17751 Panama City Beach Pkwy · Panama City Beach, FL
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 5/10 · Moderate
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $947 – $1,759
Heat risk 10/10 · Severe
- Hot days now (above 105°F)
- 8 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 24 days/yr
Wind risk 10/10 · Severe
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 99.0%
Air-quality risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 1 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 1 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the C+ grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +27.1/30.0
- DSCR +9.4/10.0
- ARV discount +7.5/15.0
- 1% rule +7.3/10.0
- Schools +4.3/10.0
- Livability +3.9/5.0
- Rent growth +2.6/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$217,700
🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
Exceptional unit with many updates! You'll see pride in ownership at every turn and you'll appreciate the current owners' updates to include an ''open kitchen'' concept, tile and hardwoods flooring, tiled shower surrounds, a/c system, appliances, etc. You'll enjoy the peace and quiet of the backyard conservation area as you relax on the patio or on the second level master bedroom balcony. The condominium association offers a crystal clear pool, community room, tennis courts, shuffle board, and beach access. This unit is completely renovated, move-in ready, and a must see. Make your appointment today to see this beautiful condo. All sizes are approximate and taken from public sources, please measure to be sure. CLICK ON THE PHOTO FOR ADDITIONAL PICTURES.
Key facts
- New ceiling fans
- New washer and dryer
- New hot water heater
Tags
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 2-bed/2.0-bath condo listed at $218k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $615 ($7k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($3k rent vs $218k).
- Cap rate 9.7% vs local median 2.6% in Panama City Beach — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 78/100 on livability (#172 in FL, #2,624 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: crime A+, housing A+, health & safety A+; Watch: amenities D-, commute F.
- Bay (suburban): math 51% / reading 51% proficiency, ranked #29 of 73 in FL (top 40%) — acceptable for families but not a draw, mixed tenant base, ~2y average lease.
- Market conditions: Rents flat; 1249 active listings in the ZIP; 12 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 21d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); solid renter incomes; 2,473 units permitted in Bay County in 2024 (559 in 5+ unit buildings).
- This rent runs 40% of the median local income ($80k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $2k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $7k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Bay County population projected at +24% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
Negotiation context
- Only 10 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.
- 6 sale attempts since 14y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
Risks & watch-outs
- Climate carrying-cost: severe wind risk, 99% chance of damaging wind over 30y; moderate wildfire risk; extreme-heat days projected 8→24/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- Any open or pending special assessments — roof, HVAC, plumbing, elevator, façade? What's the per-unit balance and payoff schedule, and is the seller paying it off at close or rolling it to the buyer?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are B-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new apartment / multifamily construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply (>2% of stock underway) typically softens rents 12–24 months out; light construction supports rent growth.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.23% ✓
- Cap rate
- 9.69%
- Cash-on-cash
- 12.12%
- DSCR
- 1.54
- GRM
- 6.8
CMA / ARV
No comps found within radius.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 0.52% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- -1.1%
- Equity multiple
- 0.96×
- Total profit
- $-2,574
- Equity at exit
- $32,460
- IRR
- 5.7%
- Equity multiple
- 1.38×
- Total profit
- $22,882
- Equity at exit
- $18,823
Cash invested: $60,956 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State Florida
- 87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+3
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 32413
- Home prices YoY
- -34.4%
- Rents YoY
- 0.5%
- Active inventory
- 1249
- Price-to-rent
- 6.8×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $2,683 high interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$1,142
- Tax est. 1.5%
- −$272 /mo · $3,266/yr
- Insurance
- −$91
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$564
- Net cashflow
- $615
Break-even live
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $54,425
- Closing costs
- $6,531
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 12 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17751 Panama City Beach Pkwy Unit 2E Panama City Beach, FL | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1100 | $2,600 | $2.36 | 21d | 1 | 0.04mi |
| 17751 Panama City Beach Pkwy Unit 1523371P Panama City Beach, FL | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1097 | $3,862 | $3.52 | 21d | 1 | 0.06mi |
| 17614 Front Beach Rd Unit 16D Panama City Beach, FL | 2.0 | 1.0 | 748 | $1,600 | $2.14 | 21d | 1 | 0.26mi |
| 17735 Front Beach Rd Unit 1447171P Panama City Beach, FL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1227 | $4,925 | $4.01 | 21d | 1 | 0.32mi |
| 17729 Front Beach Rd Unit 1355005P Panama City Beach, FL | 1.0 | 2.0 | 882 | $2,038 | $2.31 | 13d | 1 | 0.32mi |
| 17545 Front Beach Rd Unit 1523333P Panama City, FL | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1140 | $6,472 | $5.68 | 13d | 1 | 0.48mi |
| 17462 Front Beach Rd Unit 1 Panama City Beach, FL | 1.0 | 1.0 | 900 | $1,950 | $2.17 | 21d | 1 | 0.52mi |
| 127 Heather Dr Panama City Beach, FL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1297 | $2,350 | $1.81 | 13d | 1 | 0.81mi |
| 17225 Panama City Beach Pkwy Panama City Beach, FL | 1.0–2.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 981 | $1,719 | $1.75 | 13d | 10 | 1.00mi |
| 102 Cabana Cay Cir Panama City Beach, FL | 1.0–2.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 950 | $2,143 | $2.26 | 13d | 26 | 1.11mi |
| 19610 Alta Vista Dr Panama City Beach, FL | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1000 | $1,400 | $1.40 | 13d | 1 | 1.15mi |
| 17155 Front Beach Rd Unit 1354915P Panama City Beach, FL | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1194 | $2,498 | $2.09 | 21d | 1 | 1.25mi |
HOA detail condo
- Monthly dues
- $0 · $0/yr
- Likely covers
- pool
- Assessments
- None detected in remarks — confirm with the listing agent.
