6869 E Jordan Rd · Mount Pleasant, MI
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $784 – $1,456
Heat risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Hot days now (above 97°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 14 days/yr
Wind risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- —
Air-quality risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 1 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 2 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the D grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +13.7/30.0
- ARV discount +7.5/15.0
- Rent growth +5.0/5.0
- DSCR +4.2/10.0
- Livability +4.1/5.0
- Schools +3.3/10.0
- 1% rule +3.0/10.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$150,000
🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks
Outside of Mt Pleasant, rural setting for this 3 bedroom, 1 bath ranch home on a crawl, 10X20 deck towards road, pole barn, conveniently located off Pickard and Leaton Road SHOWN BY APPOINTMENT ONLY #8014
Key facts
- 10x20 deck
- Pole barn
- Conveniently located
Tags
Property features AI
Finance
- Other: Approximately 1 acre lot; Country gravel road access (208' frontage)
Exterior
- Parking: Attached 2-car garage
- Utilities: Private well water; Septic system; Electric water heater
- Home design: Residential single-story home; Entry faces road/frontage; Subdivision described by metes & bounds
- Construction: Vinyl siding and steel exterior; Crawlspace foundation; Year built not listed
- Exterior features: Deck; Pole barn; Rural setting; Road frontage
Interior
- Kitchen: Kitchen on the main level (13 x 12) with wood flooring; Range/Oven; Refrigerator; Dishwasher
- Bedrooms: Primary bedroom on the main level (13 x 12) with carpet; Second bedroom on the main level (10 x 9) with carpet; Third bedroom on the main level (approx. width 16) with carpet
- Flooring: Carpet in living areas and bedrooms; Wood flooring in kitchen, bathroom, and laundry room
- Bathrooms: One full bathroom on the main level (approx. 10 x 6) with wood flooring
- Heating & cooling: Forced air heating; Oil fuel
- Interior features: Bay window; Utility/laundry room
- Laundry & utility: Main-level laundry room (10 x 10) with wood flooring; Washer; Dryer
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 3-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $150k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $12 ($147/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $119k (20.5% below list).
- Recommended offer: $119k (20.5% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
- Cap rate 6.4% vs local median 3.4% in Mount Pleasant — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 82/100 on livability (#55 in MI, #1,063 nationally) — a professional / high-income tenant draw. Strengths: amenities A+, cost of living A+, health & safety A+; Watch: crime C-, employment F.
- Mt. Pleasant City School District (town): math 33% / reading 48% proficiency, ranked #229 of 540 in MI (top 42%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
- Market conditions: Rents rising fast (+16.9%/yr); 249 active listings in the ZIP; 72 units permitted in Isabella County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $1k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $4k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Isabella County population projected at +9% by 2050 — modest demand growth; plan on rents tracking national, not racing it.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 175 days — a 12% lower offer ($132k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 2 sale attempts with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: built in 1952 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 175 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 20% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Built in 1952 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are B-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
- The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 0.80% ✗
- Cap rate
- 6.39%
- Cash-on-cash
- 0.35%
- DSCR
- 1.02
- GRM
- 10.5
CMA / ARV
No comps found within radius.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 8.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- -10.8%
- Equity multiple
- 0.59×
- Total profit
- $-17,272
- Equity at exit
- $22,365
- IRR
- 3.9%
- Equity multiple
- 1.34×
- Total profit
- $14,456
- Equity at exit
- $12,969
Cash invested: $42,000 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 62 Landlord-Friendly
- State Michigan
- 62 Landlord-Friendly · EVEN
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 48858
- Home prices YoY
- -31.9%
- Rents YoY
- 16.9%
- Active inventory
- 249
- Price-to-rent
- 10.5×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,193 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$787
- Tax from tax record
- −$81 /mo · $970/yr
- Insurance
- −$62
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$250
- Net cashflow
- $12
Break-even live
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $37,500
- Closing costs
- $4,500
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Listing history 4 events
-
2026-05-06status Pending
-
2026-02-05status Active
-
2026-02-01historical
-
2025-11-06$150,000 Active
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast MI · Partial reset (capped growth)
- Current annual tax
- $970 · $81/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $1,640 · $137/mo
- Expected delta
- +$670/yr (+$56/mo · 69.0%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 2/10 Low
- Heat 2/10 Low 7 d/yr ≥97°F today · 14 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 1/10 Low
- Air quality 2/10 Low 1 unhealthy d/yr today · 2 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $14,312
- − Mortgage interest
- −$8,402
- − Property taxes
- −$970
- − Insurance
- −$750
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,145
- − Management
- −$1,145
- − Depreciation
- −$4,364
- Taxable loss
- −$2,464
- Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
- +$591
- After-tax cash flow
- $738/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Mt. Pleasant City School District
- NCES district ID
- 2624750
- Math proficiency
- 33% ▼ -5.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 48% ▼ -3.00%
- Median HH income
- $32,344
- Composite
- 33.16/100
- National rank
- #5548
- State rank
- #229 of 540 in MI
Livability — Mount Pleasant
- Score
- 82/100
- State rank
- #55
- US rank
- #1063
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- County
- Isabella County · 42,226 people
- City population
- 42,226
- Metro
- Mount Pleasant, MI
- Population (ZIP)
- 42,226
- Household income
- $51,267
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 2381.0
Population outlook (Isabella County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 75,111 people
- By 2030
- 77,600 · +3.3%
- By 2040
- 79,890 · +6.4%
- By 2050
- 81,568 · +8.6%
- By 2075
- 86,602 · +15.3%
- By 2100
- 92,201 · +22.8%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (81%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 81% Two or more races 6% Hispanic / Latino 5% Native American 4% Black 3% Asian 2%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 3%
- Common ancestry
- Romanian 6% Slovak 3% Iranian 3%
- Foreign-born
- 4% · Canada
- Languages at home
- 94% English-only · Spanish 2% Other Indo-European 1% German/W. Germanic 0%
Political lean MEDSL · Isabella
- 2024 margin
- Lean R (+7.5) · D 45.5% · R 53.0% · Other 1.6%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -26.7pp toward R · 2008: 19.2pp · 2024: -7.5pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+7.5 2020: R+2.5 2016: R+3.7 2012: D+9.3 2008: D+19.2
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -96.75%
- Current HPI
- 206.1153
- Rent YoY
- ▲ 16.89%
- Metro
- Mount Pleasant, MI
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 1.37%
- F500 in state
- 28
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in MI)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Automotive Parts | 3 | $48B |
|
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| Automotive | 2 | $372B |
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| Chemicals | 1 | $45B |
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| Automotive Retail | 1 | $29B |
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| Healthcare / Medical Devices | 1 | $23B |
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| Automotive Technology | 1 | $20B |
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Price history
4 events — show timeline
- 2026-05-06 Pending — MiRealSource-MiMLS
- 2026-02-05 Relisted — MiRealSource-MiMLS
- 2026-02-01 Listing Removed — MiRealSource-MiMLS
- 2025-11-06 Listed $150,000 MiRealSource-MiMLS
Property tax history
+5.1%/yrLatest (2023): $970 · +43.7% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…