $130k).
- Recommended offer: $118k (9.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
- Cap rate 19.9% vs local median 2.6% in San Dimas — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 72/100 on livability (#192 in CA) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: employment A+, commute A, schools B; Watch: cost of living F, health & safety F.
- Bonita Unified (suburban): math 59% / reading 70% proficiency, ranked #151 of 1,400 in CA (top 11%) — acceptable for families but not a draw, mixed tenant base, ~2y average lease.
- Market conditions: 1 active listings in the ZIP; 21 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 25d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 19,697 units permitted in Los Angeles County in 2024 (9,426 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- In year one you build about $5k of equity ($898 loan paydown + $4k appreciation (3.0% local appreciation)).
- Los Angeles County population projected at +9% by 2050 — modest demand growth; plan on rents tracking national, not racing it.
- At projected returns (3.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $36k cash investment doubles in ~2 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
- By year 7, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$30k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 116 days — a 9% lower offer ($118k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 3 sale attempts; this cycle's ask has dropped $30k (19%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.
Risks & watch-outs
- Climate carrying-cost: major wildfire risk; extreme-heat days projected 7→20/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 116 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 9% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Built in 1964 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are B-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 2.31% ✓
- Cap rate
- 19.85%
- Cash-on-cash
- 48.43%
- DSCR
- 3.16
- GRM
- 3.6
CMA / ARV
- ARV (median comp)
- $129,770
- List price
- $129,900
- Delta
- 0.10%
- Verdict
- FAIR
- Comps
- 20 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 801 W Covina Blvd #84 | 0.03mi | 2/2.0 | 1,140 (-5%) | 7mo | $148,000 | $130 | 84 |
| 801 W Covina Blvd Blvd #108 | 0.06mi | 2/2.0 | 1,040 (-13%) | 1mo | $105,000 | $101 | 74 |
| 801 W Covina Blvd #175 | 0.00mi | 2/1.0 | 1,100 (-8%) | 10mo | $105,000 | $95 | 74 |
| 801 W Covina Blvd Unit SP 47 | 0.04mi | 2/2.0 | 1,334 (+11%) | 13mo | $150,000 | $112 | 69 |
| 1205 Cypress St #115 | 0.51mi | 2/2.0 | 1,344 (+12%) | 1mo | $215,000 | $160 | 56 |
| 1205 Cypress St #160 | 0.51mi | 3/2.0 (+1) | 1,120 (-7%) | 10mo | $220,000 | $196 | 52 |
| 1245 W Cienega Ave #95 | 0.70mi | 2/2.0 | 1,080 (-10%) | 8mo | $137,500 | $127 | 45 |
| 1205 Cypress St #199 | 0.51mi | 3/2.0 (+1) | 1,344 (+12%) | 11mo | $290,000 | $216 | 42 |
| 1245 W Cienega Ave #123 | 0.70mi | 2/2.0 | 1,348 (+12%) | 9mo | $275,000 | $204 | 39 |
| 1205 Cypress St #137 | 0.51mi | 3/2.0 (+1) | 1,344 (+12%) | 15mo | $285,000 | $212 | 39 |
| 1245 W Cienega Ave #44 | 0.64mi | 2/2.0 | 1,368 (+14%) | 10mo | $132,200 | $97 | 38 |
| 1245 W Cienega Ave #88 | 0.70mi | 3/2.0 (+1) | 1,375 (+15%) | 10mo | $350,000 | $255 | 30 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 53.6%
- Equity multiple
- 4.00×
- Total profit
- $109,194
- Equity at exit
- $58,409
- IRR
- 53.3%
- Equity multiple
- 8.09×
- Total profit
- $257,766
- Equity at exit
- $90,015
Cash invested: $36,372 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 18 Strongly Tenant-Friendly
- State California
- 18 Strongly Tenant-Friendly · D+13
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 91777
- Active inventory
- 1
- Price-to-rent
- 3.6×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $2,995 high interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$681
- Tax est. 1.5%
- −$162 /mo · $1,948/yr
- Insurance
- −$54
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$629