Listing history 8 events
-
2026-06-15days on market $217,700 Active 10 DOM
-
2026-06-14days on market $217,700 Active 8 DOM
-
2026-06-13days on market $217,700 Active 7 DOM
-
2026-06-10days on market $217,700 Active 5 DOM
-
2026-06-09days on market $217,700 Active 4 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $217,700 Active 3 DOM
-
2026-06-07remarks 699-char remark
-
2026-06-07$217,700 Active 2 DOM
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 5/10 Major
- Heat 10/10 Extreme 8 d/yr ≥105°F today · 24 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 10/10 Extreme 99% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 2/10 Low 1 unhealthy d/yr today · 1 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $32,201
- − Mortgage interest
- −$12,195
- − Property taxes
- −$3,266
- − Insurance
- −$1,088
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$2,576
- − Management
- −$2,576
- − Depreciation
- −$6,333
- Taxable income
- $4,167
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$1,000
- After-tax cash flow
- $6,385/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Bay
- NCES district ID
- 1200090
- Math proficiency
- 51% ▼ -8.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 51% ▼ -7.00%
- Median HH income
- $47,740
- Composite
- 43.41/100
- National rank
- #3014
- State rank
- #29 of 73 in FL
Livability — Panama City Beach
- Score
- 78/100
- State rank
- #172
- US rank
- #2624
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Panama City Beach, FL
- County
- Bay County · 163,593 people
- City population
- 50,689
- Metro
- Panama City, FL
- Population (ZIP)
- 15,453
- Household income
- $80,039
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 531.0
Population outlook (Bay County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 206,264 people
- By 2030
- 217,740 · +5.6%
- By 2040
- 238,738 · +15.7%
- By 2050
- 255,545 · +23.9%
- By 2075
- 288,295 · +39.8%
- By 2100
- 288,638 · +39.9%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (87%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 87% Hispanic / Latino 8% Two or more races 6% Black 1%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 1% Puerto Rican 2%
- Common ancestry
- Slovak 3% Italian 3% Lithuanian 2%
- Foreign-born
- 8% · Canada, Jamaica
- Languages at home
- 91% English-only · Spanish 6% Other Indo-European 1% Russian/Polish/Slavic 0%
Political lean MEDSL · Bay
- 2024 margin
- Solid R (+47.4) · D 25.8% · R 73.1% · Other 1.1%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -6.6pp toward R · 2008: -40.7pp · 2024: -47.4pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+47.4 2020: R+43.5 2016: R+46.3 2012: R+43.6 2008: R+40.7
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -185.97%
- Current HPI
- 354.7469
- Rent YoY
- ▲ 0.52%
- Metro
- Panama City, FL
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 3.28%
- F500 in state
- 36
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in FL)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Industrial Technology | 2 | $29B |
|
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| Insurance | 2 | $17B |
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| Retail | 1 | $60B |
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| Technology Distribution | 1 | $58B |
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| Homebuilding | 1 | $35B |
|
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| Technology Manufacturing | 1 | $35B |
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Price history
+126.8% since first listed12 events — show timeline
- 2026-06-06 Listed $217,700 FSBO.com
- 2026-05-25 Rental Removed $2,600 SHOWMOJO
- 2026-03-14 Listed for Rent $2,600 SHOWMOJO
- 2026-01-01 Rental Removed $2,600 SHOWMOJO
- 2025-12-16 Listed for Rent $2,600 SHOWMOJO
- 2025-08-02 Rental Removed $1,850 APPFOLIO
- 2025-07-10 Listed for Rent $1,850 APPFOLIO
- 2022-05-13 Sold (Public Records) $280,000 Public Records
- 2014-05-12 Sold (MLS) $96,000 CPARMLS
- 2014-03-03 Listed $100,000 CPARMLS
- 2012-04-19 Sold (MLS) $92,500 CPARMLS
- 2012-01-16 Listed $96,000 CPARMLS
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…