- Net cashflow
- $1,468
Break-even live
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $32,475
- Closing costs
- $3,897
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 21 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 217 Danecroft Ave Unit A San Dimas, CA | 2.0 | 1.0 | 735 | $2,800 | $3.81 | 44d | 1 | 0.40mi |
| 530 W 3rd St Unit A San Dimas, CA | 2.0 | 2.5 | 1000 | $3,000 | $3.00 | 44d | 1 | 0.71mi |
| 204 San Luis Rey Dr San Dimas, CA | 2.0 | 3.0 | 1287 | $3,165 | $2.46 | 5d | 1 | 0.75mi |
| 522 W 4th St San Dimas, CA | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1113 | $3,550 | $3.19 | 44d | 1 | 0.77mi |
| 301 W 1st St Unit A San Dimas, CA | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1000 | $3,250 | $3.25 | 44d | 1 | 0.81mi |
| 301 W 1st St San Dimas, CA | 2.0 | 1.0 | 880 | $2,150 | $2.44 | 25d | 1 | 0.81mi |
| 220 W 1st St San Dimas, CA | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1200 | $845 | $0.70 | 18d | 1 | 0.84mi |
| 1471 Cypress St San Dimas, CA | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1127 | $900 | $0.80 | 7d | 1 | 0.85mi |
| 1430 W Badillo St San Dimas, CA | 3.0 | 1.5 | 1200 | $3,000 | $2.50 | 1d | 1 | 0.85mi |
| 644 Pearlanna Dr San Dimas, CA | 3.0 | 1.5 | 1350 | $3,500 | $2.59 | 1d | 1 | 0.90mi |
| 220 S Valley Center Ave San Dimas, CA | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1000 | $2,495 | $2.50 | 44d | 1 | 0.93mi |
| 235 W 4th St San Dimas, CA | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1200 | $3,499 | $2.92 | 1d | 1 | 0.99mi |
| 206 Teague Dr San Dimas, CA | 2.0 | 3.0 | 1320 | $3,500 | $2.65 | 44d | 1 | 1.08mi |
| 203 Teague Dr San Dimas, CA | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1180 | $3,100 | $2.63 | 7d | 1 | 1.08mi |
| 1189 Strawberry Ln Glendora, CA | 2.0 | 2.5 | 1292 | $2,900 | $2.24 | 44d | 1 | 1.17mi |
| 1447 S Valley Center Ave Glendora, CA | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1345 | $3,500 | $2.60 | 1d | 1 | 1.26mi |
| 21042 E Arrow Hwy Covina, CA | 1.0–2.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 803 | $2,875 | $3.58 | 1d | 11 | 1.36mi |
| 477 E Bonita Ave San Dimas, CA | 3.0 | 1.0 | 950 | $2,325 | $2.45 | 3d | 1 | 1.41mi |
| 20983 E Covina Blvd Covina, CA | 2.0 | 2.0 | 962 | $2,500 | $2.60 | 25d | 1 | 1.42mi |
| 1746 S Sunflower Ave Unit 7 Glendora, CA | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1100 | $2,400 | $2.18 | 25d | 1 | 1.47mi |
| 1746 S Sunflower Ave Unit 10 Glendora, CA | 2.0 | 1.5 | 1100 | $2,400 | $2.18 | 44d | 1 | 1.47mi |
Listing history 19 events
-
2026-06-15days on market $129,900 Active 116 DOM
-
2026-06-13days on market $129,900 Active 114 DOM
-
2026-06-13days on market $129,900 Active 113 DOM
-
2026-06-09days on market $129,900 Active 110 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $129,900 Active 109 DOM
-
2026-06-07days on market $129,900 Active 108 DOM
-
2026-06-04days on market $129,900 Active 105 DOM
-
2026-06-03days on market $129,900 Active 104 DOM
-
2026-06-02days on market $129,900 Active 103 DOM
-
2026-06-02price $129,900 Active 102 DOM
-
2026-06-01days on market $137,000 Active 102 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $137,000 Active 101 DOM
-
2026-04-04price $137,000 714-char remark
Show marketing remark (714 chars)
Welcome to this well-cared-for 2-bedroom, 2-bath home located in a peaceful, clean, and pet-friendly 55+ community, conveniently close to shopping, dining, and easy freeway access. This home offers a comfortable and functional layout with a large living room, a separate dining area, and a spacious kitchen with plenty of cabinet space. The primary bedroom features its own private bathroom, and the second bedroom is ideal for guests, hobbies, or a home office. Enjoy relaxing outdoors under the covered patio and the convenience of a 2-car carport. The community offers wonderful amenities including a swimming pool, jacuzzi, clubhouse, and gym, perfect for those looking to enjoy an active and social lifestyle.
-
2026-03-16price $149,900 714-char remark
Show marketing remark (714 chars)
Welcome to this well-cared-for 2-bedroom, 2-bath home located in a peaceful, clean, and pet-friendly 55+ community, conveniently close to shopping, dining, and easy freeway access. This home offers a comfortable and functional layout with a large living room, a separate dining area, and a spacious kitchen with plenty of cabinet space. The primary bedroom features its own private bathroom, and the second bedroom is ideal for guests, hobbies, or a home office. Enjoy relaxing outdoors under the covered patio and the convenience of a 2-car carport. The community offers wonderful amenities including a swimming pool, jacuzzi, clubhouse, and gym, perfect for those looking to enjoy an active and social lifestyle.
-
2026-02-24historical
Show marketing remark (714 chars)
Welcome to this well-cared-for 2-bedroom, 2-bath home located in a peaceful, clean, and pet-friendly 55+ community, conveniently close to shopping, dining, and easy freeway access. This home offers a comfortable and functional layout with a large living room, a separate dining area, and a spacious kitchen with plenty of cabinet space. The primary bedroom features its own private bathroom, and the second bedroom is ideal for guests, hobbies, or a home office. Enjoy relaxing outdoors under the covered patio and the convenience of a 2-car carport. The community offers wonderful amenities including a swimming pool, jacuzzi, clubhouse, and gym, perfect for those looking to enjoy an active and social lifestyle.
-
2026-02-24status Active 714-char remark
Show marketing remark (714 chars)
Welcome to this well-cared-for 2-bedroom, 2-bath home located in a peaceful, clean, and pet-friendly 55+ community, conveniently close to shopping, dining, and easy freeway access. This home offers a comfortable and functional layout with a large living room, a separate dining area, and a spacious kitchen with plenty of cabinet space. The primary bedroom features its own private bathroom, and the second bedroom is ideal for guests, hobbies, or a home office. Enjoy relaxing outdoors under the covered patio and the convenience of a 2-car carport. The community offers wonderful amenities including a swimming pool, jacuzzi, clubhouse, and gym, perfect for those looking to enjoy an active and social lifestyle.
-
2026-02-20historical 714-char remark
Show marketing remark (714 chars)
Welcome to this well-cared-for 2-bedroom, 2-bath home located in a peaceful, clean, and pet-friendly 55+ community, conveniently close to shopping, dining, and easy freeway access. This home offers a comfortable and functional layout with a large living room, a separate dining area, and a spacious kitchen with plenty of cabinet space. The primary bedroom features its own private bathroom, and the second bedroom is ideal for guests, hobbies, or a home office. Enjoy relaxing outdoors under the covered patio and the convenience of a 2-car carport. The community offers wonderful amenities including a swimming pool, jacuzzi, clubhouse, and gym, perfect for those looking to enjoy an active and social lifestyle.
-
2026-02-20$159,900 Active
Show marketing remark (714 chars)
Welcome to this well-cared-for 2-bedroom, 2-bath home located in a peaceful, clean, and pet-friendly 55+ community, conveniently close to shopping, dining, and easy freeway access. This home offers a comfortable and functional layout with a large living room, a separate dining area, and a spacious kitchen with plenty of cabinet space. The primary bedroom features its own private bathroom, and the second bedroom is ideal for guests, hobbies, or a home office. Enjoy relaxing outdoors under the covered patio and the convenience of a 2-car carport. The community offers wonderful amenities including a swimming pool, jacuzzi, clubhouse, and gym, perfect for those looking to enjoy an active and social lifestyle.
-
2026-02-16$159,900 Active 714-char remark
Show marketing remark (714 chars)
Welcome to this well-cared-for 2-bedroom, 2-bath home located in a peaceful, clean, and pet-friendly 55+ community, conveniently close to shopping, dining, and easy freeway access. This home offers a comfortable and functional layout with a large living room, a separate dining area, and a spacious kitchen with plenty of cabinet space. The primary bedroom features its own private bathroom, and the second bedroom is ideal for guests, hobbies, or a home office. Enjoy relaxing outdoors under the covered patio and the convenience of a 2-car carport. The community offers wonderful amenities including a swimming pool, jacuzzi, clubhouse, and gym, perfect for those looking to enjoy an active and social lifestyle.
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 7/10 Severe
- Heat 7/10 Severe 7 d/yr ≥99°F today · 20 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 1/10 Low
- Air quality 8/10 Severe 17 unhealthy d/yr today · 21 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $35,936
- − Mortgage interest
- −$7,276
- − Property taxes
- −$1,948
- − Insurance
- −$650
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$2,875
- − Management
- −$2,875
- − Depreciation
- −$3,779
- Taxable income
- $16,533
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$3,968
- After-tax cash flow
- $13,649/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Condition & rehab AI · 6 photos
This well-maintained 2-bedroom, 2-bath home in a pet-friendly community offers a good investment opportunity with minor cosmetic updates needed for optimal resale and rental value.
Value-add opportunities
- Both Paint exterior siding — Enhances curb appeal and value
- Both Replace carpet — Improves comfort and reduces maintenance costs
Renovation cost estimate screening
Value-add ROI direction
- Both Paint exterior siding — Enhances curb appeal and value ↑
- Both Replace carpet — Improves comfort and reduces maintenance costs ↑
ⓘ Cost ranges are severity-bucket heuristics (US national rule-of-thumb). Get contractor quotes + a written scope before underwriting a rehab budget.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Bonita Unified
- NCES district ID
- 0605610
- Math proficiency
- 59% ▲ 3.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 70% ▬ 0.00%
- Median HH income
- $76,196
- Composite
- 58.71/100
- National rank
- #2001
- State rank
- #151 of 1400 in CA
Livability — San Dimas
- Score
- 72/100
- State rank
- #192
- US rank
- #6164
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- San Dimas, CA
Population outlook (Los Angeles County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 10,940,515 people
- By 2030
- 11,256,481 · +2.9%
- By 2040
- 11,729,929 · +7.2%
- By 2050
- 11,948,407 · +9.2%
- By 2075
- 11,818,114 · +8.0%
- By 2100
- 10,842,928 · -0.9%
Not yet ingested
- Political lean
- —
- Race & ethnicity
- —
- Common origin
- —
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- —
- Current HPI
- —
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- —
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 3.21%
- F500 in state
- 116
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in CA)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Technology | 27 | $1,492B |
|
||
| Financial Services | 3 | $174B |
|
||
| Retail | 3 | $44B |
|
||
| Insurance | 3 | $26B |
|
||
| Media / Entertainment | 2 | $115B |
|
||
| Pharmaceuticals / Biotech | 2 | $62B |
|
||
Price history
-14.3% since first listed7 events — show timeline
- 2026-04-04 Price Changed $137,000 CRMLS
- 2026-03-16 Price Changed $149,900 CRMLS
- 2026-02-24 Listing Removed — CRMLS
- 2026-02-24 Relisted — CRMLS
- 2026-02-20 Listed $159,900 CRMLS
- 2026-02-20 Listing Removed — CRMLS
- 2026-02-16 Listed $159,900 CRMLS
Property tax history
+10.4%/yrLatest (2025): $237 · +10.4% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…